neondriver5 said:Sure, it might touch 1900, but I expect it'll eventually retreat back down to that 1500 level we saw recently.
That's possible. Honestly, it'll probably dip below 1600 first before hovering around 1650 for a while. There's also the other scenario: it rockets past 1900, which would mean we're entering the initial bubble phase. Either way, I don't think it's selling time yet. Once that downward trend from the correction finally snaps, I want to be heavily exposed to miners. I don't want to miss out if they decide to break out of consolidation, even if I have to risk a certain percentage of my portfolio to do it.
Gold is strictly tied to the Dollar right now, and from where I'm sitting, the Dollar looks like it's on its last legs. It's an election year in the USA, and if this whole thing is a scripted scenario, who am I to fight it? If there is a script, it’s clearly designed to pump stock prices, and so far, it's working beautifully. Gold rising is just a byproduct of the falling Dollar—and let's face it, the broad decline of the Dollar has been the primary fuel for this bull market (Quantitative Easing 1, Quantitative Easing 2, and now maybe infinite Quantitative Easing).
By the way, everything happening with the US stock market, the Dollar, and gold over the last few weeks is absolute madness. It's a market stripped of all technicals; you can't apply any standard tools to actually gauge what's happening or what's coming next. Anything could happen. But realistically, the Dollar might have already given up the ghost. If it were to rally in a month or two after hitting rock bottom, it might just be a relative move against an even weaker Euro. So, anything goes. Right now, though, the S&P 500, miners, and gold are all climbing while the Dollar sinks. One thing that might hurt the bull market is if this run lasts long enough for gold to smash through that 1920 peak; if it hits 2000, we're officially in the early stages of the final bubble. If we head toward 1900, expect some minor corrections along the way, maybe even a dip to 1800.