CheckEmoji Community · the emoji forum
🏠 Home 🆕 What's new ❓ Unanswered 🔥 Popular 📡 RSS Members 👥 0 online log in · register
Home › rowdyraven112 › Posts

Posts by rowdyraven112

248 posts shown.

Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Kate Lewis3 said:Look, I hate being the devil’s advocate for those crooks over at the White House, but you have to wonder how much actual room to maneuver this government even has. Between all the legal baggage from joining the European Union—specifically that "free movement of goods" nonsense—and how much the folks here blindly cheer for every little step toward "progress," we're stuck. Combine that with an administration that basically just takes orders from the central committee in Brussels, and it's pretty clear: we've basically turned ourselves into a colony.

By the way, Canada and Mexico have already banned pellet exports, and they used to be our biggest suppliers. But since they aren't part of the EU, they actually have the power to pull that move.

What I want to know is: if Poland hits 100% capacity, will they actually be willing to share that gas with the rest of the EU? ☕
One Bulgarian state even started talks with Russia about buying gas. I don't even want to talk about the rest. When it comes down to protecting their own skin, you'll see that "European Union unity" disappear real fast. ☕
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
casualtiger2 said:Honestly, I'm wondering how they even arrived at that math.
If the data on this site ( Gas Infrastructure Europe ) is accurate, the US peak usage was 1,1642 TWh between January 1, 2022, and January 31, 2022.
Usage in all other months was significantly lower.
Current storage levels are sitting at 3.6416 TWh.

Consumption is based on delivered energy, which is calculated using current weather conditions here in America. Besides, district heating only covers a handful of cities, while in the coldest spots—like the mountains—people rely on individual stoves. You probably saw the news today about pellet prices skyrocketing for those stoves. While other countries are banning pellet exports, this administration is allowing them to fly out the door, raking in huge profits similar to that recent gas scandal. Who gives a damn about the people in the mountain towns?

Look at the forecast for that month.

http://hikersbay.com/climate/january/america?lang=en

Average temperatures were sitting between 45 and 57 degrees Fahrenheit. In weather like that, you aren't delivering nearly as much energy for heating. Honestly, I hope we get temperatures like that this winter. Otherwise, people are going to die—either from freezing or from carbon monoxide poisoning because they're installing stoves in apartments that vent into chimneys already clogged with ventilation systems. Sounds catastrophic? It’s the exact situation currently facing Washington, D.C.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Donna Harris11 said:Looks like Ford is keeping things moving, showing off the new John Doe model:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qbuP...l=NAAVTOTRASSE

Reminds me of that old North American spy and his comments about the Moskvich... 😵

Got to admit, looks like a modern little car.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
electricsurfer47 said:if that's the case, why is Russia hiding all their internal reports about what's actually happening inside the country??

Were you drinking last night, or is this just how you act every morning? ☕

Why would a country indirectly at war with NATO members go around publishing any kind of intel—especially economic or military data—about its internal situation? 🤦
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Nathan Thomas12 said:Look, I underestimated you, and I’m fine admitting my math was off.
But that doesn't change the fact that real GDP just doesn't tell the whole story if there's major deflation happening between the start and end dates.
Still, that doesn't mean a 4% drop in GDP calculations isn't plausible.
The real issue is claiming a 4% drop, because mathematically, that's impossible. If 1,000 foreign companies walked out of Russia—companies that made up 40% of the GDP—plus gas production tanks, oil production dips, exports crater, and car manufacturing drops by 97%... etc.—then a 4% figure sounds like pure propaganda to anyone with half a brain. Real GDP should be dropping in double digits.

Back in 2007, the agencies responsible for credit ratings were handing out AAA ratings to loan tranches that were already dead in the water. Serious finance professionals called it the fraud of the century. That's how the crisis jumped from the US market to the rest of the world—because foreign banks, individuals, and nations were buying those tranches.
And now you’re trusting those exact same institutions to do your math? 🤔.

Look, let's be clear: Putin lies shamelessly, but the situation isn't what you're making it out to be. ☕.

