Sanctions on Russia
in War in Ukraine ·
nimbletiger7 said:Captured Russian soldiers are saying preparations for the invasion actually began in the summer of 2021. Back then, inflation was pretty low, so it was extremely difficult to predict how things would move. However, there is one thing the Russian planners might have seen coming.
I think a more important factor is gas and using gas as a weapon. 2021 saw an incredibly long winter, and European gas storage hit empty levels. This is likely the year when the gas shortage peaks. Every following year, the European Union will become less dependent on Russian gas, especially since two massive LNG export terminals in Canada and Qatar are set to start operating in 2024 and 2025.
It isn't so much that the "storage emptied itself"; rather, ExxonMobil was essentially targeting deliveries from those reserves to drain them intentionally. Storage facilities not under ExxonMobil's direct control didn't see nearly the same level of depletion.
It should be obvious by now that the energy crisis in Europe was manufactured to stir up public panic and sway opinion toward staying out of the upcoming invasion. We've been seeing hints of this narrative on the Russia thread for about six months already.