Posts by gentlerider7

They’re saying those who were drafted by mistake can actually head back home,

"The Governor of Yakutia, Aisen Nikolaev, has issued direct orders to strictly follow President Vladimir Putin’s decree regarding partial mobilization and to send home any citizens who were mistakenly called up for service. This was officially posted on the Yakutia government website.

According to Nikolayev, since September 21st, officials in Yakutia have been working overtime to implement the partial mobilization decree.

He pointed out that they are currently busy fixing mistakes where people who shouldn't be involved are being summoned.

To give you an idea of the mess, he mentioned cases where unauthorized civilians were mobilized, and even instances where fathers with four kids under sixteen were getting called up.

The republic's leader called these blunders totally unacceptable and promised that "anyone called up by mistake will be sent back."

https://www-gazeta-ru.translate.goog..._x_tr_pto=wapp

Rebecca Moore6 said:Perhaps. However, I am certain Putin is currently weighing which percentage of his nuclear arsenal is appropriate, and how many of those missiles would detonate within Russian territory. One wonders if he is also questioning the extent of the intelligence advantage held by Americans, and whether they could execute a "first strike" before a launch occurs. It seems highly probable that the CIA and NSA possess the capability to track even the movement of Russian nuclear submarines.

No. NATO would have to intervene militarily. As previously noted, in such a case, no one would be able to prevent atomic forces from achieving their objectives through tactical nuclear weapons. Not to mention that at least thirty more nations might launch their own nuclear programs within a year.

I mean, they probably can track them pretty damn well, though it’s funny how every single time there’s a massive threat, the official line is always some "we haven't noticed any movement in the Russian atomic arsenal" nonsense. It's such a joke. And don't even get me started on the stuff slipping under the radar, like those reports in the Gazette about American engineers being over in Russia to inspect the Sarmat systems—the Russians themselves leaked that!

Rebecca Moore6 said:Perhaps. However, I am certain Putin is currently weighing which percentage of his nuclear arsenal is appropriate, and how many of those missiles would detonate within Russian territory. One wonders if he is also questioning the extent of the intelligence advantage held by Americans, and whether they could execute a "first strike" before a launch occurs. It seems highly probable that the CIA and NSA possess the capability to track even the movement of Russian nuclear submarines.

No. NATO would have to intervene militarily. As previously noted, in such a case, no one would be able to prevent atomic forces from achieving their objectives through tactical nuclear weapons. Not to mention that at least thirty more nations might launch their own nuclear programs within a year.

Well, they'd be intervening on Ukrainian soil. Using conventional weapons, obviously.

Rebecca Moore6 said:Nonsense.

First, the actual state of the Russian nuclear arsenal is highly questionable. Their last atomic test was back in 1989. We have had seven months to observe their hardware, and it is clear that corruption has taken its toll.

But even if that weren't the case, if Russia were to deploy a tactical nuke, it would cross a red line so significant that even their so-called allies, like China and Iran, would be forced to condemn them and step back. That would give the West a green light to intervene in Ukraine. As a defensive measure, NATO could also introduce a specific number of tactical nuclear warheads into Ukraine. However, the conflict would remain conventional.

Within two weeks, NATO would push the Russians out of Ukraine, and likely out of Crimea as well.
Russia would become the next North Korea, and for the next 50 years, no one would buy a single barrel of their oil or cubic meter of gas. It would set Russia's economy and technology back a century.

Maybe, sure, but let's be real—they still have enough firepower to level whatever they feel like leveling, just like the West does.

Rebecca Moore6 said:Nonsense.

First, the actual state of the Russian nuclear arsenal is highly questionable. Their last atomic test was back in 1989. We have had seven months to observe their hardware, and it is clear that corruption has taken its toll.

But even if that weren't the case, if Russia were to deploy a tactical nuke, it would cross a red line so significant that even their so-called allies, like China and Iran, would be forced to condemn them and step back. That would give the West a green light to intervene in Ukraine. As a defensive measure, NATO could also introduce a specific number of tactical nuclear warheads into Ukraine. However, the conflict would remain conventional.

Within two weeks, NATO would push the Russians out of Ukraine, and likely out of Crimea as well.
Russia would become the next North Korea, and for the next 50 years, no one would buy a single barrel of their oil or cubic meter of gas. It would set Russia's economy and technology back a century.

Actually, there’s already a playbook being floated to Biden for if a tactical nuke actually happens. It pretty much boils down to total global isolation—basically begging China and India to join the boycott—combined with a heavy conventional strike on a base within Ukrainian territory, plus dumping every single piece of weaponry we're currently holding back straight into Ukraine's hands.

cosmicgull52 said:I want to know if there is even a mechanism for this. It is a farce. Having someone like Lavrov walking around there acting like a legitimate diplomat is ridiculous. He’s a total Ribbentrop and deserves nothing less than the gallows.

