Posts by Carol Moore5

Roger Phillips said:Man City vs. Chelsea, over 2.5 goals at 2.25 odds

Final score 1-2

Roger Phillips said:I’m looking at St. Mirren vs. Kilmarnock and I'm calling it now—we're seeing some serious action here. I've got my money on over 2.5 goals, currently sitting at around +105... and honestly, it feels like a steal. These two squads have been playing such chaotic, end-to-end football lately that you just know the nets aren't going to stay quiet for long. It’s one of those matchups where everyone is pushing forward and nobody seems to care about keeping a clean sheet... just pure, unadulterated chaos on the pitch. This is a solid play if you're looking for a bit of excitement... definitely worth a look.

I can't believe I even have to say this, but let's get one thing straight—this is a 1:1 situation... nothing more, nothing less. No games, no fluff, just the pure, unadulterated facts exactly as they stand. If you aren't following the direct line here, you're basically just wasting everyone's time... and honestly, it's getting a little exhausting watching people try to overcomplicate something that is fundamentally straightforward. Just look at the numbers and stop looking for some hidden angle that isn't there... it's simple. Real simple. 😠

Roger Phillips said:I’m telling you guys, if you aren't looking at the Aberdeen-Dundee United match, you are seriously missing out on a massive opportunity... I've been staring at these numbers for an hour and the math just screams over 2.5 goals. It’s a total lock for me—I'm putting my money down on that +2, 2.25 line because both these squads have been playing like absolute maniacs defensively lately—just wide open, totally reckless... honestly, it's kind of embarrassing to watch sometimes, but hey, that's where the value is. If you want to gamble on something that actually makes sense instead of chasing some random underdog, this is it. Just trust the chaos...

Full Time: 2-2... what a complete joke. Honestly, I’m sitting here just staring at the screen in disbelief—how do you let a game slip through your fingers like that? It’s absolutely maddening... we had them right where we wanted them, too. Just absolute chaos out there on the pitch... nothing but pure, unadulterated frustration.

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I’m looking at Newcastle vs. Everton... honestly, I've got a feeling about this one—over 2.5 goals, probably sitting around +225 odds if you can find it... just feels right. These two sides have been playing such chaotic, end-to-end football lately that it's hard to see it ending in some boring 0-0 stalemate. One mistake, one quick transition, and suddenly the floodgates are open... I'm telling you, there's enough offensive firepower on the pitch here to make things get messy fast. Just a gut feeling, but I'm leaning heavily toward a high-scoring affair...
Man, Newcastle is absolutely falling apart right now... I mean, two straight losses where they just completely opened up the floodgates and let in 11 goals? That is just embarrassing—seriously, how do you defend like that? It’s a total disaster...
Look, you can't just glance at those scores—4:3 and 7:3—and think they were total disasters... I mean, seriously, if you actually dig into how they played, their performance was way better than what the scoreboard suggests at first blush. They weren't nearly as bad as people are making them out to be...
The offense was absolutely firing on all cylinders today—they were hitting everything they touched—but man, that defense? A complete and total disaster. They just completely fell apart out there and handed over way too many goals... it's honestly embarrassing to watch when you realize how much potential we actually have up front.
Man, they’re having such a massive headache trying to get this roster sorted out... it's honestly a mess. But you gotta look at the context, right? They just came off two brutal road trips—and I mean seriously tough, hostile environments—and they still managed to put up decent numbers when you actually sit down and crunch the stats. If you factor in all the guys missing from the lineup, the sheer level of competition they're facing, and how fast the pace of play has been lately... yeah, they held their own. It wasn't perfect, but considering everything they're dealing with, it's actually pretty impressive...
They’re playing at home today against Everton—and let's be real, that squad is absolutely hungry to stay at the top of the table... they've clearly got way more momentum going than our local guys right now.
Man, look at Everton lately... they’ve been absolutely tearing it up—I mean, four out of their last five matches have gone over the 2.5 goal line. It’s getting ridiculous. Plus, they’re riding this insane streak where they’ve managed to both score and concede in 16 straight games. Just a total chaotic mess of high-scoring madness every single week... honestly, it's wild.
September 1st... that last away game was a total disaster—they couldn't find the back of the net to save their lives... just completely lifeless out there.
Man, Newcastle is absolutely tearing it up lately—I mean, look at the numbers... they've been finding the back of the net in every single one of their last five home games. And it’s not just the scoring, either. In those same five matches, they've cleared that +2.5 goal line four times out of five. They're playing some seriously high-octane stuff right now and honestly, if you aren't watching the chaos, you're missing out...
The home side is absolutely cooking right now—Ba and Cissé are basically playing on God mode and can't seem to stop scoring... meanwhile, you’ve got Everton coming off that rough loss to Chelsea, looking like they're desperate for a win. Honestly, if things keep going the way they have been, I wouldn't be surprised if this losing streak for the home team just keeps rolling right along...
They’re definitely gonna be stronger for the Fellainia match tonight—and honestly, they’ve got a legit shot at pulling this off since the home team is dealing with a bunch of injuries again... typical.
Man, looking at this lineup... it’s just not hitting right. We're missing Ben Arfa, Cabaye, Jonas, both Taylors, plus Anita and Simpson. It's like half the squad is stuck in traffic or something—it's a total mess...

