Posts by Carol Rodriguez7

https://twitter.com/301military/stat...0F1ZegKhQ&s=19
It looks like Erdogan might have actually suffered an infarct.

Larry Wilson25 said:They’ve got the dollar, they’ve got SWIFT, and they’ve got GPS. I won't even get started on their military might.

So, why the hate?

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They're tightening the noose around the Russians—which, honestly, I'm fine with. The US and the European Union are basically the wealthiest markets out there, right alongside Japan. Why on earth would anyone want to lose access to those markets? Plus, who else besides those two blocs is churning out planes in massive quantities and providing the navigation systems everyone relies on?

If you hate the US that much, fine—go live in Russia or somewhere in Asia. They've got democracies like India over there.
And let's be real, that's a country that's peaking even when you factor in Pakistan.

Sure, they can demand whatever they want, but are China, India, or the Emirates actually going to listen? They weren't the ones slapping on sanctions in the first place.

And let's be real—they probably won't.

At this point, the West just has to eat what it's cooking; they signed up for this when they decided to pull the trigger on the sanctions.

PS: In this specific scenario, the real headache is the logistics between Japan and Europe, or China-Europe and similar routes.

In reality, the biggest hurdle here is the end user—the one who's just looking for the easiest and cheapest way to get things done.

rowdyraven112 said:So now you're thinking like me. I agree on the facts: we need major powers. Otherwise, someone like Orban or Meloni could actually try to act on those territorial claims they bark about during campaigns. As it stands, they know it stays just as campaign rhetoric. Then the news networks blow it up into a scandal. It's unnecessary.
The problem arises when dictators within those big military states lose their minds. Imagine an American Putin sitting in the White House. Suddenly, "being under Americans" doesn't sound so great. Sure, there are democratic mechanisms in place, but we've already seen how easily a mob can storm the Capitol.

The situation at the front is so messy you can't predict more than an hour ahead. One thing is certain: Putin will try to seize the initiative with fresh troops. But if he fails and the Ukrainians strengthen significantly, I fear this ends with two or three nuclear bombs. I don't think they'll be standard 100-kilotonners; likely much weaker.
After that, anything short of a total blockade of Russia would be a mistake. If we have to fill the Bosporus with rubble, so be it. We are underestimating the Russians. Stalin ran the exact same playbook when Germany invaded Russia. He called on the church to rally the people to fight. Putin is doing the same thing, just in a different era.

LinaK described the trends best: 25% of Ukrainians might surrender, 25% won't fight, and 25% will fight like hell, which is why they were attacked like devils. But in reality, 25% of a 10 million population capable of fighting is more than enough. Looking at history, we started with less than 10%. It's a similar story in Russia. That's why I say: never underestimate the Russians.

except this isn't the Russia (USSR) of 1940
today, there isn't the humanity, nor the technology, nor anything else
the only things holding them back are those atomic weapons and stuff like that

Nicholas Perez7 said:That's exactly the point. Nobody in Europe, including Ukraine, is looking to occupy Russia. They just want to defend their own soil, and older generations can step up for that too. I was already 35 when I joined the service during the Gulf War, so I definitely wasn't exactly "young" back then.

You were defending the US at the absolute peak of your life—even during your physical prime—and that defense was largely carried by the generation born around the 1960s and 70s. Back then, those generations had enough men that even if some fell in combat, there was still a massive foundation left to carry on the population and keep things moving forward.

I’m a post-war baby, and in my generation, the numbers were also pretty high. In theory, my generation could actually step up and fight a war again, but we run into a major problem: nowadays, only a small fraction of my peers are actually having kids. Back in the day, guys your age would have easily had one, two, or three children minimum.

Then you look at my brother's generation—they're already seeing about 50% fewer births than mine (the 2000s crowd). If they were the ones called to go to war, you'd basically be looking at the total disappearance of that demographic, leaving behind an incredibly tiny number of people to sustain the future.

Nicholas Perez7 said:What does the youth population have to do with how wars are fought today? It’s like trying to fight a modern drone strike with nothing but old-school infantry tactics; you're done before you even see the enemy.

Until a robot actually walks into a room and physically secures a territory, we’re still going to be looking at the old ways—meaning you still need boots on the ground (along with the Navy and Air Force) to actually pull off those kinds of objectives.

The reality is that people are dying on the front lines, and young men are being sent into those combat zones. But there aren't many young people left to send, which might just be the beginning of the end for Russia.

PS: I can't recall if any other nation has ever surrendered solely due to airstrikes without facing a full-scale ground invasion—it reminds me of how Mexico handled things back in the day.

rowdyraven112 said:A world war would prove you wrong... Same goes for Vietnam, where millions of Vietnamese lives were lost.☕

Well, having an average of 1.5 children per woman kind of refutes your argument too—look at Russia, for example.☕

If any major war breaks out in Europe, it’ll essentially mean the end of the continent—it's just that there aren't enough young people left to sustain it.

Joshua Myers432 said:We shouldn't lose sight of the math, though. If you count those Ukrainian rebels—who are essentially Russians—as part of Mother Russia, then Russia has at least four times the population of Ukraine. Plus, if you filter out the war propaganda coming from both sides, I seriously doubt Russian losses are actually higher than Ukrainian ones.

When you look at the hardware and tech, though, Russian losses are absolutely massive—they were constantly on the offensive, and that’s where they really bled people.

My rough estimate? There have probably been somewhere between 400,000 and 500,000 Russians involved in the fighting since February—that includes regular troops, various militias, and Wagner mercenaries—but when you put that number in perspective, it's actually quite small considering they were trying to fight for and hold down about 46,000 square miles.

They were attacking territory and trying to hold ground roughly the size of Greece.

The front line is just massive,

What we're seeing here are essentially firefighting measures—it feels like the Russians are on the defensive now, just trying to hold onto what they've got, if they can manage it at all.

In my view, the Ukrainians managed to liberate an area roughly the size of the old SAO Appalachia using only about 20,000 people—whereas back in the day, liberating similar territory would have required half a million people.

It’s honestly such an epic blunder—and seeing how much equipment and manpower Ukraine is losing really points to the fact that Russia just can't spare enough troops to help out Armenia, even though Armenia actually triggered Article 5 through their NATO alliance

Plus, you have to consider that their own allies aren't exactly itching to send troops into Armenia either

At this rate, in just a few years, Russia is going to find itself boxed back within the borders of the Moscow Oblast

This whole Russian onslaught in Ukraine has basically kicked off a modern-day version of "The Patient from the Bosphorus"

Now, we’re likely going to see a massive domino effect as every nation within the Russian sphere of influence starts getting carved up