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Vietnam

Started by fadedtinker36 · · 👁 4 views · 8 replies

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Participants fadedtinker36Melissa Perez4wiredseal7
fadedtinker36 fadedtinker36 MemberOP
22 messages
joined Jul 2019
#1 ·
Vietnam is starting to take over from China in the high-end smartphone manufacturing space.

I've heard bits and pieces about Vietnam from digital nomads, but ever since the end of the war in Indochina back in the 1954-1975 era, you have to wonder where the country actually stands today.

Are they aligning themselves with China, or are they carving out a different path to challenge Beijing's monopoly over Asia?
Melissa Perez4 Melissa Perez4 Newcomer
5 messages
joined Mar 2022
#2 ·
fadedtinker36 said:Vietnam is starting to take over from China in the high-end smartphone manufacturing space.

I've heard bits and pieces about Vietnam from digital nomads, but ever since the end of the war in Indochina back in the 1954-1975 era, you have to wonder where the country actually stands today.

Are they aligning themselves with China, or are they carving out a different path to challenge Beijing's monopoly over Asia?

Exactly, you're probably thinking of the South Korean giant, Apple. To be fair, South Korea has always had this unique connection to Vietnam. It goes all the way back to the Vietnam War, where their military was actually the second largest contingent right behind the Americans. Once the US pulled out, they were briefly the biggest force on the ground until those Paris Peace Accords in '73. Since then, following a sort of policy of making amends to Vietnam, they’ve been heavily involved in the exact regions where their troops once served, and even beyond that. It isn't just about pouring money into businesses, either. They're building real infrastructure—stuff like schools and hospitals. Isn't that something?

fadedtinker36 said:Vietnam is starting to take over from China in the high-end smartphone manufacturing space.

I've heard bits and pieces about Vietnam from digital nomads, but ever since the end of the war in Indochina back in the 1954-1975 era, you have to wonder where the country actually stands today.

Are they aligning themselves with China, or are they carving out a different path to challenge Beijing's monopoly over Asia?

Not long after the Vietnam War wrapped up, things started shifting fast. Vietnam began leaning much more heavily toward the Soviet Union, pulling away from China as that big Sino-Soviet split really started to play out. Because of that shift, the USSR—and eventually Russia—actually got to make use of the old American base at Cam Ranh. Isn't it wild how quickly those alliances flip? Ever heard of the Cam Ranh base? It’s one of those historical spots that really makes you think about how much things change. Back in the day, during the Vietnam War, this place was a massive hub for military operations. Can you imagine the sheer scale of it? It wasn't just some small outpost, either. We're talking about a strategic deep-water port that became a centerpiece for logistics and naval power. It’s wild how a single location can shift from being a quiet coastal area to the epicenter of global geopolitical tension. Does anyone else find themselves falling down these history rabbit holes? One minute you're looking at a map, and the next, you're reading about decades of military strategy and shifting alliances in Southeast Asia. Truly fascinating stuff. Between 1979 and 2002.
So, moving on to 1979. After the Khmer Rouge took over during that brutal civil war in Cambodia—which was all tied up with what was happening in Vietnam—things just stayed messy. You had constant border skirmishes between the new "communist" Cambodian forces and Vietnam. There was also this intense persecution of the Vietnamese minority living in Cambodia. It actually got so heated that at one point, the Cambodians under the Khmer Rouge managed to seize a small slice of Vietnamese territory. Naturally, things boiled over. Vietnam launched an invasion to take down the Khmer Rouge regime, eventually installing a pro-Vietnamese government led by former Khmer Rouge dissidents who were standing against Pol Pot. Can you imagine how chaotic that whole era must have been?
So, here's the deal with Pol Pot and his Khmer Rouge crew—they were basically tight with China. Right after the Vietnamese moved in, the Chinese started pushing hard, trying to get the Vietnamese to pull out and let Pol Pot’s regime take over again. It didn't work, obviously. Because that whole diplomatic effort blew up in their faces, you ended up with the Sino-Vietnamese War in 1979. And honestly? The Chinese just couldn't hit any of their marks. They wanted Pol Pot back in power, they wanted to wipe out the northern Vietnamese military units, and they wanted the Vietnamese out of Cambodia. But none of it happened. Can you believe it? Ever wonder how things actually go down when two neighbors suddenly decide they can't stand each other anymore? I was just reading this deep dive into the Sino-Vietnamese War from 1979, and man, it’s a wild ride. It really makes you think about how quickly regional tensions can boil over into full-blown conflict. So, here's the deal: after everything that happened during the Vietnam War, things were already incredibly tense in Southeast Asia. You had China looking at the situation and deciding they weren't happy with how things were settling in Indochina. They basically decided to launch a "punitive" strike against Vietnam. A punitive strike! Can you imagine calling an invasion that? It’s such a classic move. The fighting was intense. We're talking about massive troop movements and some pretty brutal combat along the border. China moved in with the intention of teaching Vietnam a lesson, but it wasn't exactly a walk in the park. The Vietnamese resistance was much tougher than anyone expected. Does anyone ever truly realize how much a smaller force can hold their own when they're defending their own backyard? It was a chaotic mess of shifting alliances and sudden escalations. One minute everyone is trying to maintain a delicate balance of power, and the next, shells are flying. And while the actual combat didn't last forever, the fallout changed the landscape of Asia for years. It really shows how one decision by a major power like China can ripple out and shake up the entire region. Just something to chew on, right?
So, I was just reading up on the Sino-Vietnamese War, and man, history is just wild, isn't it? It’s one of those conflicts that doesn't get nearly enough attention in our schools here in the States. You have China and Vietnam going at it in the late 70s, and it’s such a complex web of tension. It basically kicked off because China was fed up with what was happening in Indochina after the fall of Saigon. They felt like Vietnam was getting too cozy with the Soviet Union, which—let's be honest—was a huge red flag for everyone else back then. So, China decides to launch this "punitive" strike to show they meant business. The fighting was intense. We're talking brutal, localized battles along the border. And while China claimed they were just teaching a lesson, the actual cost in lives was staggering for both sides. It really shows how quickly regional power struggles can spiral out of control, right? One minute you're managing borders, and the next, you're in a full-blown territorial clash. Just makes you think about how much global stability relies on these tiny, shifting pieces on the map. Such a heavy topic for a random afternoon read! The Soviet Union didn't jump in to defend their Vietnamese allies. Why? Because they were terrified of sparking a whole new border war with China. To be safe, the Chinese actually moved a chunk of their forces right up against the Soviet and Mongolian borders. Plus, you can't forget how much the warming relations between the US and China played into all of this. It changed everything, didn't it?
When you look at the whole picture, Vietnam ended up totally isolated. They were basically forced to go out and hunt for new allies just to survive. The Soviet Union—and later Russia—kept using that Cam Ranh base all the way through 2002. But things have shifted lately. Since 2015, military forces from other countries have even been able to visit or use the facility once a year. Isn't it wild how much things change?