Whatever, man—I’m fully expecting another absolute shootout between these two sides. Honestly, I’m looking for an open, end-to-end game where everyone gets plenty of chances... especially after that first matchup earlier this season in Liverpool ended in a wild 2-2 draw.
Check out how these teams have been playing over their last four games...

Look, if we’re being real here—and I mean brutally honest—the only way we walk away from this game with a win is if our strikers actually step up and pull some magic out of their hats. Honestly, that duo up front is basically the only reason anyone's even feeling optimistic about this matchup... their recent form is the one thing keeping us from a total meltdown right now. If they play like they have been lately, we might actually have a fighting chance... but man, it’s all riding on them.
I honestly can’t wrap my head around it—Everton has been carving through way tougher, more disciplined defenses than this, so the fact that they might actually walk away with a zero on the scoreboard tonight... man, I just can't believe it. It's ridiculous...
Both these squads have enough firepower to tear through any defense they face—honestly, I’m fully expecting at least three goals in this one... nothing less.

Roger Phillips said:Southampton vs Arsenal Over 2.5 goals @ 2.05

Full Time 1:1

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MLS

St. Louis City vs FC Cincinnati Over 2.5 goals @ 1.90
Cincinnati is heading to St. Louis without two key defensive pieces—defensive mid Manuel Pascali and defender Mohamadou Sissoka. They were missing those guys during their 2-2 grind against Columbus Crew last week too, so you see where this is going...
On the bright side, their attack is fully intact, which is huge because I’m looking for a high-scoring affair here.
The home side has been involved in absolute goal fests lately—we're talking 13 total goals scored across their last three matches, and they haven't lost once in that stretch, grabbing two wins and a draw.
They've got veteran striker Steven Thompson leading the charge; he's bagged 10 goals in his last 20 outings and even found the net last weekend.
They tend to run a heavy offensive set with three up top: S. Thompson, Dougie Imrie, and Lewis Guy.
The visitors play a similar style with a trio upfront: Sheridan, Heffernan, and Borja Perez.
They’re currently on a 4-game unbeaten streak, and more importantly, they've managed to score in 15 consecutive matches.
Their only shutout recently was a boring 0-0 against Portland Timbers.
When they played at St. Louis earlier this season, the home team took it.
09/22/12, Cincinnati - St. Louis City 3 : 1

Their last four head-to-head matchups have all been high-scoring...

03/31/12, St. Louis City - Cincinnati 4 : 2
01/02/12, Cincinnati - St. Louis City 2 : 1
09/24/11, St. Louis City - Cincinnati 3 : 0
Both squads lean heavily into the "over" side of things; they play aggressively, almost always utilizing a three-man attack, they score plenty, and they're both riding decent momentum—only a 3-point gap separates them in the standings.
I'm expecting goals... just hoping the luck holds out.

Next one:

LA Galaxy vs FC Dallas Over 2.5 goals @ 2.25
FC Dallas has found the back of the net in 15 straight games.
But today? Their defense is a mess; Brian Mclean and Sean Dillon are both out.
And look, even when those guys *are* playing, Dallas's backline struggles to keep a clean sheet, so without them... man, what can you expect? It's hard to imagine them keeping anyone out.
With Dillon likely sidelined, they might have to throw an attacker like Jon Daly back into the defensive rotation just to fill the gap...😁
The Galaxy aren't unscathed either; Andrew Considine and Gary Naysmith are out of the lineup today.
My money is on McGinn, who's already notched 13 goals and just came off a hat trick against Dallas.
Historically, these matchups are loaded with goals—both sides have been scoring left and right over their last 8 meetings.

