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Sanctions on Russia

Started by Richard Wilson4 · · 👁 527 views · 9.5K replies

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Participants Richard Wilson4velvetcyclist95Jeremy Peterson4silentsurfer3rowdytiger13Carol Newman2William Anderson5Carl Cookfrozencobra50Paul Patel95Michael Davis10Gary WilsonGregory Ramos3slyfox43dustywolf13Tyler Jones6Larry Walker24Ashley Ramirez4Paul Clark80Adam Lee13northernangler8Nancy Ruiz5James Chavez91neonheron9 …
analogbear5 analogbear5 Regular
571 messages
joined Aug 2019
#6101 ·
The difference between an economy using the dollar versus one tied to a local currency is night and day. Having a global reserve currency at your disposal is a massive game changer—which explains why the US credit rating is seeing such a boost lately.

urbanotter said:I honestly don't see the issue here; these are all standard maneuvers used by central banks to support the economy through monetary policy.

Interest rates aren't set in stone—if the FED raises them, why shouldn't the Russian Federation?
From what I understand, they actually dropped once the ruble strengthened to a level that started hurting Russian exports.
The real headache is that we grew up thinking the Federal Reserve wouldn't use monetary tools to actually help the economy, acting more like a simple currency exchange booth that blindly defended the exchange rate, regardless of how much damage it did to the American economy.

After slapping Russia with that massive wave of sanctions, most of which targeted the financial sector, these moves don't seem all that extreme; once it becomes clear they aren't needed anymore, they'll be lifted.

I’m not just talking about Russia, but rather what any Central Bank does—it's just that the Fed focuses on maintaining the dollar's peg (rather than juggling multiple currencies like the Swiss National Bank would)
and claims it's all to maintain price stability, which, looking back, feels like a complete failure and nothing more than pure demagoguery.

The sanctions have clearly exposed how poorly managed our monetary policy has been,
and starting next year, instead of the Fed handling things, the European Central Bank will take the lead—hopefully with better results, though they haven't exactly proven themselves to be highly efficient either.
It's obvious we have turbulent times ahead, especially with Europe and America constantly prepping new sanction packages, and it's perfectly reasonable to expect Elvira Nabiullina to strike back with countermeasures.
Sanctions are essentially a blunt political interference in economic flows, and it isn't surprising that shifts occurred—unfortunately for Europe and for us, those shifts were negative.

But there's no denying that the decision to continue paying for Russian gas and oil had the biggest impact on the recovery and the rise of the ruble.

Shifted?EUROPE?!

Look, armed aggression involving tens of thousands of casualties on both sides is a massive disruption to economic flows—so yeah, it’s not shocking that things changed, much to the detriment of Europe and ourselves.
rowdyraven112 rowdyraven112 Active Member
248 messages
joined Jun 2024
#6102 ·
Michael Davis9 said:At its core, money is really nothing more than a tool—it’s just a practical way for us to make exchanging goods and services a whole lot easier.

Historically speaking, the Russian Federation has always relied on the European Union to supply those high-end, high-value goods—we're talking heavy machinery, specialized chemical products, intricate industrial components, and all sorts of sophisticated equipment used for everything from energy extraction to large-scale manufacturing.

When you look at the reality of these sanctions, it’s becoming pretty clear that Russia is hitting a massive wall. They're finding it increasingly difficult to actually buy and import most of what they need, which is why they're facing such an enormous deficit right now. I’ve been looking closely at the recent numbers, and honestly, seeing such a significant drop in imports really caught my eye. It’s one of those shifts that feels like more than just a minor fluctuation; it's a signal that deserves some real thought. When you see import volumes sliding like this, it usually points toward a deeper change in consumer demand or perhaps some tightening in the broader economic landscape here in the States. I can't help but wonder how much of this is a reaction to shifting domestic spending habits versus larger supply chain adjustments. It’s definitely a trend worth watching as we navigate the current economic climate. .

So, it looks like they’ve got plenty of cash on hand, but when it comes to actual assets, there’s nothing to show for it.

If Germany can't get their gas situation sorted out, they’re headed straight into a recession, and honestly, that’s going to drag a massive chunk of the entire European Union right down with them.

Just imagine if the gas supply had been cut off six months ago—we wouldn't have had nearly enough time to get those storage facilities filled up to the brim like we have now.

