George Robinson43 said:A tricky spot for Putin.
With an LNG terminal in Klaipėda boasting a maximum capacity of 4 billion cubic meters, Lithuania has enough gas for itself, but they are short by over a billion cubic meters when trying to supply Estonia and Latvia.
Now, if Putin decides to cut off the gas to Latvia, he'll essentially be freezing out the Russians living in Latvia and Estonia. We're talking about roughly 800,000 people.
Go ahead, Putin!!!!!
That doesn't factor into his calculus. He would sacrifice all 800,000 of them just to feed his own ego. At the end of the day, much like how his troops are being wasted in Ukraine, those civilians could easily be treated as collateral damage for the sake of "the cause." Or perhaps they always have the option of returning to the motherland that is constantly calling them home... but that is a different story entirely.
I suspect this situation in the region will trigger a wave of civic unity among everyone living there, regardless of their background, mirroring exactly what we saw in Ukraine.
My belief is that the European Union won't let anyone freeze, no matter the circumstances. I don't put much faith in bureaucracy—but I do believe in the solidarity of the member states. This crisis is proving exactly what that membership is worth when things actually go south.