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The beginning of the end for the Eurozone: US Treasury Auction Disaster

Started by darkhawk43 · · 👁 5 views · 26 replies

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Participants darkhawk43neonhound18Alexander LewisAndrew Booth29Amanda Allen4Mark Campbell5blueotter70copperhound122Kevin Gonzalez79rustyeagle86
darkhawk43 darkhawk43 MemberOP
22 messages
joined Apr 2007
#1 ·
US Treasury Auction Disaster Stirs Crisis Contagion Concern; Treasury Bonds, Euro Fall

US Treasury yield spike after Germany failed to get bids for 35 percent of the 10-year bonds offered for sale today, propelling US markets higher and Dollar lower on concern the region’s debt crisis is driving away investors.

wow. This is moving way faster than I anticipated. There are really only two ways to save the Euro in its current state.

One is for the Federal Reserve to start buying up massive amounts of bonds (without essentially monetizing the debt), but they lack a federal taxing authority like we have here in the US to back the central bank and guarantee Euro issuances. A central bank can only act as a lender of last resort if the currency itself is sovereign. By joining the Euro in this specific setup, Eurozone countries basically surrendered that central banking function. Not a single country in the Eurozone today actually possesses a sovereign lender of last resort. That’s exactly why Europeans ended up begging the Chinese and the IMF to step in and help bail out nations that are either totally insolvent (like Greece) or just drowning in liquidity issues (like Italy).

The second option is for the Eurozone to issue common bonds. Both paths require massive transfers of wealth from the rich north to the struggling south, which is a political non-starter. Even if there were any political will to do it, the sheer bureaucracy of how the Eurozone is structured means institutionalizing either solution would take a massive amount of time—time they simply don't have left. Plus, that first option carries a huge inflation risk, something there is absolutely zero political appetite for in Germany.

At this point, it feels increasingly likely that the peripheral nations will just exit the Euro entirely. We might even see a total collapse, especially since some analyses suggest an exit would actually make sense for France too.
darkhawk43 darkhawk43 MemberOP
22 messages
joined Apr 2007
#2 ·
“A bazooka isn't going to cut it anymore,” Mitchell Goldberg, the head over at ClientFirst Strategy, was saying. “At this point, we’re going to need ICBMs. Things are spiraling south fast.”
neonhound18 neonhound18 Active Member
192 messages
joined Apr 2013
#3 ·
darkhawk43 As the user mentioned:
"A mere bazooka just isn't going to cut it anymore," remarked Mitchell Goldberg, the head over at ClientFirst Strategy. "At this stage, we really ought to be looking toward inter-continental ballistic missiles. The situation is deteriorating at a rather alarming rate."

I find myself wondering what lies ahead for the Euro and the European Union—whether we are looking at more complications for the US and its allies, or if the more pressing question is actually what the EU will eventually transform into. It’s one of those heavy, sweeping inquiries that makes you pause, isn't it? One wonders if there is any meaningful way for a nation like ours to navigate these shifts, or if we are simply watching the slow metamorphosis of an entire political structure into something unrecognizable.
Alexander Lewis Alexander Lewis Member
49 messages
joined May 2014
#4 ·
All this talk about missiles and total collapse is honestly laughable. No matter what happens, the countries within the EU will still be standing exactly as they are today. You'll have an economy, you'll see some growth eventually, and frankly, the rest of the world—especially the US—is dealing with the exact same headaches.

In my view, the root of the crisis isn't a lack of a central bank willing to print endless cash to cover government deficits for people who can't stop spending everything they earn. The real issue is that we are sitting on massive deficits being financed by issuing new debt. Once interest rates cross that 5% threshold, the whole system breaks because the cost of servicing that debt becomes impossible for the state to manage.
The ideal way out isn't printing money and triggering inflation to wipe out debts (which also guts citizens' assets, savings, and investments). Instead, we need to break away from the current model of deficit spending and the primary issuance of money through banks that essentially take a cut of every single transaction in the economy.

If you want a prime example of how absurd today's system is, look at the US. Sure, they might be generating enough trillions right now to cover their own deficit, but this virtual "economy" has effectively caused the real one to collapse. The US produces very little; there aren't enough actual jobs. The only ones thriving are the top management tiers at financial institutions, who basically suck the life out of everyone else. If foreigners stop buying US T-bills, the Dollar faces a freefall. That would mean the end of the era where the US imports everything physical while exporting almost nothing of real value.

