rowdytiger13 said:Yeah, that’s just not realistic.
His Plan A was to roll into Kyiv, oust Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and install a puppet government... all within a week.
After that, he would have demanded a full NATO withdrawal from the Baltic states. Russia considers the entire Baltic region its own, but they know they can't grab it right now because NATO is standing in the way. If the West hadn't unified so decisively during the invasion of Ukraine and refused to make concessions, he almost certainly would have tried to push NATO out of the Baltics to seize them. The Baltic states are well aware of this.
Poland is a different story... that would lead to massive bloodshed on both sides, and Putin knows it. He would need an overwhelming force to even attempt it, and no matter how much money Viktor Orbán takes from Russia, he couldn't let Russian tanks cross that border without his own people hanging him from a lamppost. Even with whatever support he has, he'd end up fleeing the country.
Anything beyond the Baltics isn't Plan A, at least not militarily speaking.
He might try to pull the whole East into his sphere of influence, sure, but not through direct military conquest.
Plan A failed, so... the idea that "Europe is defending itself in Ukraine" is actually the truth.
Isn't it obvious to everyone that if Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia weren't in NATO, they'd be crushed instantly?
But he's terrified of a direct clash with NATO forces because he knows damn well they would absolutely annihilate him.
Just the arrival of four HIMARS units caused total chaos in the Russian rear; imagine what happens when they have to face hundreds of similar advanced weapon systems.
Their aircraft are pathetic compared to NATO standards... they lack stealth capabilities, they don't have AESA radar, and their missiles are, to put it mildly, relics. They're absolute junk.
Ukraine managed to dismantle and fry their best armored units in just four months using nothing but man-portable rocket systems.
And what happens when you pit Leopard tanks against T-90s? How many T-90s does it take to equal just one Leopard??