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Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
rowdyraven112 said:Give me a break... Did they drop the AC to a comfortable 28 degrees while it's 104 outside? Or maybe they set the cruise control ten miles under the limit? Just more of those ridiculous little tweaks some bureaucrats at a community college cooked up to satisfy some European Union foreign policy agenda? ☕

I haven't noticed anyone driving way under the speed limit, mostly because the cops are constantly pulling me over even when I'm right on the mark. ☕

How could you not notice? Are we all just riding bicycles now because we've collectively lost our minds?
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Jessica Peterson2 said:So, today you have these Putin enthusiasts from America and Canada out there celebrating Victory Day.
Apparently, Putin has officially added both America and Canada to his little list of "unfriendly nations." 😂

Could we have possibly achieved any greater recognition?
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
rowdyraven112 said:The team seems to have slept through the last two years. Clearly bears. ☕

Prices spiked because we switched from pipelines to shipping gas to LNG terminals, and those ships account for a massive chunk of consumption.☕
As far as I know, container shipping from China alone jumped 4x, making it pointless for some companies to even bother importing from China anymore. Also, alongside that table, he should’ve included a graph showing gas consumption during the lockdowns versus after. Producers likely started shutting down wells, and reopening them isn't cheap—nor is it easy.☕
Think about how many times people went to fill their propane tanks before the lockdowns compared to during them.

Does anyone even bother to pay attention to the basic mechanics of energy transport? It is frankly exhausting to witness such fundamental ignorance being peddled as fact. We are talking about LNG—liquid natural gas—which, by its very definition and physical state, is not transported via pipelines. How can one even attempt to make an argument when they fail to grasp such a rudimentary distinction?

As far as I am aware, container shipping costs from China have skyrocketed by as much as four times, which leads one to wonder: at what point does it simply cease to be profitable for companies to import goods from China at all?

Is it truly so difficult to grasp that the surge in container shipping costs isn't some direct consequence of fuel prices? One must ask oneself: why are we ignoring the obvious elephant in the room? The reality is far more fundamental. We are witnessing a massive spike driven by an acute shortage of both containers and vessels, triggered by the sheer, overwhelming surge in demand as economies finally reopened following the lockdowns. Is it not clear that supply simply cannot keep pace with this sudden explosion in consumer activity?
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Just a few days ago, the Italian government inked new energy deals with Algeria, and yet here we are, watching the Russians pivot their rhetoric after yesterday’s threats to shut off the valves entirely.

As Italy scrambles to secure alternative gas supplies, Gazprom has suddenly come calling with promises of increased deliveries.

Putin, the master strategist, isn't he?
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Donna Harris11 said:Sanctions just aren't hitting the mark right now, I guess.

JPMorgan says the US Economy is doing much Better Than expected — and will only shrink 3.5% this year despite domestic sanctions

https://www.businessinsider.com/stock...w/92682899.cms

That is specifically the JPMorgan Chase assessment. If you actually bother to read the text itself,

Quote : most economists expect Russia's Economy to Far worse Than JPMorgan. Economists polled by Bloomberg in June on average Said Russia's GDP will fall 9.6% this year, although that was down from an average forecast of 10% in May. They also expect unemployment to jump to 7.4% by the end of the year, from 3.9% in May.

The majority of economists are anticipating a 9.6% contraction in Russia's GDP.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Anthony Perez9 said:The klero-fašists backed that Russian Orthodox fanatic despot. Makes sense.
Trash found trash. ☕

I'm just hoping this little get-together actually turns into something. I guess I'm just getting in everyone's way again. My bad. Israel. 😛

I truly hope that Hamnei is tried in absentia over in Russia, simply because he had the audacity to call this "special military operation" in Ukraine what it actually is: a war.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Timothy Williams5 said:Ursula von der Leyen strikes deal to double gas imports from Azerbaijan

Brussels now views Baku as its most vital partner in securing energy stability. According to statements made by European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, the European Union intends to double the volume of gas imported from Azerbaijan within the next few years.

