Posts by Christian Morales40

Quick question about DraftKings... they use USD, right? Do they take Paysafecard for deposits there? Seems like it should work since everything is in dollars...

Jesse Brown12 said:Haven't played anything yet, but maybe one of these:

CZ Mexico City-Bordeaux
Sheriff-Marseille
Feyenoord-Sparta Prague

I have my own takes on these games, but they're mostly based on league quality and club reputation. Haven't followed the Champions League much lately, so if anyone knows more about these teams, let me know.

My humble take? Skip Red Star. New coach, potential shock factor—you never know. They aren't in great shape, and while Bordeaux might score at 1.25 odds, that feels like too little.

Logic says Marseille should win. We saw how Sheriff played against LA Galaxy, pretty subpar, whereas Marseille started the season well. Just gotta see if the French side decides to rotate their squad.

For Feyenoord-Sparta, I'm looking at over 2 goals. The Dutch side plays nothing but offense, and I doubt Sparta won't go for a goal away from home. Neither team really knows how to defend. 1.80

Christian Morales40 said:Slaven Belupo vs. Hajduk Split. Just another weekend matchup. X2 1,35
Twente vs. Philadelphia Union. 1 1,40
The matchup between FC Porto and SC Olhanense. 1 1,20
2,26

The matchup between the LA Galaxy and LAFC. 2 8,50

The main pass went smoothly. Like a routine drill at a local high school. 🙈 .

The local derby. Valencia vs. Levante. Just another weekend in the city. Levante scores. 1,60
Things are looking rough for Valencia. Three straight losses now—dropping a home game to Zaragoza, getting crushed by Getafe, and then a narrow away loss to AZ Alkmaar. Meanwhile, Levante is really turning heads this season.
Form looks decent enough. W-W-L-W-W-L. Seems worth a shot. Valencia is looking pretty vulnerable right now—probably too focused on their upcoming matchup against Ajax. Levante should be hungry, though; it’s a local derby and they really need those points to stay in the hunt for the playoffs.

Lakers vs. Pelicans. 1 1,40
Beşiktaş needs those points to stay in the playoff hunt. They'll be facing off against Trabzonspor or Fenerbahçe down the line, and with that matchup happening today, they really ought to capitalize. Samsunspor is sitting at the bottom of the table; they’re tough to beat on their own turf, but they struggle on the road.

Exchange rate:2,24

Giving this a shot.

Bologna FC vs. USC Palermo. Bologna scores more than one. 2,40
Palermo’s away record this season is pretty rough—only 5 points on the board. They've been leaking goals, too, giving up about 1.78 per game. Bologna is just an average side, but they can be a real headache for the heavy hitters.
Two draws against the big clubs, then a couple of solid away wins against Inter and Lazio. I'm betting they'll have enough gas in the tank to handle Palermo, especially since they tend to play pretty timidly on the road.

Christian Morales40 said:Gaziant-MKE vs. Ankara FC. Ankaragücü just can't seem to find the back of the net. 1,60
Utrecht vs. Excelsior. Just another weekend match. Utrecht scores over one goal. 1,35
2,16

It passed.
Tomorrow.
Slaven Belupo vs. LAFC. Not much to say there. X2 1,35
Roy Ferenčina for the club site.: We're pretty banged up. Missing five starters is a heavy blow, but there's no way around it. A few of our younger guys will get the call to step up for the LA Galaxy, and I trust them to deliver. The Galaxy have a solid roster—good mix of vets and newcomers—but I believe in my boys. We aren't folding. Expect a gritty, aggressive performance. They’ll give it everything they've got to pull off the win.
ESPN.com:
With Bušić out for the rest of the season, things are looking grim. Vručina, Grgić, Maras, and Rodić have all sat out the last two games, and now we’ve lost our reliable center back, Kokalović, to an injury at the stadium. Just my luck.

I doubt the Lakers can pull an upset against a depleted Slaven. They’re missing Anas, sure, but it’s not like they can't function without him.
Head-to-head matchups:
Just another loss for the underdog. Typical.
X 9
The score was 10 for the home team. Not exactly what I expected.

The matchup between FC Twente and Roda JC. 1 1,40
Twente’s out of the European hunt, so they’re pivoting to the domestic title race. AZ has a tough road ahead against Vitesse, which might give Twente the opening they need. Then there's Roda—they've managed only two wins in thirteen away games, with ten losses and a draw. They've also been leaking goals, conceding an average of 2.77 per game. Not exactly a winning streak.
Hopefully Twente has found their footing after those few missteps. If they play like they actually should tomorrow, we shouldn't have much to worry about.