The current crisis in the EU feels orchestrated, almost as if it's designed to make T-bills and the Dollar look valuable again, likely because too many people transitioned to using the Euro for payments and reserves. Consequently, I expect this crisis to drag on for quite a while amidst political deadlock.
Alexander Lewis Alexander Lewis Member
49 messages
joined May 2014
#5 ·
neonhound18 said:
darkhawk43 As the user mentioned:
"A mere bazooka just isn't going to cut it anymore," remarked Mitchell Goldberg, the head over at ClientFirst Strategy. "At this stage, we really ought to be looking toward inter-continental ballistic missiles. The situation is deteriorating at a rather alarming rate."

I find myself wondering what lies ahead for the Euro and the European Union—whether we are looking at more complications for the US and its allies, or if the more pressing question is actually what the EU will eventually transform into. It’s one of those heavy, sweeping inquiries that makes you pause, isn't it? One wonders if there is any meaningful way for a nation like ours to navigate these shifts, or if we are simply watching the slow metamorphosis of an entire political structure into something unrecognizable.

The EU will likely limp along in its current form for a while, though we might see the monetary union split into two distinct camps with completely different monetary policies and currency values. The heavily indebted southern nations would actually benefit from a weaker currency; inflation allows them to effectively devalue their labor costs to boost exports. As for the debt, they could always just declare bankruptcy, refuse to pay, or force creditors to take a massive haircut—but after that, they'd have to live within their means.

On the flip side, the faction currently pushing to fight inflation (Germany and the north) might end up with a much stronger Euro, even if that eventually hurts their export numbers.

The other option is simply scrapping the Euro entirely and returning to national currencies, which would almost certainly trigger massive inflation across Southern Europe.

Until a formal split is negotiated, we’re going to see a constant tug-of-war over debt monetization. It’s essentially a printing press war where those who save lose out, and those who spend excessively win.
Andrew Booth29 Andrew Booth29 Regular
338 messages
joined Mar 2012
#6 ·
There’s really no reason for the southern members to stick around the EU if those transfers from the north are cut off—and conversely, there’s zero reason for the northern countries to stay in the union if those transfers keep flowing. The game of chicken... 😬
Either we see a breakup, or the northern nations take over via forced administration of the south. Honestly? The second option is doomed from the start for more reasons than I care to list.
A breakup of the EU might actually be the refreshing shake-up needed to allow for a recovery, even if the initial fallout would be incredibly painful. Trade would likely remain more or less free, and nations would still cooperate—just as independent, sovereign states.
darkhawk43 darkhawk43 MemberOP
22 messages
joined Apr 2007
#7 ·
neonhound18 said:
darkhawk43 As the user mentioned:
"A mere bazooka just isn't going to cut it anymore," remarked Mitchell Goldberg, the head over at ClientFirst Strategy. "At this stage, we really ought to be looking toward inter-continental ballistic missiles. The situation is deteriorating at a rather alarming rate."

I find myself wondering what lies ahead for the Euro and the European Union—whether we are looking at more complications for the US and its allies, or if the more pressing question is actually what the EU will eventually transform into. It’s one of those heavy, sweeping inquiries that makes you pause, isn't it? One wonders if there is any meaningful way for a nation like ours to navigate these shifts, or if we are simply watching the slow metamorphosis of an entire political structure into something unrecognizable.

The whole point of the European Union has always been centered around free trade and letting capital and labor move wherever they need to go. Honestly, every single country in the EU has thrived because of that setup. That core part of the EU isn't just going to fall apart, and once America joins the fold, we’re going to see all the benefits that come with that kind of integration.

The real downside of the EU is this whole vibe of forced integration being shoved down the throats of citizens—well, those lucky few who actually got a say via referendum. The Euro is basically the poster child for this kind of forced togetherness. Honestly, the Euro was half-baked from day one. Critics have been screaming about the lack of actual crisis management tools since the beginning, and they weren't wrong. The core pillars of the Maastricht Treaty—that 3% budget balance and the 60% debt-to-GDP ceiling—were basically toothless, especially considering how blatantly they were ignored in the early years by the very same people now preaching fiscal discipline. Back when it suited them in the early part of the last decade, Germany and France just tossed that 3% deficit limit out the window, while plenty of other countries weren't even remotely close to hitting that 60% debt cap. For the peripheral nations—the ones currently drowning in crisis—the Euro has been an absolute disaster. They lost all their competitive edge because of inflation driven by a "one size fits all" monetary policy that kept interest rates low whenever it benefited Germany or France. Let’s be real: the Eurozone was never designed to be an optimal currency union, mostly because there were zero mechanisms in place to balance out economies that were at completely different stages of the business cycle.