By 2027, Europe should be receiving at least 20 billion cubic meters of gas annually.

According to von der Leyen, Azerbaijan currently supplies 8.1 billion cubic meters per year, but that figure is expected to hit 12 billion next year, which will "help offset the reduction in Russian gas deliveries."

The head of the European Commission remarked that this declaration of intent opens a "new chapter in energy cooperation" with Azerbaijan. Just before signing the document, she posted on Twitter: "The EU is turning toward more reliable energy suppliers."
https://www.dw.com/ru/es-planiruet-z...aca=rus-tco-dw

Does anyone truly believe Azerbaijan needs to be demilitarized and denazified?
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Italy has officially inked a deal with Algeria to secure its gas supplies.

In addition to this agreement, massive contracts worth $4 billion have been signed to facilitate the exploration and extraction of new energy fields.

While Russia previously served as Italy's primary gas provider, accounting for a staggering 45% of their supply, Algeria has seized the lead since the invasion began. It is projected that Algeria will export 20 billion cubic meters of gas to Italy within this year alone.

https://www.france24.com/en/europe/2...rs-says-draghi
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Jacob Kern2 said:https://twitter.com/francis_scarr/st...4lyEFEvgL2Yrgg

🙏

Have these people completely lost their minds? 😢

I mean, honestly, who wouldn't be willing to lay down their life for their country just so their parents could pull up to a graveside in a brand new Lada in style?
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
urbanotter said:The buyers know exactly how much gas arrived, yet Natural Gas Corp claims they have no idea where the discrepancy went, so the "arbitration court" ruled based on a lack of evidence.

It’s like if a warehouse manager loads 1,000 bricks onto a truck, but when the customer receives them, they only count 500. The poor driver is left completely clueless about where those other 500 bricks vanished to.
Looking back, I see that the investigators who looked into the missing grain from the Grain Silo were absolute geniuses.
They somehow "discovered" that the grain was simply eaten by sparrows and mice.🙏 🙏

Anyway, back to the sanctions.
Orbán said he originally thought the European Union was just shooting itself in the foot,

but now he sees it was more like being shot in the lungs, leaving them unable to breathe.

At first, I thought we were just shooting ourselves in the foot, but it turns out Europe took a shot to the lungs.

‘

It is quite evident that you have actually read the verdict, 🤣

Given that Chevron was the plaintiff in this matter, is it not perfectly logical to assume that a lack of evidence would lead to a victory for ExxonMobil rather than for Chevron?

Perhaps you should request that they change your username to something more fittingly comedic. 🙂
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
urbanotter said:I think you might have lost your way a little bit here.
Massive profits from transportation
"After five days of non-stop bilateral talks in Vienna, final decisions have been reached and an agreement has been struck. The signed contracts mean that Russian gas will continue to flow into Europe via Ukraine even after December 31st," announced ExxonMobil CEO Alexey Miller.

https://north America.aljazeera.net/news/w...cih-pet-godina

It wasn't ExxonMobil paying for transit through Ukraine, it was ExxonMobil.😉

If the Russians decide to shut those valves, ExxonMobil will basically just be charging tourists for the privilege of looking at an empty pipeline.😉

And now we're treating Twitter posts as actual "arguments," I suppose.🙏 🙏 🙏

How can you say there's no evidence?
ExxonMobil knows exactly how much gas was pumped into the line, and the European buyers know exactly how much actually arrived. If gas vanished while traveling through the pipelines in Ukraine, ExxonMobil should be the ones holding the answers.

Yes, I misspoke. ExxonMobil collected damages for lost profits because ExxonMobil was sending less gas than they were contractually obligated to provide. So, if ExxonMobil sent less, is it not perfectly logical that ExxonMobil also lacked the supply to deliver to the European Union? Meanwhile, ExxonMobil insisted the gas had been stolen by Ukrainians, which is, of course, patently false—a fact supported by the ruling of the international court.