Porto vs. Olhanense. Just another match on the calendar. 1 1,20
We all see where this is going. Once this game wraps up, it’s onto the Lakers vs. Celtics matchup, and I might finally start rooting for their biggest rivals. Honestly, the Pelicans shouldn't be much of an issue.

2,26

If you're working with a tighter budget, this might be worth a shot:

The matchup between Los Angeles FC and LA Galaxy. Just another local derby. 2 8,50
If Lokomotiva pulls off that third-place finish to snag an Europa League spot, it’ll be a real statement. It would certainly be a way to push back against the ownership at Dinamo, where one guy walking into the locker room can basically decide the outcome of a game. Still expecting Slaven to drop at least two points against the Split side. Dinamo is sitting pretty as champions; they just need to prove their farm team isn't going to let them down. 🤷

Houston Dynamo vs. DC United DC United won't find the net 1.60
The Dynamo are tough to break down. At home, they've conceded just 13 goals in 16 matches (0.81 per game). DC United is struggling with budget issues and has only managed 22 goals in 32 games (0
0.69). The visitors are looking at a drop to the second division, while the hosts are pushing for a playoff spot to chase a European berth.
The Dynamo also have momentum, having kept six straight clean sheets:
Oklahoma City vs. Houston Dynamo 0:2
Houston Dynamo vs. Columbus Crew 3:0
Nashville vs. Houston Dynamo 0:0
Houston Dynamo vs. LAFC 5:0
Portland vs. Houston Dynamo 0:2
Houston Dynamo vs. Orlando City 1:0
5 wins, 1 draw. Goal difference is 13:0.
Hardly think this flawless run ends against the bottom team.

FC Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia Union Cincinnati scores over 1 goal 1.35
Cincinnati is an odd one—they score plenty, but they leak goals too. At home, they’ve put up 29 goals in 13 matches (2.23 per game). Philadelphia has been leaky on the road this season, conceding 35 goals (2.91 per game). Expecting a few goals from Cincinnati seems reasonable.
Head-to-head:
Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati 2:3
Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati 3:1
Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia 2:0
Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati 0:2
Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia 4:1
Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia 1:0
Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati 0:1
Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati 1:3
Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia 2:2
Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati 1:1
In these last 10 meetings, Cincinnati scored more than once in 6 of them.

2.16

Christian Morales40 said:Olympique de Marseille vs. Bayern Munich favorite +2 3.60
Marseille's last 6:
Nice vs. Marseille 1:1
US Quevilly vs. Marseille 1:1
Marseille vs. Dijon 1:2
Inter Milan vs. Marseille 2:1
Ajaccio AC vs. Marseille 1:0
Évian Thonon FC vs. Marseille 2:0
4 losses, 2 draws, 4:9. Total disaster. They even got knocked out of the cup by a third-division side.

Bayern's last 6:
Bayern Munich vs. Hannover 96 2:1
Borussia M'gladbach vs. Bayern Munich 0:0
Hertha BSC vs. Bayern Munich 0:6
Bayern Munich vs. Basel 7:0
Bayern Munich vs. TSG Hoffenheim 7:1
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Bayern Munich 2:0
4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 22:4. Bayern looks solid. 22 goals in 6 games is pretty impressive.

Seems realistic enough. Marseille’s been a mess this half-season. They lost at home in the Champions League to Arsenal and Olympiacos; don't see why they wouldn't struggle against a Bayern squad eyeing a home final. Even though they picked up most points at home, they still have 3 losses. They barely made the quarterfinals after beating an Inter side that could've crushed them if luck was on their side. For Marseille, it might be a third-string goalie in net—last one to play was back in January 2011.

Might as well make a prediction myself after that losing streak. First goal is always the keeper's fault.

I'm starting to think Marseille won't pull off the win.

Olympique de Marseille vs. Bayern Munich favorite+2 3.60
Last 6 for Marseille:
Nice vs. Marseille 1:1
US Quevilly vs. Marseille 1:1
Marseille vs. Dijon 1:2
Inter vs. Marseille 2:1
Ajaccio AC vs. Marseille 1:0
Évian Thonon FC vs. Marseille 2:0
4 losses, 2 draws, 4:9. Total disaster. They actually got knocked out of the cup by a third-division side.

Last 6 for Bayern:
Bayern Munich vs. Hannover 96 2:1
Borussia M'gladbach vs. Bayern Munich 0:0
Hertha BSC vs. Bayern Munich 0:6
Bayern Munich vs. Basel 7:0
Bayern Munich vs. TSG Hoffenheim 7:1
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Bayern Munich 2:0
4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 22:4. Bayern looks solid. 22 goals in 6 games is... something.