To quote Herbert Stain, "if something cannot go on forever, it will stop." It’s pretty obvious that the current setup isn't sustainable, which means we're basically just waiting for something massive to hit the fan. Greece is already broke, while Italy and Spain are getting hammered by interest rates that are just plain impossible to maintain—they're likely going to get kicked off the bond market entirely very soon. Even the Stability Fund isn't beefy enough to cover what Italy and Spain actually need, and honestly, even its ability to bail out Greece, Spain, or Ireland is looking shaky at best. Why? Well, for one, the fund itself just dealt with a disastrous US Treasury auction, and more importantly, its whole ability to raise cash relies on the AAA ratings of Germany and France—both of whom are starting to stumble, especially France. Meanwhile, over in Greece, the political parties can't stop bickering long enough to reach a compromise, meaning they could run completely out of cash to meet their obligations within two weeks. The whole model being forced on everyone by the big players—this obsession with deflation and brutal austerity—simply isn't working.

Greece is basically broke at this point, and we’re likely looking at a chaotic default, a messy return to the Drachma, and a future spent living off IMF loans.

Spain and Italy aren't exactly insolvent right now, but they’re going to run into some serious liquidity issues pretty damn fast. If you look at Italy—once you strip away those massive interest payments—they actually show a budget surplus. My bet? Italy will likely exit the Euro altogether and try to stabilize things through an organized default backed by the IMF.

Spain might look okay on paper with a relatively low debt-to-GDP ratio, but let's be real—their banks are sitting on losses they haven't even had the guts to admit yet. There’s a chance Spain stays in the Eurozone, but honestly, I could see them jumping ship pretty easily if they wanted to reclaim their own central bank's power to act as a lender of last resort. It’s the same story for Italy and Greece, though Greece is going to have a much harder time since their central bank won't have nearly the same credibility as what you'd see in Italy or Spain.

This kind of development would actually give the market some much-needed breathing room. The current chaos we’re seeing—with the Euro sliding and everyone dumping their Treasury Bonds across the entire Eurozone—is really just a direct result of the uncertainty caused by the EU leadership's sheer incompetence and indecision. If things actually move in this direction, the market might finally start trusting that AAA core of Europe again, which could actually keep the rest of the Eurozone from falling apart, provided they commit to some serious fiscal integration.

Continuing down this current policy path is absolutely going to lead to a messy, disorganized collapse of the Eurozone, an uncoordinated default in Italy, and massive headaches for both Spain and France—not to mention a total nightmare for Germany and the entire global economy. If the Eurozone keeps doubling down on what they're doing right now, their only prayer is getting some kind of bailout from the IMF, China, and to a certain extent, the US.
Andrew Booth29 Andrew Booth29 Regular
338 messages
joined Mar 2012
#8 ·
The Federal Reserve always jumps in to play savior and organizes bailouts for the EU... Now we just wait to see if they reopen those currency swaps, assuming they haven't already. 😬

"The wave-like motion hitting the economic system—those repetitive cycles where booms are inevitably met by depressions—is simply the unavoidable consequence of trying, over and over again, to force down market interest rates through credit expansion. There is no way to dodge the ultimate collapse of a boom fueled by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner or later." - LvM
darkhawk43 darkhawk43 MemberOP
22 messages
joined Apr 2007
#9 ·
Alexander Lewis said:All this talk about missiles and total collapse is honestly laughable. No matter what happens, the countries within the EU will still be standing exactly as they are today. You'll have an economy, you'll see some growth eventually, and frankly, the rest of the world—especially the US—is dealing with the exact same headaches.

In my view, the root of the crisis isn't a lack of a central bank willing to print endless cash to cover government deficits for people who can't stop spending everything they earn. The real issue is that we are sitting on massive deficits being financed by issuing new debt. Once interest rates cross that 5% threshold, the whole system breaks because the cost of servicing that debt becomes impossible for the state to manage.
The ideal way out isn't printing money and triggering inflation to wipe out debts (which also guts citizens' assets, savings, and investments). Instead, we need to break away from the current model of deficit spending and the primary issuance of money through banks that essentially take a cut of every single transaction in the economy.