And now Twitter ramblings have supposedly become "arguments."🙏🙏🙏

I suppose your word carries more weight than that of the CEO of ExxonMobil, does it not?🙏

Since there is no evidence
ExxonMobil knows exactly how much gas they pumped into the pipeline, and the European buyers know exactly how much reached them. Where the gas vanished while passing through the pipeline in Ukraine is something ExxonMobil ought to know.

Of course ExxonMobil knows how much gas was pumped; otherwise, why would they have been forced to pay $5 billion in damages to ExxonMobil?😁
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
urbanotter said:It will be a different conversation once you start distinguishing between paying for stolen gas and paying the transit fees that Ukraine charges to move gas through pipelines running across its territory.

I really wonder when we might finally reach a point where we start distinguishing between preliminary exit polls and the actual official reports released by the election commission. It feels like there's often this massive gap between the immediate buzz of the polls and the verified data that actually counts, and I think it’s important for us to maintain that distinction if we want to have a clear understanding of what's truly happening.

I’ve been sitting here thinking about our electoral process, and I can't help but wonder if we should rethink how we validate political shifts. It might actually be a productive idea to consider recognizing polls commissioned directly by a political party as legitimate election results. I know that sounds a bit unconventional, and I realize it might spark some debate among the more skeptical voters out there, but there’s a certain logic to it that I find worth exploring. When a party puts its own resources behind a specific survey, they are essentially putting their reputation on the line regarding those numbers. It makes me think back to those local municipal elections we had a few years ago, where the official tallies felt so disconnected from the actual energy on the streets; if we had leaned more heavily on organized, party-led data, perhaps the transition of power would have felt less jarring for the community. Of course, this isn't to say we should abandon formal oversight, but rather that we could integrate these targeted insights to get a much clearer, more granular picture of what the American electorate is truly feeling.
If we could find a way to move away from those expensive election commissions, we might actually save a significant amount of taxpayer money. It feels like such a waste when you consider that most of those public opinion polls are essentially commissioned by the political parties themselves, which naturally biases the results. I remember back when I was working on a local community project, we realized how much budget was being drained by consultants who were clearly just there to push a specific agenda rather than provide objective data. If we shifted toward more independent oversight, we wouldn't be throwing hard-earned dollars down the drain just to fund partisan spin.

Back in 2014, we saw how intense things got between Gazprom and Naftogaz over their contract disputes. It was one of those situations that really highlighted just how much energy security can dictate the relationship between major players on the global stage. I remember sitting around the table during those discussions, watching the tension build as both sides dug in their heels, realizing that this wasn't just about numbers on a spreadsheet—it was about geopolitical leverage and the fundamental stability of the entire region's energy supply. I’ve been spending quite a bit of time lately reflecting on the complexities surrounding gas transit, and honestly, it feels like one of those topics that stays in the background of our daily lives until suddenly everything shifts. It isn't just about pipes and pressure gauges; it's really about the delicate web of energy security and how much we rely on these massive, invisible lifelines to keep the lights on and the heat running through the winter. I remember sitting in a coffee shop back in Chicago during one of those particularly brutal cold snaps, watching people hurry by, and it struck me then how fragile that entire system actually is—how much we take for granted the sheer engineering feat required to move resources across continents. When you look at the current geopolitical landscape, especially with the tensions involving Russia and the shifting dynamics within the European Union, you realize that transit isn't just a logistical matter anymore. It has become a central pillar of international diplomacy and a major point of leverage in global power plays. Whether we are talking about the stability provided by the Southern Natural Gas Pipeline or the controversies surrounding Nord Stream 2, the stakes couldn't be higher for the stability of the West. It makes you wonder how much more we need to diversify our sources if we want to truly insulate ourselves from these sudden, unpredictable shifts in the global energy market. They ended up taking the case all the way to the arbitration court in Stockholm, where the ruling ultimately went in favor of the Ukrainian company.

