CheckEmoji Community · the emoji forum
🏠 Home 🆕 What's new ❓ Unanswered 🔥 Popular 📡 RSS Members 👥 0 online log in · register
Home › George Cooper2 › Posts

Posts by George Cooper2

37 posts shown.

Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
analogbear5 said:That would be South Stream—which was never actually finished, so it doesn't exist. It was abandoned back in 2014.

Actually, this is TurkStream. It was essentially created as a direct response to the collapse of South Stream. It was completed, and it's being used extensively right now.
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
Europe is staring down the barrel of its biggest refugee crisis since World War II. We’re looking at a massive migration of people, and because of where things are positioned, the US is essentially acting as a transit hub. Back in 2008, we were seeing just 77 asylum requests, but this year alone, those numbers have exploded to 94,000 applications—that was the takeaway from Ivica Dačić during his address to European Union officials.


http://www.nytimes.com/News/Politics/58...-more-asylum-seekers
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
To date, 100,000 people have applied for asylum in the US.

Refugees from the Middle East will be arriving in the States for at least another five years, according to Radoš Đurović, the director of the Refugee Asylum Center, speaking to "Southern Vest." Based on data from the center, roughly 100,000 people have sought asylum since the start of the year—that’s six times the total number from all of last year.
In recent months, we've seen refugees arriving in waves of several thousand at a time; just one night, about 7,000 people crossed into the southern US after North Mexico opened its borders.
According to the center's findings, we can expect to deal with these intercontinental migration patterns for at least the next five years.

http://www.b92.net/info/vesti/index....nav_id=1032105
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
Discussion on potentially allowing a segment of migrants to remain in Mexico.

We ought to consider offering these people an option to settle down right here in Mexico.
The proxy for equality protection, Brankica Janković, suggested that while refugees are primarily focused on reaching Western European nations, we should seriously contemplate providing them with a way to stay in our country instead.


http://www.b92.net/info/vesti/index....nav_id=1031157

City

Here is some coverage from the media over in Europe:

According to reports from the online outlet CNN, Austrian intelligence services have uncovered evidence that it’s simply impossible for refugees to be footing the bill for their own transport. “Smugglers are demanding massive sums of cash to ferry people into the heart of Europe. Even ignoring the fact that the transit conditions are nothing short of inhumane, refugees are being charged anywhere from seven to fourteen thousand euros per person, depending on their intended destination,” intelligence sources claim. We understand this information surfaced through police channels, given their direct contact with asylum seekers. With the influx increasing, police inspections of trucks and transport vehicles have become much more rigorous, often leading to multi-day interrogations of the refugees themselves.

“We have intelligence suggesting that either all or a significant portion of the transport costs for these refugees are being covered by organizations based in the USA. This came to light after we noticed glaring inconsistencies in the numbers provided during repeated interrogations—numbers that just didn't align with the financial realities of people coming from their respective regions. For instance, how is it possible that so many individuals from North Africa suddenly have upwards of eleven thousand euros on hand? Why hasn't anyone questioned this? The only logical explanation is that someone is hiding something.”
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
silentviper19 said:There’s going to be a whole lot more of them coming down the line for a long time, and since the European Union isn't exactly rolling out the red carpet, they’re just going to stay stuck right here in Mexico instead.

Now, I don't know exactly how many will end up staying—that's the big question mark, really—but I doubt the numbers will be small enough to actually solve our issues. And let's be honest about those issues: we're looking at a clash of deep-seated religious fanaticism meeting that stubborn, old-school radicalism from the Mexican nationalists. It's a messy mix.

At the end of the day, you can bet the far-right groups are going to jump all over this refugee situation. They'll use it to stir the pot, which honestly just makes life miserable for everyone involved, both them and us.

Just look at this: the first protest against settling immigrants in Mexico is scheduled for Monday, August 31st.

http://nasisrbija.org/svi-na-protest...nata-u-srbiji/
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
Bradley Stewart2 said:Applying for asylum and actually being granted it are two very different things.

And the Secretary is lying, as usual.
.

