Posts by Olivia Turner49

Looks like Russia is cutting off the gas to Italy now.

Hannah Alvarez2 said:This actually sounds somewhat reassuring. I’d highly recommend anyone freaking out (myself included) to give this a watch. Now, how accurate it really is? God only knows, but I'm pretty sure he knows his stuff way more than I do.

Well, it sure doesn't sound soothing to me.
Between NS and that pipeline in Poland being shut down, we're getting squeezed.
In just the last week, they've been planning to shut down our own line heading toward Ukraine. Pretty soon, we'll be left with nothing but the Turkish pipeline and that's it.

So, I was watching this segment where Robert Baric was talking to N1

And honestly, the extra stuff he dropped about nuclear missiles? It’s pretty much anything goes at this point. Everything is on the table.

Regarding NS, he’s claiming they were built by the Russians and that they could shut down the pipeline running through Ukraine at any given moment.
The whole plan seems to be cutting off the entire American energy supply from Russian gas right in the middle of winter. Just pure chaos.

dustyowl29 said:That was a massive amount of gas. I mean, how much volume can you actually fit into 746 miles just a single pipe?

A single mile? Yeah, that's a massive amount of gas.

I don't know what to tell you guys, but "darkwood" just hits different. It’s one of those games that stays under your skin long after you’ve shut off the console. I was sitting there late last night, just me and a cold beer, getting absolutely lost in that atmosphere, and man, it’s heavy. It’s got that gritty, unsettling vibe that makes you second-guess every shadow moving in the corner of your eye. You know that feeling? Like you're being watched even when you're just scavenging for supplies? Yeah, that's it. It’s brutal, it’s unforgiving, and honestly, it’s kind of brilliant. If you haven't played it yet, you're seriously missing out on a masterclass in tension. kaže:
So, get this—another massive $1.1 billion aid package just dropped for Ukraine, and it includes another 18 HIMARS units. Honestly, at this point, it feels like we’re just stacking high-tech artillery on a conveyor belt heading straight to the front lines. It’s wild to see the scale of these shipments lately; one minute we're talking about small tactical adjustments, and the next, we're looking at billion-dollar chunks of hardware being shipped out. Just goes to show how much heavy lifting is happening behind the scenes to keep that momentum going.

So, the folks over in Ukraine are out there saying they need somewhere in the ballpark of 200 to 300 of those systems if they actually want to flip the script on this war and change the whole momentum. It’s a massive ask, honestly. Given how things have been going, you have to wonder if anyone's actually listening to that kind of request.

Looks like someone went ahead and sabotaged the Nord Stream 2 pipeline. We saw a massive, sudden pressure drop overnight.
https://www.reuters.com/business/ene...or-2022-09-26/

Arthur Watson4 said:Are you talking about Chernihiv, Sumy, and Kharkiv again? They just left those areas, so I have my doubts.😉

But they are still bombing.

The number of people being mobilized isn't going to stop at 300,000; it's definitely headed toward a million. If they decide to launch another offensive, they’re just going to stretch the Ukrainians even thinner. Honestly, even if they don't manage to push more than a mile past the border...

Do you think Russia is actually going to try opening up a whole new front right on the border between Russia and Ukraine?

Timothy Nelson5 said:Who on earth is going to step up to train and organize that massive pile of mobilized troops?

A huge chunk of the Russian professional soldiers and officers are already dead or permanently out of commission. Most of everyone else left is currently tied up fighting in Ukraine.

So, who's actually going to take charge of that army and lead them?

Honestly, that part should be a breeze. The Russians are just going to throw all those minorities into wave after wave of frontal assaults to turn them into "super soldiers." A ton of them will die, obviously, but frankly, Russia couldn't care less. It’s cheaper to pay them off, and they don't even have to waste precious time on actual training.

They'll just send these guys on suicide charges. The Ukrainians will be forced to shoot at them, and eventually, they'll find a way to make sure those people—who don't even have a specific grudge against Ukrainians—end up hating them.