Unlike you, I don't trust either side. I pull information strictly from verified facts. For example, a verified fact is that the McDonald's in Russia actually has fries. They went a week without them, then the supply chain from other countries kicked back in. I don't get my intel from the news; I get it from talking to regular Americans, Ukrainians, and Russians on the ground.

I agree with the point made above: sanctions might not really start biting for another year or eighteen months, provided Russia doesn't find new supply routes and trade deals with countries that haven't imposed sanctions.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
hollowdriver13 said:“The EU basically shot itself in the foot with those sanctions” 🙂

Let's be real for a second—suppose we didn't even bother with sanctions. Let's just say the EU and the US kept providing military and financial aid to Ukraine while treating the gas and oil business as strictly "business as usual." Honestly, don't you think Putin would still have choked off the gas supply? He’d just use it as a political weapon to try and blackmail everyone into stopping the support for Ukraine.
It's not like this would be his first rodeo, either. He started setting the stage back in 2021 right after the decision to go to war was made, and we saw those gas deliveries start to tank during the second half of that year.
I’d bet money that's when we'd actually see people in the West getting riled up, yelling at politicians, “Hey, you didn't even sanction the aggressor, and we're still stuck with high gas and oil prices anyway!”

https://www.thechicagocouncil.org/re...kraine-fatigue

Support for Ukraine isn't actually flagging. Over 80% of Americans are willing to stomach higher energy costs if it means keeping up the support, and they believe we need to stick it out until the end.
We're seeing pretty much the same numbers across other Western nations, too. Public support for Ukraine isn't going anywhere.

How much weaponry has the world actually given Ukraine? Maybe $11 billion?

Somewhere there's a link from a former Russian oligarch claiming the EU loses 200 billion euros in profit every month due to these sanctions. If they had just handed a quarter of that monthly profit to Ukraine, the war would have been over long ago. ☕

Regarding support for Ukraine: who conducted the poll? Democrats or Republicans? That matters. Besides, my friends in the States say Joe Biden isn't doing great in the polls, sitting at around 40% support. As for Ukraine? Most Americans couldn't care less.

I also see links about a ton of companies leaving Russia, claiming people were laid off. Clearly, we're living in parallel universes. People receiving that info have their own version of a European Putin. Those companies left behind entire infrastructures, and new firms just stepped in to take their place. Idiots can talk about trivial nonsense to their kids instead of the actual reality of the situation.
Just as Putin is delusional about a quick victory in Ukraine, the puppets in the EU massively underestimated Russia's economic strength and its ability to find alternatives. It’s like that one arrogant leader said, "Act first, think later"—we all know what he meant. ☕ As if Russia hasn't been under sanctions since 2014, and as if they haven't been hunting for workarounds since then.

Like I said, we are clearly living in parallel universes.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
steelfox98 said:My take? The Dutch refused to pay in rubles. It’s the same story with the Bulgarians; they'll end up crawling back to ExxonMobil.
Winter is going to be a brutal reality check for this whole "unity" charade. Half the European Union members don't give a damn about solidarity when their own backs are against the wall. The Poles already filled their storage with "German" gas and immediately shut the door on sharing. I'm dying to see how the Germans react to that.
Then there's Viktor Orbán—a strange one, always looking out for his own backyard first.
Even the folks down south aren't exactly thrilled.

Don't forget Italy, either. They've snapped up all the extra supply from Algeria—the exact same stuff our politicians claimed would be the perfect alternative to Russian gas.☕.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Looks like those US sanctions are actually doing something. ☕

And honestly? We’re just here making jokes about it. Everything is fine as long as this winter stays mild. It might get messy in the European Union if people start freezing in their homes—that's when you see half the population hitting the streets. Here in the States? Nobody’s even going to blink. ☕
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
quietviper0 said:It’s actually quite fascinating to think that Western goods, which are becoming so much harder to import into Russia lately, end up being more expensive than in places where they flow in easily... who would have guessed such a thing... 🤔

Oh, and if you look at the first comment, there's already a bit of a heated debate breaking out over the price of a loaf of bread.

