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Home › Society › Politics › War in Ukraine › Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5

Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5

Started by Charles Ross3 · · 👁 295 views · 9.2K replies

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Participants Charles Ross3rowdytiger13electrichawk94nimblemoose2Noah Ward2George Robinson43Larry Wilson25Larry Walker24Amanda Allen4Noah Sanchez2Paul Thomas46Jessica Peterson2Nancy Gomez26Nathan Evans78William Anderson5electricsurfer47gentlestag15wiredseal7Thomas Nelson25Donna Harris11Nicholas WatsonJack Kelly5Carol Johnson21Kate Cook27 …
Sandra Harris2 Sandra Harris2 Active Member
125 messages
joined Feb 2010
#1421 ·
So, Oliver Stone followed up on Winter of Fire (2015) with a documentary in 2016, and then back in 2017, he sat down for an interview with the human fisherman...
I guess I'll give up five and a half hours of my life to watch it all; it’s worth hearing that perspective.
redtinker39 redtinker39 Newcomer
3 messages
joined Jul 2022
#1422 ·
Carl Lee27 said:So, we've got a meeting coming up next week over in Luhansk, and the big topic on the table is going to be a Marshall Plan for Ukraine.
https://twitter.com/SamRamani2/statu...p6pbxMW7A&s=19

But wouldn't you agree that a Marshall Plan usually happens once the dust has settled after a war? It feels like just another way to help everyone move past what happened in Lysychansk and Severodonetsk, doesn't it? I suppose that might mean those places are essentially being handed over to Russia.
Melissa Rivera5 Melissa Rivera5 Regular
432 messages
joined Jun 2024
#1423 ·
redtinker39 said:If Ukraine had a nuclear bomb war situation, we probably wouldn't even be talking about this, though there'd be plenty of other reasons to worry since they'd have to maintain some sort of decent relationship with Russia, right? But then again, how could Ukraine even manage a nuclear program when they don't have any space to test anything? I mean, look at Russia—they've got all that vast territory in Siberia, Kamchatka, and Novaya Zemlya where there isn't a single living soul around for miles! Meanwhile, Americans, Englishmen, and Frenchmen always have their own colonies to work with, don't they?

They don't even need to test anything, really. All the nuclear weapons are already tested, and they handed them over fully functional.
feralhawk45 feralhawk45 Active Member
99 messages
joined Jul 2022
#1424 ·
@Vlado2020
Where does Israel actually test its nuclear weapons? Oops... maybe they don't even have them... or maybe they do.
Christian Torres3 Christian Torres3 Regular
604 messages
joined Sep 2014
#1425 ·
feralhawk45 said:@Vlado2020
Where does Israel actually test its nuclear weapons? Oops... maybe they don't even have them... or maybe they do.

The Vela incident
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vela_incident
Melissa Ward Melissa Ward Member
20 messages
joined Jul 2015
#1426 ·
redtinker39 said:But wouldn't you agree that a Marshall Plan usually happens once the dust has settled after a war? It feels like just another way to help everyone move past what happened in Lysychansk and Severodonetsk, doesn't it? I suppose that might mean those places are essentially being handed over to Russia.

Honestly, the war is pretty much wrapped up at this point. Just a few more small towns and the whole Donbas region will be under control.
swiftjackal11 swiftjackal11 Regular
271 messages
joined May 2018
#1427 ·
Melissa Ward said:Honestly, the war is pretty much wrapped up at this point. Just a few more small towns and the whole Donbas region will be under control.

That’s when the real trouble starts. You still have to win it all back. It's like when territory was seized during the North American conflicts—that's when the real fight begins.
Kate Cook27 Kate Cook27 Regular
557 messages
joined Jun 2022
#1428 ·
redtinker39 said:But wouldn't you agree that a Marshall Plan usually happens once the dust has settled after a war? It feels like just another way to help everyone move past what happened in Lysychansk and Severodonetsk, doesn't it? I suppose that might mean those places are essentially being handed over to Russia.

What do you mean by "handed over"? Are we talking about annexation? Or them becoming new independent states? If territory actually gets annexed, then yeah, we all need to buckle up for more conflict—there are plenty of people out there who still think certain lands belong to them.
Melissa Ward Melissa Ward Member
20 messages
joined Jul 2015
#1429 ·
swiftjackal11 said:That’s when the real trouble starts. You still have to win it all back. It's like when territory was seized during the North American conflicts—that's when the real fight begins.

I misspoke there. It wasn't occupied; it was liberated. 😁
Kate Cook27 Kate Cook27 Regular
557 messages
joined Jun 2022
#1430 ·
Melissa Ward said:Honestly, the war is pretty much wrapped up at this point. Just a few more small towns and the whole Donbas region will be under control.