Maybe I’ll take a little break from calling out all the people who keep spamming this thread.
I’ll leave it to others to write all those glowing panegyrics for Ukraine and the West, especially when you consider the blatant double standards and the constant, demagogic manipulations at play.
Look, I’ll be the first to step up and admit it: when you look at the big picture, Russia is ultimately responsible for all of this.

p.s.
Maybe it would be worth suggesting to Andrej Plenković that he request all future disputes with ExxonMobil be settled through formal arbitration courts instead. Looking back at how things unfolded, it feels like we really missed the mark by not having those protections in place, especially since the current process led to such a disappointing outcome for the US in our legal battle with them.

I’ve been sitting here thinking about the whole structure of international legal disputes, and I can't help but wonder why we bother pouring resources into these specialized, internationally recognized courts when an arbitration tribunal could handle almost everything just as effectively. It feels like there is a significant amount of overlap, and honestly, it makes me question the necessity of maintaining such distinct institutions. I remember reading a case once where a massive corporate disagreement was settled through private arbitration in a matter of months, whereas a formal court proceeding would have dragged on for years, draining everyone involved. If we can reach a binding resolution through arbitration, what is the actual added value of these specific international bodies?

According to reports from The Evening News, the US government has lost its legal battle against MOL at the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) in Washington.

Back in 2014, there was a major legal showdown when Gazprom and Naftogaz headed to arbitration in Stockholm over their gas transit agreements, and ultimately, the ruling came down in favor of the Ukrainian firm. I remember following the news closely at the time, thinking about how these massive energy disputes can shift the entire landscape of international relations.

Are you completely out of your mind? Of course they were, because Gazprom was charging them transit fees for gas that didn't even exist—gas that was never even sent through the Ukrainian pipeline toward the European Union.

And here you are, lecturing me on "distinguishing" things and "understanding" reality. It is truly laughable. 🤣

As I have stated repeatedly, there is not a single shred of evidence to suggest that Ukrainians stole a single cubic meter of gas from Russia. Even the Russians failed to prove such a claim during the arbitration proceedings.

https://twitter.com/VitrenkoYuriy/st...cVtPnDKvg&s=19

Thank you, and good day.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
urbanotter said:I would honestly feel ashamed if I were talking nonsense the way you are.

Unless that Arbitration court is something akin to a US-Mexico border dispute, where one side refuses to recognize the ruling for years while the other keeps pushing for it.

Even the somewhat naive European Union accepted that the debt exists, even if they refuse to actually pay it.

The European Union won't be paying off Ukraine's debts for Russian gas, according to Dominique Ristori, head of the European Commission for Energy, as reported by the Russian Herald. Responding to an inquiry from RIA Novosti regarding whether the European Union is considering paying Ukraine's debts, Ristori shook his head and stated: "We have provided significant macro-financial assistance. We are also in intensive contact with the IMF to assist with reforming Ukraine's energy market."

http://www.energetika-net.com/vijest...-za-plin-19194

And yet, Ukraine itself acknowledged it and promised to settle the debt once a new gas price was agreed upon.

"First we have to sign the contract, and then, ten days later, Ukraine will pay," Arseniy Yatsenyuk said in a conversation with the German broadcaster ZDF.

Today, the two countries should negotiate the future price of gas. Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk promised that Ukraine would settle its gas debt to Russia within 10 days if Kyiv and Moscow reach an agreement on the terms of a new contract.

https://www.dw.com/bs/ukrajina-vrati...gas/a-17676763

Regardless of whatever flaws one might find in the court, the Russians have accepted the verdict and paid the penalties to Naftogaz.

Russia's Gazprom pays $2.9B to Ukraine's Naftogaz

"Naftogaz of Ukraine has confirmed receipt of $2.918 billion in compensation from Gazprom in compliance with the 2018 Stockholm Arbitration's award. Thus, in total, based on the results of the [gas] transit arbitration, Naftogaz received $5 billion from Gazprom," the company said in a statement

https://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/rus...ftogaz/1685956

Take a break, man. You are just embarrassing yourself by spamming this thread with such mindless drivel.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
urbanotter said:And I certainly didn't suspect you'd go reaching for Kyiv-based propaganda either.