Lucky for you, there are still media outlets where you can actually talk directly to Russians. I get my info straight from the source. Right out of the gate, they said there were supply issues at retail stores, but things stabilized quickly. They won't touch politics for obvious reasons, but when it comes to the economy, they share whatever data they have access to.☕
urbanotter urbanotter Regular
431 messages
joined Oct 2020
#6103 ·
Michael Davis9 said:At its core, money is really nothing more than a tool—it’s just a practical way for us to make exchanging goods and services a whole lot easier.

Historically speaking, the Russian Federation has always relied on the European Union to supply those high-end, high-value goods—we're talking heavy machinery, specialized chemical products, intricate industrial components, and all sorts of sophisticated equipment used for everything from energy extraction to large-scale manufacturing.

When you look at the reality of these sanctions, it’s becoming pretty clear that Russia is hitting a massive wall. They're finding it increasingly difficult to actually buy and import most of what they need, which is why they're facing such an enormous deficit right now. I’ve been looking closely at the recent numbers, and honestly, seeing such a significant drop in imports really caught my eye. It’s one of those shifts that feels like more than just a minor fluctuation; it's a signal that deserves some real thought. When you see import volumes sliding like this, it usually points toward a deeper change in consumer demand or perhaps some tightening in the broader economic landscape here in the States. I can't help but wonder how much of this is a reaction to shifting domestic spending habits versus larger supply chain adjustments. It’s definitely a trend worth watching as we navigate the current economic climate. .

So, it looks like they’ve got plenty of cash on hand, but when it comes to actual assets, there’s nothing to show for it.

If Germany can't get their gas situation sorted out, they’re headed straight into a recession, and honestly, that’s going to drag a massive chunk of the entire European Union right down with them.

Just imagine if the gas supply had been cut off six months ago—we wouldn't have had nearly enough time to get those storage facilities filled up to the brim like we have now.

Russia is going to shift its trade focus toward the East and toward the BRIC nations, which they are looking to expand by adding more members.
They’ll try to source the goods they traditionally imported from Europe from other parts of the world instead. Right now, Russia is seeing an unprecedented trade surplus, and when you have that kind of capital, you can always find someone to sell you a car or even basic groceries, while they also begin manufacturing a larger portion of what they used to import themselves.

Chinese cars aren't bad at all, and Brazil produces quite a lot of them too.

However, Europe seems destined to deal with more expensive gas, because the cost of LNG will never be able to compete with the price of gas delivered directly via pipelines.
It’s a simple matter of logistics: the process of liquefying the gas, transporting it on LNG tankers, and then regasifying it is expensive, no matter where in the world Europe sources it from.

Since heating accounts for roughly 30% of imported gas usage, the industrial sector will feel the biggest hit, and with those higher input costs, entering a recession seems almost inevitable.

Sanctions can be a double-edged sword; you can easily end up falling into the very hole you were digging for someone else.
swiftjackal11 swiftjackal11 Regular
271 messages
joined May 2018
#6104 ·
urbanotter said:Russia is going to shift its trade focus toward the East and toward the BRIC nations, which they are looking to expand by adding more members.
They’ll try to source the goods they traditionally imported from Europe from other parts of the world instead. Right now, Russia is seeing an unprecedented trade surplus, and when you have that kind of capital, you can always find someone to sell you a car or even basic groceries, while they also begin manufacturing a larger portion of what they used to import themselves.

Chinese cars aren't bad at all, and Brazil produces quite a lot of them too.

However, Europe seems destined to deal with more expensive gas, because the cost of LNG will never be able to compete with the price of gas delivered directly via pipelines.
It’s a simple matter of logistics: the process of liquefying the gas, transporting it on LNG tankers, and then regasifying it is expensive, no matter where in the world Europe sources it from.

Since heating accounts for roughly 30% of imported gas usage, the industrial sector will feel the biggest hit, and with those higher input costs, entering a recession seems almost inevitable.

Sanctions can be a double-edged sword; you can easily end up falling into the very hole you were digging for someone else.