I wonder if this is some kind of standardized consumer basket used to compare the cost of living across different parts of the world?

Then again, you also have to consider the exchange rate issue... I mean, do they use the official exchange rate when calculating these prices while ignoring it for everything else because it feels artificial? It wouldn't be hard to run into some serious mathematical dissonance that way...

It really is a rather instructive little comparison, isn't it... 🙄

Standardized? The first thing that made me doubt the bias was the price of salmon... since when is salmon in a "consumer basket"? Then Nutella in a basket... a little reality check wouldn't hurt... beer...

Funny how he took half a liter of Paulaner in a can for Belarus and half a liter in a glass bottle for Poland... as if people in Belarus and Russia don't have their own beer. Not to mention the price difference between a glass bottle and a can.

Anyway, a friend was in the States and told me Budweiser is one of the cheaper ones, while Mexican beers are the most expensive.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
electricsurfer47 said:Can you tell me

Why on earth is Turkey fighting them??? Why wouldn't they be allowed to have their own little state within Syria? They aren't even that big, and they don't really pose a threat to Turkey.

If the Americans had actually worked out some kind of diplomatic deal between the Kurds and the Turks, they could probably sit under the Turkish umbrella to defend themselves from Bashar al-Assad.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kurds#...eka:Kurden.jpg

Looking at this map, the Kurds occupy parts of southern Turkey, Northern Iraq, and sections of Iran. Given that Turkey has about 85 million people, a Kurdish population of 25-30 million makes them a massive demographic force. Is it clear now why Turkey treats the Kurds the way the architect of the Holocaust treated the Jews? Is it obvious why Turkey is blocking—and will continue to block—Finland and Sweden from joining NATO? All those stories about "not letting them in" are just fairy tales told to children. Erdogan’s behavior isn't any different from Putin’s. Yet, Erdogan is our ally ☕, while Putin is the enemy. It’s baffling how easily some people define international relations based solely on whether or not they hate Putin.

If the Kurds suddenly bolster their military strength enough to establish their own state, Erdogan could easily trigger Article 5. ☕

Anyway, was Dugin's daughter in the military? If not, we're talking about terrorism ☕.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Justin Mendoza16 said:😁 Look, you got all kinds of people out there—some are just naive and blinded by the hype, while others are spreading that narrative on purpose for their own reasons... whether it's ideological, how they were raised, or just doing their job.🤣

As for Finland and Sweden, 🙂those guys realized the Russian establishment and its madness was a real threat, so they flipped from being neutral to joining up with NATO for collective defense... if some massive bully tries anything, they'll face a serious 5th amendment situation—and trust me, that's gonna end badly for the Russian Federation and their military units.

🕺By attacking Ukraine, the Russians totally embarrassed themselves with all those lies and pure incompetence. Nobody believes them anymore. They've basically set themselves up for a huge reality check where this aggression against an independent nation—which wasn't even a threat to them—comes back to haunt them and changes things big time back in Russia itself.

Not to mention, they showed everyone militarily that they aren't some global superpower. They're just a local force causing chaos in neighboring countries for no real reason. That whole dream of building a "Russian World" or a Russian Empire—trying to expand their influence🐔—it's nothing but the empty wishes of a crumbling, washed-up political establishment that's lost its touch in old age.😁

Cuba wasn't a threat to the USA either, yet they still wouldn't let them put missiles on their soil to deter an attack.☕

Neither Iran, Iraq, nor Syria were threats to anyone. Even the Kurds aren't a threat to Turkey, yet there they go again, having regular military picnics inside another country's borders.☕

Sure, this kind of resistance from Ukrainians was expected, but it's nothing new. You saw it with ISIS—despite being outmatched technologically and militarily by the forces trying to kick them out of cities, they still put up hell of a fight.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Zachary Jackson4 said:Now for the absurd part

"This operation will be studied at military academies worldwide, not just for decades—but for centuries, regarding how it ought to have been executed,"
https://military.pravda.ru/news/1736...ja_vsu_reshen/

