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Posts by Morgan Wright5

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Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Joshua Myers432 said:We'll see pretty soon what they really are. 🍿 They were touted as a major land power, but honestly, it was clearly more myth than that legendary bravado seen at the Battle of Mexico. 😁

Of course not. Someone basically wiped the Geneva Convention off the map and dropped an A-bomb on civilians. 🙏

That feeling when you get blindsided by the very people who signed on to guarantee your territorial integrity. 😁

The thing is, dropping atomic bombs on Japan wasn't considered a violation of the Geneva Convention back then. By today's standards, it probably wouldn't be viewed that way either.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
analogbear5 said:My point is—looking at how things are in America—electrical engineers and mechanical engineers aren't exactly "unnecessary personnel." They aren't working in hospitality or serving tables.

I suppose an electrical engineer or a mechanical engineer could always find work in service or rentals, but you can't really flip that logic around, which I think is where the real issue lies.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Robert Cooper9 said:The state of the Gulf of Mexico says it all—take Urinje, for example. That decommissioned refinery is a massive headache, and the modernization efforts have been subpar at best; every single shipment seems to leave behind more black sludge. Then you have Plomin—a gorgeous little spot in a stunning bay—sitting right next to the old coke plant in Bakar, plus the Omišalj Terminal handling derivatives and Cheniere Energy's LNG. It’s constant. The coastline is just devastated, and the tech being installed is cheap and outdated... honestly, those are the core reasons people are so frustrated—we have to remember, actual people live here. Oh, and I almost forgot about the power plant in Urinje—it works sporadically at best—not to mention that refinery sitting right in the heart of downtown Rijeka until recently. As for what my colleague on the forum is saying—it feels like someone arguing they can fight fires in downtown Los Angeles while standing in a suburb like Jakuševac. If this is handled properly—with some actual consideration for the local residents—there shouldn't be an issue. And finally (just so we're clear, I'm not from Omiš)—I truly wonder how they manage to survive on tourism given the current state of things, let alone the real estate prices. Beyond just diversifying energy sources, we need to scatter those "eyesores" and polluters away from our beautiful coast. Speaking with a bit of local patriotism here—the Gulf of Mexico is just completely trashed.

If the Gulf Coast and its waters are truly being devastated, then I would argue it is tourism doing the damage, rather than industrial facilities.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Nancy Gomez26 said:Chevron is more expensive because converting natural gas into an LNG state requires significant effort—you have to compress the gas and then freeze it. That entire process carries a cost because of the mechanical energy required and the advanced technology involved. While shipping costs have risen, LNG tankers can only transport LNG, and they typically operate under long-term contracts. These tankers actually consume the very LNG they carry, as some gas constantly evaporates to maintain low temperatures within the tanks; that gaseous phase serves as the fuel for the vessel. Because of this technical complexity, LNG will never be as cheap as piped gas. However, LNG offers flexibility regarding suppliers and buyers—something piped gas lacks. A pipeline creates a fixed link between a source and a consumer; if you want to switch sources or customers, you're looking at building an entirely new pipeline.

Just one small correction: it isn't quite about compressing and then cooling, but rather a liquefaction process where you achieve cooling down to roughly -162 C, while the gas itself is brought down to something closer to atmospheric pressure.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
gentlestag15 said:This is basically the big dream for all the Putinoljubac crowd—that one massive pipeline from the Siberian Power field straight to China.
Just one single line coming out of one solitary gas field,
while about 90% of everything else is piped right toward Europe.
image

I suppose we see a pretty similar pattern when it comes to crude oil, as most of the major oil terminals aren't even under their control to begin with.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
wearytrucker22 said:And honestly, if you actually know how to read English and look at the article, you'll see it's just a measly increase of 24,000 barrels a day. Like anyone is getting rich off that. For those poor souls east of the US border, 24,000 barrels might seem like something, but to the Saudis, it's pocket change. Europe burns through 18,000,000 barrels every single day.