Seems doable. Marseille has been a mess this half-season. Lost at home to Arsenal and Olympiacos in the Champions League, so why would they stand a chance against a Bayern squad eyeing a home-field Champions League final? Even though they picked up most points at home, those 3 losses hurt. They made the quarterfinals by beating an Inter side that probably would've crushed them if luck hadn't been on their side. At this rate, Marseille might be starting the match with their third-string keeper—last time he played was back in 2011.

Braga vs. Academica Coimbrafavorite +2 1.90
Braga could grab first place tomorrow. Porto stumbled with a 1-1 draw at Paços de Ferreira.
At home, they’ve got 10 wins (7 against the spread) and a draw against Benfica.
Academica is flirting with relegation; they've conceded 29 goals total, 20 of those on the road.
Braga form: W-W-W-W-W-D
Academica form: L-L-D-D-D-L

Manchester United vs. Fulham1 1.30
A win over Fulham puts them back on top.

2.47

Tulsa vs. Washington Metro favorite+2 1.65
Tulsa can't afford to drop points tomorrow. They've cleaned up at home, losing only to the Seattle Sounders.
Washington is stuck in the relegation zone. Their away record is rough—mostly losses, often by a spread:
Seattle vs. Washington 1:0
Columbus Crew vs. Washington 3:1
FC Cincinnati vs. Washington 2:0
LA Galaxy vs. Washington 2:0
LAFC vs. Washington 3:0
Houston Dynamo vs. Washington 2:1
Orlando City vs. Washington 4:2
Nashville SC vs. Washington 2:1
Tulsa didn't start the second half of the season great—two draws away and a 4:1 loss to Houston—but they look like a different team at home after beating the Portland Timbers 2:1.

Olympia vs. Asteras 1 1.25
A win puts them 10 points ahead of Panathinaikos. Asteras has struggled on the road, scoring only 8 goals (0.62 average), while Olympia hasn't conceded in 9 straight league games. At home, they have 11 wins and 2 draws.

Napoli vs. Catania over 2 goals 1.70
Out of 35 goals conceded, Catania let in 28 of them on the road. Napoli has one of the best attacks in the league, especially at home. Now that they're out of the Champions League, they're in the Cup final and can focus on domestic play. Of course, their hunger for goals might leave them open. Just think back to those matches against Cagliari (6:3) or Genoa (6:1).

4.54

Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad Real scores in both halves 1.45
After those two stumbles and that messy result against Villarreal, Real looks hungry for this one. Sociedad hasn't been much of a threat this season; they've been leaking goals.

Stoke City vs. Manchester City Under 3.5 goals 1.25
Even with a perfect home record, City tends to trip up on the road. Stoke plays tough at home.
They managed draws against Chelsea (0-0) and Manchester United (1-1), plus a win over Tottenham (2-1).
City might actually have to work for this win.

Chelsea vs. Tottenham Chelsea to score 1.20
Tottenham is winless in four, conceding in every single match. On the flip side, Chelsea seems to have found their rhythm since Villas-Boas left.

Odds:2.17

Seattle Sounders-LA Galaxy under 2.5 goals 1.80
Seattle's struggling this year, hovering near the bottom of the standings. Offense is lacking, though the defense holds steady. Only 18 goals conceded (0.86).
Expecting LA Galaxy to play it tight again with a single striker out front.

Manchester City-Chelsea 1 2.10
City can't afford any slip-ups. They've been perfect at home this season. Chelsea hasn't exactly lived up to the hype on the road lately.
Terry and Luiz are questionable for Chelsea—their main center-backs.

Tottenham-Stoke City 1 1.50
Tottenham is chasing the top spot. Expecting them to handle Stoke, who struggle away from home. Only managed 14 points on their travels.

Heerenveen-PSV Eindhoven both teams to score and over 2.5 1.80
Last 6 matchups:
PSV vs. Heerenveen 5:1
Heerenveen vs. PSV 1:5
PSV vs. Heerenveen 2:2
Heerenveen vs. PSV 1:3
Heerenveen vs. PSV 2:2
Heerenveen vs. PSV 1:3

CF Villarreal-Real Madrid favorite +2 2.10
Villarreal is on a three-game skid. Real tends to bounce back hard after a loss. Historically, Real usually covers the spread against them.