fadedtinker36 said:Vietnam is starting to take over from China in the high-end smartphone manufacturing space.

I've heard bits and pieces about Vietnam from digital nomads, but ever since the end of the war in Indochina back in the 1954-1975 era, you have to wonder where the country actually stands today.

Are they aligning themselves with China, or are they carving out a different path to challenge Beijing's monopoly over Asia?

Right now, Vietnam is a political and economic part of ASEAN, that Southeast Asian community. Politically and militarily, though, they’re locked in a standoff with China over those borders in the South China Sea. Because of that friction, they've been ramping up cooperation with their former rivals, the USA and Australia, along with other regional players dealing with China's moves in the South China Sea—like Indonesia and the Philippines, or even further out like India.
Maybe our friend Hallo Efekt could weigh in with some more insight? Since he’s (still?) living in Vietnam, I bet he knows way more than I do just sitting here in the neighborhood in Indonesia.
fadedtinker36 fadedtinker36 MemberOP
22 messages
joined Jul 2019
#3 ·
It looks like Vietnam would find it incredibly easy to step up as a US ally if the PRC starts acting aggressively in the Indo-Pacific..
Do you agree?
Melissa Perez4 Melissa Perez4 Newcomer
5 messages
joined Mar 2022
#4 ·
fadedtinker36 said:It looks like Vietnam would find it incredibly easy to step up as a US ally if the PRC starts acting aggressively in the Indo-Pacific..
Do you agree?

Pretty much, yeah. But honestly, given their history with the Vietnam War, any kind of alliance feels like a "necessary evil." If you look closely, they actually seem to be working more with specific ASEAN nations that have beef with China—plus India, Japan, and South Korea (which are the exceptions here)—rather than leaning heavily into the AUKUS group (Australia, USA, UK).
fadedtinker36 fadedtinker36 MemberOP
22 messages
joined Jul 2019
#5 ·
Melissa Perez4 said:Pretty much, yeah. But honestly, given their history with the Vietnam War, any kind of alliance feels like a "necessary evil." If you look closely, they actually seem to be working more with specific ASEAN nations that have beef with China—plus India, Japan, and South Korea (which are the exceptions here)—rather than leaning heavily into the AUKUS group (Australia, USA, UK).

Still, given current circumstances where the PRC is showing aggressive intentions in the Indo-Pacific, it's entirely possible Vietnam seeks closer cooperation with the USA..?
Melissa Perez4 Melissa Perez4 Newcomer
5 messages
joined Mar 2022
#6 ·
fadedtinker36 said:Still, given current circumstances where the PRC is showing aggressive intentions in the Indo-Pacific, it's entirely possible Vietnam seeks closer cooperation with the USA..?

