Sanctions on Russia
in War in Ukraine ·
restlessmason54 said:Look, these sanctions and the invasion aren't going to last forever.
What we're seeing is just a temporary intervention to prop up the ruble until things settle down.
Yeah, but the real question is how long they actually last, that's for sure.
But here's the kicker: if this ends today, there are going to be massive, long-term consequences for Russia... and I mean seriously negative ones. Everything else you hear is just hot air from Putin fans or people who, for whatever weird reason, want to see the European Union take a hit.
Anyone who thinks Russia can actually win a serious economic war against the European Union and the West—honestly, they have no clue what they're talking about. Sure, the European Union might run into some bumps in the road; they could even slip into a recession for a year or two (though that's a stretch), but compared to Russia, they can handle this conflict and the rapid pivot away from Russian energy without breaking a sweat. Russia doesn't have that luxury. A huge chunk of their entire budget relies on energy exports, making them completely dependent on cooperation with the West.
And before the trolls jump down my throat—I'm not saying Russia is going to "collapse." That word itself is pretty meaningless; a nation doesn't just "collapse" overnight. But the gap in living standards and quality of life between Russia and the European Union? That gap is going to widen significantly, and it's only going to keep growing.
The only people claiming otherwise are total idiots, people who don't know any better, or die-hard partisans for one side or the other. This isn't even about the aggression against Ukraine; these are just plain old facts...