10/20/12, FC Dallas - LA Galaxy 1 : 1
04/07/12, LA Galaxy - FC Dallas 3 : 1
01/02/12, FC Dallas - LA Galaxy 1 : 2
10/15/11, LA Galaxy - FC Dallas 3 : 1
03/07/11, FC Dallas - LA Galaxy 3 : 1
01/01/11, LA Galaxy - FC Dallas 1 : 1
09/11/10, FC Dallas - LA Galaxy 3 : 1
03/20/10, LA Galaxy - FC Dallas 2 : 2

The probability for goals looks solid, so we'll just see if it plays out like it usually does.
Both teams scoring seems like a lock, and given how thin both defenses are right now, adding one or two extra goals to the tally feels like a safe bet.
That's why the Over 2.5 pick looks good to me—decent value and it makes sense.
Let's hope it hits.
GL

Roger Phillips said:Rochdale-Rotherham 3+ 1.75

FT 1:2

Southampton-Arsenal Over 2.5 goals @ 2.05
Look, you can pretty much bank on an open game here with plenty of goals flying around...
Southampton at home is just a mess—they score too much but they also leak goals like a sieve.
Both sides are gonna come out playing an open style; I mean, they won't be totally relaxed, but they're definitely going to be hunting for the win and looking to pad the stats...
The home side has guys like Lambert and Rodriguez up front who have been looking pretty sharp lately...
The visitors are coming off two away games where they managed to scrape by without losing, but they haven't quite snatched all three points yet.
Even though it's a home game, Southampton isn't really sitting in a great spot to grab points because the favorites, Arsenal, are desperate to take the full spoils to keep pace at the top of the table.
Arsenal is heading out after that absolute insanity of a match where they put up 7 goals against Newcastle.
Their attack looked lethal—just clinical, creating chances left and right—so I'm fully convinced they can and will find the back of the net on the road.
With Walcott, Giroud, Podolski, Cazorla, and Ox-Chamberlain leading the charge, they should tear through a shaky Southampton defense... then again, Arsenal's own backline hasn't exactly looked like a brick wall lately either.
In these wide-open matches, they always end up conceding, so the home team could easily sneak one past them, but a rested and motivated Arsenal is coming for the win...
Expect a high-tempo game with tons of chances and a decent amount of goals.
They already met earlier this season in London, and Arsenal absolutely demolished them 6-1.

GL

Roger Phillips said:Both teams to score at 1.70... man, what a no-brainer. I’ve been staring at these odds for way too long—seriously, my eyes are bleeding—but look, you’ve got two massive squads coming at each other where nobody's playing defense for the sake of it. It's basically a guarantee that both sides are gonna find the back of the net... just waiting for someone to actually wake up and realize how easy this is...

Full time... 0 to 3. Honestly? Just a complete and utter disaster. I don't even know where to start with this one—it was painful to watch from the first whistle until the final buzzer. Total lack of fight, zero cohesion, and just... nothing. We looked like we were playing against a bunch of high schoolers out there. Absolutely pathetic performance...

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I’m looking at the matchup between the Rochdale and Rotherham clubs—betting on over 2.5 goals plus a spread of 1.75... honestly, this one feels like a total toss-up if you don't look at the defensive gaps... just seems like a recipe for a high-scoring mess...
It’s basically just a total clash of styles when you get these two squads on the same field—you've got teams that live and breathe high-octane, aggressive offense meeting other crews who just want to rip the lid off the game and play wide open... it's gonna be absolute chaos out there.
Man, look at these numbers for the home side... it’s absolutely insane. We're talking 25 games played and they've only hit the under 7 times. Just 7! They basically live in the over territory—I mean, they've had 18 matches end with 3 or more goals. And get this—they're currently riding a massive 10-game heater where they've cleared the 3-goal mark every single time... including 7 games where they absolutely blew the doors off with 4 or more goals. It's just total chaos out there...
Man, looking at these stats is just wild—their average over 25 games is sitting at almost 3.5 goals per match... and that’s before you even get to their home games, where they’re already averaging 2.5 goals a pop. It's absolutely insane how much they're putting up...
So, Rotherham's sitting higher in the standings than our local squad right now, but let's be real—it’s a tiny gap... we're talking a measly four-point lead. It's basically nothing...
Also, if you’re looking for some high-scoring action, Rotherham is sitting right up there in the top three teams in League Two for total goals per match—they're actually trailing just behind Rochdale... definitely worth keeping an eye on if you're hunting for over bets.
So, looking at the numbers... they've hit 16 overs out of 24 matches played so far. Honestly? It’s kind of a mess... if you ask me.
The away goal average is sitting just a bit north of that 2.5 mark... which honestly, is kind of wild if you think about it...
Also, if you look at the head-to-head matchup between these two squads—man, it’s actually pretty wild...
So, looking back at this season, there was this one specific game that really stands out...
September 18, 2012 — Rotherham vs. Rochdale... final score was 2 to 3. Man, what a absolute mess of a game... just total chaos from start to finish.
And then there were those earlier matchups...
March 2nd, 2010—man, I still remember this one. It was a total blowout. Rochdale absolutely dismantled Rotherham, finishing it off with a 4-0 scoreline... just complete dominance from start to finish.
August 23, 2009 — Rotherham vs. Rochdale ended 2-1... just another gritty, messy result to add to the pile.
March 14, 2009—Rochdale vs. Rotherham—final score was 1 to 2... just another day in the grind, I guess.
September 13, 2008 — Pittsburgh vs. Cleveland — a gritty 2-2 draw...
March 24, 2008—Rochdale vs. Rotherham ended 4–1... man, what a complete demolition. Just one of those days where everything that could go wrong for one side went absolutely sideways. It was a total blowout, honestly... just pure dominance from the home squad.
December 8, 2007 — playing out in a mid-sized Midwestern city—it was a total mess... ended up 2 to 4.