If you want a prime example of how absurd today's system is, look at the US. Sure, they might be generating enough trillions right now to cover their own deficit, but this virtual "economy" has effectively caused the real one to collapse. The US produces very little; there aren't enough actual jobs. The only ones thriving are the top management tiers at financial institutions, who basically suck the life out of everyone else. If foreigners stop buying US T-bills, the Dollar faces a freefall. That would mean the end of the era where the US imports everything physical while exporting almost nothing of real value.

The current crisis in the EU feels orchestrated, almost as if it's designed to make T-bills and the Dollar look valuable again, likely because too many people transitioned to using the Euro for payments and reserves. Consequently, I expect this crisis to drag on for quite a while amidst political deadlock.

Look, when people throw around terms like "bazooka" or "ballistic missile," they aren't talking about some metaphysical destruction of the European Union and its member states. I mean, let’s be real—no matter what happens, houses, cars, and factories aren't just going to vanish from the face of the earth overnight. That’s just not how it works. These terms are strictly about the sheer financial firepower needed to backstop the current debt mess we're seeing in the Eurozone. Lately, you hear "big bazooka" used when people discuss the Federal Reserve's ability to just print money and engage in unlimited bond buying to keep things afloat. As for "ballistic missiles," that's a new one for me, but I'm guessing the author is implying that the only thing capable of saving the Eurozone from a total meltdown is a massive, coordinated international intervention led by the IMF and other sovereign powers sitting on mountains of credit.

Alexander Lewis Asks:
In my book, the root of this whole mess isn't just some central bank printing money like crazy to constantly bail out government deficits for a bunch of fools who can't stop spending everything they make the second it hits their hands. That’s just a symptom. The real issue is that we're sitting on these massive deficits being covered up by nothing but the constant issuance of new Treasury Bonds. Once interest rates cross that 5% threshold, the entire system breaks because the interest payments become way too massive for any government to actually service. It's simple math.
Look, the real way out of this mess isn't just printing endless piles of cash and letting inflation eat everyone's debts—not to mention nuking the savings, property, and investments of regular citizens in the process. No, the actual solution is breaking away from this broken model of deficit spending and the constant primary money issuance through banks, who basically demand their cut of every single transaction in the economy.

Honestly, the absolute peak of stupidity in today’s system has to be the US. Sure, they might be printing enough trillions right now to mask their own deficit, but this whole virtual "economy" thing has basically nuked the real one. There's hardly anything being produced here anymore, and actual jobs are becoming a myth; the only people actually winning are the top-tier finance execs who spend their lives sucking the life out of everyone else. If foreign investors decide they're done buying up US T-bills, the Dollar is going to take a massive nose dive. That would mean the end of this insane era where we just import every single physical thing imaginable while exporting next to nothing of any real value.

Look, everything you're saying sounds great on paper and I basically agree with your point, except your context is completely backwards. Discussing what caused the fire and how you're going to repaint your living room walls right after the blaze is just totally inappropriate while the house is still burning down and the kids are stuck on the first floor. No amount of fiscal discipline is going to save the Eurozone right now—that should be obvious by now, especially since every single attempt at budget cuts has either already spectacularly failed, like in Greece, or is teetering right on the edge of disaster, looking at Italy and Spain.

Now that they’ve finally put out the fire here in the US, the logical next step would be to actually start walking the path of fiscal consolidation—but unfortunately, that’s just not happening. Meanwhile, over in the Eurozone, any attempt to even sit down and discuss a fundamental reform of how sovereign debt works isn't going to do a damn thing right now.

Alexander Lewis said:All this talk about missiles and total collapse is honestly laughable. No matter what happens, the countries within the EU will still be standing exactly as they are today. You'll have an economy, you'll see some growth eventually, and frankly, the rest of the world—especially the US—is dealing with the exact same headaches.

In my view, the root of the crisis isn't a lack of a central bank willing to print endless cash to cover government deficits for people who can't stop spending everything they earn. The real issue is that we are sitting on massive deficits being financed by issuing new debt. Once interest rates cross that 5% threshold, the whole system breaks because the cost of servicing that debt becomes impossible for the state to manage.
The ideal way out isn't printing money and triggering inflation to wipe out debts (which also guts citizens' assets, savings, and investments). Instead, we need to break away from the current model of deficit spending and the primary issuance of money through banks that essentially take a cut of every single transaction in the economy.