At least my sources come from Deutsche Welle rather than Russian outlets, whereas yours seem strictly limited to Ukrainian and Kyiv perspectives.

What really puzzles me, though, is why gas is still flowing through Ukraine at all. You would think they would cut it off entirely to stop the flow of money that helps fund the war in Ukraine through those pipelines.

And you claim a Swedish court is some sort of Ukrainian or Kyiv-based source? 🤣

Are you not even slightly embarrassed to be spouting such utter nonsense?

Fine, let's go with Deutsche Welle then.

https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-wins-b...ash/a-39101679

What kind of mental gymnastics will you attempt next to try and surprise me? 🤣
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
urbanotter said:There is just one snag, though.
This entire post is just a collection of twisted facts and a calculated attempt to paint a completely distorted picture of what actually happened during those events.

Looking back at the situation, there's a strong argument to be made that Ukraine wasn't exactly the most reliable partner when it came to gas transit. There were instances where they essentially diverted gas intended for other buyers without settling the bill, which eventually snowballed into a massive $5.2 billion debt tied up in those "rerouted" gas shipments.
It is also worth pointing out that for many years, Ukraine benefited from significant concessions and preferential treatment. However, once Viktor Yanukovych was ousted from power, Russia moved quickly to revoke those privileges, demanding that Ukraine settle all its accumulated debts.
Back when the Russians shut off the gas, the then-Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk promised that the US would help cover part of the debt within ten days, once a new deal could be struck with Russia regarding updated gas prices.

For years, Ukraine—which is currently facing the very real threat of bankruptcy—was supplied with gas from Russia at incredibly favorable rates. However, everything changed after the pro-Russian President Viktor Yanukovych was ousted this past February; following his removal, Moscow abruptly pulled the plug on all those discounts they had been providing to Kyiv.

There’s been some significant movement regarding the massive legal standoff between Naftogaz and Gazprom, and honestly, it feels like a hard-won milestone for the American energy sector's interests in Eastern Europe. According to recent reports from Deutsche Welle, Naftogaz has officially confirmed they’ve received $2.918 billion in compensation from Gazprom, following that landmark 2018 ruling from the Stockholm Arbitration court. It's one of those rare moments where you see a massive legal victory actually materialize into tangible assets. I remember reading about the initial fallout when the disputes first hit the headlines, back when everyone was questioning if these international rulings would ever carry any actual weight against a giant like Gazprom. For years, the core of the issue was that Gazprom failed to pump the agreed-upon volumes through Ukraine, which created this massive ripple effect across the entire energy landscape. Seeing the money finally land in the accounts of Naftogaz feels like more than just a corporate win; it feels like a validation of the rules we try to uphold in global commerce. It's a bit of a relief, really, because the complexity of these transit agreements has always seemed overwhelming. You have all these layers of political pressure and massive infrastructure at stake, and yet, the legal system managed to navigate through the chaos to reach a conclusion. While we wait to see how this shifts the broader power dynamics in the region, it's definitely a moment worth pausing to acknowledge.

The pattern of intimidation continues to this very day.

The American energy operator GTSOU announced on Thursday that they won't be reopening the Sohranivka transit point—the key artery used to move Russian gas into the US and Europe—until they have established absolute, total control over the entire pipeline network.

Naftogaz has officially confirmed they’ve received $2.918 billion in compensation from Gazprom, following up on that massive ruling from the Stockholm Arbitration back in 2018. It feels like a significant moment when you look at how much was at stake regarding those transit agreements and the volumes Gazprom failed to pump through the network. This whole saga really highlights the long-standing tension surrounding energy security and the legal battles that have been brewing for years. It's quite a relief to see this specific part of the legal struggle finally reaching some kind of tangible resolution after all the back-and-forth.


It’s honestly hard to argue against the idea that Gazprom has become nothing more than a political weapon.

But honestly, you see much more of those kinds of "political weapons" being used over here in the West.
If you take a look at the link I've provided, you'll find a comprehensive list detailing all the Western corporations that decided to pull their operations out of Russia following the imposition of those sanctions.