The home team is basically breathing down the neck of the top spot right now—they’re playing this wide-open, aggressive style that’s just relentless, especially with that insane winning streak they've been riding lately... lots of goals, too. But man, you can't sleep on the visitors. They are looking seriously sharp, especially when they're playing on the road... they just seem to thrive in that away-game atmosphere.
They’ve pulled off four straight road wins in a row now... seriously, it's getting ridiculous. I'm looking at the betting lines for the upcoming match—specifically the spread and the total—and honestly? I'm calling it now. They aren't stopping this run, and they're definitely going to keep finding the back of the net like they have been... just another day at the office for these guys...

The home squad is looking pretty solid—everyone's healthy and ready to roll—whereas the visitors are dealing with some major question marks regarding who’s actually going to suit up... so both teams are basically heading into this one without any massive headaches over their starting lineups.

QPR vs. Liverpool – Both sides to score at 1.70
There isn’t a clear favorite here—I’m expecting a tight one because both squads are desperate to avoid a total meltdown.
QPR is basically the last team with a realistic shot at staying up; they’ve got a solid roster, a group you actually have to respect with plenty of high-quality individuals, but man, they really need to tighten up those results...
They’ve played 9 home games and bagged 8 goals, but they've conceded twice as many as they've scored.
When playing away from home, they failed to find the net only during the opening stretch of the season against teams like Swansea and Chelsea.
Since mid-September, they’ve managed to score at least once in every single home match, but—and this is the kicker—they’ve also conceded in every one of those games too.
Liverpool is heading into a game where they absolutely cannot afford to drop points😁. This former powerhouse is sitting just 8 points above the relegation zone right now, and if they slip up here, things could get ugly fast... might even lead to some shakeups in the front office.
Word on the street is they're looking at some big signings during the winter window.
Their defense has been pretty shaky lately; in their away trips this season, the only time they kept a clean sheet was that 0-0 draw out in Wales against Swansea.
Basically, across 10 away matches—including League Cup and Premier League play—they’ve conceded a goal in almost every single one.
But look, they’ve also been scoring quite a bit. They found the back of the net in 9 of their away outings.
The only times they went scoreless were that first round loss in Birmingham against West Brom (3-0) and that earlier tie with Swansea (0-0).
The home side is dealing with a bit more of a headache regarding injuries and absences.
They're missing:
Bosingwa, Johnson, Zamora, and Ephraim, while veteran defenders like Nelsen, Onuoha, and JS Park, along with keeper J. Cesar, are all questionable for this one.
As for Liverpool, Kelly, Borini, and Assaidi are out of the lineup.
For the home team, I reckon the main threats will be the usual suspects—Djibril Cisse, Mackie, Hoilett, Taarabt, and S. Wright-Phillips... honestly, Redknapp has a pretty decent attacking setup there.
On the Liverpool side, you've got "El Pistolero" Luis Suarez, who should be getting plenty of help from guys like Shelvey, Gerrard, and Downing...
Any kind of result is possible here, but my gut says we'll see at least one goal on each side.
Both defenses are giving up way too many chances, which is why I'm leaning toward both teams to score.
Both these clubs are capable of playing beautiful football, but they're equally capable of being a massive disappointment. They didn't end up in the bottom tier of the table for nothing.

Last season in London, QPR pulled off a 3-2 thriller.