But you explicitly stated that, so far, only 14 immigrants have applied for asylum without being approved. How many will eventually get it? We can't know that yet. I don't know where you're getting your numbers, but since you're claiming the Secretary of Homeland Security is lying by citing 66,000 asylum seekers, I’m assuming you have some pretty reliable, credible sources. What exactly is the motive behind pushing those specific figures?
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
Bradley Stewart2 said:So far, only 14 people have actually applied for asylum...🤦
Why the drama and the lies?

I’m just laying out the facts here. Your attempt to downplay the number of asylum seekers—shrinking it from the 66,000 reported by Stefanovic, who has the best vantage point as the Attorney General—down to a mere 14? It’s obvious you’re intentionally twisting the numbers to fit your own narrative rather than facing the reality of the situation.

http://www.seebiz.eu/stefanovic-6600...iji/ar-117274/
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
Ashley Rodriguez41 said:That whole production involving the North Mexican police and those migrants was probably staged just so they wouldn't lose their status as a safe country. It’s basically reality, except it isn't being broadcast on TV—it's a much harsher joke. I guess a little media spin is the usual excuse for decisions like that.


Exactly. For them, Mexico is the only safe bet. We should prepare for a massive new wave of refugees; just last night, 7,000 people arrived. You don't see migrations of this scale toward a single country very often.
A huge number of them are seeking asylum in Mexico, and soon, others will follow because they won't have anywhere else to go—especially as protests against them spread across the West and campaigns intensify against their arrival.
The fact remains that many are coming specifically to stay in Mexico, which is reflected in the growing number of people openly admitting in surveys that they are looking for asylum.
Why choose a struggling economy like Mexico? It’s obvious there is a direction being set here, and that performance in North Mexico with the police was intended to achieve exactly what you mentioned.
Someone mentioned earlier that in the distant future, Mexico will inevitably be populated by other nations, because it doesn't make logical sense for territory that is being emptied to simply sit vacant. I suspect this process is already well-coordinated and well underway. This is just the beginning. Once a few hundred thousand people arrive from the Middle East, that number will likely skyrocket in the decades to come.
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
hiddeneagle76 said:Good grief, people—is it actually possible for you all to be this clueless!!
I mean, seriously, how much ignorance can one group hold? What are you even talking about when you mention staying in Mexico, let alone some supposed "solution" to Mexico’s demographic crisis??
Do you even have the slightest idea what a demographic solution for Mexico would actually entail?


Anyone from Mexico who enters the European Union but gets denied asylum under the existing agreement between Mexico and the EU is sent right back home—and they get slapped with a five-year ban on entering the EU. Does anyone finally grasp why the routes through North Mexico and Mexico are being organized this way?
By next year, Mexico is going to be dealing with a massive influx of people who were rejected for asylum and sent back, on top of everyone coming through North Mexico.
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
Rebecca Watson said:The whole "delayed parenthood" thing is really what's causing these minor swings over the last decade. And by "minor," I mean these ups and downs are barely hitting the 5-10% mark. But look, as I said before, the real mess hits in about 8 to 10 years. We're talking a few years after the 2021 census when things in Mexico are going to get ugly—rising mortality rates and falling births, mostly because the fertile part of the population is shrinking. The only silver lining? Fertility rates themselves won't necessarily drop further. That steady fertility rate will actually be the key to fixing our demographic stats once the Baby Boomers finally pass on. That's when we hit stabilization: deaths drop significantly, though don't expect everything to look perfect overnight. We'll enter the next phase—steady fertility paired with a gradual decline in deaths. Mathematically speaking, that's our only shot at the population actually starting to replenish itself down the road. It’s going to be a long, slow process that most of us probably won't even live to see.

