NBA Betting: Vol. 2

socis85 said:Just so everyone knows—for those betting on player props at the bookie, overtime points definitely count toward the total. I hope you didn't toss your ticket out the window based on that misinformation if you were riding a late player prop... OKC 🤣 Good luck, though I missed yesterday's massive NBA day.

Let’s get this straight once and for all: Overtime counts toward individual player totals, but for game lines and spreads, it’s strictly regulation time.
Every sportsbook lists their rules online—take five minutes to actually read them; it’s not exactly rocket science.

Here is an example regarding player props:



The game went into overtime and ended 104-108.

15w/19l ; -0.196 units; ROI: -0.13%

Miami Heat vs. LA Lakers
Pick: Miami Heat -5.5

Odds: 2.01

Bookie: Pinnacle

Unit: 4/10

Everyone knows the deal with Miami—they’re three-star championship contenders. We might be missing Dwyane Wade tonight, though there is a slim chance he suits up. LeBron James has been playing at a phenomenal level this season, and Chris Bosh has stepped up significantly; his numbers are much better than last year when he was clearly struggling to adjust to being the third option. The Heat boast a solid bench this year, largely because key pieces like Mike Miller and Udonis Haslem are staying healthy. They provide essential depth for Erik Spoelstra's rotation. There is also a possibility we see the massive center, Chase Budinger, make his debut tonight—though his conditioning is a question mark since he hasn't played in quite some time.
Additionally, Miami hit gold in the draft with Chase Budinger—he wasn't a high pick, but he's playing well above expectations. They also added Shane Battier, a seasoned defender who could either start tonight or be tasked with shadowing Kobe Bryant. Miami has even hinted that LeBron James might take turns guarding Kobe, which should pose plenty of problems for him given LeBron's defensive capabilities.
The Lakers rely heavily on their trio of Kobe-Gasol-Bynum—that's essentially the whole story. The rest of the roster is thin, especially the bench, leaving the heavy lifting to those three. Kobe Bryant is averaging over 30 points this season, leading the league in scoring, but he tends to force shots and make questionable decisions during crunch time. The Lakers haven't been great on the road either, sitting at 1-4 away from home, and they've even dropped games to underdogs like the Sacramento Kings.
Miami swept them both last season, and I expect them to remain superior to the Lakers this year. Their roster depth is superior, they are tough to beat at home, and they lead the league in scoring with an average of 107.23 points. While the Lakers defend well—allowing only 89.40 points per game—that figure is skewed by home games. On the road, they give up an average of 97.2 points, a number inflated only by a single 78-point performance against the Utah Jazz. In three of their other four away games, they surrendered over 100 points, and in the fourth, they gave up 99.

I think Miami takes it tonight and covers this spread, which doesn't feel too steep. They are dominant at home and have more weapons; besides, if Kobe Bryant's shot isn't falling early, things look grim for the Lakers, as he tends to force the issue when frustrated.

LeBron James is dealing with the flu and got sent home after shootaround on Thursday, so he’s officially a game-time decision for the matchup against the LA Lakers
hm hm tonight could get pretty interesting

Lawrence Castillo76 said:LeBron James (flu) was sent home from shootaround on Thursday and will be a game-time decision against the LA Lakers
Hmm. Tonight could get interesting.

Where are you getting this from?

I've been scouring news outlets in Miami, Los Angeles, ESPN, Yahoo, and Twitter—nothing is mentioning this anywhere. 😕

https://twitter.com/#!/WindhorstESPN...32038219554816 It’s looking like a total lock, so there's a real chance the King might actually suit up.

Lawrence Castillo76 said:LeBron James (flu) was sent home from shootaround on Thursday and will be a game-time decision against the LA Lakers
hmm, tonight could get pretty wild!

🙂

https://twitter.com/#!/WindhorstESPN...32721211629568 check this out, perfect for a quick read

What a joke—there wasn't a single word about this anywhere, and I just went ahead and placed my bet. 🙂

Doesn't matter, though. Miami Heat takes it regardless. 😁

I’m giving LeBron James less than a 4/10 right now

Someone better start posting these updates, man. This guy follows the Heat on Twitter and drops the news the second it happens.