If you want a prime example of how absurd today's system is, look at the US. Sure, they might be generating enough trillions right now to cover their own deficit, but this virtual "economy" has effectively caused the real one to collapse. The US produces very little; there aren't enough actual jobs. The only ones thriving are the top management tiers at financial institutions, who basically suck the life out of everyone else. If foreigners stop buying US T-bills, the Dollar faces a freefall. That would mean the end of the era where the US imports everything physical while exporting almost nothing of real value.

The current crisis in the EU feels orchestrated, almost as if it's designed to make T-bills and the Dollar look valuable again, likely because too many people transitioned to using the Euro for payments and reserves. Consequently, I expect this crisis to drag on for quite a while amidst political deadlock.

And honestly, that is just straight-up nonsense. It’s blindingly obvious that the root of the crisis lies in the lack of functional mechanisms within the Euro, certain countries in the EU being drowning in debt, the sheer inertia of the EU elite, and those pathetic, slim chances for growth in highly leveraged economies. The Eurozone is dealing with structural flaws just like the US does; the only real difference is that the US actually has a lender of last resort in the form of the Federal Reserve, whereas the Eurozone countries are basically left out in the cold.
Andrew Booth29 Andrew Booth29 Regular
338 messages
joined Mar 2012
#10 ·
Honestly, my favorite kind of thing is watching these conspiracy theories surface just to defend failing ideological positions. The EU is a sinking ship—and frankly, most of the blame lies with them. The Federal Reserve has stepped in to bail out the EU several times during this crisis, and I fully expect they’ll do it again.
darkhawk43 darkhawk43 MemberOP
22 messages
joined Apr 2007
#11 ·
Andrew Booth29 said:The Federal Reserve always jumps in to play savior and organizes bailouts for the EU... Now we just wait to see if they reopen those currency swaps, assuming they haven't already. 😬

"The wave-like motion hitting the economic system—those repetitive cycles where booms are inevitably met by depressions—is simply the unavoidable consequence of trying, over and over again, to force down market interest rates through credit expansion. There is no way to dodge the ultimate collapse of a boom fueled by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner or later." - LvM

It’s totally possible that the rest of the world might actually step in to stop the Euro from completely cratering. If you look back at history, it feels like we've seen this exact playbook before when people scrambled to save the Dollar or the Yen.

Andrew Booth29 said:The Federal Reserve always jumps in to play savior and organizes bailouts for the EU... Now we just wait to see if they reopen those currency swaps, assuming they haven't already. 😬

"The wave-like motion hitting the economic system—those repetitive cycles where booms are inevitably met by depressions—is simply the unavoidable consequence of trying, over and over again, to force down market interest rates through credit expansion. There is no way to dodge the ultimate collapse of a boom fueled by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner or later." - LvM

You just can't beat the fundamentals of the Austrian School. 🙏 🙏
Andrew Booth29 Andrew Booth29 Regular
338 messages
joined Mar 2012
#12 ·
And who is going to step in and save anyone at this point? It’s hard to say... honestly, it's just a complete mess. 🤣

LvM is a legend—think about how this applies to the US today (and beyond):

"In the eyes of cranks and demagogues, interest is a product of the sinister machinations of rugged exploiters. The age-old disapprobation of interest has been fully revived by modern interventionism. It clings to the dogma that it is one of the foremost duties of good government to lower the rate of interest as far as possible or to abolish it altogether. All present-day governments are fanatically committed to an easy money policy."

🙏

China is staring down a "hard landing," and Japan is teetering on the edge of an epic tragedy...
Amanda Allen4 Amanda Allen4 Active Member
238 messages
joined Feb 2013
#13 ·
Alexander Lewis said:All this talk about missiles and total collapse is honestly laughable. No matter what happens, the countries within the EU will still be standing exactly as they are today. You'll have an economy, you'll see some growth eventually, and frankly, the rest of the world—especially the US—is dealing with the exact same headaches.