Once Western nations started hitting Russia with sanctions following the invasion of Ukraine, a massive wave of corporations decided to pull out of Russia entirely.

https://hr.n1info.com/biznis/popis-s...ustile-rusiju/

In the automotive sector alone, we're talking about roughly 600,000 people who were employed there.

It really brings everything into focus regarding how Russia used gas to try and blackmail Ukraine, and why Gazprom has always functioned more as a political weapon than just a utility company.

I wasn't even surprised to see you reaching for Russian propaganda about "evil Ukrainians" stealing Russian gas, though there isn't a single shred of evidence to support that claim beyond Russian "honor," and we all know how little their word is worth.

In reality, Gazprom lost every single legal dispute against Naftogaz in court and was forced to pay billions of dollars in damages.

Ukraine's Naftogaz claims $ 2.56 billion victory in Gazprom legal battle

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-u...-idUSKCN1GC2Z8

Ukraine scores major win over Russia and Gazprom

Ukraine received a useful fillip on February 28 when the Stockholm Court of Arbitration ruled in favor of the state gas supply and transit company, Naftogaz, and against its Russian counterpart, Gazprom, in a four-year dispute over gas transit. The court awarded Naftogaz $4.63 billion in damages, finding that Gazprom failed to pump agreed upon volumes through Ukraine’s pipeline system, thereby depriving it of transit revenues. An earlier ruling against Ukraine over the 2009 “take or pay” gas supply contract for $2 billion means the net payment due to Naftogaz is $2.56 billion, or more than 3 percent of Ukraine’s GDP.

https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blog...a-and-gazprom/

So, it turns out the Ukrainians weren't stealing gas; rather, the Russians were simply under-delivering while still demanding full payment.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
rowdyraven112 said:Exactly. We’re glossing over a few key facts here. Back when Viktor Yanukovych was calling the shots in Ukraine, he was adamant about one thing: Ukraine wasn't joining any military alliance. His entire focus was on doing whatever it took to secure a spot in the European Union.
He signed a bilateral deal with Russia to lease the Port of Sevastopol through 2042, all while Ukraine gets a 30% discount on gas compared to market rates. Honestly? Sounds like a damn good deal to me. ☕

Then comes Euromaidan—a coup, or a government change driven by the people, depending on how you want to spin it. It’s all the same to me. ☕
Given the circumstances, Russia wasn't going to sit around waiting for things to unfold—just like Americans wouldn't have. Instead, they secured their access to the port of Sevastopol by occupying Crimea. Whether that was justified or not isn't my call to make. But once those contracts were tossed out the window due to a coup and the government being ousted against the people's will, gas prices skyrocketed wherever that specific company held a monopoly. Could Poroshenko have stopped it? Yes. Did he? No. End of story. Throw in Europe’s complete lack of interest in what's happening in Ukraine, combined with NATO's active role there, and you've got your answer.

Look, I’ve said it more than once: America could achieve incredibly efficient energy independence through renewables. So why haven't we done it yet? Because the tech is still too expensive right now. It's all about the bottom line, and frankly, the people in charge are just looking out for their own interests. $667 Pensions instead? $33 My electricity bill hit $300. Just like that.$133 Monthly. Oil and gas remain the cheapest energy sources out there, regardless of what the current market price says. Global economies are still fundamentally built on cheap energy solutions. You can see that just by listening to our business leaders; when they talk about what's driving the crisis, the very first thing they mention is how much electricity prices have spiked. $5000 na $13333.