It's a shame people didn't embrace Chinese cars sooner. Maybe then you'd actually own one yourself.🙂
analogbear5 analogbear5 Regular
571 messages
joined Aug 2019
#6105 ·
urbanotter said:Russia is going to shift its trade focus toward the East and toward the BRIC nations, which they are looking to expand by adding more members.
They’ll try to source the goods they traditionally imported from Europe from other parts of the world instead. Right now, Russia is seeing an unprecedented trade surplus, and when you have that kind of capital, you can always find someone to sell you a car or even basic groceries, while they also begin manufacturing a larger portion of what they used to import themselves.

Chinese cars aren't bad at all, and Brazil produces quite a lot of them too.

However, Europe seems destined to deal with more expensive gas, because the cost of LNG will never be able to compete with the price of gas delivered directly via pipelines.
It’s a simple matter of logistics: the process of liquefying the gas, transporting it on LNG tankers, and then regasifying it is expensive, no matter where in the world Europe sources it from.

Since heating accounts for roughly 30% of imported gas usage, the industrial sector will feel the biggest hit, and with those higher input costs, entering a recession seems almost inevitable.

Sanctions can be a double-edged sword; you can easily end up falling into the very hole you were digging for someone else.

Žarko Puhovski, is that you?
hollowdriver13 hollowdriver13 Regular
705 messages
joined Feb 2022
#6106 ·
urbanotter said:Russia is going to shift its trade focus toward the East and toward the BRIC nations, which they are looking to expand by adding more members.
They’ll try to source the goods they traditionally imported from Europe from other parts of the world instead. Right now, Russia is seeing an unprecedented trade surplus, and when you have that kind of capital, you can always find someone to sell you a car or even basic groceries, while they also begin manufacturing a larger portion of what they used to import themselves.

Chinese cars aren't bad at all, and Brazil produces quite a lot of them too.

However, Europe seems destined to deal with more expensive gas, because the cost of LNG will never be able to compete with the price of gas delivered directly via pipelines.
It’s a simple matter of logistics: the process of liquefying the gas, transporting it on LNG tankers, and then regasifying it is expensive, no matter where in the world Europe sources it from.

Since heating accounts for roughly 30% of imported gas usage, the industrial sector will feel the biggest hit, and with those higher input costs, entering a recession seems almost inevitable.

Sanctions can be a double-edged sword; you can easily end up falling into the very hole you were digging for someone else.

🙏

The stuff Brazil "produces" is mostly just US and EU brands running local factories, or local players like Marcopolo using licenses for Mercedes buses.

Honestly, urbanotter's take on economics is basically the entire history of this thread. 🍿🍿
Donna Harris11 Donna Harris11 Active Member
164 messages
joined Oct 2018
#6107 ·
Viktor Orbán was right once again.

The guy is basically a Nobel laureate for being an absolute clown—just a total joke along the lines of those other high-profile hacks you see on the news all the time.

It feels like the US used Ukraine to completely screw over the EU. And honestly, who's actually running the show in America? It definitely isn't Brendon Pampers.
mellowsurfer14 mellowsurfer14 Member
14 messages
joined Jul 2022
#6108 ·
Donna Harris11 said:Viktor Orbán was right once again.

The guy is basically a Nobel laureate for being an absolute clown—just a total joke along the lines of those other high-profile hacks you see on the news all the time.

It feels like the US used Ukraine to completely screw over the EU. And honestly, who's actually running the show in America? It definitely isn't Brendon Pampers.

amen
Michael Davis9 Michael Davis9 Active Member
64 messages
joined Aug 2012
#6109 ·
rowdyraven112 As I was saying:
Well, I'm sorry to hear that things didn't pan out for you!

peak ForumHR Quote

I still have access to certain media outlets where you can actually hold a direct conversation with Russians, which means I’m getting information straight from the source. Right at the beginning, they mentioned there had been some hiccups with supply chains for local retailers, but they assured me things were stabilizing pretty quickly. They obviously won't touch politics—and honestly, I don't blame them—but when it comes to the economy, they are more than willing to share just about any data they have on hand. ☕

I don't think this contradicts a single thing I’ve said. Honestly, you just have to be able to tell the difference between a shoe display in a storefront and an actual industrial plant.

urbanotter said:Russia is going to shift its trade focus toward the East and toward the BRIC nations, which they are looking to expand by adding more members.
They’ll try to source the goods they traditionally imported from Europe from other parts of the world instead. Right now, Russia is seeing an unprecedented trade surplus, and when you have that kind of capital, you can always find someone to sell you a car or even basic groceries, while they also begin manufacturing a larger portion of what they used to import themselves.