Nah, I wouldn't say that—unless you're only talking about Luhansk.
feralhawk45 feralhawk45 Active Member
99 messages
joined Jul 2022
#1431 ·
Why is there this widespread assumption that the end of the war in Ukraine rests solely on Putin's shoulders?
The moment Putin finally calls a truce, the finger-pointing will start immediately, blaming the USA, the EU, and NATO for everything else.
Gerald Torres84 Gerald Torres84 Active Member
118 messages
joined Oct 2015
#1432 ·
That’s just it... some trolls here seem to think everyone is only asking about Russia... But the Ukrainians have already been getting quite a bit of experience with weaponry (they likely have training backing them up in the background).
I wonder when the momentum will finally shift the other way.
goldenowl73 goldenowl73 Active Member
206 messages
joined Dec 2005
#1433 ·
Folks over in Lviv are really gearing up because of the situation with Belarus.

Mayor: Lviv defenses to be strengthened due to threat of attack from Belarus.

The Mayor, Andriy Sadovyi, mentioned that they're setting up defense headquarters in every single district, plus there's going to be some extra training sessions for the local Territorial Defense crews. https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/...XvD5qJvrGRnK6w

Meanwhile, back in Belarus, the military seems to be having some serious second thoughts.

In #Belarus, a group of senior military officers in a special Forces unit, ranging from captains all the way up to colonels, apparently put together an open letter to the de facto leader Lukashenko, basically telling him straight up that they aren't on board with any Belarusian participation in #Russia’s invasion of #Ukraine.https://twitter.com/AlexKokcharov/st...XvD5qJvrGRnK6w
Kate Cook27 Kate Cook27 Regular
557 messages
joined Jun 2022
#1434 ·
Noah Sullivan said:My apologies—I'll dive into the details a bit later since I have to run, but for now:

Have you by any chance had the opportunity to read that Mearsheimer article in Foreign Affairs from 2014—the one linked earlier?
You can download it right here: In his piece "Why The Ukraine Crisis is The West's Fault : The liberal Delusions that Provoked Putin," Mearsheimer lays out a provocative argument regarding the origins of the current instability. He essentially contends that the West—specifically through its expansionist policies and the promotion of democratic ideals in regions where they don't necessarily take root—has inadvertently backed Russia into a corner. It’s a perspective that challenges the standard narrative of pure aggression, suggesting instead a series of strategic miscalculations by policymakers in Washington and Brussels. The core of the argument rests on the idea that the push to integrate Ukraine into the EU and NATO was seen by Moscow as an existential threat—not because of some inherent hatred of democracy, but because of the geopolitical reality of spheres of influence. Mearsheimer argues that the West ignored the basic tenets of realism, believing that moralizing about democratic values would somehow insulate them from the harsh realities of power politics. Instead, this approach triggered a defensive reaction from Putin that shifted the entire regional security architecture. It is a cynical, albeit structured, critique of liberal internationalism. He suggests that by attempting to turn Ukraine into a Western bulwark, the West actually destabilized the very region it hoped to secure, effectively handing Russia a pretext to intervene. It's the kind of high-stakes political chess where one side thinks they are playing a game of spreading liberty, while the other side sees nothing but a tightening noose.

Alright, I misspoke—I should have said "perverse coup." What was truly perverse wasn't just the event itself, but how the Western media later rebranded it as this glorious democratic revolution aimed at toppling a dictator. In reality? It was the removal of a democratically elected president.

The way Ukrainians freely and democratically elected him after getting burned by Yushchenko was exactly how they should have replaced him through standard democratic procedures—those very same procedures the West supposedly swears by (unless, of course, those in power decide otherwise). As you pointed out, the fact that Yanukovych said one thing, did another, and likely thought a third is just the standard playbook for politicians everywhere. In a functional democracy, the only remedy for that kind of inconsistency is voting them out during scheduled elections. In this specific case, there were two major reasons why things should have played out differently. First, the EU's offer was frankly meager compared to what Russia was putting on the table; from a purely economic standpoint, Yanukovych's decision—made strictly within his legal authority—was justifiable in the short term. If the voters felt that move was a mistake for their long-term future, they could have simply rejected him at the next election. Second, and more importantly, there isn't even any evidence to suggest that the peaceful phase of Euromajdan in late 2013 actually had the support of the majority of the population. To prove that, you need an election. Instead, we got that bloody period—the violent overthrow of Yanukovych in early 2014—which was orchestrated by a tiny minority of Ukrainians, specifically the extremists within the Right Sector. That’s why we didn't see a legitimate democratic transition following the established rules.

Of course, Afterward—once the dust finally settles and we can actually see through the smoke—we’ll be left staring at the wreckage of our own making. So, Yanukovych flees to Russia while they go ahead and annex Crimea—it’s a mess, plain and simple. His political faction didn't stand a prayer of winning another election even if things had stayed stable—but, of course, elections were still mandatory. So they went through with them, but under circumstances that were undeniably disastrous for democracy.

