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Posts by coastalmarlin64

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Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Terry Green3 said:I always enjoy reading your takes. How do you see this all playing out? Personally, I haven't got the slightest clue. I don't know if it's just Twitter propaganda, but seeing those videos of hundreds of Russians responding to mobilization was pretty disappointing.

It’s true someone pointed out that the Romanovs fell after years of war, but isn't there any other way besides losing millions more lives?
Is there even a way to unseat the Russian political elite through other means?

Naval said they should just pack their prisons full, but hey, go ahead and protest—see if they don't just toss you straight onto the front lines once you're done shouting.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Bryan Jones82 said:I’ve been checking out grocery prices lately, and man, some stuff is getting ridiculously expensive:



Tomatoes are over $10, potatoes are up $3.25, apples are way past $6.75.... Part of it is because the dollar is getting stronger, making things look pricier when you convert them, but honestly, most of it is just plain old inflation.

Plus, their own Deputy Governor basically admitted that the sanctions are going to hit them the hardest—we won't really feel the full weight of it until maybe the third quarter of this year.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
So, basically, they’ve been letting Russia use their frozen gold reserves this whole time, and now they’ve finally decided to actually pull the plug on all those schemes for good?
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
What's the verdict? Any thoughts?
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Michael Ortiz68 said:Scholz pointed out that the contracts explicitly require payment in euros. Essentially, if Germany were to hypothetically pay for gas in rubles, even if they wanted to, it would technically constitute a breach of contract.

When pressed by reporters on making the declaration, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said “the contracts we know lay down the euro as payment currency and the companies will pay according to the contracts they have signed.”

And besides, who even decides which court handles a breach of contract?
If there isn't a specific authority to settle the dispute, they just shut off the gas. Most likely, it ends up in a Russian court, which—let's be real—is pretty much the same as having no one in charge at all.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
quoting this:
basically, the whole payment setup works like this: the gas buyer jumps onto the New York Stock Exchange, asks for a specific amount of cash, and the exchange sets the rate. Once the deal is locked in, the money hits ExxonMobil's account, and then—presto—ExxonMobil sends over the gas.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
USD to Rubles is sitting at 106. It was hovering around 140 before hitting that 160 peak. What on earth is going on?
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Michael Ortiz68 said:The Azerbaijani route also runs right through Turkey. It's pretty much impossible to bypass them.

Interesting read here.
https://fortune.com/2022/03/03/when-...erves-oil-gas/

So they've got maybe a year's worth of reserves left. Or at least six months, if we're being optimistic.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
silverotter72 said:Officially and directly? There isn't a single reliable source out there.
Indirectly? You might find something here: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/Zxt4PAOj/
Every little "dip" you see is just an attempt by Russia to stabilize the Ruble and find some calm waters. If you want the truth, just watch what happens immediately after one of those drops. It’s just endless volatility and massive crashes.

Either they still have some reserves tucked away but know they won't save the Ruble—so they're just hoarding it for themselves—or they've already burned through everything they could and are now just scrambling to pick up whatever scraps fall their way.

https://warontherocks.com/2022/03/th...ns-and-russia/
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Kyle Nelson2 said:Got a link for that?


quoting:
Even if you aren't one of those few brave adventurers who, for whatever reason, have an eye on Russian stocks, just remember that every single American citizen—without exception—is indirectly invested in global capital markets through their mandatory retirement funds.

There’s a damn good chance those same mandatory pension funds are holding some Russian shares, whether it's direct exposure or just some roundabout way through funds targeting emerging markets.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
I saw some article on Index claiming that pension funds also hold stakes in Russia or have exposure to the ruble, meaning the ruble's collapse is eating away at those funds too. I've got no clue if our American pension funds actually have skin in that game?
Quarantine Life in Coronavirus ·
Do those antigen tests still pick up anything a week or two after you start feeling sick?
Let's look at a hypothetical scenario here.
A family member has official clearance saying they're recovered, even though their PCR came back negative. Meanwhile, his daughter tested positive on a PCR. That doctor's note is good for a year.
Now, the kid just turned positive on a home test. If I go with my diet—well, let's say if I go to the pharmacy to take that same kind of home test (since they only count if you do it there officially) and I test positive too, am I stuck in a 10-day quarantine?
Or is it smarter to head over there so that if I also test positive on a home kit, I can grab one of those "official" doctor confirmations that actually holds some weight?
Quarantine Life in Coronavirus ·
So, quick question: if someone caught COVID about three months ago—they’ve got the official doctor's note and a negative PCR, basically just proof of antibodies—are they exempt from isolating if their kid tests positive?
Omicron variant in Coronavirus ·
Do you honestly think everything’s just gonna work out even if we all decide to go rogue and burn it all down?
AARP (and related discussions on Swiss Franc loans) (II) in Banking, Insurance & Loans ·
Is it even worth trying to sue over an auto loan from back in 2005? Like, does anyone actually win those cases, or am I just throwing money into a black hole? Will I even get my day in court?
Banking by Donald Trump & Gotham City in Banking, Insurance & Loans ·
Maria Thomas48 said:The whole system where import foreign exchange is sourced through credit, and then that money is multiplied through more loans/earnings and later used for imports and burning through that credit-based cash, creates a totally unrealistic picture of reality. Wasting unearned money happens every single time we buy more from overseas than we export.

