#1 ·
I guess this is more of a "what if" scenario since I don't exactly have millions of dollars just sitting around waiting to be put to work, but while I was reading this article about hyperinflation in the USA, seeing those million percent inflation numbers—meaning money loses like 10,000 times its value in just a year, if my math isn't totally off—really got me thinking. It brings up the question, given the old saying that you can't have a silver lining without a dark cloud, what kind of opportunities are actually there to turn a profit in a total meltdown like that?
The first thing that jumps to mind is how incredibly cheap labor becomes in the short term. I mean, it's strictly short-term because things could flip overnight, and if you sink massive capital into something like building a factory, it might end up being a complete wash, plus you have to wonder if the quality of the workforce is even there when an entire economy is collapsing like that. Maybe the most viable play would be agriculture, assuming the climate in certain regions allows for it. In that case, even with wages that look like peanuts compared to what we see in the West, a worker might actually pull in several times the local minimum or average wage and feel pretty satisfied. But of course, it's a double-edged sword because you'd probably be dealing with much higher crime rates.
So, looking at it from a purely financial standpoint, what are the actual moves? Is it just buying up millions of units of something in the hope that things stabilize down the road and that stuff ends up being worth 100 or 1,000 times what you paid? Even if you eventually have to offload it for pennies on the dollar, I suppose you'd still come out ahead.
To be clear about my line of thinking here, I'm mostly talking about investments on the scale of millions or tens of millions of dollars.
The first thing that jumps to mind is how incredibly cheap labor becomes in the short term. I mean, it's strictly short-term because things could flip overnight, and if you sink massive capital into something like building a factory, it might end up being a complete wash, plus you have to wonder if the quality of the workforce is even there when an entire economy is collapsing like that. Maybe the most viable play would be agriculture, assuming the climate in certain regions allows for it. In that case, even with wages that look like peanuts compared to what we see in the West, a worker might actually pull in several times the local minimum or average wage and feel pretty satisfied. But of course, it's a double-edged sword because you'd probably be dealing with much higher crime rates.
So, looking at it from a purely financial standpoint, what are the actual moves? Is it just buying up millions of units of something in the hope that things stabilize down the road and that stuff ends up being worth 100 or 1,000 times what you paid? Even if you eventually have to offload it for pennies on the dollar, I suppose you'd still come out ahead.
To be clear about my line of thinking here, I'm mostly talking about investments on the scale of millions or tens of millions of dollars.