Chinese cars aren't bad at all, and Brazil produces quite a lot of them too.

However, Europe seems destined to deal with more expensive gas, because the cost of LNG will never be able to compete with the price of gas delivered directly via pipelines.
It’s a simple matter of logistics: the process of liquefying the gas, transporting it on LNG tankers, and then regasifying it is expensive, no matter where in the world Europe sources it from.

Since heating accounts for roughly 30% of imported gas usage, the industrial sector will feel the biggest hit, and with those higher input costs, entering a recession seems almost inevitable.

Sanctions can be a double-edged sword; you can easily end up falling into the very hole you were digging for someone else.

Russia will eventually find its footing and adapt to these new conditions, though it’s inevitable that certain sectors of their industry simply won't be able to pivot—and those parts are going to face total collapse.

Europe is essentially stuck with a sentence of importing much more expensive gas, because there’s just no way the cost of LNG can ever truly compete with the pricing of gas delivered through traditional pipelines.
It’s pretty straightforward when you break it down—between the actual transport via LNG tankers, the unloading process, and all that expensive regasification work, the costs just add up. Honestly, you have to wonder where else in Europe they could have possibly sourced it from to make those numbers work.

If we’re looking at how we power our homes, we're pulling in about 30% of our natural gas from imports just to keep the heating running. That is a massive vulnerability for our economy. When you factor in those skyrocketing input costs, sliding into a recession feels almost like an inevitability rather than just a possibility.

Europe is going to have to find its footing in this new reality, and honestly, it’s just the way things work—those sectors of industry that can't pivot or adapt to these shifting conditions are simply going to face obsolescence. It's a tough pill to swallow, but evolution is inevitable.

Sanctions are such a double-edged sword, aren't they? You think you're digging a hole for someone else, but before you know it, you've gone and fallen right into it yourself. It's a dangerous game.

I honestly feel like you might be missing the forest for the trees when it comes to what sanctions are actually intended to achieve.
Nathan Thomas12 Nathan Thomas12 Regular
265 messages
joined Apr 2022
#6110 ·
urbanotter said:I honestly don't see the issue here; these are all standard maneuvers used by central banks to support the economy through monetary policy.

Interest rates aren't set in stone—if the FED raises them, why shouldn't the Russian Federation?
From what I understand, they actually dropped once the ruble strengthened to a level that started hurting Russian exports.
The real headache is that we grew up thinking the Federal Reserve wouldn't use monetary tools to actually help the economy, acting more like a simple currency exchange booth that blindly defended the exchange rate, regardless of how much damage it did to the American economy.

After slapping Russia with that massive wave of sanctions, most of which targeted the financial sector, these moves don't seem all that extreme; once it becomes clear they aren't needed anymore, they'll be lifted.

I’m not just talking about Russia, but rather what any Central Bank does—it's just that the Fed focuses on maintaining the dollar's peg (rather than juggling multiple currencies like the Swiss National Bank would)
and claims it's all to maintain price stability, which, looking back, feels like a complete failure and nothing more than pure demagoguery.

The sanctions have clearly exposed how poorly managed our monetary policy has been,
and starting next year, instead of the Fed handling things, the European Central Bank will take the lead—hopefully with better results, though they haven't exactly proven themselves to be highly efficient either.
It's obvious we have turbulent times ahead, especially with Europe and America constantly prepping new sanction packages, and it's perfectly reasonable to expect Elvira Nabiullina to strike back with countermeasures.
Sanctions are essentially a blunt political interference in economic flows, and it isn't surprising that shifts occurred—unfortunately for Europe and for us, those shifts were negative.

But there's no denying that the decision to continue paying for Russian gas and oil had the biggest impact on the recovery and the rise of the ruble.

So, you notice when the Fed bumps rates from 2% to 2.5%, but when Russia jumps from 10% to 20%, suddenly it's just "normal monetary policy."
The bottom line is that exporters are forced to hand over 80% of their foreign currency inflows to the state.
That isn't a market move or monetary policy—it's a tectonic shift in the system.

