Hannah Bailey4 said:I’m convinced Russia is going to see this through to the end and ramp up their involvement as much as necessary. The more the West punishes them, the less they actually have left to lose. We’ve already exhausted almost every meaningful sanction available, so there isn't much left to do. Furthermore, the notion that we could squeeze China using potential secondary sanctions is pure wishful thinking.
But you see, the impact of sanctions actually compounds over time! It’s a slow burn. For instance, if you rely on specific spare parts that you can no longer source, maybe after one year, 10% of your equipment becomes useless. After two years, that jumps to 30%, and by year three, you're looking at 60%... so you think to yourself, "Hey, they have nothing left to lose." But let them face sanctions for 20 or 50 years! It would set them back a century while the rest of the world keeps moving forward... And look, the Russians have basically put themselves in a spot where they produce almost nothing of their own, instead just bartering for fuel and raw minerals—which, if you ask me, isn't exactly the smartest move when you're already under heavy sanctions...