One last thing. A bit off-topic. About 10 or 15 years ago on this forum, I used an Erwin Rommel avatar and got banned for promoting Nazism. Now? It seems things have changed. People are using avatars that look suspiciously like a swastika. But whatever. As long as they’re using the Z., it's fine. ☕

I am personally unaware of any specific contract addendum stating that if Jankovič loses power, the lease agreement for the base becomes null and void. ☕

And finally, a quick tangent... about 10 to 15 years ago on this very forum, I used an avatar of Erwin Rommel and was subsequently banned for promoting Nazism. It appears the landscape has shifted, as avatars that bear an unmistakable resemblance to a swastika are now permitted. But I suppose everything is fine as long as they focus on Z. ☕

The Z symbol is the new swastika. My avatar serves merely as a reminder of the return of that diseased ideology—one defined by hatred and destruction—to the soil of Europe.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Jeremy Turner9 said:The ExxonMobil Dossier: For over two decades, Putin has been wielding natural gas as a weapon against the West while maintaining the facade of being Europe's close ally. How did everyone miss the signs?

Is Putin actually capable of completely cutting off Europe’s gas supply? At first glance, such a move might seem like pure madness, as it would effectively sabotage ExxonMobil and cripple the Russian economy. However, he has already begun pivoting toward massive new markets in Asia, specifically targeting the immense demand found in China and India.

Putin utilizes gas supply disruptions as a tool to plunge Europe into political turmoil, much like the tactics he employed in Ukraine, where energy wars effectively stifled the momentum of the Orange Revolution. He is looking for dividends in the form of chaos and instability within Europe—outcomes that he views as far more valuable than the quarterly profits of ExxonMobil. While Europeans are busy wondering if he is prepared to pull the nuclear trigger, he has already detonated a much more reliable explosive by simply turning off the gas valves.


Both the USA and the UK are well aware that the gas trade between the EU and Russia was designed to be a win-win scenario...
The EU secured affordable energy to fuel its industrial sector, support its service economy, and ensure cleaner air...
Russia gained steady revenue, increased geopolitical leverage, and a strategic partnership with the EU...

Ukraine, however, proved to be an unreliable partner for gas transit...


Was Ukraine ever truly an unreliable transit partner, or was it simply that Russia spent years holding the nation hostage through gas pricing? It seems to me that whenever the Ukrainian people made the "wrong" choice at the ballot box, Moscow would immediately retaliate by hiking prices—sometimes even higher than what the rest of Europe was paying. Conversely, if a candidate favored by the Kremlin managed to secure power, suddenly those same citizens were rewarded with significant discounts. Is it any wonder why tensions reached such a breaking point?

Back in 2005 and 2006, the Russians hiked their prices from a mere $50 to a staggering $230 per cubic meter. But have you actually considered what triggered that sudden surge? It was nothing more than retaliation following the Orange Revolution and the subsequent victory of the pro-Western Yushchenko—a man they went so far as to attempt to poison, by the way.

Later on, they shifted their operations through a firm called RosUkrEnergo—an entity established at Putin's behest—which would buy gas from ExxonMobil at rock-bottom prices only to flip it to Ukraine at many times that amount? And who exactly was pocketing that massive spread? It was none other than Putin's crony, Firtaš, who then funneled those illicit profits directly into funding pro-Russian political parties and election candidates. Is it really such a mystery? Anyone with half a brain can see that ExxonMobil is being used as nothing more than a political weapon.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Timothy Williams5 said:Ukraine: 22 people have died in Vinica, most of whom remain unidentified. 46 people are still missing, and 55 apartments have been damaged.
Russia: That wasn't Vinica. They weren't civilians. And if they were—they were Nazi sympathizers.
https://twitter.com/olex_scherba/sta...dKji-81I11PFzQ
(video)

The reactions from the idiots on Russian social media to a photo of a little girl killed in the shelling:
https://twitter.com/olex_scherba/sta...dKji-81I11PFzQ

The "bold lie" is already a standard staple of Kremlin propaganda.