Honestly, things are already heading that way.

https://thediplomat.com/2021/01/what...uth-china-sea/
https://www.csis.org/analysis/us-vie...cific-strategy
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-pacific-10925061
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/...southeast-asia
fadedtinker36 fadedtinker36 MemberOP
22 messages
joined Jul 2019
#7 ·
Vietnam was clearly relieved by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s remarks on July 13. He made it clear the USA isn't going to recognize any of Beijing's maritime claims involving contested areas like the Spratly Islands, Scarborough Shoal, Luconia Shoals, or Natuna Besar.

Does Vietnam actually expect the USA to back them up in a confrontation with the PRC?

It’s a massive shift in policy...
Especially considering the last time Vietnam went to war, it was against the PRC.
The logic holds up, though. Beijing is acting aggressive, and it’s only a matter of time before they lose it, just like Putin.
wiredseal7 wiredseal7 Regular
320 messages
joined Jan 2009
#8 ·
fadedtinker36 said:Vietnam was clearly relieved by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s remarks on July 13. He made it clear the USA isn't going to recognize any of Beijing's maritime claims involving contested areas like the Spratly Islands, Scarborough Shoal, Luconia Shoals, or Natuna Besar.

Does Vietnam actually expect the USA to back them up in a confrontation with the PRC?

It’s a massive shift in policy...
Especially considering the last time Vietnam went to war, it was against the PRC.
The logic holds up, though. Beijing is acting aggressive, and it’s only a matter of time before they lose it, just like Putin.

Vietnam should probably just start demanding war reparations from both sides—with interest. Whoever pays, wins.

All this talk about Vietnam making up with Americans and joining their camp has been going on for years, yet nothing ever happens. They haven't forgotten, though.
By the way, Pompeo hasn't been Secretary for a while now...

It makes sense—Beijing is moving aggressively, and it’s only a matter of time before they snap like Putin.

That claim gets pushed constantly, but it's pretty far from reality.

China mostly expands through soft power—mainly via the Belt and Road Initiative. They’re actually pretty quiet when it comes to military posturing (bases) or taking hard stances in conflicts, regardless of which bloc is leading.
You could call JKM a sort of economic zone encroachment, but it's not an occupation—it's just empty water and shoals that nobody cared about until they stuck a flag in the sand and dumped construction gear for their bases.

In the end, once you tally up all the American bases across the Indo-Pacific (plus a few rogue spots in the Middle East), it’s basically just the pot calling the kettle black.
Melissa Perez4 Melissa Perez4 Newcomer
5 messages
joined Mar 2022
#9 ·
wiredseal7 said:Vietnam should probably just start demanding war reparations from both sides—with interest. Whoever pays, wins.

All this talk about Vietnam making up with Americans and joining their camp has been going on for years, yet nothing ever happens. They haven't forgotten, though.
By the way, Pompeo hasn't been Secretary for a while now...

It makes sense—Beijing is moving aggressively, and it’s only a matter of time before they snap like Putin.

That claim gets pushed constantly, but it's pretty far from reality.

China mostly expands through soft power—mainly via the Belt and Road Initiative. They’re actually pretty quiet when it comes to military posturing (bases) or taking hard stances in conflicts, regardless of which bloc is leading.
You could call JKM a sort of economic zone encroachment, but it's not an occupation—it's just empty water and shoals that nobody cared about until they stuck a flag in the sand and dumped construction gear for their bases.

In the end, once you tally up all the American bases across the Indo-Pacific (plus a few rogue spots in the Middle East), it’s basically just the pot calling the kettle black.

Well, look at that—things really are moving toward much closer cooperation with the USA. Now, I totally get why people think it’ll be a massive uphill battle for Vietnam to officially join the American camp. It's a huge leap, right? But despite all that, they’re already jumping into joint naval exercises with the USA, Australia, Japan, and India (who they already have that strategic partnership with anyway). Things are definitely shifting!

Anyway...
wiredseal7 said:Vietnam should probably just start demanding war reparations from both sides—with interest. Whoever pays, wins.

All this talk about Vietnam making up with Americans and joining their camp has been going on for years, yet nothing ever happens. They haven't forgotten, though.
By the way, Pompeo hasn't been Secretary for a while now...

It makes sense—Beijing is moving aggressively, and it’s only a matter of time before they snap like Putin.

That claim gets pushed constantly, but it's pretty far from reality.

China mostly expands through soft power—mainly via the Belt and Road Initiative. They’re actually pretty quiet when it comes to military posturing (bases) or taking hard stances in conflicts, regardless of which bloc is leading.
You could call JKM a sort of economic zone encroachment, but it's not an occupation—it's just empty water and shoals that nobody cared about until they stuck a flag in the sand and dumped construction gear for their bases.