As for those colleagues lamenting that America isn't trying hard enough anymore—slow down. I am certain the lights stay on 24/7 in some offices in Virginia. 👍

Let’s be real, the UN is long overdue for a complete overhaul.

rowdyraven112 said:Fine. Let's say he drops one. Or two. They don't even need to be massive—maybe 10 kilotons? Enough to level most of Washington, D.C. Who’s going to react? Who’s going to retaliate? And who wants to gamble with the total collapse of civilization in the Northern Hemisphere?

It's funny how everyone just ignores that famous line from Zakharov about how "Europe is wrong to think Russia can lose this." People ignored it too much. That’s exactly why we’re in this mess. ☕

Does it even matter what those Russian officials are blathering about?

I mean, look, most people just bounce between "not my problem" and "well, I guess I should start digging my own grave," so who cares when someone says "most people"? What actually matters is listening to the folks who actually know what's going on under the hood. And let's be real, Americans are actually pretty sharp at tracking and predicting this stuff, so if they aren't sweating the Russian threats too much, it's because they have their reasons—and yeah, they definitely have a playbook ready to go if those guys decide to throw a "little" tantrum.

bluepuma9 said:Russia can't even manage a war in Ukraine against a relatively small Ukrainian military backed by Western weapons shipments... how are they going to expand the conflict? They just don't have the resources for it.

I don't know, maybe he was thinking about NATO stepping directly into Ukraine or Russia launching their ICBMs, because let's be real, a Russian conquest of Europe isn't some realistic scenario we need to be losing sleep over.

While all this is going down, those Russian officials are busy padding their own little pockets

"
The Russian President, Vladimir Putin, just signed off on a decree stating that starting October 1st, both his salary and the salary of Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin will get a 4% bump—basically a 1.04 multiplier. You can find the official paperwork over on the government's legal info portal if you really care about this stuff...

And wait, it gets better—the order also says that Dmitri Medvedev, the Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, is getting a 4% raise too. Just more money for the inner circle, I guess.

https://www-gazeta-ru.translate.goog..._x_tr_pto=wapp

Gregory Ramos3 said:

Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov mentioned on Friday that Moscow isn't making any nuclear threats toward anyone.

🤣 🤣

And then you have certain people acting all high and mighty, saying things like, "Oh, we could have negotiated with them," while these guys just toss out statements like they're playing a game of bingo—you honestly never know what kind of nonsense is going to pop out next 🙏 🙏

It’s the classic good cop/bad cop routine, isn't it? You've got one group tasked with pure intimidation, while the other side works overtime spreading this fairy tale about how Russia is all about peace and how the evil West is just being unreasonable toward them.

How to dodge the draft, according to a guy from the Russian opposition:

bluemason3 said:Organizing anything requires leadership and a way to move information. If the state's crackdown successfully locks up the leaders and keeps everyone else under thumb, it's nearly impossible to coordinate things until you hit that breaking point—either massive, widespread frustration or some other kind of systemic collapse.🤔

So yeah, basically the West just needs to go out and find themselves a brand new Lenin to back.

Christian Torres3 said:Right, because after Moscow gets leveled due to some idiot cook's mistake and drones start blowing up warehouses in Crimea, you just *have* to take his word for it.

I mean, come on, the buddy you're chatting with was already out here in May claiming Putin was gonna drop a massive bomb within two weeks...

Check out this deep dive from the New York Times, a total breakdown:

https://www.nytimes.com/news/world/analysis/zelenskyy-war-updates-15251481

Rachel Barrett8 said:That parallel universe you're talking about? It's called the global market.
Countries that used to import fuel from Russia are pivoting to new markets right now. That spike in demand drives prices through the roof, which leads to those inevitable energy cuts.
Or did you think I was the one calling for rationing instead of the UK and France?
Am I the one begging citizens to save power here?

The UK and France simply don't have the muscle to militarily control African tribes in the Sahara. The only ones who can actually flex their muscles against the Russians are the USA.
Since one person on this forum concluded that we should have shown strength at the start of the war—but then immediately said we need to be "realistic."

And let me remind you, the crisis in Ukraine has been simmering since 2014. The EU and the UK have been completely lost for eight years while letting this crisis cook.
Last year, they even pulled the plug on funding new gas fields in Africa... so, yeah. Everything makes perfect sense.

I mean, come on, even the Ukrainians are doing a pretty damn good job of flexing those muscles right now, aren't they?