If you think Chinese cars are great, tell me: do you actually drive one, or have you even sat in one? You're just talking nonsense in every single post.
boldbison40 boldbison40 Member
43 messages
joined Mar 2022
#6111 ·
Michael Davis9 said:At its core, money is really nothing more than a tool—it’s just a practical way for us to make exchanging goods and services a whole lot easier.

Historically speaking, the Russian Federation has always relied on the European Union to supply those high-end, high-value goods—we're talking heavy machinery, specialized chemical products, intricate industrial components, and all sorts of sophisticated equipment used for everything from energy extraction to large-scale manufacturing.

When you look at the reality of these sanctions, it’s becoming pretty clear that Russia is hitting a massive wall. They're finding it increasingly difficult to actually buy and import most of what they need, which is why they're facing such an enormous deficit right now. I’ve been looking closely at the recent numbers, and honestly, seeing such a significant drop in imports really caught my eye. It’s one of those shifts that feels like more than just a minor fluctuation; it's a signal that deserves some real thought. When you see import volumes sliding like this, it usually points toward a deeper change in consumer demand or perhaps some tightening in the broader economic landscape here in the States. I can't help but wonder how much of this is a reaction to shifting domestic spending habits versus larger supply chain adjustments. It’s definitely a trend worth watching as we navigate the current economic climate. .

So, it looks like they’ve got plenty of cash on hand, but when it comes to actual assets, there’s nothing to show for it.

If Germany can't get their gas situation sorted out, they’re headed straight into a recession, and honestly, that’s going to drag a massive chunk of the entire European Union right down with them.

Just imagine if the gas supply had been cut off six months ago—we wouldn't have had nearly enough time to get those storage facilities filled up to the brim like we have now.

because everyone knows Russians live on thin air and gas exports represent only a minor slice of their budget. 😬
urbanotter urbanotter Regular
431 messages
joined Oct 2020
#6112 ·
Nathan Thomas12 said:So, you notice when the Fed bumps rates from 2% to 2.5%, but when Russia jumps from 10% to 20%, suddenly it's just "normal monetary policy."
The bottom line is that exporters are forced to hand over 80% of their foreign currency inflows to the state.
That isn't a market move or monetary policy—it's a tectonic shift in the system.

If you think Chinese cars are great, tell me: do you actually drive one, or have you even sat in one? You're just talking nonsense in every single post.

I've actually taken note of both situations, and in my view, they both fall under the umbrella of monetary policy. I'm not entirely certain about the specifics regarding the mandate requiring companies to "hand over" 80% of their foreign currency inflows to the government. From what I can gather, the Russian state generates substantial revenue through export duties on energy, which allows them to fund their military efforts without necessarily stripping all the hard currency away from their own businesses—especially since their imports for war materiel are so restricted.
Furthermore, for those "handed over" funds, they end up receiving rubles, which doesn't seem to be an issue since there is plenty of demand for them.😉

In my opinion, the true tectonic shift comes from the sanctions, because those were implemented based on political decisions rather than any kind of economic logic.
And honestly, whenever politics starts dictating the direction of the economy, it rarely ends well.

That requirement to sell off 80% of foreign currency inflows has already been scaled back to 50%, and there are whispers that it might be lowered even further depending on what the commission decides; after all, having an overly strong ruble isn't exactly great for the Russian economy either.😉

It seems Russia is signaling to its exporters that they will have more freedom to manage their foreign currency earnings.
Donna Harris11 Donna Harris11 Active Member
164 messages
joined Oct 2018
#6113 ·
The EU just completely blew it: they're actually moving forward with gold sanctions
gentlestag15 gentlestag15 Regular
280 messages
joined May 2024
#6114 ·
urbanotter said:Russia is going to shift its trade focus toward the East and toward the BRIC nations, which they are looking to expand by adding more members.
They’ll try to source the goods they traditionally imported from Europe from other parts of the world instead. Right now, Russia is seeing an unprecedented trade surplus, and when you have that kind of capital, you can always find someone to sell you a car or even basic groceries, while they also begin manufacturing a larger portion of what they used to import themselves.

Chinese cars aren't bad at all, and Brazil produces quite a lot of them too.