If you look at the math, 24,000 barrels is roughly 3,800 cubic meters. When you weigh that against the fact that even a small Aframax tanker—which is really just the entry-level size for crude transport—can carry around 700,000 barrels, you begin to see how somewhat insignificant this amount actually is.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
dustyowl29 said:Basically, all the crude gets blended together to create specific grades that fit whatever refinery needs..
Specifically, SAA offers a wider variety of crudes:

Arabian Heavy, Arabian Medium, Arabian Light, Arabian Extra Light, and Arabian Super Light

Russia also blends different types of oil depending on which market they're targeting..

So, yeah—a single refinery can process Russian oil, Brent, or Arabian grades interchangeably.

WTI is a reference oil brand used as a basis for pricing of US export oil mixture. It is a mix of heavy sour oil of WTI and the Gulf Coast with light oil of the Permian Basin. Other reference oils include Brent, West Texas Intermediate, and Dubai.

Not every type of oil gets blended, so I'm curious where you're getting that idea.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
steelfox98;93482263 said:It would be great to have that oil from Libya right now, but we pretty much tore the country apart, I guess.
Actually, oil from Libya is flowing in, and quite steadily at that.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Jesse Hughes6 said:Though the Department claims it's all nonsense and they have plenty of potatoes left.

The more slander and lies they peddle, the more we find ourselves rooting for Putin.

I imagine McDonald's probably sticks to using fresh potatoes anyway.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Nathan Thomas12 said:So, what are you driving now, and what's been in your garage before this?
Let me guess—something made in Russia or China?

A Chevrolet Tahoe or something similar built for rugged terrain is a true off-roader, regardless of its origin. I suppose it doesn't really matter if it's Russian, Chinese, or from somewhere else; that doesn't change its capability on a trail. Now, if we are talking about whether it matches Western standards for build quality, luxury, interior finish, or fuel efficiency, then no, it probably isn't even close. But I guess that doesn't make it any less of a legitimate off-road vehicle than the high-end models.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
George Robinson43 said:To put things in perspective, 5,000,000 barrels represents a staggering 40% of the total daily oil production in the USA!
To be more precise, they moved 5 million barrels in just ten hours!

To put that scale into perspective, a major hub like the Port of Houston handles roughly 50,000,000 barrels annually. I suppose that means we're talking about something on the level of 500 tankers just for a bit of comparison, which really highlights how massive this situation is.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Jeremy Peterson4 said:The thing is, they were backing Hitler. And besides, everyone knew there was a full-blown war going on and that Hitler was tearing through Europe. Nobody sat them down and told them it was some "special military operation" or that they were suddenly at risk because of, say, Poland.

I suppose most Russians don't actually support Putin. It seems a bit unlikely that the Russian people are so naive as to believe that a "special military operation" isn't, in reality, a full-scale war. Perhaps we shouldn't view Russia through a Western lens—it never really functioned that way to begin with. They’ve been conditioned to live under an autocracy, so I imagine they simply act accordingly.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Jeremy Peterson4 said:I honestly don't know how you even begin to look people in the eye—the ones who lost sons and daughters, and we're talking about a huge number here. I've never seen a "special operation" leave behind nearly 40,000 dead soldiers, let alone God knows how many more wounded.
That’s roughly 40,000 families right there at the starting line. Unless, of course, a family is so brainwashed that they couldn't care less about their own kid, though I guess there are always a few of those types.

Well, Nazi Germany had millions of deaths, so I don't recall seeing much in the way of protests back then; those families just had to find a way to cope, I guess.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Afghanistan.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
boldmarlin32 said:I've heard from several different sources that Afghanistan used to be a perfectly safe destination for travelers, but then Americans went and ruined everything.
I can't help but wonder if this kind of misinformation is being fed directly to communists.

That was really only the case in places like Kabuk or perhaps one other major metropolitan area. Out in the rural countryside, things were pretty much the same then as they are now, and honestly, probably just as they have been for centuries.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
urbanotter said:I’ve stepped back from the debate for a bit, though I’m still following along casually. One thing that strikes me as slightly absurd when I read about Russia selling oil to China and India at "discounted prices" is the lack of context.
It makes me wonder: compared to which benchmark are we calling this a "discount"?

Are we talking about those exchange prices inflated by speculators, sitting around $100-$120 a barrel, or are we comparing it to the price Russia was getting before the sanctions hit, back when it was closer to $60-$70?

