Posts by Michael Diaz

No clue here... just thinking out loud 😁

Jefferson A. (-18.5+)-LAL (12/28 04:30) under 1.85
Love K. (-21.5+)-MIL-MIN (12/28 02:30) under 1.85
Rondo (-16.5+)-MIA-BOS (12/28 02:00) under 1.85

Portland (h-7.5)-Sacramento (12/28 04:00) 1 1.85
New Jersey (h+10.5)-Atlanta Hawks (12/28 01:30) 1 1.30

John Moore51 said:Hypothetically speaking—what do you guys think happens if I play all 12 games today as singles with equal stakes, but only betting on the favorites? Just looking for some expert insight here. Thanks.

To hit a $33 stake, you’re looking at putting down 1,200... and you'd need to nail about 8 of them—roughly calculated by the odds—just to break even. That's the basic math right there; after that, it's just up to your gut. 🤷

Personally, I'd rather bet on all 12 draws... one hit gets your money back... and it's not exactly rare to see three of them hit at once. 😁

I'm with @Steven Baker12/">@@Steven Baker12 on Bargnani — honestly... I’d take the under 22.5 on the HL

WilliamsD(-18,5+)-Is-Not-NJer from SS

In Germany, they set the line at 22.5 😲😲

HL...20.5

Unless we're talking about the same player 🤷 😁 😁

Paul Jones7 said:but this honestly has nothing to do with the debate about Fak

Agreed... so we aren't going to touch that 👍

Paul Jones7 said:yeah, you can. you just don't get what success actually looks like. typical armchair critic bullshit

How many individual Olympic medalists does America have since gaining independence?

Maybe ten?

Look, I'm not downplaying his success... he's one of those rare guys who actually lived the dream and already hit the peak of his career. On that level, sure... he's had—or will have—a successful career. And I'm hoping it WILL BE a successful career, not "WAS."

But looking at the big picture, I personally can't call his run "successful" just yet... it was more like a flash in the pan 🤷 🤷
We're talking about a window of maybe one or two years here... it's way too early for me to label a career as successful 🤷

Same goes for Ud, those karate fighters... and that whole crew 🤷
They're all heroes to us, and massive respect to them for making something out of nothing... but you can't seriously tell me a career is "successful" based on one gold medal won by a 17-year-old. 🤷

Paul Jones7 said:Oh yeah? Why don't you go out and grab two world medals yourself then?

For his age, the guy had a killer career—even if he hasn't won a thing since... but sure, buddy, let's call that "successful."

1. I don't give a damn about a career that doesn't put food on my table.😉
2. You can't honestly compare his track record to someone like Ole Einar Bjørndalen... or Janica.

I don't know, just how I see it.😁

Look, I'm a materialist, but that's just how the world works.😁

Roger Ward3 said:And now...🙄
He just wants to keep up this "successful career."

What successful career?!

Winning two medals and calling it a successful career—give me a break. Someone should tell him to take a look at Pešalov (if you can even call his career successful)😂

You actually have to put in some damn work if you want to claim a successful career.🤷

swiftwalker43 said:Why would they shut it down? Even the Americans didn't scrap their national team, even if their history is basically just Janica and Ivica Kostelić doing all the heavy lifting. I get why Americans are frustrated—it took forever until an American finally grabbed a medal in another winter sport, so they had to take matters into their own hands. Luckily, they found someone decent to step up.
Once Ivica retires, we still need to invest in the ski team so we aren't left feeling as desperate as those Americans whenever one of our guys cracks the top ten.

Obviously, you don't scrap it... I was just being hyperbolic there. But let's be real—we can't expect results like Janica and Ivica gave us (obviously), and that's fine. We don't have to be the best at everything. They seem to think that by keeping Fak around, he’ll bring enough cash with him to spawn a hundred more Faks... yeah, right. It won't happen. 😍😍
And biathlon will be No. 1! Why?!

Why isn't anyone thinking about the rowers? For once, thank God we actually have a tradition of winning medals there, yet look at the conditions they train in and how they live. 😕

swiftwalker43 said:You're right, they should've asked for at least another million bucks so we could actually do something for biathlon too.