However, Europe seems destined to deal with more expensive gas, because the cost of LNG will never be able to compete with the price of gas delivered directly via pipelines.
It’s a simple matter of logistics: the process of liquefying the gas, transporting it on LNG tankers, and then regasifying it is expensive, no matter where in the world Europe sources it from.

Since heating accounts for roughly 30% of imported gas usage, the industrial sector will feel the biggest hit, and with those higher input costs, entering a recession seems almost inevitable.

Sanctions can be a double-edged sword; you can easily end up falling into the very hole you were digging for someone else.

I’ve mentioned this here before, but you have to look back at the Arab oil embargo in 1973. Things literally ground to a halt in Europe and the US for six months because there was zero fuel available.
The oil price spiked several times, jumping from $3 to $12. Instead of the US and Europe collapsing, we actually saw massive economic growth in the years that followed.
The share of Arab oil imports into Europe dropped from 80% down to 20%.
And that hasn't gone back up since; the US mostly just imports it to resell it, not because they actually need it.
urbanotter urbanotter Regular
431 messages
joined Oct 2020
#6115 ·
swiftjackal11 said:It's a shame people didn't embrace Chinese cars sooner. Maybe then you'd actually own one yourself.🙂

Honestly, if I had to pick just one from this list of ten, it wouldn't be hard at all.😉

https://hr.expertevolux.com/top-samy...lej-iz-kitaja/

They’re likely much more affordable than those big-name brands from Europe, which are struggling right now because their production lines are stalling due to a shortage of components coming from the East.
At this rate, you might manage to find a European car on the lot, but don't expect it to have a functioning touchscreen.😁

On top of that, they're often missing basic wiring harnesses entirely.
https://www.dw.com/bs/kako-rat-u-ukr...iju/a-61125247
Michael Davis9 Michael Davis9 Active Member
64 messages
joined Aug 2012
#6116 ·
boldbison40 said:because everyone knows Russians live on thin air and gas exports represent only a minor slice of their budget. 😬

Russia trades with the European Union. .

While the European Union buys energy, here is what Russia actually buys from them:
The European Union’s exports in 2021 totaled $110 billion. The heavy hitters were machinery and equipment ($21 billion, 19.7%), motor vehicles ($9.7 billion, 9%), pharmaceuticals ($8.8 billion, 8.1%), electrical equipment and machinery ($8.2 billion, 7.6%), and plastics ($4.7 billion, 4.3%).

However, if Russia can't actually convert those Euros into usable goods—and looking at the massive drop in Russian imports, it really seems like they can't—then you have to wonder how much sense it makes to keep piling up all that cash in Euros.

Personally, I think Putin might have miscalculated here. Those Euros aren't going to build him a tank (or "motor vehicles," to stick to the terminology used in the source above), nor can they buy the electronic components needed for a Boeing jet, or even a high-end industrial valve required for a factory or a power plant.

Even if they decide to turn off the gas taps tomorrow, most European Union nations have had about six months to get their houses in order—which includes importing enough gas to fill up their storage facilities—so the impact won't be quite as catastrophic as it would have been back in month two.

gentlestag15 said:I’ve mentioned this here before, but you have to look back at the Arab oil embargo in 1973. Things literally ground to a halt in Europe and the US for six months because there was zero fuel available.
The oil price spiked several times, jumping from $3 to $12. Instead of the US and Europe collapsing, we actually saw massive economic growth in the years that followed.
The share of Arab oil imports into Europe dropped from 80% down to 20%.
And that hasn't gone back up since; the US mostly just imports it to resell it, not because they actually need it.

Every crisis presents an opportunity, and if this doesn't push European Union countries toward greater energy independence, then there's really no point in it happening.
That said, we shouldn't paint everyone with the same brush. The Finns know exactly who they are dealing with, so they've proactively limited their own gas imports. Sure, they could have gone for cheaper energy over the last few decades, but relying on Russia was just too big a risk for them.
swiftjackal11 swiftjackal11 Regular
271 messages
joined May 2018
#6117 ·
urbanotter said:Honestly, if I had to pick just one from this list of ten, it wouldn't be hard at all.😉

https://hr.expertevolux.com/top-samy...lej-iz-kitaja/

They’re likely much more affordable than those big-name brands from Europe, which are struggling right now because their production lines are stalling due to a shortage of components coming from the East.
At this rate, you might manage to find a European car on the lot, but don't expect it to have a functioning touchscreen.😁

On top of that, they're often missing basic wiring harnesses entirely.
https://www.dw.com/bs/kako-rat-u-ukr...iju/a-61125247

What is it about Russia that makes you such a huge fan?
You don't speak Russian, you've never actually been there, and you've never even held a Ruble. You haven't bought a single Russian product in your life.
gentlestag15 gentlestag15 Regular
280 messages
joined May 2024
#6118 ·
Michael Davis9 said:Russia trades with the European Union. .