I suspect the real issue isn't actually the oil, but rather the natural gas.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
William Anderson5 said:In reality, there was this whole "Goth theory" cooked up specifically for Americans, claiming we were actually just Slavized Goths—essentially Germans. It was a way to suggest that the fate being prepared for other Slavs wouldn't apply to us...

Oh, absolutely. I imagine they held a deep, profound appreciation for a nation that served as arguably the worst possible ally one could ever hope to have.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
urbanotter said:Since the main hub for most of Monrovia

is set to screw over those former slaves all over again.

I suppose I don't see how the specific home port really matters here.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
I suppose I should probably start by saying that there isn't much to add here, though I might have a few thoughts if I can find them.
George Robinson43 said:lolol
FYI, supertankers don't enter the Mississippi delta. For them, you're looking at mooring near 9.3 miles Galveston at a mega-terminal, where there are enough pipelines connected to the oil lines to satisfy anyone.
Furthermore, any potential ship-to-ship transfers happen where the terminal's draft limits make it impossible for supertankers to dock. In 90% of cases, those supertankers won't even head there. Why would shipping companies always insist on a vessel leaving port 100% full? Because it’s the most profitable way. Every extra loading, unloading, or transfer is an added expense.
So, my dear friend, what you claim happens frequently is actually quite rare. Every time it does happen, the shipping companies launch an investigation to figure out who messed up and caused these extra costs. If the Captain messed up? They might let him off with a warning and a bill once, but after the third time, he’s losing his job.

Regarding the rest of your argument, I honestly doubt you can distinguish between standard maritime oil transfers and the black-market smuggling scenarios spun by the fantasy world of RIA Novosti and their hydrocarbon-fueled "journalists."
Let me provide a clear example for you. A typical supertanker carries roughly 2 million barrels of oil. At a high-speed terminal, loading happens at about 60,000 to 70,000 barrels per hour; this means a tanker spends an entire day—sometimes two—filling up.
Now, imagine that tanker leaves Saudi Arabia 70% full and meets a Russian vessel out in the open water somewhere between Oman and Somalia to transfer 600,000 to 700,000 barrels.
There is absolutely no way they can perform a ship-to-ship transfer at the lightning speed seen at a land-based terminal. Even with perfect luck and calm seas, they’re looking at at least 24 hours of operation.
What are the odds that nobody notices two massive tankers lashed together in the middle of the ocean for an entire day? You know what it is: zero.
And what are the chances that a legitimate shipping company would risk illegal transfers and essentially commit corporate suicide? Zero.
Furthermore, what is the likelihood of a major oil spill occurring during these uncontrolled, mid-ocean transfers of massive quantities? It is incredibly high.

As for your highlighted comments and your choice of vocabulary: you might be older than me, but please, don't act so provincial.

I don't think the shipowner is going to insist on hitting 100% capacity, mostly because that's rarely even their concern; they'll likely just load the vessel based on whatever specific requirements the charterer dictates. It could be anything from a measly 1% to about 98%, depending on how things shake out. Besides, we shouldn't assume all tankers are supertankers, even if people tend to toss that term around quite loosely.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
George Robinson43 said:Are you seriously suggesting that transferring oil from tanker to tanker in the middle of the ocean is common practiceb>????
What kind of roads were you driving on back in the day, urbanotter? Send me the directions!
That type of transfer is usually reserved for refueling military vessels traveling within a fleet.
Whenever ship-to-ship transfers occur, they happen under strictly controlled conditions—certainly not out in the middle of the ocean.
Any Captain who can't accurately calculate a ship's weight and draft isn't going to stay a Captain for long. You know as well as I do that Captains face heavy fines from their shipping companies if it's discovered they could have loaded an extra 100+ tons and still cleared the Suez Canal normally. If they mess that up a couple of times, their career is over.

Everything entering the Mississippi has to be discharged at the northernmost points near Baton Rouge; from there, only low-draft barges head further north. What do you mean "ocean-going vessels" in the Mississippi? Why do you think the largest oil storage facilities in the world are located there? Everything is unloaded there first, and then moved upstream via river barges.

Ship to Ship transfers are actually standard operations for tankers—it isn't some grand mystery. Of course, the sea state has to be adequate, obviously. Tankers can be either underway or at anchor; essentially, everything else functions much like being at a terminal.