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Posts by rowdymaker17

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Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Donna Harris11 said:That whole "civilized" (LOL) minority looks a bit, I guess, like they've been totally reshuffled—kind of like how people say things go down in Mexico.

Precisely. Japan has made its stance clear: they aren't imposing an embargo on Russian raw materials because their entire economic engine is fundamentally dependent on them, and since both Japan and Korea sit in a region notoriously starved of natural resources, their entire technological productivity relies heavily on securing cheap supplies from Russia.

The Japanese Foreign Minister essentially told the USA and the EU that they shouldn't even bother asking Japan to follow suit, because, as I have pointed out before, Japan has spent far too many decades negotiating and stabilizing trade terms with Russia to suddenly dismantle everything they have painstakingly built. But then again, the EU will likely decide to sever all ties with Russia overnight simply because the USA is feeling aggressive and seems hellbent on provoking a conflict with Russia.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
urbanheron4 said:Just laying out the potential scenarios here

Oil reserves
Oil production

Gas reserves
Gas production

None of that actually matters in the grand scheme of things. The only metric that carries any weight is the volume each nation exports, because export capacity represents the true surplus being pushed into the global market. Raw production figures are essentially a distraction; every major producer prioritizes their own domestic requirements and internal capacities first, and only then do they look at what's left. Furthermore, as market instability intensifies, we will inevitably see export volumes contract while prices climb accordingly. 👍
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Nancy Gomez26 said:Regarding that bolded part—you are sorely mistaken. The leadership in Saudi Arabia is directly dependent on the USA. They are acutely aware of that reality, and they will follow the guidance coming out of Washington precisely because of it.

I am not sure if you are following the broader geopolitical shifts, but ever since the Saudi prince was convicted in absentia in the USA for the murder of an investigative journalist based on several counts in the indictment, Saudi Arabia hasn't given the slightest bit of damn about what the USA thinks, primarily because China and Russia are now presenting them with viable alternative options. This is precisely why they agreed to stop charging Asian nations in dollars and instead move toward using Asian national currencies, a move that infuriated Biden, who subsequently attempted to threaten Saudi Arabia, only to be completely ignored by the prince. They remain dependent on the USA only until they identify another power willing to step into the role of the American guarantor under terms that are more favorable to Saudi Arabia than their current arrangement with the USA. It all comes down to trade.

Regarding the relationship—see the article below:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/saudi-e...is-11646779430
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Joshua Wilson17 said:If the EU economy isn't capable of replacing the energy it imports with its own domestic supply, then maybe it really should just shut down...

Well, Venezuela is blocked just like Iran is. The USA won't even let them sell their oil on the NATO market. If anyone actually believes that Saudi Arabia is going to step up and fill the gap left by Russian production capacity, they are dreaming. Just look at Slovakia—they declared an economic emergency yesterday, halting oil and gas deliveries to three different countries because they calculated there is absolutely no way they can finalize trade deals with Norway and Saudi Arabia before winter hits. They’re projecting they won't have enough to cover their own needs this season, and a slow-motion panic is already setting in. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia seems completely indifferent to any "humanitarian" gestures, especially since they've decided to pivot away from the dollar in their dealings with Asia, opting instead to pay in rubles and yuan while totally ignoring Biden. And if they do decide to export more to the EU, the price is going to be fucking astronomical because now the entire world can screw us over with pricing; we have no leverage and will be forced to buy the most expensive oil and gas on the planet. So much for the luxury lifestyle—the middle class is headed straight for the gutter. And who should we thank for having zero options? The USA and NATO. It wasn't Russia that slapped the embargoes on Venezuela and Iran; it was us.

It is quite evident that NATO has made a massive blunder here; first, they hit Latin America and the Middle East with embargoes, and now they've turned that same logic toward Russia. So, where exactly is the EU supposed to get its oil and gas? Does anyone else exist besides Saudi Arabia, the USA, and Norway? And keep in mind, Norway itself has stated that they couldn't replace the EU's requirements in their wildest dreams, nor do they intend to try. As for Saudi Arabia, they couldn't care less about the USA or its allies, given that their exports to Asian and African states have increased regardless. Even if they do decide to export extra to us, Saudi Arabia, Russia, China, and India will eventually surpass the entire EU in terms of trade volume and the purchasing power of their citizens. I realize people here want to cheer for our side, but I am telling you... we are going to be freezing this winter. 👍

Canada is becoming the main player within the EU; they've even managed to push America out of the competition and position themselves as a leading supplier of oil and gas. Regarding renewable energy sources, it will take at least twenty years to reach the level we currently enjoy with Russian oil and gas, and in the meantime, demand is only going to rise. We could argue that we will never reach a point where renewables can "finance" demand unless we destroy every bit of flora and fauna on the planet—honestly, I don't even know where we'll import food from once we've slapped sanctions on the world's largest food producers. Those delusional dreams coming out of Brussels will remain nothing more than dreams.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Joshua Wilson17 said:If I'm hearing you right, you're saying we shouldn't bother with sanctions against Russia just because fuel is cheaper? It doesn't matter if an invasion is actually happening. After all, Putin claims Ukrainians aren't even a real nation and have no right to their own country.
What if someone said something similar about Americans and the United States? Would you change your mind then? Or would the price at the pump still be more important...