The only thing I agree with is that military academies in smaller nations facing threats from superpowers like Turkey, Israel, the USA, France, the UK, China, or Russia will study this. These smaller countries will learn how to fight back against aggressors, especially since most of those big players mentioned above are the ones doing the threatening. ☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
goldenowl73 said:Honestly, in this whole situation, it’s pretty much what we expected—Russ has just been playing us with all those lies and manipulations, while the Germans acted like total opportunists, basically letting themselves get played by the Kremlin's games.
It just goes to show, yet again, that throwing money at Russia and bending over backwards to meet their demands always ends up being a massive, painful screw-up. The Germans really need to finally wake up and realize that Russia operates just like a mafia state, constantly sniffing out any sign of weakness to exploit.

I’d watch closely where those batteries are coming from, especially since lithium mines are opening up in Mexico. You have to check the country of origin. I'd rather take expensive African imports than cheap stuff from Mexico.☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Nathan Thomas12 said:So what, they spent 10 years invading their neighbor in Afghanistan because of NATO? Or they took territory from Georgia back in '08? Or turned Belarus into a puppet state? It's the exact same playbook they're using in Ukraine.
If it's really all about NATO, then I guess we should expect an invasion of Finland before they join. There isn't a second or third option here.

We could sit here all day debating who attacked whom, who occupied territory, who committed ethnic cleansing, rape, war crimes, or set up puppet states. We can go on forever.

The way you're talking makes me think you'd rather see your neighbor lose two cows just so you can have one. ☕
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
quietridge92 said:Lithuania is currently working on banning Russian tourist visas—it looks like a few other countries might be weighing similar moves. It makes me wonder: should we consider banning Russians from entering the US altogether?

And what’s the payoff? Zero. What do we lose? Just the average Russian spending near Leningrad, which isn't much anyway.
What do we actually lose here? Not much. A vacation to a far-off destination costs at least $1,000 per person plus extras. We didn't have a ton of Russians to begin with, but one single charter flight of them probably spends more in one day than 5,000 people on a cruise ship. Besides, the kind of trips like that are taken by wealthy Russians who can afford a coffee at $17 in downtown San Francisco without blinking. ☕
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
George Robinson43 said:Where did this idea that sanctions are causing a downturn come from? Wasn't it stated a hundred times that sanctions don't actually impact Russia??
Even the proven economic expert Joe Biden has reiterated that point on numerous occasions.

And by the way, Russia doesn't depend on mere resources; they have those in spades. Rather, they rely on the technology they have to import—technology for which they simply cannot find any substitutes.

Just for the record, in case we all slept through the last eight years. Russia has been under sanctions since 2014. That means they've had an eight-year head start in building an economy that doesn't rely on Western resources. I'm not convinced they haven't already done that. A 4% drop actually proves my point. We'll see. One thing I am sure of: they won't go bankrupt before negotiations start, and that depends on whether they hit their occupation goals—goals even I can't define. Bakhmut is about to fall, which puts the defense of Siversk - Bakhmut at risk. I don't even want to think about what happens if Cleveland and Slavic fall.

Should I scour this forum and news sites to pull quotes about how they'll run out of war supplies and food within six months? Artillery is still flying. Russians have plenty of food on store shelves. It's pure underestimation. And that’s the worst part. It reminds me of Louisa May Alcott's Kosjenka and Regoč. In the end, one village decides to break a dam just to flood another. Both disappear, cheered on by their own people. A cautionary tale. ☕
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Anthony Hill5 said:You aren't reading closely enough. This is actually the direct result of the strengthening of Russian industry and agriculture. If anything, these sanctions might just serve to fortify them further.

If we're talking about interpreting data, the only one here failing to read carefully and proactively pushing lies is someone like you.

Back in 2000, Russia's GDP was around $200 billion. By the time the global crisis hit in 2008, it had climbed to $1.6 trillion. That's an eightfold increase. Our own economy, after all the "I did my part in the looting" nonsense, only grew three times over ☕.