22.55

LA Galaxy-Granada CF Granada fails to score 1,50
The Galaxy have been solid at home, conceding just 5 goals in 13 games (0.38). They're looking sharp, and since Real Madrid dropped points, there's actually a glimmer of hope for the title race.
On the flip side, Granada’s offense is struggling. They’ve only managed 24 goals in 27 games (0.88), and they've been even worse on the road with just 9 (0.69). Their recent form is rough—2 wins and 4 losses in their last 6 outings.

Lakers-Celtics 2 or more goals 1,27
Final Four, second leg. The Lakers took a 2-1 lead in the first game, so the Celtics have to push from the jump. I don't see the Lakers sitting back at home. Usually, when these two meet, we see plenty of action and over 2 goals.

Fürth-Bayern Munich II 2 or more goals 1,15
Fürth is on fire right now. They've won 4 straight, scoring 13 goals in the process. They've climbed to the top of the second tier and are deep in the cup. They really need to capitalize against Borussia on their own turf. Borussia will likely hunt for an away goal to make things easier.

2,19

Christian Morales40 said:PSV Eindhoven-CF Valencia over 2 goals 1.65
Two heavy hitters here. Both teams are conceding more than once a game in their domestic leagues. It’ll be an open match; PSV will chase goals, and I doubt they'll keep a clean sheet.

Ath.Bilbao-Manchester United 2 or more goals 1.17
United has to play wide open. Athletic has a packed stadium and a home crowd behind them—I don't see them sitting back for 90 minutes.

OlympPir-Metalist Kharkiv advance- Olympiakos 1.25
Better value than just a double chance at 1.20. After that first leg loss, I don't think Metalist stands a chance in the hellscape of Piraeus. Olympiakos is strong at home, and they haven't conceded in about 10 games.

2.41

Tough one for PSV-Valencia yesterday. PSV had 22 shots compared to Valencia's 7. And Metalist pulled off a surprise too.
Today:
Genclerbirligi-Trabzonspor both teams to score 1.60
Genclerbirligi scored 45 goals (1.5 per game) but let in 46 (1.53). Trabzonspor has the second-best attack in the league with 57 goals (1.9), while conceding
35 (1.16). Both clubs have seen both sides score in 5 of their last 6 league matches. In their last 5 head-to-heads, they've always found the net.

LegiaWar-Polonia Warszawa Legia to score 1.20
The big capital derby in Poland. Legia has hit their stride late in the season, with 4 straight wins and only one loss. They looked great against Sporting at home (2:2) too. They're top of the table, with 4 teams chasing them, including Polonia (5 points). Polonia started with 2 wins and 2 losses, but they just beat Jagiellonia 4:1. Historically, Legia has 8 wins, Polonia has 4, and there were 3 draws. Polonia won the last one 2:1, so Legia is looking for revenge.

BenficaL-Beira mar Aveiro 1 1.20
Benfica has a break before their LP quarterfinals, so they face 13th-place Beira mar away. Not much to say there; Benfica has beaten everyone at home except Porto.

2.3

PSV Eindhoven-Valenciaover 2 goals 1.65
Two heavy hitters here, both conceding more than once per game in their domestic leagues. It’ll be an open match; PSV will chase goals, and honestly, I doubt they keep a clean sheet.

Athletic Bilbao-Manchester United 2 or more goals 1.17
United has to play wide open. Athletic has a packed stadium and a home crowd that won't let them sit back and defend for 90 minutes.

Olympiakos-Metalist Kharkiv qualify - Olympiakos 1.25
Better value than the double chance (1.20). After that first loss, I don't see Metalist standing a chance in the madness of Piraeus. Olympiakos is at home, and they haven't conceded in 10 games, so momentum is on their side.

2.41

Real Madrid-CSKA Moscowfavorite +2 1.50
Not much to say here. Real at home can crush anyone. Don't see why CSKA wouldn't make it to the quarterfinals. They've played nothing but draws in their last three outings.

Chelsea-Napoliover 2 goals 1.65
Chelsea needs to chase a result from the first leg, which means they have to open up completely. Napoli's attack looks stronger than their defense. Chelsea could easily bag a few goals, and Napoli's offense is even more potent. Pressure on Chelsea, then counterattacks against Edinson Cavani, Ezekiel Lavezzi, and Edinson Hamšik.
2.47

Going for a smaller stake here.
Real Madrid-CSKA Moscowhandicap 0:3 - 1 3.30
Erzgebirge Aue-1860 Munichboth teams to score and over 2.5 goals 2.05
Purely statistical. Both sides concede and score plenty.
Mlada Boleslav-Viktoria Plzeňboth teams to score 1.70
Mlada has seen both teams score in their last six matches. Viktoria also concedes a lot, despite having the best attack in the league. They played just a week ago and ended in a 1:1 draw. My only hesitation is that they recently lost 0:4 to Sigma.
11.50

Christian Morales40 said:Bayern Munich-FC Basel It’s just a bit too much. Or maybe not enough. Hard to say. 1,65
Might as well mention that last game against Hoffenheim. A 7-1 blowout.