Nathan Evans78 said:According to some folks on here, they can barely afford basic necessities in Moscow, yet they’re still busy spreading rumors about mobilizing a million people. I mean, seriously, hello? Who on earth is going to foot the bill for that? 🙂

Just look back at how things went during WWII. Supply trucks weren't carrying much besides fuel and ammo. They basically expected the soldiers to just "liberate" food from the locals to keep themselves fed.

placidtiger142 said:What about Lukashenko? Wasn't he also planning to give some big speech to his people, to the whole world?

What's the deal with Belarus? Are they going to be forced into this war, or will they just sit on the sidelines like they always do.

analogbear70 said:It’s honestly tragic what this has turned into. I can only hope that common sense eventually prevails. Russian aggression shows no signs of stopping, yet I don't see many voices here or even in the wider world pushing for actual de-escalation. We saw how pressure was applied on our side—weapon embargos, endless rounds of negotiations, and finally that infamous Z4 plan that would have basically handed over a state within a state to the insurgents. Here, there isn't even a whisper of trying to appease the Russians by treating them like some sort of "great power," and frankly, that lack of recognition is what stings them most amidst their defeats. The bottom line is that Russia is trying to bleed everything dry—down to the very last Ukrainian—before they attempt to carve up territory and drag us all back into a Dark Age for the next two centuries. That’s a dangerous gamble that could pull everyone under. How should we face an aggressor? I don't have a simple answer. All I know is that right now, I see zero interest in settling this conflict. Just like how we had to exhaust every single other option before Operation Storm, this feels like the only path left.

Don't look at it like this:
The Minsk agreement = the Z4 Plan
2014 = 1995
And now, 2022 = 1999

Back in '99, we didn't spend forever negotiating with the Mexicans; we basically told them to stop.
That’s why they need to stop now too.

Video breaking down the latest moves from the Ukrainians over the last few weeks

Honestly, this guy delivers some seriously solid high-level analysis here.
And get this—the dude is actually an American too.

loneskipper3 said:Personally, I wouldn't call this a turning point just yet—though, if you ask me, the Russian counteroffensive is practically destined to succeed. If the Ukrainians can manage to blunt whatever is coming next and then pivot back to their own operations? That’s when the momentum shifts entirely in their favor. That, right there, is what I would consider a true turning point.

Why? Because nothing in this world is set in stone. Seriously, just two weeks ago, I wouldn't have bet even a fraction of a cent on the Ukrainians succeeding in Kharkiv.

Robert Baric—literally the only analyst in the US who actually knows what's going on with Ukraine
https://www.cnn.com/world/ukraine-war-analysis-example

James Phillips92 said:Finding someone to step in against Putin won't be hard—he owes quite a few people in Russia.

Yeah, but he’s also heavily indebted to a whole lot of other people. Let’s be real—the oligarchs running the show today only exist because he personally decided they should.

There’s just no way Ukrainians can sign any peace deal while the Russians are stuck on this idea that they need to conquer the entire country—whether that happens tomorrow or two years down the line.

Robert Baric is out here claiming the war could wrap up as early as the fall of 2023. Man, what a joke...
I can't even begin to wrap my head around the sheer scale of the tragedy and how many more lives are going to be lost in the meantime...

hollowdriver13 said:Look, Russia never even showed any real interest in joining NATO. Everyone knows how that works—NATO doesn't just come knocking on your door and invite you over; you have to be the one to submit the application.

And if NATO wasn't looking for better relations, they definitely wouldn't have signed that Partnership for Peace agreement with Russia, or that cooperation treaty that stayed in effect right up until the annexation of Crimea.

And what about those regular NATO-Russia meetings?
Russia was a NATO partner and was practically one step away from becoming a member.

Democracy means you get to choose, and you get to be chosen.

All these "democracies" we talk about usually fail the first test: you're just picking from a pre-selected list where there’s really only one viable option anyway.
The second requirement—that you actually have a fair shot at running for office yourself—is almost never met. In most places, the opposition is either purely symbolic, completely shut out, or buried two miles underground. Take the Russian Federation, for example; any opposition that actually carries some weight ends up exiled in Siberia.