In my view, the root of the crisis isn't a lack of a central bank willing to print endless cash to cover government deficits for people who can't stop spending everything they earn. The real issue is that we are sitting on massive deficits being financed by issuing new debt. Once interest rates cross that 5% threshold, the whole system breaks because the cost of servicing that debt becomes impossible for the state to manage.
The ideal way out isn't printing money and triggering inflation to wipe out debts (which also guts citizens' assets, savings, and investments). Instead, we need to break away from the current model of deficit spending and the primary issuance of money through banks that essentially take a cut of every single transaction in the economy.

If you want a prime example of how absurd today's system is, look at the US. Sure, they might be generating enough trillions right now to cover their own deficit, but this virtual "economy" has effectively caused the real one to collapse. The US produces very little; there aren't enough actual jobs. The only ones thriving are the top management tiers at financial institutions, who basically suck the life out of everyone else. If foreigners stop buying US T-bills, the Dollar faces a freefall. That would mean the end of the era where the US imports everything physical while exporting almost nothing of real value.

The current crisis in the EU feels orchestrated, almost as if it's designed to make T-bills and the Dollar look valuable again, likely because too many people transitioned to using the Euro for payments and reserves. Consequently, I expect this crisis to drag on for quite a while amidst political deadlock.


The situation in the EU is actually more critical than in the US, simply because the Federal Reserve has prerogatives that the Federal Reserve of Europe doesn't possess. Because of this, the US is actually in a worse long-term position since the actual measures needed to halt this crisis spiral are being postponed year after year.

No single bank or consortium is omnipotent. In the end, the free market always wins—as long as it exists. Within the context of fiduciary currencies, which underpin today's international monetary system, a bank can control either the money supply or interest rates, but it cannot control both at the same time.
darkhawk43 darkhawk43 MemberOP
22 messages
joined Apr 2007
#14 ·
Andrew Booth29 said:And who is going to step in and save anyone at this point? It’s hard to say... honestly, it's just a complete mess. 🤣

LvM is a legend—think about how this applies to the US today (and beyond):

"In the eyes of cranks and demagogues, interest is a product of the sinister machinations of rugged exploiters. The age-old disapprobation of interest has been fully revived by modern interventionism. It clings to the dogma that it is one of the foremost duties of good government to lower the rate of interest as far as possible or to abolish it altogether. All present-day governments are fanatically committed to an easy money policy."

🙏

China is staring down a "hard landing," and Japan is teetering on the edge of an epic tragedy...

If you want proof of how bad things have gotten, just look at the market's total lack of reaction to today's proposal from the European Commission for Eurozone Bonds. Two years ago, a move like this would have probably shielded Europeans from the current crises and prevented the misery we're seeing in Greece and potentially Italy. But today's market response tells a different story: Euro/USD is down 1.2%; Italy 10y Treasury Bonds are up 2.19% to 6.96%, and Spain's 10y bonds just hit a new peak at 6.64%. The EU elite is basically two years behind the curve.
Mark Campbell5 Mark Campbell5 Active Member
79 messages
joined Jan 2018
#15 ·
So, word on the street is Ireland might be gearing up to ask for some debt write-offs. Honestly, it’s not even that shocking when you think about it—I mean, if Greece managed to pull off a bailout like that, why wouldn't Ireland try to jump on the same bandwagon? It's just common sense, really.

And honestly, I think I already know which country is next on the list to see their bonds turn into absolute garbage. 😁

Goldman Sachs Sigma x is dropping some pretty heavy hints about who might be sitting in the crosshairs for the next contagion. It’s making you wonder, isn't it? One minute everything seems relatively stable, and the next, you're looking at the cracks forming in the foundation. You have to ask yourself—where does the domino effect actually stop? It feels like we're just waiting for the next shoe to drop.

Target is five months ago—back when Italian yields were actually behaving themselves in that comfortable 3% ballpark instead of hitting the 7% mark we're seeing today. At that time, we pointed out that if you looked closely at the trading patterns and the sheer volume moving through Goldman Sachs Sigma x, it looked like Italy may experience a Greek episode. A few days later, we weren't exactly wrong, were we? Yields and spreads just started that relentless slide upward, and honestly, it felt like only the folks with a direct line to Sigma x could even smell what was coming down the pipe. Well, looking at things today, it seems the German diversion worked perfectly. The reality is that nobody really seems to care about Germany. Instead, everyone’s eyes are glued to the one nation sitting on the highest mountain of combined debt—government, corporate, and household all rolled into one—relative to its GDP anywhere on the planet. Yeah. The UK.

