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Posts by Christian Ruiz

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NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Christian Ruiz said:Carmelo Anthony over #20.5

In March, Carmelo Anthony was sitting at a meager 17.8 points per game—hardly his usual standard. Honestly, I can't even remember the last time he maintained numbers that low consistently. I’ve mentioned before that while he’s definitely stepped up defensively under the new head coach, his offensive production has taken a hit. Even though his raw stats have dipped, his actual impact and value to the Knicks remain absolutely vital. Personally, I think his lower numbers are just a byproduct of everyone adjusting to the whole Jeremy Lin situation and getting used to J.R. Smith being in the mix. Both of them love having the ball in their hands, and let's be real, there isn't a single player on this Knicks roster who doesn't want a green light to shoot. After coming back from injury and dealing with some absences, Melo has felt a bit overshadowed. The big question is: how long does this last? Tonight, he's showing those leadership qualities and shooting touch once again. At the end of the day, it usually comes down to ego when you're dealing with superstars. It's worth noting that the Orlando Magic matchup typically suits him well, and considering the Knicks are playing without both Jeremy Lin and Amar'e Stoudemire, this line feels a bit off. In the one matchup against Orlando this season, he dropped 33 points, whereas his career average against them is 28.6.
"I've just got to step my game up," Anthony said. "We've been winning. As far as scoring the basketball, we really haven't been needing that. It's been pretty much spread out but now with them two guys, there ain't no telling what's the situation with them. So it's just time for me to step my game up in all aspects

And since the other guys aren't carrying the load for this bet, I think Carmelo is a solid play. 😁

Carmelo Anthony #25 pts
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Carmelo Anthony over #20.5

Back in March, Melo was sitting at a miserable 17.8 points per game for him. Honestly, I can't even remember the last time he stayed at those kinds of numbers consistently. I’ve mentioned before that while his defense has definitely improved under the new head coach, his offensive production has taken a hit. Even though his stats have dipped, his impact and value to the New York Knicks are absolutely priceless. Personally, I think his lower numbers are just a byproduct of everyone adjusting to the whole Linsanity craze and getting used to having Smith on the floor. Everyone wants the ball, and there isn't anyone in the Knicks' rotation who doesn't want a green light. After dealing with injuries and some time away, Melo has been searching for his rhythm and ended up getting overshadowed a bit. The big question is: how long does this last? Tonight, he’s showing those leadership qualities and shooting skills again. At the end of the day, it always comes down to ego with superstars. It’s safe to say he plays well against Orlando, and considering the Knicks are playing without both Jeremy Lin and Amar'e Stoudemire, this line feels a bit off. In their matchup against Orlando earlier this season, he dropped 33 points, whereas his career average sits at 28.6.
"I've just got to step my game up," Anthony said. "We've been winning. As far as scoring the basketball, we really haven't been needing that. It's been pretty much spread out but now with them two guys, there ain't no telling what's the situation with them. So it's just time for me to step my game up in all aspects

And I don't think the others play a big enough role to make this a bad bet. Melo is solid.😁
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Christian Ruiz said:Marc Gasol under #15.5
Since I'm dealing with some technical issues on my end right now, 🙂 unfortunately, there won't be a written breakdown for this pick. Higher stakes involved!

M. Gasol #8 pts
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Marc Gasol UNDER #15.5
Since I'm running into some technical issues at the moment, 🙂 I won't be able to provide a full breakdown for this pick. Higher stakes though!
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Christian Ruiz said:Jeremy Lin under #14.5

Linsational, Linderella, Linsanity, Linspiration, super Lintendo, Mr Lincredible, Linvincible, The Linstigator... the whole linomania phenomenon really shook the NBA, serving up one of those classic American underdog stories. Of course, you can't chalk Lin's rise up to nothing more than media hype, but you have to admit—that kind of life story, going from total unknown to superstar, is something you really only see in the States. Lin became the first player in NBA history to put up at least 20 points and 7 assists in each of his first 5 starts. He was absolutely on fire during those weeks in January and February, averaging 22.5 points and 8.7 assists heading into the All-Star Break. But let's step away from the movie script details and get back to today's pick. The coach who originally gave Lin the keys to the show has stepped down. Many will probably say "FINALLY." It was pretty obvious that D'Antoni had lost the locker room, especially with some of the All-Stars on the roster, following an open conflict with Melo. Given the results and the team chemistry, this move felt like a logical progression. His assistant, Mike Woodson, took over the reins and immediately sparked a 5-game winning streak. The team started playing much better defensively, and even Melo—who isn't exactly known for his defensive hustle—started showing up more on that end. What interests me about this bet is the current state of the Knicks and their overall roster. To be clear, I'm not placing this bet because of Detroit or the specific matchup; the margin feels quite reasonable at first glance. The sheer number of ball-handlers in the Knicks' rotation is staggering, so it’s no surprise that Melo has been posting his lowest scoring averages in ages lately. While there's talk about him embracing a new role, I personally think that won't last long; it's just a matter of time before he gets back to his career norms. Most importantly, Baron Davis is back from injury. Even though it's too early to judge based solely on yesterday's game against Toronto, it seems to me that Lin is struggling with the reduced minutes. He's the type of player who needs rhythm and consistent time on the floor to find his numbers. With stronger names in the lineup, I suspect Lin's production might dip once Baron starts playing at full strength. This is a bet based on a gut feeling from watching last night's game. Maybe I'm wrong, but I expect flashes from Lin rather than consistent high-scoring output, especially once the roster is fully healthy. I'm hoping tonight isn't another one of those "Lin nights." We've seen enough madness in New York this year.