Could you provide a link to a reliable source actually confirming that Putin said that?
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
India and Japan have officially decided to sit out the NATO sanctions regarding the halt of Russian oil and gas purchases. India made it quite clear that they aren't interested in anything other than the direct interests of their own citizens, arguing that an embargo on Russian raw materials serves absolutely no purpose for the American-style consumer stability they prioritize; naturally, the USA and the EU have responded by labeling them hypocritical and arrogant. Meanwhile, Japan stated they have spent far too many years working on bilateral agreements with Russia to simply throw it all away now, and they have zero intention of imposing sanctions on Russian oil and gas. In fact, both nations have actually ramped up their imports of Russian energy because they can secure it at such significantly lower prices right now. It appears the EU is the only group of fools blindly following the lead of the USA. And looking at the current trajectory, it seems we are watching European economies slowly wither away one by one as Russia shuts off the valves and redirects its oil and gas toward the East, Latin America, and Africa. We can all look forward to a very pleasant winter. 👍
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
crimsoncyclist71 said:After everything we've heard from the Russians and Putin himself since the start of this aggressive, unprovoked war, we still have people coming here to explain how Ukraine is to blame because Russia refuses to recognize them as a nation or acknowledge their right to exist.
It's amusing to read how much you embarrass yourselves with the nonsense you spout on this forum. ☕

Only an idiot could possibly argue that wars aren't caused by something. You really need to stop swallowing the propaganda that’s clearly rotting your brain. 👍
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Peace and tranquility. As stated by:
Medvedev has completely lost his grip, spiraling into a total nervous breakdown that seems to have been ongoing since this whole mess first kicked off. What strikes me most about him is the sheer inconsistency; he used to carry himself as some sort of liberal figure—if you can even find anyone truly liberal within the Russian political landscape—and seemed genuinely inclined toward the West. Now, he’s just a shell of that former persona.
His argument essentially boils down to the claim that the West is solely to blame because they harbor a deep-seated resentment toward Russians just for being Russian. He points to the sanctions hitting the average person—someone who bears absolutely no responsibility for any of this—as his primary evidence, while conveniently glossing over the fact that those sanctions were originally designed to target the oligarchs first.
The decline in living standards won't hit a Dutchman and a Romanian with the same level of impact, primarily because they aren't starting from the same baseline. The EU is planning to roll out some non-repayable grants, and the US has already seen a portion of that funding hit the books... I wonder just how much assistance is actually going to materialize.

That is complete nonsense. When sanctions are actually deployed, their primary target is always the civilian population, because the goal is to break the political will by turning the people against their leadership and inciting a civil war—which, if we are being honest, is the exact tactic the USA employs during every single one of its foreign invasions. It is a standard operating procedure exclusively for Americans and the US government. Think about it: whenever the US decides to attack a nation, what is their first move? They bomb civilians and systematically destroy the very roads needed for humanitarian aid to arrive, all to ensure the defending military is too crippled to offer any meaningful resistance.

It is honestly baffling that after all these years, they still haven't grasped the fact that such tactics only serve to drive the opposition to fight even harder. If you look at the history, there are clear patterns of failure here. Take Japan, for instance; the regime essentially crushed their own spirit by wiping entire cities and civilian populations off the map in a matter of hours simply because they couldn't handle the pressure of the Japanese invasion and were facing total collapse. Then you have the situation in Vietnam, where the strategy was exclusively to target civilians in a desperate attempt to break the resistance of the Vietnam People's Army, an action that did nothing but intensify the conflict. The same pattern repeated in Korea, where the focus remained solely on bombing civilians and civilian infrastructure to try and shatter the resolve of the Korean Army. It’s a repetitive, failed cycle.

There simply aren't any sanctions in existence that actually target the state by going after individual oligarchs, because those oligarchs happen to control the very corporations and companies where the general civilian population earns their living. Furthermore, one must consider that Ukraine signed an agreement with Russia itself—an agreement witnessed by the USA, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, and similar powers—whereby Russia was given its word and guaranteed by JAMCILI that Ukraine would adhere to the terms and avoid any breach of neutrality or disarmament. It is pure irony that Ukraine eventually decides, "To hell with it, we'll just do whatever we want," and suddenly everyone conveniently forgets who the guarantors and signatories actually were. Please, let’s not indulge in such fantasies. It is exactly like signing an employment contract with a new firm, failing to show up for work, getting fired for breaching the very contract you signed, and then having the audacity to sue the company for terminating you; only to have the company countersue you for damages caused, leaving you completely broke and destitute in the end. 🤣

The EU doesn't just hand out free money; they provide targeted funds. While they probably won't come sniffing around for the humanitarian side—think food, water, or medicine—everything else is essentially a loan, and Ukraine will have to find a way to pay that back eventually. I honestly cannot fathom how there are people walking around today thinking that trade unions or sovereign nations are some kind of charitable organizations that just toss billions at others and say, "Hey, don't worry about those billions of dollars, just enjoy them." What exactly do you think that money belongs to? Just to refresh your memory, that is taxpayer money being pulled directly from our own citizens, diverted from our domestic investments, our public sectors, and our social safety nets, only to be handed over to someone else. And make no mistake, that capital will HAVE to be returned because this isn't a gift; it’s a loan, and it comes with interest. This is nothing more than cold, hard commerce, stripped of any sort of moral compass.

Regarding the bolded portion, I find myself in agreement. Countries positioned at such a vast distance from the conflict won't feel even a ripple of the fallout, assuming there is any significant collapse to begin with.