Perhaps we might see Chris Bosh go over again. While I will concede that the Los Angeles Lakers possess some semblance of defensive grit at those positions, one cannot ignore the tactical vacuum created when Dwyane Wade isn't on the floor; Bosh ends up forced into an excessive volume of shots just to keep pace. Furthermore, if LeBron James isn't out there to anchor the offense, the entire playbook essentially collapses into a singular, predictable reliance on him. It’s a bit of a conundrum, really—Bosh is clearly playing with incredible rhythm lately, but we are all left in a state of weary anticipation, waiting to see what the final word will be regarding LeBron James's status...

Man, Carmelo Anthony was totally throwing shade at the buyout yesterday

It’s always the same thing—as soon as I start backing someone up, suddenly everyone starts crying about key players getting injured

socis85 said:Just for those who apparently missed the memo—in the NHL, total points include overtime. I hope you didn't toss your parlay out the window after reading that misinformation, Mr. Expert—especially if those last few legs were riding on an NHL game. As for OKC... 🤣 good luck, though I managed to skip yesterday's glorious day of NBA action.

I have never once seen a US sportsbook count overtime points toward the total... so, let's not spread misinformation. Don't try to lecture me.🙂

LeBron James(-30,5+)-Miami-LAL - under
Kobe Bryant(-30,5+)-Miami-LAL - under
Chris Bosh(-20,5+)-Miami-LAL - over
Pau Gasol(-16,5+)-Miami-LAL - over

LeBron James is a game-time decision. He’s dealing with some flu symptoms, so his availability is up in the air. Even if he does suit up, the question is whether he’ll be at 100% or just playing at maybe 50-70%. 🤷
Since we already know Dwyane Wade is out, taking the over on Chris Bosh seems like the logical play; he's likely to see an increased shot volume. 🤷

Kobe Bryant is nursing an ankle issue, and considering he's been logging heavy minutes several games in a row, it's anyone's guess how much that ankle can take.

Between Andrew Bynum and Pau Gasol, I’m leaning toward the over on Gasol. I figure one of those two will hit their over if Kobe Bryant doesn't catch fire. I went with Gasol based on gut feeling rather than any deep analysis.

☕

Utah vs. Dallas at 1.80? Are you kidding me right now?

I managed to outpace Gonz + Houston
+
Houston(186,5)-NewOrlea-Manje@1,85

Gogo vertigo said:How could they not? It’s basically how every damn sportsbook works lately! If you're looking at a line, say the Lakers x2 are set to score 94.5, right? Well, they dropped 106 on them, and I don't care if it went into overtime—they put up 106, period. End of story. Same exact crap applies to soccer, too.

Since when?? Not with SuperSport or HLS, but I wouldn't know about anything else🤷, individual players count the overtime periods, but for teams, it's just the regulation time

stormyseal9 said:Since when have SuperSport and America lipa been on my radar? Honestly, I can barely keep track of anything else besides them.🤷So, just to clear things up for everyone, when we're looking at the player stats, we're counting both the starters and the guys coming off the bench, but when it comes to the team totals, we're only talking about the regular season numbers.

You nailed it... when it comes to the total points scored by the squad versus what an individual brings to the table, only one thing really matters. The regular season....whereas when you're looking at the total points scored per player, it’s a whole different ballgame. Man, we really had to take it to overtime to settle this one! Just a heads-up for everyone following the betting lines over at FanDuel—they're only factoring in the regular season stats for these calculations.

So, check out what happened in last night's game:


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There's a chance we might see Dirk Nowitzki playing more in the post. His knee has been acting up lately, making it difficult for him to move effectively on the court. Here is the article detailing the situation.

http://mavsblog.dallasnews.com/archi...improving.html

Since Jesse Wright68 mentioned that Dirk Nowitzki is dealing with some knee issues, picking this matchup just makes perfect sense.🤷

SuperSport
Nowitzki - Chris Bosh 2 @ 1,85

Dirk Nowitzki is staring down a pretty tough defensive challenge against Paul Millsap, who's always been a rock on that end, and since Dirk is playing on a back-to-back, you can bet he's feeling the grind—he's definitely not the kid he used to be.

Chris Bosh isn't having an easy ride either with Pau Gasol waiting for him, though looking at their last two matchups, he doesn't seem quite as easy to stop. Last season, he was averaging 24 player points over those two games while shooting a killer 61.8%, and if LeBron James ends up sitting out, Chris Bosh basically becomes the Miami Heat's go-to guy on offense. ☕