While the European Union buys energy, here is what Russia actually buys from them:
The European Union’s exports in 2021 totaled $110 billion. The heavy hitters were machinery and equipment ($21 billion, 19.7%), motor vehicles ($9.7 billion, 9%), pharmaceuticals ($8.8 billion, 8.1%), electrical equipment and machinery ($8.2 billion, 7.6%), and plastics ($4.7 billion, 4.3%).

However, if Russia can't actually convert those Euros into usable goods—and looking at the massive drop in Russian imports, it really seems like they can't—then you have to wonder how much sense it makes to keep piling up all that cash in Euros.

Personally, I think Putin might have miscalculated here. Those Euros aren't going to build him a tank (or "motor vehicles," to stick to the terminology used in the source above), nor can they buy the electronic components needed for a Boeing jet, or even a high-end industrial valve required for a factory or a power plant.

Even if they decide to turn off the gas taps tomorrow, most European Union nations have had about six months to get their houses in order—which includes importing enough gas to fill up their storage facilities—so the impact won't be quite as catastrophic as it would have been back in month two.

Every crisis presents an opportunity, and if this doesn't push European Union countries toward greater energy independence, then there's really no point in it happening.
That said, we shouldn't paint everyone with the same brush. The Finns know exactly who they are dealing with, so they've proactively limited their own gas imports. Sure, they could have gone for cheaper energy over the last few decades, but relying on Russia was just too big a risk for them.

Look, the 1973 oil crisis taught Americans a lesson, and now we produce more oil than anyone else on the planet.
Sure, Europe wants to be energy independent too, but they aren't doing it for strategic survival—they're doing it for the environment. And that's a long game; they'll dump trillions of dollars into it over the next two decades, though maybe they'll squeeze that timeline down to ten years if things get desperate enough.
urbanotter urbanotter Regular
431 messages
joined Oct 2020
#6119 ·
swiftjackal11 said:What is it about Russia that makes you such a huge fan?
You don't speak Russian, you've never actually been there, and you've never even held a Ruble. You haven't bought a single Russian product in your life.

It isn't really about being fascinated by Russia; rather, I find this irrational, deep-seated hatred toward everything Russian quite baffling.
I actually used to own a Sputnik watch and some tools from over there, and honestly, they were pretty decent quality.

And hey, their vodka isn't bad either.😉

But look, we are supposed to be discussing sanctions and economic impact here, not whether or not someone "loves" Russia.

The thing is, economics doesn't care about your personal feelings or political ideologies.
When sanctions—which are essentially just political products—are applied, they stifle the economy, and everyone ends up paying the price for that political decision,
though clearly, those who imposed the sanctions feel the sting most acutely.😉
swiftjackal11 swiftjackal11 Regular
271 messages
joined May 2018
#6120 ·
urbanotter said:It isn't really about being fascinated by Russia; rather, I find this irrational, deep-seated hatred toward everything Russian quite baffling.
I actually used to own a Sputnik watch and some tools from over there, and honestly, they were pretty decent quality.

And hey, their vodka isn't bad either.😉

But look, we are supposed to be discussing sanctions and economic impact here, not whether or not someone "loves" Russia.

The thing is, economics doesn't care about your personal feelings or political ideologies.
When sanctions—which are essentially just political products—are applied, they stifle the economy, and everyone ends up paying the price for that political decision,
though clearly, those who imposed the sanctions feel the sting most acutely.😉

The sanctions weren't what caused Russia to invade Ukraine.
It's like saying 1995 happened before 1991. Besides, these sanctions hit you too, even if you're siding with the Russians. Most people—especially Ukrainians—would give anything to have these sanctions gone.

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