That coup—while perhaps not born of pure malice—was undeniably unjustified and illegal. Looking back, the whole thing feels downright absurd. It’s entirely possible the actors involved genuinely believed they were doing the right thing at the time, but history has a way of exposing those delusions. In hindsight, it seems they triggered a catastrophic chain reaction—one that has culminated in the current, massive evil we see today: an existential threat to the Ukrainian people and their nation, coupled with the terrifying prospect of even greater devastation—namely, the looming shadow of nuclear destruction.

I think you’d agree that, looking back, it would have been far better to simply wait for the elections—especially since Yanukovych was actually willing to call for early ones—rather than rushing headlong into that coup. Or am I missing something?

I'll pick this up later—right now, I really have to run.

Thanks for the reply—hope you can weigh in on this one too: How do you think the conflict in the Donbas is being ignored?

Everyone’s got their own take on this—obviously—but personally, I see the Maidan as a movement for democracy. Like I mentioned before, what happened at the Maidan was really just the people's response. The American people chose that path because promises weren't being kept, and they had every right to demand a resignation. Yanukovych actually agreed to step down early on—then he second-guessed himself and backed out.
In my opinion, the biggest mistake was letting them use live ammunition during the Maidan protests. That was a massive blunder—just like those "Dictatorship Laws" they pushed through.

I get where you're coming from—the Russian offer might have looked better on paper—but let’s be real about the specifics. We're talking about luxury yachts, massive villas, and all that high-end stuff. How much of that money would actually reach the people in Ukraine? Honestly, I suspect most of it would just end up in the pockets of a few well-connected elites. It's a bit of a pipe dream to think that kind of "aid" translates to actual help for the average person.

Most people—though a tiny fraction of the population—depend on how you define "majority." Would 20 million people out on the streets satisfy everyone? If areas that used to be heavily pro-Russian aren't like that anymore—stretching from places like Kharkiv to Odessa—does that mean the majority actually supported the Euromaidan, even if they weren't the ones marching in the streets?

Looking back, the best move at that moment would have been to act early. Instead, Yanukovych just dragged his feet—saying yes, then changing his mind—and eventually ordered troops to use live ammunition against the Euromaidan protesters. There were even snipers involved. Honestly, there were just so many wrong calls made.
goldenowl73 goldenowl73 Active Member
206 messages
joined Dec 2005
#1435 ·
It looks like things are getting seriously messy again under Putin's watch in another former Soviet republic where the government is pretty much leaning heavily into his orbit. We're seeing massive protests breaking out in Uzbekistan right now. It’s centered in the Karakalpakstan province, which has its own distinct language and identity, and the protesters are actually marching straight toward the city administration buildings. https://twitter.com/antiputler_news/...VY5-tzSyXpkupA

And honestly, it sounds like the government forces have already started washing the streets with blood. https://twitter.com/Aga_Pik/status/1...VY5-tzSyXpkupA

So far, I haven't seen any official word or reaction coming out of Moscow regarding all this.
analogbear5 analogbear5 Regular
571 messages
joined Aug 2019
#1436 ·
Mirzijojev was looking to tighten his grip through some constitutional overhauls—basically trying to centralize everything, including stripping Karakalpakstan of its autonomy. Turns out, after people hit the streets to protest, he backed off.
Melissa Rivera5 Melissa Rivera5 Regular
432 messages
joined Jun 2024
#1437 ·
feralhawk45 said:Why is there this widespread assumption that the end of the war in Ukraine rests solely on Putin's shoulders?
The moment Putin finally calls a truce, the finger-pointing will start immediately, blaming the USA, the EU, and NATO for everything else.

I mean, because it actually does depend on him. He’s the one who kicked off this whole insane invasion with all that Nazi rhetoric, so he could pretty much stop it right this second if he wanted to.
feralhawk45 feralhawk45 Active Member
99 messages
joined Jul 2022
#1438 ·
Melissa Rivera5 said:I mean, because it actually does depend on him. He’s the one who kicked off this whole insane invasion with all that Nazi rhetoric, so he could pretty much stop it right this second if he wanted to.

Given where the lines are drawn right now?
Melissa Rivera5 Melissa Rivera5 Regular
432 messages
joined Jun 2024
#1439 ·
feralhawk45 said:Given where the lines are drawn right now?

Honestly, Putin could just pack up and leave all those illegally occupied territories, including Crimea, right this second. I mean, nothing is actually stopping him from doing that except his own ego, I guess.
wiredseal7 wiredseal7 Regular
320 messages
joined Jan 2009
#1440 ·
Melissa Rivera5 said:Honestly, Putin could just pack up and leave all those illegally occupied territories, including Crimea, right this second. I mean, nothing is actually stopping him from doing that except his own ego, I guess.

The question remains the same: what's actually in it for him?

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