J. Lin #13 pts
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Jeremy Lin under #14.5

Linsational, Linderella, Linsanity, Linspiration, super Lintendo, Mr Lincredible, Linvincible, The Linstigator... linomania shook the NBA, serving up one of those classic American underdog stories. Of course, you can't credit Lin's rise solely to media hype, but you have to admit—that kind of life story, rising from total anonymity to stardom, is something you really only see in the States. Lin became the first player in NBA history to put up at least 20 points and 7 assists in each of his first five starts. He was absolutely on fire during those weeks in January and February, averaging 22.5 points and 8.7 assists heading into the All-Star Break. Now, instead of getting lost in the cinematic details of his journey, let me get back to today's pick. The coach who actually gave Lin the platform for his big show has stepped down. Many will probably say "FINALLY." It was obvious that D'Antoni had lost the locker room, especially with the All-Stars on the team, following an open conflict with Melo. Given the results and the team chemistry, this move felt like a logical progression. His assistant, Mike Woodson, took over the reins and immediately sparked a 5-game winning streak. The team started playing much better defensively; even Melo, who isn't exactly known for his defensive intensity, began showing up more on that end. What interests me regarding this bet is the current state of the Knicks and their overall roster. I should clarify: this isn't a bet based on Detroit or the specific matchup, and the margin seems pretty reasonable at first glance. Honestly, the sheer number of ball-handlers in the Knicks' rotation is incredible. It’s no wonder Melo has been posting his lowest scoring averages in what feels like forever lately. While there's all this talk about him taking on a new role within the team, I personally don't think it'll last long; it's just a matter of time before he returns to his career-standard numbers. Most importantly, Baron Davis is back from injury. Even though it's too early to judge based solely on yesterday's game against Toronto, it seems to me that Lin is struggling with the reduced minutes. He's the type of player who needs rhythm and consistent time on the floor to really find his scoring touch. Since there are players with bigger names than him in the lineup, I suspect his numbers might dip, especially if Baron starts playing at full strength. This is a bet based on gut feeling and the impression left by last night's game. Maybe I'm wrong, but I feel like we should expect flashes from Lin rather than sustained high production, particularly once the roster is fully healthy. I'm hoping tonight isn't another one of those "Lin nights." We've seen enough miracles in New York this year.
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Christian Ruiz said:[Houston-Golden State] Luis Scola over 16.5#

First off, hello everyone! I hope my (un)certain insights might be of some help to you all as I share them here.

So, looking at Luis Scola over 16 points—it seems like a reasonable margin given his season average is 15.7, but today’s matchup actually favors this bet quite nicely. After all the noise and speculation surrounding potential trades, Scola announced he's genuinely happy to be staying right here in Houston. Beyond just being settled and not wanting to uproot his life from Texas, his performance on the court has been solid; he's averaged 18.4 points over his last five games. What really helps this bet, looking at the Rockets' injury report, is definitely the absence of Lowry and Martin. Even if the matchup against the Warriors isn't ideal, I still think this is worth a shot. While the line was pushed up because those two are out, it doesn't hurt Scola's numbers—if anything, it helps. Scola simply knows how to step up as a leader when the situation calls for it. On top of that, they're facing a team that has also been very active with trades; besides appearing hungry for changes and first-round picks, they are dealing with serious injury issues. They are practically playing without a real frontcourt since Biedrins is injured and Udoha was traded, and they've brought up Tyler from the G-League, who just made his first career start last game. Because they are thin on height, Tyler and Lee are rotating at center, while McGuire has moved from small forward to power forward to cover alongside Lee. And with all that, they're basically playing with, let's say, subpar defense.😁 Last season, Scola served them well, averaging 25.3 points in the three games they played against them. This season, in their only meeting, Scola put up 14 points but only grabbed 6 rebounds, which is honestly pretty low. But weighing everything together, I think this margin is only about two baskets away from being hit, considering the circumstances.

L.Scola #18 pts
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
[Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors] Luis Scola over 16.5#

First off, hello everyone! I hope my (un)certain knowledge might be of some help to a few of you out there.

So, looking at Luis Scola over 16 points. On paper, it seems like a reasonable margin given his season average of 15.7, but today's matchup actually makes this bet look quite attractive. After all the drama and speculation surrounding trade rumors, Scola announced he’s genuinely happy to be staying put with the Houston Rockets. Beyond just being settled and happy to stay in Texas, he's been putting up solid numbers lately—averaging 18.4 points over his last five games. What really backs this bet up, looking at the Rockets' injury report, is the absence of both Kyle Lowry and Gerald Martin. Honestly, even if this wasn't a matchup against the Warriors, it would be worth a shot. While the line was bumped up because those two are out, it doesn't hurt Scola's outlook; if anything, it helps. He simply knows how to step up as a leader when the team needs him most. Plus, they're facing a Warriors squad that has also been busy with trades. They seem hungry for change and first-round picks, but they're dealing with serious injury issues too. They are essentially playing without a real frontline since Andris Biedrins is sidelined and Udoha was traded. They brought up Tyler from the D-League, who actually earned his first career start last game. Because they're lacking size, Tyler and Lee are rotating at center, while McGuire has been moved from small forward to power forward to cover alongside Lee. So, with all that said, the whole group is basically playing with "meh" defense.😁 Last season, Scola really took advantage of them, averaging 25.3 points in the three games they played against them. This season, in their only meeting, Scola put up 14 points, though he only grabbed 6 rebounds, which is pretty low. When you weigh everything up, I think this margin is short by at least two points given the circumstances.