The UK is officially on the fast track toward a complete meltdown...

I can't access external links directly, but if you paste the text or describe the content from that ZeroHedge link, I’ll get right to work. Just give me the raw info, and I'll transform it into that specific, rambling, sarcastic, and dry style we discussed—complete with all the necessary US-based substitutions and persona tweaks. Ready when you are.

So, all this talk about the Euro bonds... the whole "saving the Euro" drama and everything else? What's the actual deal there?

Forget everything you thought you knew... this is a recession right now. It’s morphing into a full-blown depression, and honestly? It’s going to make the Great Depression of 1929 look like a walk in the park.

JP Morgan World Collapse explained in 3 minutes

JP Morgan World Collapse

So, JP Morgan just issued a downgrade. Seriously. They’re basically telling everyone to dump their commodities. It's one of those moves that makes you wonder what they actually see coming down the pipeline.

Phase Shift — JP Morgan Downgrade.

So, here’s the breakdown of why we actually ended up in this mess.

Economic Collapse is a Mathematical Certainty—here are the top 5 places to avoid.

And what about the Federal Reserve?

Forget everything you thought you knew... that supercommittee specifically assembled to figure out an exit strategy from this mess hit its final deadline yesterday, and—surprise, surprise—they came up totally empty-handed. No conclusions, no plan, nothing. Just another dead end.

The Federal Reserve isn't going to step in and bail anyone out... honestly, the Federal Reserve doesn't even have enough liquidity to pull all these countries back from the brink, and now they've actually started buying up their own Treasury Bonds? I mean, if that isn't a textbook pyramid scheme, then I don't know what is.

And the Chinese are basically panicking right now... they just don't have enough liquid cash sitting around to actually make a move. But here's the kicker—if they try to pull out the funds that are currently tied up, they'll end up nuking their own economy in the process. Talk about a lose-lose situation, right?

Oh, right... I almost forgot about Japan.

Remember the Fukushima mess?

It’s not just that they haven't done a single thing over there—it’s that the radiation levels are climbing higher every damn day. Now, you hear the former chief engineer from Reactor 3 saying the core has already breached the containment vessel—which was basically our last shot at stopping this whole mess—and that it’s about to hit the water. Water meeting a radioactive core... I mean, I don't think I even need to spell out what happens next, do I?

The Chinese syndrome—really, we're still calling it that? It feels like one of those old-school labels that just won't stick, even when the reality underneath is shifting right under our feet. You have to wonder how much of this is actually a structural meltdown and how much is just the market panicking because it can't wrap its head around what's happening on the other side of the Pacific. Is it a fundamental shift in global trade, or just another cycle of fear? Honestly, at this point, it's hard to tell where the actual data ends and the speculation begins. It’s just impossible to avoid.

So, I just caught wind of this nuclear expert claiming that radiation from the Fukushima explosion is heading straight for the States—and apparently, there’s a massive cover-up in the works. Honestly, where does it end? You hear these warnings, and then everything goes quiet. Is anyone actually looking into this, or are we all just supposed to sit here and pretend everything is fine while the air changes? It feels like we're constantly being told things are under control right when they feel most chaotic. Just something to chew on.

Fukushima explosion is basically inevitable at this point—we're looking at a massive hydrovolcanic situation waiting to happen. Honestly, does anyone even realize the scale of what we're talking about here? It feels like we're just watching the clock tick down on a disaster that everyone seems to be ignoring.

And just like sugar at the end:

So, they’re parking an aircraft carrier right next to Syria—CVN-77 is basically sitting in the driveway now—just as the US government starts telling Americans to pack their bags and get out immediately. Makes you wonder, doesn't it? It’s one of those classic "everything is fine" moments where the official advice feels a little too much like a frantic nudge toward the exit. You see the military hardware moving into position and then suddenly you're reading evacuation orders... it’s a hell of a combination. Is it just a coincidence, or is the situation hitting that tipping point we always talk about? Hard to say, but the timing is certainly... interesting.

The US just parked an aircraft carrier right off the coast of Syria and told their own people to get out of there—like, right now. Meanwhile, Turkey is telling its citizens to skip the Syrian route entirely and just fly back home from Saudi Arabia. On top of all that, you've got Russian warships sitting in Syrian waters while their own carrier is hanging out in the Mediterranean.

