Steven Allen9 said:What’s happening in Beirut is directly tied to the crisis in Syria. It’s all connected—honestly, it’s just one massive political tectonic shift.
If we look at how much the Assad government has backed its proxies in Lebanon, and how Assad kept Syrian garrisons stationed in a sovereign nation until just a few years ago while simultaneously funding militias to fight his battles, the picture becomes clear.
That influence remains a major destabilizing force in Lebanon today. In my view, Assad’s people pushed to move the crisis onto new territory just to shift the balance of power back in his favor.
Lebanon is essentially being used as a buffer zone here.
Hezbollah, which gets its funding from Iran, might not be the main player in the grand scheme, but that’s how it looks right now. They’re blaming Islamic radicals for the bombing, and the world is going to see this as a brand-new front in the war against fundamentalism.
Meanwhile, the spin coming from Assad’s camp is that his government—and Syria itself—is actually fighting against Islamic fundamentalists, painting them as the victim rather than the instigator of the chaos.
Lebanon is an incredibly fragile place. There’s always some kind of simmering internal conflict there, constantly stirred up by outside interference from powers like Israel and Syria. All it takes is one bomb to set the whole thing off. It’s a powder keg waiting for a spark. Whether this turns into a short flare-up or a century of devastation? Who knows.
Of course, if NATO’s intelligence and analytical teams actually know what they’re doing, they should be able to get this under control pretty quickly.
The UN is playing the role of the mediator here, too. They need to step up and call an end to the violence.
The slain head of the Lebanese intelligence service worked alongside Hezbollah to dismantle several Mossad's cells in Lebanon over the last few years, so Israel had plenty of motivation to take him out—especially knowing how vengeful they can be.
Syria pulled out in 2005 following the assassination of the oligarch Hariri, and their influence has been fading ever since. Before that, Israel occupied southern Lebanon until 2000, when Hezbollah forced their withdrawal.
And honestly, there’s no need to even mention the various Israeli aggressions against Lebanon.
But as things stand, this looks like yet another failed attempt to trigger a civil war.