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How to make money during hyperinflation?

Started by Hannah Allen5 · · 👁 4 views · 4 replies

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Participants Hannah Allen5swiftpanther26nimbleharbor10dustygardener43Charles Howard74
Hannah Allen5 Hannah Allen5 Active MemberOP
121 messages
joined Jan 2018
#1 ·
I guess this is more of a "what if" scenario since I don't exactly have millions of dollars just sitting around waiting to be put to work, but while I was reading this article about hyperinflation in the USA, seeing those million percent inflation numbers—meaning money loses like 10,000 times its value in just a year, if my math isn't totally off—really got me thinking. It brings up the question, given the old saying that you can't have a silver lining without a dark cloud, what kind of opportunities are actually there to turn a profit in a total meltdown like that?

The first thing that jumps to mind is how incredibly cheap labor becomes in the short term. I mean, it's strictly short-term because things could flip overnight, and if you sink massive capital into something like building a factory, it might end up being a complete wash, plus you have to wonder if the quality of the workforce is even there when an entire economy is collapsing like that. Maybe the most viable play would be agriculture, assuming the climate in certain regions allows for it. In that case, even with wages that look like peanuts compared to what we see in the West, a worker might actually pull in several times the local minimum or average wage and feel pretty satisfied. But of course, it's a double-edged sword because you'd probably be dealing with much higher crime rates.

So, looking at it from a purely financial standpoint, what are the actual moves? Is it just buying up millions of units of something in the hope that things stabilize down the road and that stuff ends up being worth 100 or 1,000 times what you paid? Even if you eventually have to offload it for pennies on the dollar, I suppose you'd still come out ahead.

To be clear about my line of thinking here, I'm mostly talking about investments on the scale of millions or tens of millions of dollars.
swiftpanther26 swiftpanther26 Member
13 messages
joined Jan 2015
#2 ·
Hannah Allen5 said:I guess this is more of a "what if" scenario since I don't exactly have millions of dollars just sitting around waiting to be put to work, but while I was reading this article about hyperinflation in the USA, seeing those million percent inflation numbers—meaning money loses like 10,000 times its value in just a year, if my math isn't totally off—really got me thinking. It brings up the question, given the old saying that you can't have a silver lining without a dark cloud, what kind of opportunities are actually there to turn a profit in a total meltdown like that?

The first thing that jumps to mind is how incredibly cheap labor becomes in the short term. I mean, it's strictly short-term because things could flip overnight, and if you sink massive capital into something like building a factory, it might end up being a complete wash, plus you have to wonder if the quality of the workforce is even there when an entire economy is collapsing like that. Maybe the most viable play would be agriculture, assuming the climate in certain regions allows for it. In that case, even with wages that look like peanuts compared to what we see in the West, a worker might actually pull in several times the local minimum or average wage and feel pretty satisfied. But of course, it's a double-edged sword because you'd probably be dealing with much higher crime rates.

So, looking at it from a purely financial standpoint, what are the actual moves? Is it just buying up millions of units of something in the hope that things stabilize down the road and that stuff ends up being worth 100 or 1,000 times what you paid? Even if you eventually have to offload it for pennies on the dollar, I suppose you'd still come out ahead.

To be clear about my line of thinking here, I'm mostly talking about investments on the scale of millions or tens of millions of dollars.

Honestly, in a hyperinflation nightmare, I think the best move is just to pack your bags and get out to some more stable country. It's not really a place to build wealth; it's more about just trying to save your own skin. One weirdly funny silver lining of hyperinflation is that you could probably open a toilet paper factory and just use the banknotes as raw material. After that, I guess you could start thinking about staging riots just to get some firewood.👍
nimbleharbor10 nimbleharbor10 Active Member
79 messages
joined Nov 2024
#3 ·
We experienced hyperinflation back in the days of America. What happened during that era isn't an inevitability that we have to face again. Back then, price hikes were politically mandated to ensure citizens could still afford basic necessities—which stands in stark contrast to what happened in Venezuela, where they faced total shortages of everything, including food. In America, the strategy for turning a profit was simple: grab whatever you could immediately and settle the bill later using currency that had been eroded by inflation. Loans were effectively gifts because interest rates were kept so low. It’s hard to imagine any major US commercial bank issuing loans today at rates below the inflation level, let alone without strict currency clauses.
If we ever hit massive inflation, commerce essentially boils down to a game of musical chairs, because anyone who takes cash and doesn't spend it instantly loses value. I can't recall a single instance of hyperinflation outside of places like Venezuela; generally, everyone learns the hard way that the government loses big in these scenarios, and eventually, everyone starts using a stable foreign currency as their standard. Even today, some old legal frameworks in certain US jurisdictions still reference penalties denominated in Deutsche Mark.

I assume the winners are the debtors who took out loans right before the hyperinflation hit (and without those protective currency clauses)—basically the scammers who break the spirit of the law by delaying payments until the amount owed becomes a joke.
dustygardener43 dustygardener43 Member
21 messages
joined Nov 2014
#4 ·
It’s finally happening in Zimbabwe. We saw this exact same pattern play out in Mexico about twenty-five years ago as well.

When inflation starts spiraling out of control, the only rational move is to pivot toward hard assets and gold.
Charles Howard74 Charles Howard74 Member
48 messages
joined Feb 2009
#5 ·
Look, back in the old days, we didn't really deal with hyperinflation, just regular old inflation.

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