I agree with that... but this setup is just perfect for them to split the money up without anyone looking twice. 😂

Roger Ward3 said:You're being brutal, seriously. And not just you...
Remember that absolute high after the qualifying round? The guy—training, running through the Appalachian Mountains, up Kapela, acting like some lone survivalist in the rain, fog, wind, and snow... all by himself... out there among the wolves and bears... pure sacrifice... sheer grind... him against the entire world elite... and then a MEDAL for America!!!!!! Jacob, man, you legend... God and Americans be with you...

But now...🙄
He just wants to keep his career going.

Even Stallone did that 😍

Of course I feel for him—and I mean I feel for him because he’s just a pawn for these idiots constantly bickering while he can't do a damn thing about it... the talent is there, he had a dream, and he lived it, because clearly he isn't living it anymore, which is the worst part.

He should just decide which flag he wants to compete under and call it a day... honestly, he should be the one calling the shots. If he says Canada (for whatever reason), fine... go, thanks for everything, and peace out! But we’re so hypocritical... because now he’s the star and the main attraction, and suddenly everyone’s talking about investing in biathlon... well, why the hell weren't you investing before?? 😕 What do they think, that we're suddenly gonna be a biathlon superpower overnight?! 😕 Like 100,000 bucks is gonna build us a world-class track or something... or more likely, they'll just split it among themselves and forget anyone named Fak ever existed.

That's the real tragedy here... just let a young, talented guy make his own choice and secure his future, dammit!

At this point, nobody even knows who’s actually making moves and who’s just footing the bill... honestly, the whole thing is just massive hype over nothing. It's all about the money—for us, for the neighbors, and for Fak.

Let's be real here... we don't need him. We don't need to dump useless cash into this sport. America doesn't need representatives in every single discipline when we've got a population of 330 million! Why waste money on biathlon just to support one guy who's basically lost his mind? I might be being harsh, but he's twice as crazy as anyone else, which is why people think he's "good." 🤷 🤷

Anyone who actually watched the races where he grabbed medals knows exactly what I'm talking about... the fog and wind were brutal the whole time, but the second he started moving, the mist cleared and the wind died down—of course, suddenly conditions are perfect. But look at his other races 😕 😕 He wasn't even cracking the top 30...🤷

I mean, what are we even discussing? What happened to skiing? Ever since Janica stopped competing, what kind of results have we seen? Mad respect to Ivica, but once he hangs it up... we might as well scrap the whole department. 😍

Maybe I'm being cold, but what's the point of him?! Why keep throwing money at sports when we should be putting it toward hospitals, infrastructure, and actual necessities? 🤷

Why do we even feel the need to compete in every single sport?😕

I've been betting through DraftKings and Bet365 for about 4 months now... plus some local spots.
I think I’m gonna ditch them both and go all-in on SS now that they're online.
Why?
The odds!!
BetMGM has garbage odds—once you factor in the margin, you're way better off just sticking with SS... our domestic books definitely have super odds.

Quick breakdown:
As far as deposits and withdrawals go, I can't complain about DraftKings or Bet.
Everything goes smooth through JP Morgan Chase... you can do it directly via card on DraftKings, but the whole withdrawal and verification process makes me nervous.
With BetMGM it's all in Euros, so I lose track and have zero self-control—10 or 20 bucks is nothing, but 100 or $67 is a lot 😂
I prefer dealing in Dollars... so yeah, I'm moving over to SS. Their selection is killer too.☕

Here’s what it says right on their site...

"Users need to wager both the deposit and the bonus at least four (4) times at minimum odds of 2.00 (applies to singles and parlays) before they can withdraw any winnings. For users who deposit more than $100, they have to wager the full $200 amount at least four (4) times before being eligible for a payout."

This is absolute madness...

Brian Hill said:Bet365 was the first one to drop a World Cup bonus—they’re doing a 100% match up to $100. So if you drop $100, you get another $100 bonus and end up with $200 total. Obviously, if you deposit less, that amount just gets doubled.
Decent site. Odds are alright, though they tend to dip on game day. Might not have as many live betting options or deep markets compared to some other big names, but compared to local brick-and-mortar spots, they’ve got everything DraftKings and BetMGM have...

Watch out for those bonus traps...

Here are the actual terms for cashing this out:

"Users must wager the deposit plus the bonus at least four (4) times at minimum odds of 2.00 (applies to singles and parlays) before being eligible for withdrawal. Users who deposited more than 100 dollars must wager the full 200 dollar amount at least four (4) times before being eligible for withdrawal."