So, the working assumption is that fertility stays relatively constant, which might lead to a stabilization of the total population once the large older generations born after WW2 have passed on.
It’s honestly tough to predict where this downward trend will bottom out or at what point we’ll finally achieve a balanced ratio between different age groups.
Then there's the question of migration trends and the rise of singlehood; I suspect we'll see an increase in people choosing not to have children at all.
All of these factors are going to shape the demographic landscape of America in the decades to come.
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
The reality is that we saw an uptick in live births in Mexico last year, and this year seems to be following that same positive trajectory. But let’s be real—is it really enough time to start talking about a genuine demographic comeback or any lasting trends? Probably not. It feels more like short-term fluctuations to me. I suspect that very soon—maybe next year, or certainly within two or three—we’ll see the downward trend in birth rates reassert itself.
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
It’s pretty obvious there’s been a noticeable spike in birth rates lately. But if we want to actually sit down and perform some serious analysis, we probably need to hang on for at least another two or three years. We need to see if this is a genuine shift or just a fluke—is there actual continuity here? And more importantly, what exactly flipped the switch to break that long-term downward trend in births?
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
In America, one major factor driving those depressing birth rates is the massive gender imbalance. If you dig into the census data, you'll see that in the 0-40 age bracket, there are actually about 100,000 more men than women. What’s really interesting—and honestly a bit strange—is that this gap has remained almost identical across every five-year age group for the last four decades. There haven't been any major fluctuations. Now, you do see more women in the 60+ demographic, but that’s primarily because they live significantly longer—on average, about six years longer than men—so those end-of-life stats can be pretty misleading if you aren't looking closely at the full picture.
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
When you look at the numbers for Chicago, almost every single suburb saw a slight dip between the two census counts. Some places, like Naperville, actually took a massive hit—we’re talking a drop of 2,000 people compared to what was recorded back in 2002. The only real outlier was the downtown core, which managed a noticeable bump of about 30,000 people.
I highly doubt we’ll see any massive population boom in New York City. Specifically, do I really think the city will hit 300,000 residents by 2041 without counting the suburbs? I just don't buy it. It’s unlikely there will be enough internal migration to drive those kinds of numbers, especially since the city is already packed tight and has nowhere left to expand.
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
Lawrence Williams said:The article is also available online. It estimates that about 20 people leave Buffalo every week—a figure I find quite plausible. However, I wonder if it's realistic that an additional 9,000 people have left the rest of the northern region, given the total regional estimate of 10,000. Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised. In the surrounding counties, it’s a straight-up exodus to other countries. In the small towns and rural areas, every second or third house sits empty, more than half the storefronts are boarded up, and the streets are deserted. It's sad...


Yeah, that 10,000 figure feels slightly inflated to me, but I wouldn't call it unrealistic. An exodus of that scale from the northern part of the country would definitely leave its mark on birth rates in the coming years.
It’s tough to put an exact annual number on emigration right now, but my gut feeling? That number is steadily climbing.
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
Maria Ruiz22 said:We’ve already established that people in Subotica are basically moving away on a daily basis—that part is clear. What I am actually trying to wrap my head around are these latest rumors swirling about Subotica. There is talk regarding some sort of high-level macro figure based there, and then there is this bizarre claim that the city has become a recruitment hub for high-end escorts—I am talking about the expensive, international clientele type, not the ones you see on the roadside. It makes absolutely no sense to me. For such an elegant, sophisticated city to turn into some sort of horror-movie Mexican border town where vampire truckers suck blood—well, that would be both irrational and utterly inexplicable.

Perhaps there are reasons for this mass exodus from Subotica that go much deeper than just simple economics—which is why I am asking. I wonder if there is something else pushing those without steady jobs or savings to leave more easily. Sometimes, an entire city needs a little "nudge" in a certain direction. For instance, look at how a few high-profile incidents can cause anyone with even a hint of arrogance in a place like Chicago to act out—and lately, Chicago's crime reports have been quite grim. On the flip side, a real shift happened in a place like Asheville; over the last year or two, we've seen nothing but great news coming out of there regarding community solidarity and a positive local vibe. Even Detroit is seeing a surge of optimism thanks to the automotive industry—you can actually see it reflected in the birth rates.

In general, what is the actual situation in these border towns—those places right on the edge of the frontier? They are the most exposed to all sorts of life-threatening nonsense. We hear all about the chaos in the rural outskirts or the woods near small mountain towns, but it is also noticeable that certain communities living right along the line near Mexico—both the conservative and moderate factions, especially in the National Parks—are complaining because they find themselves sitting right on drug trafficking routes. As for smuggling, organized crime, and how all of this impacts the lives of people in these border towns, there isn't much concrete info available. Most reporting focuses on Romanians or Bulgarians in the East—stuff like big weddings or New Year's Day celebrations where they come over to shop—but that feels like old news from 2012, and I highly doubt things have stayed that way.

