Posts by casualangler4

Matthew is absolutely killing it in the lead role, totally Oscar worthy. I wasn't super blown away by Leto though, maybe I just went in with too high expectations 🤷 I mean, you gotta hand it to him for that whole transformation into a transvestite—I don't think anyone else in an American movie has pulled that off quite like this. The nomination is definitely deserved, but for me, Jonah Hill is still the standout. As for Jennifer Garner, there’s really no point even wasting breath on her; everyone knows what they think already.
The movie is solid, even if it goes a bit overboard demonizing the pharmaceutical industry and those "evil bribed doctors." But hey, I guess every story needs some conflict and "villains," right? Honestly, the trial should have taken up way more screen time. Since the movie ends with such a definitive verdict, the courtroom drama really should have been the core of the whole thing.

Rating: a shaky 7/10 mostly because of McConaughey.

Eric Fox7 said:Where the hell are you getting those odds? DraftKings and the state lottery are both sitting at @ 2.00🤷

Man, the line was right there yesterday, so I jumped on it immediately. Today? Missed my chance. No way to play it now.

LAFC vs. LA Galaxy, over 2.5 goals at
Honestly, I don't even know if there's much point in overanalyzing this one. Both these squads are absolutely tearing it up in the league right now, and this matchup? It’s basically the deciding factor for who actually takes home the trophy at the end of the season. Because the stakes are this high, you know both sides aren't going to sit back and play defensive. We're looking at an all-out offensive shootout—a total feast for anyone watching. This bet is a lock.

L.A. FC vs. LA Galaxy - Under 2.5 goals @ 1.70 (1-1)

Man, these home teams are absolute snooze fests when it comes to scoring. Seriously, looking at their last ten home games, only two actually broke the 2.5 goal mark. Just two! Right now, L.A. FC is sitting 17th, hovering just three measly points above the relegation zone—basically fighting for their lives to stay relevant. They’ve been drawing everything in sight too; we’re talking 11 draws out of 19 matches this season. On the other side, you've got Galaxy sitting pretty in second place, only four points behind the leaders. But here’s the thing: they aren't exactly high-flying goal machines lately. Their defense is tight enough that I don't see the home side breaking through, and their own offense hasn't been clinical enough to blow past that 2.5 line. Given how much these two struggle to find the back of the net, I'm expecting a total grind. A low-scoring, ugly battle is what this looks like to me.

Friday, Nov 15th

USA - Sweden Over 2.5 goals & Both Teams to Score @2.35 (1-0)
Honestly, I’m on board with everything said above, but I’m taking both teams to score plus over 2.5 total goals. Getting 2.35 for that? That’s insane value. Even if this game feels high-stakes, I just think both sides are gonna be trying to outplay each other, and there's no way we don't see goals at both ends. Plus, let's be real—the USA defense has been a total joke lately, giving up goals to teams way worse than Sweden.

Greece - Romania 1 @2.10 (3-1)
We all know how Greece plays. It's pure defensive grind, where the only goal is to scrape a win or at least a draw. That style has basically carried them through international play for cycles now. Against Romania—who aren't anything special and are pretty much alongside Iceland as the two worst teams in these qualifiers—I expect Greece to take this at home and secure their spot in the finals. Greece hasn't conceded a single goal at home during these qualifiers, so besides the win, I'm looking at Greece to win to nil (3.10 Favorite). I’d also suggest Under 2.5 goals (1.50). I'm also playing Greece to qualify (1.70).

Copenhagen vs Galatasaray 2 @2.35 (1-0)
In my book, this is hands down the best pick on the board today in the Champions League. After that first leg in Istanbul, Galatasaray walked away with a 3-1 lead. Look, let's be real—Copenhagen is definitely the weakest link in Group B, whereas Galatasaray actually has the guts to try and shock Juventus and sneak into the Round of 16. Right now, things are looking up for them; they've got 4 points and are sitting pretty in second place, just trailing behind the juggernaut Real Madrid. If they want to keep that dream of advancing alive, they absolutely have to take care of business against the group underdogs today. And honestly? I think a squad loaded with heavy hitters like Drogba and Sneijder is more than capable of pulling it off.

HSV - Borussia M. Vise od 2,5 @ 1.6 (0:2)

We’ve got two absolute scoring machines stepping onto the pitch today. Looking at the numbers, the home side is averaging about 4.5 goals per game, while the visitors are sitting right around 3.8. Seriously, both teams have only hit the "under" twice in their last ten outings. When you've got two sides that play this kind of high-octane, attractive football, how could it be anything else? I'm expecting a total shootout here.