Roger Phillips said:St. Louis City SC wins it 1.70

Final Score 3:0

St. Louis City FC - Charlotte FC H1 1,70
Look, we're talking about a matchup where the home side are massive favorites here—they’ve got way more talent, better depth, and honestly... they're just in much better shape right now. Plus, they're playing at their own stadium, which always helps...
The visitors? Man, they have one of the absolute worst defenses in MLS, and their offense is basically non-existent when they travel—only managed to bag 7 goals on the road so far.
St. Louis tends to put up at least two goals quite often, even against the bottom-feeders.
If you look at their last four home games, it's been 1:3, 6:1, 3:0, and 2:0.
They've faced this same opponent plenty of times before, and in St. Louis, they haven't lost to Charlotte in forever—we're looking at 13 wins and 3 draws.
1.14.12, St. Louis - Charlotte FC 6 : 1
3.20.11, St. Louis - Charlotte FC 1 : 0
4.11.10, St. Louis - Charlotte FC 3 : 0
12.05.09, St. Louis - Charlotte FC 2 : 2
4.05.09, St. Louis - Charlotte FC 3 : 1
10.07.07, St. Louis - Charlotte FC 3 : 1
4.27.07, St. Louis - Charlotte FC 2 : 2
3.05.06, St. Louis - Charlotte FC 3 : 1
4.02.05, St. Louis - Charlotte FC 3 : 0

Charlotte is dealing with a total nightmare regarding injuries today because they're missing:
Ozturk (midfield), Dries Wuytens (defense), De Decker (midfield), Losada (midfield), Stijn Wuytens (midfield), Van den Abeel (midfield), Mununga (forward), Galesic (defense), Veselinovic (forward), and Mawuena (striker) on the bench.

The home side is down just one defender, Ciman, but otherwise, everyone else is good to go.

After that embarrassing loss to the underdog last week, St. Louis is definitely looking to make it up to the fans with a dominant performance and a convincing win at home.
I'm expecting them to take it by at least two goals, because honestly, they are more than capable of doing that—especially since the visitors are in such bad shape and are showing up significantly weakened.

By the way, in their first meeting of the season away from home, St. Louis got knocked around by Charlotte.
9.16.12, Charlotte FC - St. Louis 3 : 2
They're definitely looking for some revenge for that loss...

Roger Phillips said:MLS matchup: LA Galaxy vs FC Cincinnati, over 2.5 goals at 1.80

Final Score 3:0

Roger Phillips said:MLS matchup: Seattle Sounders vs NYCFC, over 2.5 goals at 1.80

Final Score 1:0

Roger Phillips said:MLS matchup: LAFC vs Atlanta United, over 2.5 goals at 1.75

Final Score 2:1

Roger Phillips said:MLS matchup: Columbus Crew vs Portland Timbers, under 2.5 goals at 1.85

Final Score 1:2

🤷

Cardiff City vs. Crystal Palace: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.75
Look, we’re looking at two teams that basically live and breathe high-scoring games—their stats regarding goal averages and total matches played are just screaming "over"...
Both sides have been absolute entertainers so far; they've only had 7 low-scoring grinders, while 16 of their matches have flown past the over line...
It’s a massive showdown too—top-of-the-table Cardiff taking on Palace, who are sitting pretty in 3rd. Basically a huge rivalry match here.
The numbers don't lie, either. The home side is rocking a 44:28 goal difference—that's an average of 3.1 goals per game—and the visitors are right there with them at 44:29, also averaging 3.1 goals per match.
Palace has been scoring on the road in 10 of their 11 away trips. Their only shutout was a boring 0:0 against Hull City.
And Cardiff? They haven't failed to find the back of the net in any of their 11 home games this season.
When these two met earlier this season down in London, it was a wild one—Palace took it 3:2 in a total thriller.

Barnsley vs. Birmingham: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.85
Man, the injury list for the visitors is absolutely ridiculous right now...
They're missing big names like King, Lovenkrands, Spector, Carr, Asante, Ambrose, Murphy, Caddis, and Diop. It’s a mess.
And don't think the home side is any better off—they're out without striker Davies, midfielder Mellis, plus Noble-Lazarus, Sinclair, and Buszaky.
I really don't see any kind of high-octane, clinical football happening here. Plus, the weather was crap—pouring rain—so the pitch conditions aren't exactly helping anyone play pretty soccer.
Historically this season, both teams have leaned heavily toward the under side...
Barnsley has seen under 2.5 goals in 14 of their 23 matches—only Charlton has actually hit more unders than that (15), while Birmingham sits at 12 unders in 23 games.
If you look at the over/under ratios, they're pretty much neck-and-neck, but today I'm leaning hard toward the under. This one should be a low-scoring affair...

St. Louis City vs. FC Cincinnati 3+ 1,80
Look, both these squads have absolutely zero clue how to defend right now... it's a mess.
The home side is totally shorthanded—they're missing their starting fullback, two key defenders, a defensive mid, and one of their most vital midfielders. On the bright side, though, they get their star striker back in the lineup.
St. Louis has been riding a wave of high-scoring games lately—five in a row hitting the over—and honestly, the visitors have the worst defense in the league, which means their games are almost always goal fests.
The away team is also feeling the sting without one of their defensive mids, and while their main center-back isn't quite at 100% yet, he might still suit up.
Cincinnati is coming out with a three-man attack, and the big news here is that all three of their heavy hitters—think guys like Giroud or similar top-tier talent—are expected to start.
Both teams are basically the kings of the "over" in MLS; Cincinnati has seen 16 high-scoring games, and St. Louis has hit the over in 15 out of their 21 matches so far.
Expect an open game... maybe not pretty, especially since the weather and field conditions aren't exactly perfect, but the attackers should definitely be the stars of the show today.

