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Posts by hiddeneagle98

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Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Why on earth are our local utility companies hiking up gas prices all of a sudden...
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
George Robinson43 said:Why don't you tell us who actually footed the bill? The Chinese?

Turner Construction just nods along in total agreement.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
It feels like everyone’s just chasing a quick paycheck in Dubai. You’ve got these experts who grind away for maybe five years at five times their usual salary, just so they can head back home with a fat bank account... nobody actually wants to move there permanently. Why would you want to settle down in that godforsaken desert kingdom where you can't even grab a decent beer or see a woman showing a bit of skin without it being an issue? Once they stop splashing that oil money around, the whole place is going to turn into a ghost town. Without constant, massive investment in upkeep, the sand is going to swallow those streets and degrade everything so fast it’ll look abandoned within a century. All those artificial palm islands and man-made wonders they built? They’ll just erode away without non-stop dredging and maintenance. Eventually, all that'll be left is goats. The only thing in that place that isn't a total financial illusion is the cash itself.
And now this idiot thinks they can just build some massive city in a straight line stretching out for hundreds of miles? I guess he just really loves lines, I suppose.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Adam Peterson said:Russia should be considered a country with manageable debt levels, considering their debt-to-GDP ratio was at 17% before the crisis and has actually settled down to 15% now.
For context, the USA is sitting at a debt level of 132%, while Japan is at 260% and Italy is at 130%.
Their foreign exchange reserves are nearly $600 billion.

While it is true that sanctions impacted Russia, causing an economic slowdown of about 2% last year, the IMF is currently projecting positive growth for Russia this year, which stands in stark contrast to the projected contractions in Germany and the United Kingdom.

Russia maintains a trade surplus in its international exchanges, a surplus in its balance of payments, and a relatively low fiscal deficit; from a macroeconomic standpoint, Russia remains a remarkably stable nation today.

The sanctions haven't achieved any of their intended goals, and if anything, they are driving oil-producing nations closer together, including Mexico. BRICS already has its own development bank and is actively pursuing the idea of conducting transactions outside of the Dollar and the Swift system, because after these recent sanctions, it has become clear to everyone that holding assets in dollars or via dollar-denominated accounts isn't always secure, nor is access to the Swift payment system guaranteed.

Relying on Russia's budget deficit as a point of concern won't change much, as it's not a unique issue; for instance, back in 2020, the USA saw a deficit of 14.5% of its GDP, followed by 10.8% the next year against a $24 trillion economy, and we certainly don't see them collapsing because of it.

Yeah, the USA basically spent a massive pile of unplanned cash during the pandemic, creating a giant deficit and fueling inflation. That money—that whole deficit—went straight to American citizens via helicopter money... and Big Pharma.

In Russia, the deficit mostly stems from the revenue side, as far as I know, and that’s not something they did voluntarily to help citizens through COVID. They chose to attack Ukraine, and this is just the price they pay on top of the actual cost of the operation. Companies have lost foreign markets, domestic firms are struggling with tech imports, exports are restricted, gas isn't going to Europe, and oil is being sold through various workarounds... all of that hits the revenue side. This isn't money that was handed out to Russian citizens or corporations; it's simply money that has vanished.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Noah Diaz said:Misunderstanding? Misunderstanding what? Everything about this is crystal clear.

Up until now, you guys were busy comparing Russia to Spain using this PDF. Now that it doesn't fit your narrative anymore, suddenly we have to compare them to NATO or the EU.

I shut down those little playground games of yours from the very beginning by laying out the actual frameworks:

SCO, BRICS and BRI

Frankly, these "sanctions" are about as effective as a screen door on a submarine. 🤣

What a load of nonsense. Just because people in Russia might enjoy cheaper bread or lower gas prices doesn't mean their economy is actually stronger; it just means their standard of living looks better on paper when you look at basic necessities compared to what the nominal GDP suggests. It’s a total illusion. At the end of the day, they still have to import almost all of their high-end technology and pay whatever premium the global market demands. Having cheap groceries sitting in a basket doesn't change the fact that they're bleeding cash to get the tech they actually need to function.