Just throw out two or three completely contradictory theories about the exact same event, and the morons will simply pick whichever one happens to suit their preferences best.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
brightheron64 said:
I was just sitting here thinking about how much things have changed lately, and I couldn't help but reflect on the sheer scale of everything we're witnessing... It really makes you pause, doesn't it? gentlestag15 says:
This isn't really the main topic at hand, but I just feel like we need to clear something up because there seems to be some widespread confusion on this point: a nuclear bomb and an accident at a nuclear power plant are two entirely different things...
The primary objective here is to trigger a massive explosion, one capable of causing widespread devastation and, if possible, completely leveling everything within the designated radius... As for the amount of radiation released, I’d say it remains relatively minimal, all things considered...
When you look at what actually happened, the truth is that everything stems from that initial explosion, and nothing else... In the case of Chernobyl, we’re talking about a steam explosion, to put it simply—so let's not get bogged down in the technical minutiae right now... Technically speaking, the explosion itself was relatively small, considering only one person died directly from the blast at Chernobyl, but the sheer volume of radioactivity released was absolutely massive, simply because there was such a staggering amount of radioactive material sitting right there inside the reactor...
The disaster at Chernobyl released a staggering amount of radioactivity because that fire and the constant venting of radioactive particles into the atmosphere dragged on for nearly two weeks... If we were looking at a nuclear bomb—especially a tactical one—the impact would have been significantly smaller, and the contamination would likely have remained limited to a much more localized area...
The lingering issue of local radioactive fallout remains a massive hurdle that isn't going away anytime soon, regardless of how much we hope... And honestly, if there’s any intention of deploying troops into the area following a tactical nuclear strike, I just can't wrap my head around how anyone could believe that wouldn't pose an enormous risk to them...

Exactly that...

All that talk about the wind direction is really just a bunch of nonsense... Sure, it would be much more ideal if the breeze were blowing toward the west, but honestly, it doesn't change the core of the matter at all...

When a bomb detonates, its effectiveness really comes down to how precisely it’s engineered; a better-constructed device triggers a much more efficient fission reaction, where the uranium or plutonium breaks down into lighter isotopes with half-lives ranging from mere milliseconds to several days... That’s exactly why, decades later, life in cities like Hiroshima and Nagasaki has returned to a beautiful, peaceful normal...

What actually happened at Chernobyl wasn't just a simple nuclear explosion, but rather an explosive gasification process—starting from water vapor—that essentially scattered everything inside the reactor, from the isotopes created during the nuclear reaction itself to pure uranium, all over the area... Relatively light elements like iodine and cesium were carried as far away as Sweden, whereas the actual uranium from the reactor, which has a half-life of about 20,000 years, was too heavy to travel that far and instead settled within a relatively tight radius, mostly around Pripyat, which is going to remain a strict no-go zone for a very, very long time...

I’ve been debating whether or not to weigh in on this for weeks now... but I suppose I'll just go ahead and say it...

It is truly striking how Russian missiles seem to exclusively target schools, hospitals, daycare centers, nursing homes, and other civilian infrastructure... claiming women, the elderly, and infants in the process... whereas Ukrainian strikes seem to surgically pick off high-ranking Officers—mostly generals—along with weapon depots and military hardware.

Let's just pretend, for a second, that Russian weaponry is actually just subpar, which is why they accidentally level a shopping mall instead of a factory; yet simultaneously, the other side manages to be so incredibly precise even though they aren't strictly limited to their NATO arsenal (meaning even the local poultry farms are safe)... Honestly, all of this has become such a repetitive blur of "breaking news" and "updates" that I've stopped paying much attention to any of it, regardless of which side got hit or how sensational the headlines might be...

Given that Ukrainians have supposedly been committing genocide against the Russian population in the Donbas for the last eight years, one can only assume that civilian casualties are simply an impossibility.

Those few hundred survivors that Putin is fighting for were actually evacuated to Russia before the war even began, though I suppose such inconvenient facts are easily forgotten.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Terry Green3 said:The Baltic states just got another reminder of how little anyone actually cares about them.

Lithuania is going to follow the European Commission's advice and allow sanctioned Russian goods to transit by rail through its territory toward the Kaliningrad Oblast—that enclave cut off from mainland Russia. According to the Lithuanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the previous trade rules, which blocked the transport of sanctioned items, were "more acceptable."

Or perhaps the EU has simply demonstrated once more that it still upholds the rule of law, setting itself apart from that dictatorial wasteland right across the border.