Seattle Sounders vs. Atlanta United 3+ 1,80
When you watch Seattle play, you're looking at an average of 3 goals per match. They play this aggressive 4-3-3 style that just invites action.
They’ve got a full squad in the attacking third today, and when it comes to betting on goals, having a complete frontline is everything.
Their trio upfront should be able to cook something up against an Atlanta defense that looks incredibly disorganized and frankly, just bad.
Atlanta is in a rough spot, seriously—this season has been a total disaster for them, nothing is going right... but hey, there's no real favorite in this matchup, anything can happen.
(Atlanta) brought in three new signings, but they won't actually be eligible to play until the new year, so they're basically praying for a better 2024.
Their defense is also taking a massive hit because they're playing without two of their key defenders today.
They're going to be hunting for a result here, trying to shake off this terrible run they've been on.
They're running a three-man attack with Soumahoro, Remacle, and Mboyo leading the charge.
In their first meeting earlier this season, Atlanta lost 0-2 at home.
I'm just hoping both sides find some rhythm today and actually put some balls in the net... more than usual, anyway.

Roger Phillips said:Atletico Madrid - Vigo 1&3+ 1.78

FT 1:0
Atletico is absolute trash...🙂

Feyenoord - Groningen H-1 2.00
Feyenoord is fighting for the top spot—they're definitely one of the main contenders for the title this season.
With de Cuip leading them, they’re basically unbeatable lately—only lost once in their last 14 matches in the MLS, and even then, it was just an away game against Twente.
They've covered the handicap in five straight home games. They didn't hit the spread in last week's match against The Hague, nor in those two draws—the 1:1 at Heerenveen and that 2:2 against Ajax.
Groningen, on the other hand, has been playing pretty damn poorly. I watched them against Ajax on Thursday, and man, they couldn't create a single decent chance in 90 minutes—maybe one scramble in the box, but that was it. Just terrible, honestly.
Playing away at Feyenoord, the visitors are probably just going to sit back and defend—their offense is pretty weak, usually running a 4-4-2.
They're still missing Schet in the attack today, and Hiariej is a total question mark.
They're one of those teams that doesn't score much and doesn't concede much either—their games usually have way fewer goals than the MLS average—but I'm expecting plenty of action today, especially since they'll likely lose by a handicap.
The way I see it, Feyenoord is just way better right now. They're in better shape, they're at home, and they're hungry to stay at the top... Groningen stands almost zero chance in my book.
Both sides played mid-week cup games, but Feyenoord had an extra day to rest, so they should be fresher.

Looking at the last three meetings in Rotterdam, though, Groningen was a much stronger side last season;

03/04/12, Feyenoord - FC Groningen 1 : 0
02/27/11, Feyenoord - FC Groningen 5 : 1
12/06/09, Feyenoord - FC Groningen 3 : 1

GL

LA Galaxy vs. Atlanta United 1&3+ 1.78

The Galaxy have an absolute powerhouse of an offense, especially when they're playing at home in LA... it's just different there.
They’re basically the juggernauts of the league right now—I mean, dropping 27 goals in just 8 games? That's insane.
They almost always find the back of the net at least twice at home, so I’m fully expecting those guys from Atlanta to push back and grab two or three themselves—and honestly, I'm calling for a win here too.
Atlanta has been pretty shaky on the road, easily one of the weaker sides out there... they're giving up nearly two goals per game away from home, though they did manage to scrape 7 goals together against a 15 goal deficit.
There's a decent chance they nick a goal in LA, but even if they don't, the Galaxy are more than capable of putting up 3 on their own—fingers crossed...
Plus, the visitors are banged up in the backline, missing two key defenders—their starter Lago and the backup Samuel.
I'm looking at a Galaxy victory with plenty of action in the net.
The over is sitting at a modest 1.57, which isn't a bad shout, but this specific combo feels way better to me since we should be seeing a total blowout in terms of scoring.