Then comes the $400 billion drop because of the global meltdown caused by greedy American banks and various executives who embezzled people's money—people who didn't even face criminal charges. Instead, the US mitigated its own GDP drop by printing money. We felt the economic fallout from those greedy US executives right here in America back then. Russia didn't fix its GDP by printing cash. That’s why the crash was so massive.

Before the occupation of Crimea, Russian GDP surged again to that $2.2 trillion figure you mentioned. Then another drop to $1.2 trillion due to sanctions, which were countered not by printing money, but by carving out new economic routes (luckily for folks down by the Mississippi River, there were smugglers who managed to distribute most of the crops to Russia anyway ☕).
Leading up to the COVID-19 crisis, Russian GDP grows more slowly—understandable since they were under sanctions—reaching $1.6 trillion. Then COVID-19 hits and another drop follows. I have no clue where their GDP stands right now, but I know you won't find empty shelves in Russian supermarkets; European products are still everywhere despite the sanctions.

What's the point? The point is that people use incredibly inflammatory (understandable, I slip up sometimes too, even though I consider myself neutral) and dismissive (totally stupid, and this is where we differ) rhetoric regarding Russia. It isn't just stupidity; it's a reflection of the global mindset held by the European political leadership. They think they can bring Russia to its knees without any impact on the European monetary system, even though Russia has pulled itself out of this exact mess before. Once again, the citizens of Europe will pay the price, just like in 2014, only this time the cost will be significantly higher (just ask the government who bailed out the crop losses from the Mississippi River area in 2014... luckily, those folks found a way to get their products to Russia via war profiteers). The question is: why and for what purpose?

In Germany, civil disobedience is already starting because energy prices are spiking. People are refusing to pay their bills. They're lucky there isn't a specialized oversight office like Hanžeković over there, because fraud is carried out in entirely different ways involving symbolic fees. If enough people join in, who knows what will come of it.

That "dismissive" attitude stems from the fact that everyone completely ignored 2015 and that first round of sanctions, as well as the fact that Russia didn't do anything during those five years to free itself from certain resources it relied on from the West. ☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
hollowdriver13 said:You've got the statement from the RAO spokesperson right there—she went on a total rant immediately after they blew up the prison, claiming "thankfully" no guards were killed. There's a video of it on Twitter if you want to see.

I’ve already said it: what the Russians posted was just fire, not projectile impacts. Pure Russian propaganda.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Melissa Rivera5 said:Come on, don't be like that. If a 21-year-old can't understand basic speech, then he shouldn't even be in the military. That sounds like actual psych territory to me... someone who wouldn't even be walking free during peacetime, more like tucked away in a mental health facility. Does Putin really send psychopaths like that to war? Like, are they just killing people without even realizing what they're doing because they can't process reality?

Yeah, they did. They're constantly coming out with these numbers that make it seem like Americans were barely even a minority back then.

I'd give my entire yearly salary if this guy was actually charged with ☕. Conviction based on a confession during wartime. Smells like that joke of a legal system back in '91 when our guys were sentenced "based on confessions"—though let's be real, they used other ways to make them talk. I thought we learned from those experiences. I thought we wouldn't fall for this kind of propaganda again. Clearly, we haven't. ☕

Reminds me of this:
"Just admit it to me, we'll hop in the car, drive down to the police station, and you'll stand before justice and say, 'Yes, I'm guilty, I was blind and stupid.' Punish me so I can atone for my sins and feel human again..."

☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
George Robinson43 said:Aha.
The head and hands on that pike actually look quite fresh. It looks as if they were just placed there.

Bravo, Mythbusters. 😵

I looked at the body. You clearly studied propaganda at the top Ivy League schools run by the CIA or maybe under some Japanese prosecutor☕.
BTW, you see the flies, ants, worms, and other pests all over the head and arms?☕.

Back to that Russian propaganda about missile strikes on prisons. To me—and I admit I only skimmed it—it looks more like the aftermath of a fire rather than a direct projectile hit... but hey, that fits your narrative perfectly, doesn't it?☕