NERAST said:Been doing some thinking. Doing some reading, too.
Farmland prices are pretty low right now. Since I’ve got some cash on hand and I'm not exactly lazy, I'm thinking about diving into agriculture. Might actually be worth the investment.
The government's offering subsidies for planting permanent walnut groves... Honestly, once they're in, they don't require an insane amount of upkeep. It doesn't have to be my main hustle, but the profit margins over a few years look solid. So, I’ve been thinking about leasing maybe 12 to 25 acres and just going all in on walnuts.
Look, I’m no farmer. But I know how to handle a shovel, and with a little reading and some decent advice, I think I could make it work. Still... I just can't make the math add up.
Heard the subsidies for walnut orchards are around $1,000 per hectare. $13333 .....
Come on, throw your thoughts out there! Let me hear what you guys actually think about this!!! ☕ 🙄
🙂
Let me ask you right off the bat—were you talking about walnuts as the nut itself or the actual tree?
You’re looking at a 12-year wait just to break even if you're betting on timber. And that's only if you're planting in the Midwest where the soil actually works and the climate behaves. Places like the mountains aren't going to cut it—not because they'll fail, but because growth is too slow. That's just bad business.
If you're looking for walnuts, a buddy of mine has about 150 trees out in the Midwest. He's selling them. $33 It’s only a 2.5-ounce bottle, but the yield is massive. I won't even get into the tonnage right now because I have no clue—I'll have to go ask someone.
If you’re talking timber, we're looking at a long game. You won't hit that 24-inch diameter target for maybe 30 to 60 years—it's all over the map depending on the walnut variety you plant. If you go with domestic walnut, don't expect a dime until your grandkids are grown. Get some Black Walnut instead.
Why wait 30 years to harvest walnut? Simple math. You’re looking at $1,000 per cubic foot. Right now, 1,000 saplings could net you anywhere from $800,000 to $1.3 million—huge swing there, obviously, depending on how old the trees are when you finally cut them down. Just take the average: 40 years old plus 1,000 trees equals a cool million bucks. Easy.
The seedling's about 40...$33Depends on how big the seedlings are when you buy them. You're looking at maybe 150 to 180 plants per acre, depending on the spacing. No clue what the market price for the harvest is right now... but land is pretty cheap out here!
If you're actually going through with this business, go talk to a nursery about a bulk discount. You need volume. Personally, I wouldn't bother unless you're looking at at least 1,000 seedlings.
Hope that helps!
Hey there!