Roger Phillips said:Volkswagen vs. Leverkusen 3-1, 1.70

Full Time 2-1

Wolfsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen: Over 2.5 goals & BTTS
Man, looking at the numbers, out of their last 11 matches, freaking 10 of them went over... just pure chaos.
Even if Wolfsburg looks totally uninspired lately—and let's be real, they have—they’re playing at home, and you can never count them out for snagging a goal or two when they actually find their rhythm.
On the other side, the visitors are absolutely tearing it up right now. They've pulled off 5 wins in their last 6 outings, dropping only 5 goals while pumping in 14... it's ridiculous.
I remember about a month back, Wolfsburg actually stunned them at home with a 3-1 win in the Bundesliga, so I'm calling it now—they're gonna be hungry to settle the score today.
Both these squads are basically built to trade blows; they score easily but can't seem to keep a clean sheet to save their lives. Wolfsburg has conceded in 8 straight games, and they've only managed to shut out an opponent three times all season... especially considering this is a cup match with two high-octane attacking teams involved, there's almost no way this doesn't end with at least 2 or 3 goals flying in.

Roger Phillips said:LA Galaxy vs. LAFC X 3,40

Final Score 2:2

Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Millwall – Draw at 3.40, or Both Teams to Score at 1.70

Man, this is one of those matches where anything can happen—seriously, all three outcomes are on the table—but given how much is riding on this and how close these two sides are in terms of actual quality and momentum... I’m leaning heavily toward a draw being the most likely outcome here.
It’s a massive game because if the home side pulls it off, they’ll be right level with their opponents on points... but if the visitors snatch the win, they’re gonna pull away with a massive 6-point lead.
Both squads are hungry for that playoff spot, and honestly, things are looking pretty good for them so far.
Brighton has been solid—they’ve only dropped one match in their last ten, and that was out in London against a powerhouse like Crystal Palace.
When they're playing at the Amex, they almost always find the back of the net—they've only failed to score in 4 out of their last 11 home games.
Millwall is sitting in 8th right now, and they definitely want to stay there through the end of the season... which isn't some pipe dream if they keep playing the way they have been.
They've been playing some really sharp football; they actually had this huge unbeaten streak going until they ran into Ipswich—if I recall correctly, it was about 12 games without a loss.
Funny enough, they seem even more dangerous on the road—they’ve actually picked up more points away from home than anywhere else... the only times they didn't score were that 0-0 against Watford and that 3-0 loss over at Ipswich.
Back when they met in London at The Den, Brighton walked away with a 2-1 win.
If you look further back to the 2011/12 season, both matchups ended in draws with goals:
Feb 14, 2012: Brighton - Millwall 2 : 2
Oct 18, 2011: Millwall - Brighton 1 : 1

Look, both teams are in great shape and chasing the exact same goal... I don't quite buy that Brighton will sweep both meetings this season—though it's possible—but I also find it hard to believe a team playing this well, especially on the road, is going to drop two in a row. Today, though, I’m giving Millwall a slight edge.
Because the stakes are so high, I really think both sides might just settle for a point.
Brighton is a fortress at home too—they’ve only conceded twice in a single game once, and that was against Leeds in a 2-2 scrap; in the other 10 games, they either gave up one goal or nothing at all.
Their home record is 4-5-2, while Millwall’s away form sits at 4-4-3.

For Brighton, they've got Mackail-Smith, Dobbie, Buckley...
But Millwall? They have a killer attacking trio:
Darius Henderson, Andrew Keogh, and Chris Wood... plus you can't forget Liam Trotter, who’s always a threat to pop up on the scoresheet. The visitors are still missing Henderson today, though.
The way I see it, a draw is super likely—something like a 1-1 feels just right.

Roger Phillips said:Both teams to score in the LA Galaxy vs. Seattle Sounders match, odds at 1.70

Final Score 1:0

Roger Phillips said:Reading vs. Arsenal, over 2.5 goals at 2.05

Final Score 2:5

Kayserispor vs. Kasimpasa: Both teams to score at 1.70
Looking at these two, we’re talking about goal-heavy squads—both sides are trending heavily toward the over, pulling in 9 over results compared to just 6 unders lately.
Both teams play an aggressive, attacking style that creates plenty of scoring opportunities every single match.
The home side has this annoying habit of settling for 1-1 draws quite often.
As for the visitors, they’ve managed to find the back of the net in almost all their away games, failing to score only twice.
Expect them to come out swinging again, pushing forward and hunting for goals from the whistle.
It’s a toss-up on who has the edge—the home team has that home-field advantage and the crowd behind them, but the visitors are sitting higher in the standings and are on a tear right now, unbeaten in their last 6.

Reading vs. Arsenal: Over 2.5 goals at 2.05
Reading hasn't really struggled to find the net at home, aside from that one 0-0 stalemate against Norwich.
With the way Arsenal has been playing recently, anything can happen on the pitch, but honestly, goals seem like the most logical bet given their current momentum.
Reading actually beefed up their attack with the return of Roberts and Pogrebnyak, so they definitely have the firepower to punish Arsenal.