It’s exactly like that—think of these agencies as a filter for women. It’s basically a way to separate the wheat from the chaff, letting the more attractive ones make their move while weeding out the rest. But honestly, the crime levels in cities like Novi Sad have reached an all-time high. You’ve got criminals and drug dealers walking the streets with total impunity, shooting people and moving through the city like they own the place. A recent report in the local news highlighted how some of these low-level thugs have over twenty different criminal records yet still roam the streets freely. One guy actually shot an innocent bystander near the downtown sports complex, and just recently, there was an attempted murder on L. Teleckog Street where the perpetrator didn't even spend a single day in jail. These small-time dealers are constantly seen out at clubs with gorgeous women; I mean, these foot soldiers are pulling in several thousand dollars a month—so you have to wonder, where does that put the guys at the top of the food chain?
Prostitution is on the rise, and I’ll go out on a limb and say it has absolutely nothing to do with the economy. If that were the case, we'd only see people struggling to make ends meet, right? But that's not what's happening. You see plenty of girls involved in this who come from perfectly solvent, well-off families. So, what's the real driver here? It isn't about a lack of cash; it's a deeper issue. It's a matter of culture—a fundamental shift in the value systems within America.
Regarding the exodus from Subotica, today's print edition of the New York Post is running an extensive feature on the subject. It’s no surprise that people are leaving in droves; honestly, it’s logical. How can anyone be expected to thrive in an environment like that? I suspect this trend will hit Novi Sad pretty soon too, though it might not feel quite as drastic there thanks to some positive internal migration patterns.
When you actually sit down and look at the bigger picture—I’m talking about the massive brain drain of young professionals leaving the country, the recent debates over the surge in singlehood, and the spike in women in their 30s without children between census cycles—plus the general economic struggle and the rising feeling of social fragmentation... then, and only then, can I say that this birth rate number is actually quite shocking.
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
I read this article on migration, though honestly, who knows how accurate these statistics actually are?

Then there’s this other piece discussing the trend of women delaying motherhood and the spike in the number of women in the 30-35 age bracket without children between two census periods. I have a feeling this trend is only going to get more pronounced—and let's be real, we probably need to start accounting for a much larger population of single people.
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
hiddeneagle76 said:That’s just someone talking because they're bored and don't know what to do with themselves. Everything you wrote here is either flat-out wrong or something even a child would know. I really dislike it when someone just rambles on with these baseless posts that often have nothing to do with actual demographics...

And here comes this student again. Trust me, I’m not bored; I’m working three jobs, climbing positions through pure grit and an education that you’ll probably spend your entire life dreaming about.
On what possible basis did you decide I’m bored or aimless? It seems to me you're just trying to disqualify my opinion because you can't handle the fact that we don't see eye to eye.
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
It’s pretty obvious that in Vojvodina, NS is the only place seeing any real influx of people. Everyone seems to be flowing into the city from all directions, and there's an increasing number of Romani residents as well. Every other town is either declining more slowly or crashing much faster. The only exception is the Pančevo resident area, mostly just because of its proximity to New York City.
The quality of the population is also sliding; you see fewer and fewer truly educated people out there. It’s a hard truth, but the educational system in America is deteriorating. We're seeing this hyper-decadent model being forced on us—one that relies heavily on private colleges while even the standards at state universities are being completely gutted.
Education and actual expertise aren't valued anymore. In fact, people who actually stand out due to their vocabulary or sheer erudition are often met with disdain. People are becoming so intellectually stunted that their vocabularies are shrinking, and basic social etiquette is practically non-existent. Honestly, the situation is drastically worse than it was even ten years ago.
Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World ·
Lawrence Williams said:America is one of those rare countries where fertility rates are actually higher in urban centers. In other words, staying in a small town doesn't guarantee you'll have more kids than someone living in the city. We should be quite pleased with these birth trends; at this rate, we could hit over 9.5 per mille this year. Given the current emigration levels, the shrinking fertile population base, and the state of the economy, these numbers are actually excellent.

That’s exactly my point—you have to factor in the brain drain, the shrinking demographic base that will only get worse in the coming years, and a shaky economy. When you weigh all of that against the current numbers, the birth rate this year is surprisingly high. Of course, the real question remains: is this just a temporary outlier, or can we actually expect a break from the constant downward trend?