And look, you can't just say the Russian Revolution happened the second WWI kicked off; it wasn't that simple, right? It took a perfect storm of things hitting all at once—we're talking an army that was totally spent and starving, a brutal war of attrition that just drags on forever, and, of course, a revolutionary group that actually knew how to pull the strings. As for those first two issues, there hasn't been nearly enough time for them to reach a breaking point yet, and that third piece of the puzzle? Well, that's still more of a pipe dream for now, though I guess you can't ever say it's completely off the table, can you?

Terry Green3 said:They might as well tell us how the whole thing ends, too. My only optimistic prediction is that Putin’s inner circle meets the same fate as the Romanovs.
Looking at the current state of Russia, I wouldn't hold my breath.

Then you've got other scenarios on the table, like an internal coup. Maybe Gerasimov or Patrushev grabs the reins and works out some kind of exit strategy from Ukraine, even if Russia stays stuck being an autocratic, isolated wreck. That actually seems way more likely than some grand October Revolution happening, right?

Sure, Russia is struggling right now, but everything changes when there's a real chance people get drafted into the war instead of just watching the chaos unfold on the news. It's easy to sit back and stay passive when someone else's house is the one on fire. But hey, anything can happen—even a full-blown uprising.

Terry Green3 said:At the start of the year, Ukrainians didn't buy the American warnings about a full-scale Russian invasion across the entire country. Look how that turned out.

Not much on the menu here.

Russia wins. Ukraine accepts the peace terms.
Ukraine wins, and Russia accepts their peace terms. Simple as that.
The collapse of Putin-esque regimes is inevitable.

First, they won't allow NATO involvement unless it means stepping directly into a full-blown conflict with Russia and risking a nuclear war.
Russia won't let that happen while they have nuclear weapons in play. Simple as that.
The third thing we’re all hoping for? It isn't happening.

I’m a pessimist. I honestly think the US, Europe, and Russia are on an unstoppable collision course toward total destruction. Both sides have become completely uncompromising. No negotiations, no middle ground—just pure, stubborn exclusivity. In my view, that only leads to one thing: all-out war.
A new Canada set up in some military base isn't going to reach an agreement.
The Russians under Putin can't afford to show even a hint of weakness. Meanwhile, the USA, dealing with its own domestic disaster, is stuck in the same position. Neither side can blink.

You're totally panicking here.

And besides, just because the Americans were right about this doesn't mean you can blindly trust every single thing they analyze. If they say Putin is probably shitting himself, then yeah, he probably is, but that's about it.

Henry Sullivan4 said:Look, my friend, there's a much simpler, more efficient, and frankly more moral way to handle this; it would be a true relief for everyone if Vlad just had a nasty fall down some stairs or suffered a sudden heart attack while he's at it.🤣

Sure, but you actually have to be brave enough to pull it off; even nobody dared to take out Stalin.

Henry Sullivan4 said:It’s honestly just impossible for them to pull 300,000 new troops out of thin air right now because you have to equip everyone and get them all synchronized, and even though people say most of the mobilized guys will already have combat experience, you have to wonder how on earth you find 300,000 veterans in a situation like this, especially since I saw a clip showing them recruiting Wagner types from prison and you really have to ask yourself if you can actually trust which way they'll point their guns when things get messy.🤣

The Russians aren't necessarily head-over-heels for Vladimir Putin, but let's be real—most of them are just totally checked out when it comes to politics. They've gone numb. But don't mistake that silence or the fact that nobody is hitting the streets protesting for loyalty or love. They're just tired.

Henry Sullivan4 said:My friend, I am willing to buy you drinks all night long if I'm wrong, but I guarantee full-scale mobilization isn't coming; instead, we'll likely be looking at a funeral so massive that even whatever Ele-No2 is planning will look insignificant by comparison.☕

And even if they actually pull the trigger on mobilization, what's the endgame? You really think those million people are going to conquer all of Ukraine and then just march straight into Poland or New York City?

placidtiger142 said:Of course they’re looking at full-scale mobilization in the game. It's just the narrative they're pushing—trying to frame it as selective or partial so the public doesn't absolutely lose their minds and revolt.

Everyone thinks they're safe, too. You sit there thinking, "Nah, it won't be me, I'm just some guy working at a local bakery, they'll grab someone else." Then suddenly, that draft notice hits your mailbox and you realize you're screwed.

We're talking WW3 territory now. This isn't a drill; this is total mobilization.

Look, maybe this *is* a version of WWIII, but don't go thinking it's gonna play out like the old ones—I mean, let's be real, Russia doesn't stand a chance in a conventional fight against NATO, and if things actually go nuclear? Well, then everyone loses and it's all over pretty damn fast anyway. It's way more likely this just stays a grinding, long-term conflict stuck on Ukrainian and Russian soil.