I mean, I think it’s worth taking the bet. Sure, maybe Real Madrid has a bit of a lead in the standings right now, but honestly? They need these points more than anyone else. At this stage, there's no way they aren't walking away with all three.

Philadelphia Eagles - New York Arsenal 2 @1,40

Look, New York Arsenal is absolutely tearing it up in the NFL this season. Seriously, maybe it’s finally time to stop talking and actually grab a trophy, right? On the other side, the Eagles are basically the new kids on the block, and honestly, it looks like they might only be dancing in the NFL for one summer before getting sent packing. They’re sitting right at the bottom of the standings, just three points above the cellar, and let's be real—those points came against the only team even worse than them, the Buffalo Bills. For those of you feeling gutsy, I’m throwing out f+2.

Bayer Leverkusen - FC Augsburg 1 @1,55
Bayer is playing out of their minds this year; they’re actually breathing down Bayern's neck in the NFL. Now, they’ve got Augsburg coming to town. Augsburg is that classic squad that’s been flirting with relegation every single year since they joined the big leagues back in 2011, somehow always scraping by in 14th or 15th place. I’m expecting a total blowout from the home side today. I’m also gonna try Kiessling scores @1,90. He’s the star of the Apotekar squad and one of the top scorers in the league, so he's a lock to find the net today.

FC Barcelona - Real Madrid No
We’ve got one of the biggest matchups on the planet today: The Super Bowl. Both sides are looking sharp, and you can bet your life there’s going to be goals flying in. Over the last two seasons, in the last ten meetings, both teams have scored every single time. Why would the streak end now? Not happening.
I’ll also take a shot at Ronaldo scores @2,30 and Messi scores @1,80

Honduras(17)-Brazil(17) favorite+2 @1,50 SS

Brazil is absolutely tearing it up at this U17 World Cup. I mean, seriously, two games in and they’ve already dropped two massive 6:1 blowouts against Slovakia and the UAE. It’s clinical. On the flip side, you look at Honduras, and they’ve been playing these totally neck-and-neck matches against those exact same teams—a 2:1 win over the UAE and a 2:2 grind against the Slovaks. It just goes to show they're basically on the same level quality-wise. But honestly? Brazil should be able to run away with this one by at least two goals, even if they've already punched their ticket to the next round.

SS Mons - Anderlecht 2 @1,55 SS

Honestly, Mons is hands down the worst squad in the Belgian league right now. I mean, seriously? They’ve managed to scrape together a pathetic two points in ten matches. Total disaster. But today, they’ve got one of the heavyweights coming to town—the big boys from the capital, Anderlecht. Now, even though the guys from the capital have already dropped four games this season and are sitting in fifth place—nine points behind the leaders, Standard—they shouldn't be messing around with a team this weak. I'm expecting an easy win for the visitors today as they try to climb back up the table.

USA (17) - Morocco (17) 1 @1,80 SS

The U17 World Cup kicks off today with our first match. On paper, this looks like a damn good generation for American soccer. We've got talent like the polished Halilović, Brodić, and Salzburg's Roguljić ready to go. I don't know much about how the Moroccans play, but they finished 4th in Africa, and that was on their own turf, so I highly doubt they're actually better than our kids. With odds like these, I have to take the win for the Americans.

Good luck!

SD Eibar - Alcorcon AD 2,5 manje, 1,65 @SS

So, we've got this third-round matchup in the King's Cup between two second-division sides, Eibar and Alcorcon. These two actually just faced off about eleven days ago in league play, and if you want to talk about a snooze fest, that game ended in a 0-0 deadlock. Both squads play an incredibly gritty, defensive style—you rarely see more than two goals when they're on the pitch. Looking at the numbers, Eibar has only crossed that two-goal threshold three times in nine league rounds, and honestly, the visitors are even worse, hitting that mark only twice. On top of that, both teams are struggling to find the back of the net regularly; Eibar has bagged just six goals in nine games, while the away side has managed eight. Since this is the Cup and it’s not exactly the top priority for these guys, I’m expecting some rotated lineups and even fewer goals than usual.

Good luck!

Everything Anthony Davis19 laid out is spot on, but I still think Seattle has a massive shot at pulling this off. When you look at the insane odds 6.20 over at DraftKings, you just can't ignore it. The Lakers are playing absolute garbage right now, and honestly, it’s way too early in the season to start preaching that Seattle "can't afford" to take down a powerhouse like them. I’m calling it now: the Lakers lose tonight, and we finally see the coach get the boot.