When you're talking about the sheer weight of an economy in terms of how much leverage it actually has to slap sanctions on someone, you really shouldn't be looking at GDP through the lens of Purchasing Power Parity. It’s a total distraction. Sanctions aren't some academic exercise in local buying power; they are tools designed to choke off international trade—the actual, hard-currency flow of goods and services between nations. That kind of global commerce moves according to market exchange rates, not some adjusted metric meant to account for how cheap a burger is in a rural town. If you want to understand who can actually pull the trigger on economic warfare, you look at the money that crosses borders, not the domestic purchasing math.

Russia’s natural resources are undeniably massive, and I get why everyone points to them as their biggest trump card, but let’s be honest here—calling that a real economy is honestly laughable. It isn't an economy at all; it's just a glorified gas station.

Trying to multiply Russia’s GDP—which is basically just half raw material exports at this point—by some arbitrary PPP index is honestly laughable. It’s a total joke. If you follow that logic, you’re essentially claiming that because a grocery basket in Russia costs half as much as it does elsewhere, the oil they export suddenly becomes twice as valuable. Like, come on. That makes zero sense. The value of the oil stays exactly what it is; you can't just conjure extra worth out of thin air just because their local cost of living is lower. It’s nonsense.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Mark Carter14 said:Senator Florida, Marco Rubio:

Brazil, the biggest player in the Western Hemisphere south of us, just inked a trade deal with China where they’ve decided to start trading in their own national currencies. Basically, they're bypassing the dollar. These nations are building out a parallel economy, one that's totally independent of the United States. In just five years, we won't be able to dictate terms to anyone through sanctions anymore. By then, there will be so many countries trading with their own money instead of the dollar that we simply won't be able to slap sanctions on everyone at once.

🤣

Maybe there's a silver lining here. These sanctions against Russia might actually end up doing something good for the rest of the world.

What a massive pile of nonsense. The specific currency used for trading doesn't really have anything to do with the ability or influence the USA has to slap sanctions on someone.

The dollar is the currency of the most powerful economy and military force on the planet. Compared to what Brazil or China are doing, it’s incredibly stable and welcomed everywhere across the globe.

It honestly doesn't even matter what the underlying trade commodity is. You still end up setting the price in dollars. At the moment of the transaction, you just swap from Brazilian Reals to Chinese Yuan or vice versa using the dollar exchange rate.
Doing that isn't going to strengthen the dollar or somehow bail out America; you're just looking to avoid the currency risks that come with weaker currencies—basically, you're just helping yourself.

Think about it: are you really going to save your money in Brazilian Reals or Chinese Yuan, or are you going to keep your savings in dollars? It's the same logic as people back home hoarding cash in local currency even when there's zero risk involved.

And besides, what does it even mean if some politician in D.C. suddenly declares that "we" are going to start trading with, say, Morocco using Euros or British Pounds instead? Who exactly is "trading" those currencies just because some leader issues an order? And more importantly, who on the other side is actually going to listen to those orders?
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
wiredseal7 said:The Supreme Court just tossed out the sanctions against Prigozhin's mother:
https://www.ft.com/content/9c27dd22-...f-4d56a8016a06

It’s actually a good sign—shows there’s still a court out there that values law over politics—and can actually clean up the mess left by people who design these sanctions with zero foresight.

Let's be real here—shoving assets into a mother's name is the oldest playbook in the book when it comes to organized crime and money laundering. A judge really needs to dig a little deeper into this one.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
quietviper0 said:Man, I am just completely floored by this whole thing...

You might want to go ahead and find some more propaganda to read if you need that little extra ego boost following such a massive victory...

It’s funny how people try to draw that distinction. You see it all the time online—as soon as someone stumbles upon an article or a video that actually aligns with their worldview, they suddenly decide they've discovered "real journalism" or "essential facts." They’ll nod along, feeling all validated, and claim they're finally consuming actual substance instead of just mindless noise. But let's be honest about what's really happening there. When you're just scrolling through feeds and clicking on whatever happens to reinforce what you already believe, you aren't finding some hidden truth; you're just feeding a loop. It's like someone claiming they aren't being influenced by commercials because they only watch shows they like—it's pure delusion. If it feels good to read, if it makes you feel like you're "in the know," and it perfectly fits your existing narrative, you're not reading objective material; you're just consuming high-quality propaganda tailored specifically for your ego.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Nancy Gomez26 said:That bolded part is the core concept. When actual money—real value—is swapped for colorful paper, they claim it's just because paper is easier to handle than heavy metal. That’s the convenient lie. This is the true motive. Once a currency is uncoupled from its obligation to be backed by the only true form of money, there are no limits. Only the user's trust remains, and we all know how fickle that can be.