The U.S. Embassy in Damascus basically issued an "emergency exit" notice for Americans in Syria, and Turkey’s foreign ministry is advising Turkish pilgrims to catch flights from Saudi Arabia instead of trying to pass through Syria.

So, let's talk about this whole Syria situation...

Of course, maybe I'm totally off base here...

We'll see, I guess.

🥳

http://beforeitsnews.com/ckfinder/us...rogramming.jpg
darkhawk43 darkhawk43 MemberOP
22 messages
joined Apr 2007
#16 ·
Are the Irish getting ready to ask for a bailout? That’s a new one. I follow the Irish media pretty closely every day, and from what I can tell, we Irish are still just decent Europeans who stay quiet and pay our bills. 😁

And regarding all this debt talk and that ZeroHedge graph, you really have to watch out for how bank debt is accounted for. As far as I know, every single deposit essentially becomes bank debt, which is why countries with massive financial hubs usually end up carrying huge amounts of banking debt. For instance, looking at that ZeroHedge chart, they completely missed Switzerland, where the combined external debt is roughly three times the GDP. Besides, Swiss and UK Treasury Bonds weren't even remotely affected by the Euro Crisis.

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/GUKG10:IND

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/GSWISS10:IND
blueotter70 blueotter70 Member
16 messages
joined Jul 2008
#17 ·
What an absolute masterpiece of a joke this all is... especially when I look back at some of the naive anti-American idiots on this forum who spent their time trying to convince themselves that the US was in a much worse spot than Europe—as if America was actually on the verge of a total meltdown. The EU is basically just living proof of what happens when you take one decent idea like a common market and hand way too much power over to the bureaucrats and politicians in Brussels. Then there’s that clown Wolfgang Schauble, who actually had the nerve to claim that the Brits would join the Eurozone before they even realized it. What a fool. Honestly, hats off to the Brits—they're really the only bright spot left in the EU. I love watching how they just shove facts right in the faces of those EU bureaucrats, leaving Barroso and his whole crew pulling their hair out.
copperhound122 copperhound122 Active Member
50 messages
joined Mar 2013
#18 ·
blueotter70 said:What an absolute masterpiece of a joke this all is... especially when I look back at some of the naive anti-American idiots on this forum who spent their time trying to convince themselves that the US was in a much worse spot than Europe—as if America was actually on the verge of a total meltdown. The EU is basically just living proof of what happens when you take one decent idea like a common market and hand way too much power over to the bureaucrats and politicians in Brussels. Then there’s that clown Wolfgang Schauble, who actually had the nerve to claim that the Brits would join the Eurozone before they even realized it. What a fool. Honestly, hats off to the Brits—they're really the only bright spot left in the EU. I love watching how they just shove facts right in the faces of those EU bureaucrats, leaving Barroso and his whole crew pulling their hair out.

I am genuinely curious if the secessionists will suddenly realize the necessity of keeping all fifty states together once the EU project falls apart. I mean, why should wealthy states from the East and West continue to subsidize the rest of the union when they could just be independent, much like the European nations?
The Confederacy and those true patriots should just go for it. Maybe support Alaska returning to Russia, or New Mexico, California, Arizona or Texas returning to Mexico, or even Florida returning to Cuba.
Now that the public auctions have started, I suppose the primary debtors are finally being targeted. Since the EU isn't anywhere near the level of debt seen in the USA, they really shouldn't be bothering themselves with anything
coming from across the Atlantic.
darkhawk43 darkhawk43 MemberOP
22 messages
joined Apr 2007
#19 ·
Some people can't even string two coherent sentences together regarding what's actually happening, yet they still spew this absolute garbage—talking about the Alaska Russians as if that’s some realistic scenario we should even be debating in the same breath as the issues facing the Euro.
Kevin Gonzalez79 Kevin Gonzalez79 Active Member
113 messages
joined Jan 2008
#20 ·
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-15850569

I'm not sure if anyone else has picked up on this, but manufacturing output in China has hit its lowest level in 32 months. It’s glaringly obvious that the industrial engine has run out of buyers for its surplus goods. I fear we are all deeply interconnected; those fools cheering for the collapse of the European Union are essentially celebrating their own impending downfall.

At this rate, our greatest national assets might end up being nothing more than a patch of dirt in the countryside and a decent set of heavy-duty tools.

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