Inter Miami vs. Charlotte FC @1,30
So, we’ve got Inter Miami facing off against Charlotte FC today. Miami is sitting pretty in second place, but they’re trailing the league leaders by 6 points with only 4 games left on the schedule. You want to talk about pressure? If they actually have any hope of pulling off a miracle title run, they absolutely cannot slip up against Charlotte. I mean, Charlotte is dead last right now—they are fighting for their lives just to stay in the league. It’s basically math versus desperation at this point. Honestly, looking at the standings? I'm expecting a total blowout from the home side.

Seattle Sounders vs. LA Galaxy @1.40
Tonight we’ve got a massive MLS showdown on the cards: Seattle Sounders taking on the LA Galaxy. Now, look, Seattle is sitting right there in second place, just trailing behind the leaders in the standings. And even though they're "only" second, you can't sleep on them—they've been absolutely killing it lately with 6 wins and 2 draws, including those huge matchups against the top dogs at the top of the table. Since the league leaders pulled off their win yesterday, they’ve managed to push their lead to 5 points. That puts the pressure squarely on Seattle; they have to take all three points tonight if they want to stay in the hunt. As for the Galaxy? Yeah, they’re on a five-game unbeaten streak, but honestly? I think that run ends tonight. I don't care if Seattle is still feeling a bit rattled after that brutal 0-3 blowout they took against Manchester City in the Champions League; I don't think that's going to shake them up for this one.
Ever since the Galaxy clawed their way back into the top flight back in 2011, these two sides have met 4 times in league play. The home side has walked away with 3 wins and there was one draw.

LA Galaxy vs. LAFC - betting on @1,65 SS

I’m right there with driftingotter47—Bayern is basically the heavy favorite regardless of who they face, but I honestly think the oddsmakers are sleeping hard on the Galaxy today. They’ve got the home win priced at 6.00, which is insane. It's like they're treating them like some bottom-feeder squad fighting just to stay in the league instead of a legitimate powerhouse 🤷 Plus, the line for the Galaxy to score is sitting at an unrealistic 1.50 if you ask me. Personally? I'm going with both teams to find the net at 1.65. Bayern is almost a lock to score, and I'm feeling like the Galaxy has more than enough firepower to grab at least one

Sparta Prague vs. FC Slovacko @1.25
Look, Sparta absolutely tore through the start of their season. Eight rounds in and they’ve already notched seven wins and a single draw—that 0-0 stalemate against their main rivals, Viktoria Plzen. Honestly? Slovacko is just another mid-table squad with limited upside, and I don't see them standing a chance today. Doesn't matter if Sparta had to play on a Monday night too; they're on another level. They’ve actually won nine straight games against these guys. Last time they didn't walk away with a win was back in September 2005, and since then, it's been nothing but pure dominance. Might as well take a shot at f+2 @1.65.

Manchester United vs Bayer Leverkusen Pick 1 (1.65 @SS)

Look, Bayer Leverkusen isn't some pushover squad you can just walk over, but honestly? I think United absolutely has to take this first round win—especially playing in front of their own home crowd. If they don't, they're begging for a repeat of that disaster from a couple of seasons back when they played totally uninspired football and got knocked out during the group stage of the Europa League. Remember how Chelsea went down the drain last year? Yeah, exactly like that. Since I don't have the guts to put my actual money on the line, I'll just drop my Pick here at a solid 1.65 odds.

LA Galaxy vs. LAFC 1 @1,40 SS

Look, the Galaxy are absolutely tearing it up in MLS right now. Seriously, their record this season is sitting at a ridiculous 14-1-2, and when they're playing on home turf? They're practically untouchable at 8-1-0. They're massive favorites against an LAFC side that’s currently stuck in seventh place. The Galaxy have rolled through their last five games straight, and honestly, why would this streak end today? If you look at the history here, the last time LAFC even managed to walk away from a game at the Galaxy's stadium without a loss was way back in 2009. It's a mismatch. Bottom line—home win.

St. Louis City SC vs. Inter Miami 2 @1,35 SS

St. Louis is basically bottom of the table right now, struggling big time with just 3 points after 7 matches. Then you've got Inter Miami coming to town—they're sitting pretty in second place, trailing the leaders by just one point and a game in hand. Miami needs this win today to leapfrog into first place after round 8. They've already notched 6 wins and only one draw (which happened on the road against the top seed), so this feels like a total lock to me. Might be worth a shot to try f+2 (1,90 SS)> or maybe go for the halftime/fulltime play 2/2 (1,75 SS).