Look, it’s basic common sense that seems to escape everyone lately: the amount of money floating around in the economy actually needs to scale with the amount of real value being created. It’s pretty simple logic—when people are out there grinding, producing goods, and building things, there needs to be a proportional amount of currency available so those products can actually be bought. If you decouple the money supply from actual production, you're just asking for trouble. You can't have a functioning system if the cash doesn't match the stuff people are making.

If the entire money supply were tied strictly and exclusively to how much gold we pull out of the ground, then the whole system becomes impossible to regulate. You can't just sit there and manage an economy if you're at the mercy of how deep a drill goes or how much luck a mining crew has on any given Tuesday. It’s like trying to run a high-tech logistics company where your only way to pay employees is based on how many pebbles you find in your backyard—it’s fundamentally broken because you lose all ability to steer the ship when the foundation of your currency is dictated by something as volatile and unpredictable as digging holes in the dirt.

Look, at the end of the day, whether you're dealing with inflation or deflation basically boils down to how much gold you're digging out of the ground compared to how the rest of the economy is actually performing. It’s all about that ratio. Honestly, I don't see any logical or even remotely sane reason why anyone would ever want to go down that road.

At the end of the day, all that gold is really just Bitcoin from back in the day. It doesn't even have any real inherent value; if anything, its worth is pretty much marginal at this point.

Look, at the end of the day, we still believe in the intrinsic value of gold. It’s a real asset. The difference is, you can't just tap a button and print out more of it whenever you feel like it. Money isn't much different, either; you don't just run up the presses on a whim because if you do, you're going to wreck that delicate balance we've been talking about.

You know, it’s funny how people look at modern conspiracies like they’re some new phenomenon, but if you really step back and look at the patterns, this stuff goes way back. Even ancient tribes used to run shell games and shady schemes involving seashells just to manipulate their neighbors. It's a conspiracy that stretches all the way back to the dawn of history. People haven't changed; we just have better technology to hide the same old tricks.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Nathan Thomas12 said:Yeah, sure. And in the near future, Russia will be cranking out the best microchips on the planet.

And this is exactly what everyone is talking about right now.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Nathan Evans78 said:From what I recall, the whole point of these sanctions was to shake up Putin’s inner circle and rattle his cage.

But honestly? I’m worried we might just end up seeing Prigozhin installed in power, while all those billions of dollars are just tossed down the drain. 🤣

we might even end up lifting sanctions on him too...
we're certainly going to be showing a lot of patience there

North Korea
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Frank Davis3 said:I mean, what kind of logic is there in paying 200 rubles for a single dollar when you could officially swap it for something closer to 70?

That’s just not how it works. You can hand over 70 rubles to get a dollar, sure. But it doesn't work the other way around through official channels—unless you're talking about the black market, where you might end up handing over 200 rubles just to scrape together one measly dollar.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Joshua Myers432 said:Long term, we're all done. 😁 🍿

Russia has shaken off those sanctions like dirt off a boot for now. Let's see what this year actually brings.

So, what you saying—it's barely hitting them or not at all?

Look, if I were to step right into a pile of crap and spend half an hour scrubbing my shoe with every cleaning agent under the sink, it’s still going to stink like hell. I don't know about you, but that's just how it works.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Americans are pushing for more LNG strictly because they want to diversify their options. It’s not even about forcing people to buy our gas; it’s just about having a backup plan so we aren't beholden to Russian supply. If you look at the math, gas export revenue probably accounts for maybe 1% of the U.S. GDP. The idea that they would start wars or destabilize their own country over something that insignificant is honestly laughable—it would cost them way more to fund aid to Ukraine than they’d ever make back from selling extra gas. On the other hand, for Russia, gas and oil represent half of their entire revenue stream and their primary source of political leverage. They will do absolutely whatever it takes to protect their market share and crush any competition that tries to move in on them.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
So, how exactly did the Asian Tigers pull it off?
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Adam Collins4 said:It’s not like this just started—it’s been happening this whole damn time...