Arsenal is feeling the heat here—they’ve only managed one win in their recent stretch, and that loss to Bradford was a real gut punch... This is a massive game for them.
I wouldn't be surprised if we see Arsenal struggling to find their rhythm again, or maybe just a total lapse in concentration during the match... which is exactly what the home side will look to exploit.
The home defense is pretty leaky, sure, but they are lethal when they get going in front of their own fans. Meanwhile, Arsenal looks unconvincing and frankly unreliable right now, even though they desperately need this win to quiet the critics and stop the bleeding...
Personally, I think both sides will get on the scoresheet—the last three matches played at Reading have all gone over the goal line.

Roger Phillips said:Looking at the QPR vs. Fulham matchup... honestly, if you aren't looking at the over 2.5 goals here, what are you even doing? The odds are sitting at 1.95 and it feels like a total gift—just waiting for someone to realize how much defensive chaos is brewing between these two. It’s one of those games where the momentum just swings wildly, and once that first goal hits, the floodgates are probably gonna burst open... definitely worth a look if you're feeling bold.

Full time. It ends 2-1. Honestly... what a mess.

Roger Phillips said:Man, if you're looking at the Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart matchup, betting on the home side to take this one at 1.65... man, that's just straight-up suicide. Seriously. You’re basically handing your cash over to the house without even fighting for it. It feels like such a trap—just a total sucker bet for anyone who thinks they can predict these mid-table scraps... honestly, don't do it.

Final score, 3-1. Honestly, what a mess... just an absolute rollercoaster from start to finish.

Roger Phillips said:Man, looking at this Burnley vs Watford matchup... if you aren't seeing the goals here, you aren't watching the same game I am. The odds are sitting at 3+ goals at 1.70, which honestly feels like a gift from the universe if you know what you're doing. Both these sides have been playing such chaotic, end-to-end football lately—just total defensive lapses and high-octane transitions—that expecting a scoreless grind feels almost impossible... It’s one of those games where everything just breaks open in the second half and suddenly you're staring at a 2-1 or a 2-2 scoreline. I'm leaning heavily into the over here... it's just too juicy to pass up.

Final score: 1-1. Honestly... what a mess. Just a complete and utter stalemate at the whistle.
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Man, if you're looking at that Lazio vs. Inter Milan matchup, betting on the home side at 1.65 is basically just throwing money straight into a paper shredder... honestly, it’s suicide. You really think they can pull this off? I don't know, man... it feels like a total trap. Just a massive, glaring trap...
Lazio is sitting pretty with an 8-game unbeaten streak right now—and yeah, I’m counting those EL matches too—but man, looking back at that mess against Genoa CFC at the Olympic Stadium... the last time they actually failed to find the back of the net was back on September 23rd during that 0-1 loss. Talk about a reality check...
So, look... Rimu played eight games total. Two of them were absolute snoozefests that ended with basically nothing on the scoreboard—we're talking a 0-1 loss to Genoa CFC and a 1-1 draw against Torino FC—but the other six? Man, those were pure chaos. All six of them went way over... just non-stop action.
Five games deep in Serie A and still haven't tasted defeat... honestly, it’s kind of insane when you think about it. Just five straight matches without dropping a single point. At this rate, things are starting to get seriously interesting...
The attack is actually playing pretty damn well, but man, that defense? Not so much... they’re struggling big time. They managed to keep clean sheets in just two home matches—against Genoa CFC and Udinese Calcio—and honestly, that's about as good as it gets right now.
Inter is completely all over the place right now... Look, everyone knows they’ve got an absolutely lethal attacking line—their offensive setup is top-tier, no question about it—but man, that backline is a total disaster zone. They just can't stop leaking goals. It's becoming a massive problem at this point...
Look, if you look at the numbers from the last 11 matches... man, it’s just ridiculous. Palermo FC hasn't managed to find the back of the net once—not a single goal—while they've been conceding at least one every single game. It's honestly pathetic... how can a team be that stuck in a rut?
Look, if you check the numbers from that stretch—we're talking about those last 11 matches—they've been absolutely wild. They managed to hammer in 21 goals but somehow let in 17... which means we're looking at an average of almost 3.5 goals per game. Just pure chaos... honestly...

Man, looking back at their head-to-head matchups over the last few seasons... things just absolutely blew up. Every time these two teams met, it was pure chaos on the scoreboard—just constant goals flying in left and right... seriously, nobody could keep a clean sheet to save their lives.
Last 4 matches:

I’m expecting at least one goal in the net on both sides—probably even more than that, honestly—but hey, I’ll settle for the bare minimum...😉