Liverpool FC-Everton FC Three goals or fewer. 1,20
Both sides have been struggling to find their rhythm lately, conceding as much as they score. In 27 matches, Liverpool FC and Everton FC have only managed to clear the three-goal mark four times. It’s a derby, so expect both teams to play it safe. Looking at their head-to-head history, they usually stay under four goals—only three out of the last 19 games went over.

Doncaster-Reading Reading FC scores. 1,20
Looking at the third-string squad, they're on an 8-game winning streak right now. Doncaster is sitting near the bottom of the table. They've conceded 55 goals. In their last six matches, they haven't kept a clean sheet once.

2,37

Everything went smoothly, even the folk stuff. An excellent day.
Need to watch tomorrow's game. If Cristiano Ronaldo manages to net two, I might try a 0:3 handicap on Real Madrid.

Bayern Munich-FC Basel f+2 1.65

wiredcanyon39 said:Bayern has more talent on paper. Basel is mostly just scrappy, but I doubt grit will save them tomorrow in the chaos of the Allianz Arena. There’s a massive quality gap here; I expect Basel to look pretty intimidated early on. Plus, if the Bavarians want to avoid extra time, they need to cover the handicap, which feels like a safe bet.

Might as well mention that last 7-1 blowout against Hoffenheim.

Liverpool FC-Everton FC 3 goals or fewer 1.20
Both sides have been struggling to find the net or keep a clean sheet this season. In 27 matches, Liverpool FC has only seen over 3 goals scored in 4 of them. Same story for Everton FC. It’s a derby, so expect both teams to play it cautious. Their head-to-head history usually stays under 4 goals too—only 3 times in their last 19 meetings.

Doncaster-Reading Reading to score 1.20
Reading is sitting third in their division and is currently riding an 8-game winning streak. Doncaster is hovering near the bottom. They've conceded 55 goals so far, and they've failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 6 outings.

2.37

Christian Morales40 said:Večernji 2.34

FC Porto vs Academica de Coimbra favorite +2 1.50
Now that they're out of Europe, the Porto guys can focus entirely on the league. Their schedule isn't going to be too brutal. They’ve got a three-point cushion over Benfica and just have to wait for them to slip up. They're facing tenth-place Academica, who haven't managed a win in nine games. Porto has covered the handicap at home against everyone except Benfica and Braga.

USC Palermo vs AS Roma Palermo to score 1.30
Both sides are in a bit of a slump. Palermo looked lost away at Siena, then struggled at home against AC Milan. Roma got crushed 4-1 by Atalanta before losing 2-1 in the derby against Lazio. I think this is the best value here since Palermo is solid at home. Out of 34 points, 30 came on their own turf. They've scored against everyone at home, though Milan is a different beast entirely right now. Roma has been leaking goals this season, especially on the road.

Heerenveen vs Excelsior 1 1.20
It's crowded at the top of the Eredivisie. Six clubs are within five points of each other. Heerenveen is sitting in 5th and keeps getting better. Every match counts now, and I don't see them passing up a chance against bottom-feeder Excelsior. Excelsior has only picked up 3 points away this season—all draws. Everything else was a loss against the spread. Basically a punching bag.

And naturally, Palermo plays terribly. Porto can't find the win, let alone cover the handicap. 🙂

Christian Morales40 said:Daily 2.26

Atromitos FC vs Doxa Dramas 1 1.45
Atromitos is fighting for a spot in Europe this season. They’re on a three-game winning streak. At home, they’ve managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 loss out of 11 matches. Doxa is struggling at the bottom of the table; they've picked up only 4 points in 11 away games. They look slightly better at home, but most of those points came against other bottom-feeders. They actually lost their last one to PAS Giannina, who sit in 13th.

NK Lučko vs Dinamo Chicago 2 1.30
Lučko is sitting at the bottom. I really don't see them snatching anything from Dinamo, especially since they're looking to secure a solid lead before the derby. If I'm wrong, I'll just take the hit.😍.

Hajduk Split vs NK Split 1X 1.20
Watched Hajduk against Dinamo Chicago recently; they played well. Split had a sluggish start to the season, and NK Lučko took points off them in their last home game. This is a derby, so motivation will be high. A surprise from Split is possible, but I don't see them getting more than a draw.

If the evening matches go this way... 😁