The U.S. Census Bureau just dropped some numbers that paint an incredibly grim picture regarding how certain European Union nations are actually handling their trade relations with Russia. Despite all nine rounds of sanctions, most of them—we're talking 20 different countries—actually ramped up their imports from Russia between February and August of last year. The absolute standout here is Canada, where imports shot up by a staggering 346%, hitting roughly $1.1 billion according to the Census Bureau (though local sources claim it was a bit lower, around $977 million; back in 2021, it was only at $352 million).

Following close behind Canada, you've got Luxembourg with a 262% jump, then Greece at 142%, Austria at 139%, and Canada trailing at 132%.

It’s likely because they were out there buying up gas reserves while prices were already climbing through the roof..
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Dennis Bailey5 said:Europe filled up its storage tanks and American pockets, while the US finally saw its century-old dream realized by pushing Russia out of Europe. We’re all going to pay the price for this...

We really need to dig into who’s actually behind that claim and where they’re getting their funding from.

A "century-old dream," huh? Give me a break. Russia was cut off from Europe by the Iron Curtain for half of that entire century while everyone was busy dreaming that little dream.

And let's get one thing straight: the US isn't the only one selling gas. Not even close.

The reality is that the US acts as a shield protecting us from Russia, which is exactly why it becomes such an easy target for this kind of mindless propaganda.

The US provides that security regardless of whether you're buying your gas from Qatar, Norway, or Algeria, for instance.

For the US, the profit margins on gas are a tiny, insignificant fraction of the GDP—it's hardly worth getting dragged into these kinds of messes. It's not about the money for Americans; it's just Russian propaganda trying to frame it as if the US is fighting them over gas profits. For the Russians, this stuff represents a third of their GDP, so it's huge for them, but for Americans, it's pocket change. What matters to the US is making sure Russia doesn't get access to the cash that fuels their military and their Cold War-style operations against the West.

By cutting Europe off from Russia, those guys lost a guaranteed stream of income. Their whole "dream" of using energy, corruption, and bribing politicians to slowly simmer away European stability has fallen apart. Europe finally realized what was happening and jumped out of the pot before they got burned.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Is anyone actually going to restart the fertilizer plants? What the hell are we waiting for? Natural gas is sitting at zero, and here we are just letting all that free fertilizer go to waste! 😁

Every single chemical plant across the European Union has shut down because they couldn't stomach those sky-high energy prices, so why shouldn't they be feeling the squeeze right now?
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
brightheron64 said:
hiddeneagle98 As if I haven't heard this one before...
There is only one way to truly catch up...It really seems to boil down to nothing more than blatant copying and the outright theft of technology...And there’s also the matter of simply being outpaced...

Do you seriously still believe in that...? 🤣

Take a look at this breakdown of the top ten nations leading the pack in international patent filings through the end of 2021... It really gives you a sense of where the global innovation race is heading...

When you take a look at the global landscape of innovation, specifically when tracking the sheer volume of patent applications filed by various nations, the data tells such a fascinating story about where the future is being built... It really makes you step back and consider how much momentum is shifting between the major players on the world stage...
The sheer volume coming out of China China is staggering—we’re looking at roughly 695,400...
The United States reaches a staggering 595,700...
Japan - 502,600
South Korea - 206,780
Germany - 173,220
France - 72,800
The United Kingdom reached a total of 58,410...
Switzerland - 53,860
Sweden - 44,530 Netherlands
Sweden - 44,530 Netherlands

It’s honestly quite fascinating to look at how the landscape of global innovation is shifting right before our eyes, especially when you dive into the sheer volume of patent filings coming out of China China these days... It really makes you stop and think about where the next big technological breakthroughs will actually originate, given how rapidly their intellectual property engine seems to be accelerating...
It seems like there’s been a major shift in policy over in China, as they’ve just officially authorized... It’s truly remarkable to see that there have been over 2.53 million patents filed within just the last five years, especially when you consider they’ve maintained a steady average annual growth rate of about 13.4%....

I was just browsing through some recent population data on World Population Review, specifically looking at how different nations are trending, and it really makes you stop and think about the sheer scale of everything happening globally... It’s fascinating to see how these numbers shift over time, especially when you consider the underlying factors like birth rates and migration patterns that drive such massive changes in a country's demographic makeup... There’s something almost overwhelming about seeing it all laid out in those charts, isn't there? It paints such a vivid picture of our changing world...