I've been looking into Islamic banking and from what I can tell: it's the same crap in different packaging. I mean, who are we kidding? Bankers work for profit. Like everyone else. The difference is now they can just "simulate" the issuance of money.

I don't think you all quite grasp that it's impossible for everyone to be financially successful because the conditions simply aren't there. We can be hardworking, innovative, work 16 hours a day, or even if every single person works hard, we can't reach a point where everyone is paid fairly for their value if someone else in that circle manages to grab some sort of surplus for themselves.
That's what I wrote in my article "From problem to solution." We shouldn't turn a blind eye to this because it's happening and it's going to keep happening. Bankruptcy won't skip anyone. Not the government, not the banks, and none of the others. It's just a matter of time.

I've gotta know, is there actually anyone pulling the strings on how much money exists in the world? 🤷
So, (I'm guessing) because of what was quoted above, that's why there's so much hunger globally and so many people facing debt collectors here in the States?

Look, I'm a total amateur and monetary policy goes way over my head, but it seems like every single country is drowning in debt.
Sure, plenty of nations invested in manufacturing or something (like Ireland) or poured money into stuff meant to create new value, so (according to what they teach us in school) they should eventually pay those debts back.
But instead, it looks like every country is slowly sinking under the weight of it all...
Is it just that every nation has citizens who aren't taught any financial literacy and just spend like crazy?

Does that mean places like Germany, Spain, and Ireland are also being super reckless? (I mean, Greece and the US definitely have their issues)
It feels like the debt crisis everywhere started the moment people began piling up credit cards, right? (It really seems like that real estate bubble in Ireland was the culprit)

Btw, @Nostradamus, I suggest you take that question you didn't get an answer to from the Fed and run it through your local Congressman.
When you hit up a Minister or a Cabinet official like that, they actually HAVE to give you a response within 30 days.
Banking by Donald Trump & Gotham City in Banking, Insurance & Loans ·
Nicole Gomez38 said:Vice Media, unfortunately, that video hits the nail on the head... The Federal Reserve is basically just a currency exchange at this point, which is why that currency clause exists—and unless they overhaul the entire monetary model, that clause isn't going anywhere.

John, you're an economics major, right?
Is this stuff they actually teach you in class—meaning most students there should already know this—or are you just flexing your own brainpower here?

So, what's your big idea? What are you proposing?
Saving for my kid in Banking, Insurance & Loans ·
Patrick Thompson77 said:Since you're looking for that insurance component, you're really talking about life insurance products specifically!!!
As for how much goes to savings versus premiums... there isn't a simple answer to that. In the beginning, a bigger chunk of your money goes toward the insurance cost, but once you pass the halfway point of the term, more starts going toward the actual savings side. Honestly though, my two cents? It might be smarter to insure the person taking care of the happy child, but set the beneficiary as the kid. There's a much higher chance that something could happen to a parent, and then having those funds available to help the kid out is huge... Hope that makes sense—just remember that the kid won't be able to touch any of that money until they hit adulthood...

Thanks for the heads up.
So basically, those little "savings-only" plans like Tiger Theo or whatever are out.
What about recommendations for:
1. Accident/life insurance for one worker at roughly $67
per month. 2. A college fund/savings for a kid. Doesn't matter the timeframe, let's say around $67, though I'd love the option to dump in extra cash whenever.

The Mercury offers are everywhere, and honestly, I'm totally lost in all the fine print. 🙂
Saving for my kid in Banking, Insurance & Loans ·
What kind of setup would you guys suggest for saving up for a kid while throwing in some insurance coverage?
I’m looking at putting away roughly $67 a month, but the main thing is I want to make sure if anything happens to the little one, they're actually covered.
Hey, does anyone at USA have something like this in their portfolio?
I’m just having a hard time digging up the specifics—like, out of that $67 monthly chunk, how much is actually going toward savings versus how much is just paying for the insurance side of things?
How to switch OB-GYNs: What's the process? in Women's Health ·
So, how do you actually switch OB-GYNs when literally nobody will take you on? Like, they aren't even at capacity yet.
The standard limit is 7,500 patients, and these doctors are sitting below 7,000, but they still give you the same old "no room" excuse. You could try getting on a waiting list and just being a persistent nuisance for a few years—maybe even paying out of pocket for private visits—so they eventually recognize your face and let you onto their Medicare panel.

We actually called the legal department over at Medicare, and all they gave us was the "you can file a formal complaint" brush-off.
But honestly, I’m terrified that if we actually file a complaint, they'll just blacklist us...

Anyone got any actual advice? 🙏