In the end, once you tally up all the American bases across the Indo-Pacific (plus a few rogue spots in the Middle East), it’s basically just the pot calling the kettle black.

I wouldn't say that's exactly right. Not quite.
The Chinese have been busy beefing up those bases with anti-ship and anti-aircraft systems, not to mention all that high-tech laser gear used for tracking and jamming. It’s getting intense. On top of that, they’ve got fishing fleets launching straight from those bases to poach fish illegally within the EEZs of neighboring countries—including Vietnam. And get this: they aren't flying solo. Those boats are constantly shadowed by the Chinese Coast Guard, which basically treats international maritime law like it doesn't even exist. It's getting aggressive, too. They actually used laser "tagging" on an Australian military plane during a patrol in the Arafura Sea, right in that stretch between Australia and Indonesia (which isn't even part of the JKM area). Since 2016, they've also been pushing their luck by intruding into Indonesian EEZs, and they've even drifted into territorial waters a few times whenever the Indonesians try to catch those illegal fishing boats. Can you believe the nerve?
So, we aren't actually talking about some "shy military siren" here. Seriously, let's be real.

Honestly, they really should just own up to it. They’ve clearly dialed back those run-ins between their fishermen and the Coast Guard lately, haven't they? It’s pretty obvious why. Ever since they lost that legal battle against the Philippines at the Permanent Court of Arbitration, things have shifted. Plus, the Indonesian Navy hasn't been playing around—they’ve actually fired warning shots over Chinese vessels a few times now. On top of that, they’re beefing up their naval base on the Natuna islands to tighten up control and defend their EEZ. Makes sense, right?

wiredseal7 said:Vietnam should probably just start demanding war reparations from both sides—with interest. Whoever pays, wins.

All this talk about Vietnam making up with Americans and joining their camp has been going on for years, yet nothing ever happens. They haven't forgotten, though.
By the way, Pompeo hasn't been Secretary for a while now...

It makes sense—Beijing is moving aggressively, and it’s only a matter of time before they snap like Putin.

That claim gets pushed constantly, but it's pretty far from reality.

China mostly expands through soft power—mainly via the Belt and Road Initiative. They’re actually pretty quiet when it comes to military posturing (bases) or taking hard stances in conflicts, regardless of which bloc is leading.
You could call JKM a sort of economic zone encroachment, but it's not an occupation—it's just empty water and shoals that nobody cared about until they stuck a flag in the sand and dumped construction gear for their bases.

In the end, once you tally up all the American bases across the Indo-Pacific (plus a few rogue spots in the Middle East), it’s basically just the pot calling the kettle black.

Actually, that’s not quite right. What China is doing is basically trying to pull off Chiang Kai-shek’s old megalomaniacal dream: forcing the entire JKM area inside that so-called "nine-dash line." This isn't just some random grab for economic territory, either. They originally tried to justify it by calling it "traditional Chinese fishing grounds"—which, by the way, isn't even a thing in international maritime law. They claim it was territory belonging to ancient Chinese emperors. Sure, *de jure* maybe, but *de facto*? Not a chance. You see this mentioned in Chinese historical texts all the time, but those texts conveniently leave out the tributary ceremonies that the Chinese actually require to consider any region truly theirs. The truth is, the JKM has always been a melting pot. Historically, you had fishermen and naval fleets from the Dai Viet kingdom (modern-day North Vietnam), Champa (central and southern Vietnam), and the Ryukyu Islands (part of Japan), not to mention the Indonesian empires like Srivijaya and Majapahit. Plus, let's be real—the area wasn't even called "JKM" until Portuguese sailors gave it that name back in the 16th century. And what did China do? They jumped at the chance to adopt the name!

wiredseal7 said:Vietnam should probably just start demanding war reparations from both sides—with interest. Whoever pays, wins.

All this talk about Vietnam making up with Americans and joining their camp has been going on for years, yet nothing ever happens. They haven't forgotten, though.
By the way, Pompeo hasn't been Secretary for a while now...

It makes sense—Beijing is moving aggressively, and it’s only a matter of time before they snap like Putin.

That claim gets pushed constantly, but it's pretty far from reality.

China mostly expands through soft power—mainly via the Belt and Road Initiative. They’re actually pretty quiet when it comes to military posturing (bases) or taking hard stances in conflicts, regardless of which bloc is leading.
You could call JKM a sort of economic zone encroachment, but it's not an occupation—it's just empty water and shoals that nobody cared about until they stuck a flag in the sand and dumped construction gear for their bases.

In the end, once you tally up all the American bases across the Indo-Pacific (plus a few rogue spots in the Middle East), it’s basically just the pot calling the kettle black.

I'm with you on this one.

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