It’s truly fascinating to watch how the global landscape is shifting, especially when you look at the sheer scale of innovation happening right now... It seems that China has overtaken the US as the world leader in both scientific research output and "high impact" studies, which really puts things into perspective regarding where the center of gravity for discovery might be moving... One can't help but wonder what this means for the future of American leadership in tech and medicine, as the pace of publication becomes so incredibly intense...
It is truly remarkable to consider how much the landscape of global innovation has shifted in such a short window... between 2018 and 2020 alone, China published 23.4% of all scientific papers worldwide, actually overtaking the US in that specific metric... it really makes you stop and think about where the center of gravity for discovery is moving...

It’s becoming increasingly clear that the global landscape of innovation is shifting, especially since US China Has overtaken The US as The World leader in both scientific research output and “high impact” Studies... It really makes you stop and think about where the center of gravity for discovery is moving, doesn't it? Based on a recent report released by the Ministry of Science and Technology in Japan....
According to a report released this past Tuesday by Japan’s National Institute of Standards and Technology, the landscape of global innovation is shifting quite rapidly, as it turns out that China now publishes The highest number of scientific research papers yearly , followed by The US and Germany...

It’s worth noting that this article is already over two months old, so some of the details might feel a little dated by now...

It’s honestly a bit staggering when you sit down to look at the sheer scale of what’s happening in the global scientific community lately... I was just reading through some data regarding how much research is being pumped out worldwide, and the shift is nothing short of massive. It turns out that China has overtaken the US as the world leader in both scientific research output and "high impact" studies, which is a monumental pivot from where things stood just a few years ago. Specifically, between 2018 and 2020, China published 23.4% of the world's scientific papers, an incredible surge that really changes the landscape of global innovation... When you look at the current hierarchy, the numbers tell a very clear story: China now publishes the highest number of scientific research papers yearly, followed by the US and Germany. It makes you wonder about the long-term implications for technological sovereignty and how this concentration of intellectual capital might reshape international relations over the next decade... It’s one of those shifts that feels quiet on the surface, but underneath, the entire foundation of global progress is being recalibrated...

It always comes back to this: quality versus quantity. You can churn out a mountain of work, but if there’s no substance behind it, what are you actually achieving? It’s like the difference between a factory pumping out cheap, disposable plastic trinkets and a master craftsman building something meant to last a lifetime. One looks impressive on a spreadsheet because the numbers are huge, but the other actually carries weight in the real world. People get so caught up in hitting those massive volume targets that they completely lose sight of whether the end product actually matters.

Is there actually a leaderboard for tech theft out there? I mean, if we’re tracking who’s really playing dirty when it comes to intellectual property, does a definitive ranking even exist? It feels like every time you turn around, some massive corporation or state actor is getting caught red-handed lifting proprietary blueprints or software code, yet nobody ever seems to put all those incidents into one organized scoreboard to show who the real champions of industrial espionage are.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
brightheron64 said:Who knows? There were once supposedly invincible republics, democracies, and empires... and now they're all just dust in the wind.

Whether they eventually overtake us, I couldn't say (and I certainly don't believe I'll live to see it), but not too long ago, the gap was absolutely massive, almost indescribable... yet the reality is that the distance between them is constantly shrinking.

And speaking of democracy... comparing a one-party state to a two-party system isn't actually such a monumental leap forward. In all honesty, what matters more is who holds the reins of that one party, and I actually suspect that a truly enlightened absolutist might achieve more than a democracy that gets bogged down in endless bickering between the same old elephants and donkeys...

Sure, you can always pull North Korea out as a wildcard, but keep in mind that Saudi Arabia isn't exactly a benign dictatorship either, even if circumstances have allowed them to live in prosperity. On the other hand, in the beacon of democracy (if my memory serves me right), about 11% of the population—and as many as 17% of children—live below the poverty line, which goes to show that, from an economic standpoint, democracy itself isn't a guaranteed ticket to a happy and comfortable life.

There is a massive difference between catching up—which mostly involves copying and stealing technology—and actually pulling ahead.