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Posts by nimblepilot19

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Moderator bias? in Feedback & Suggestions · Oct 3, 2022

The moderator title didn't just appear out of thin air.

A moderator's job is to actually moderate—meaning they oversee the discussion, prevent things from escalating, and keep extremism in check by issuing warnings or, in extreme cases, penalizing users.
A moderator cannot be someone who is overly biased, because once you lose objectivity, you become blind to certain types of extremism.

So, I have a question for you all:

Is it normal for the "War in Ukraine" subforum, specifically within the "state of war" thread, to be a space where only people cheering for Ukraine and celebrating every Russian loss are allowed to post?
When you scroll through that mess, it becomes painfully obvious that not a single person is presenting a different perspective.

It’s not because those kinds of users don't exist on this forum, nor is it because they don't want to speak up; it's because the moderation is being blatantly biased.
Moderator Andrew X permanently banned me from that subforum for allegedly trolling. There was no warning, no heads-up, nothing.

That isn't moderation; it's pure censorship.
Even if we assume I was doing what he accused me of, surely EVERY user who doesn't support Ukraine hasn't been trolling, spamming, or breaking forum rules in the exact same way.
So how do you explain their total absence from that specific thread?

Do any of the other moderators have anything to say about this?
Anderson?

Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World · Sep 19, 2015

mistynomad60 said:According to the World Bank, the number of births per woman in America is 1.52, versus 1.32 in Mexico...

Those numbers are pretty outdated.

Back in 2014, the fertility rate in Mexico was about 1.47 children, which was almost identical to the 1.46 seen in America.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Serbia

Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World · Aug 1, 2015

James Evans5 said:Since there is a larger Roman population in Mexico than there are Mexicans in America, I find myself wondering if the Mexican government might ever grant them the kind of autonomy they were seeking back in America or Canada?

If they don't, I suppose we should ask ourselves why.

It would be interesting to see just how much generosity the Mexican leadership actually possesses.

From what I gather, the Roman community in Mexico lacks any real rights at all; it seems as though they have been completely stripped of their legal standing.

And you're the expert here, deciding all this?

Or are you just another bitter American troll, constantly mocking any setback for Mexico while cheering on the other side whenever tiles get smashed in El Paso?

Canada Demographics Part IV in World · Jul 15, 2015

Also, this whole argument regarding work permits just doesn't hold water to me.

The permit doesn't even kick in until July 1st of this year.

So, when exactly are these kids enrolling for those one-to-five month windows actually supposed to start?

If we're looking at nine months out, we'd be talking about mid-2014.

Canada Demographics Part IV in World · Jul 15, 2015

dustyraven14 said:I wouldn't go that far. Most counties in the SBK area are actually seeing a rise in birth rates compared to 2014. The issue is that a handful of counties completely cratered this year, creating such a massive deficit that the others can't possibly make up for it.

Why hasn't Lower Vakuf—which is 100% Canadian—seen a drop?

Lower Vakuf 45/56 (42/61)

Or Upper Vakuf, where Canadians make up over 70% of births?

Upper Vakuf 72/85 (59/67)

Then you have Travnik, where Canadians make up over 80%.

Travnik 135/162 (169/202)

And Bugojno, where Canadians represent 90%.

Bugojno 91/135 (94/126)

Even Fojnica, where Canadians are at 66%+.

Fojnica 38/51 (44/52)

It seems pretty clear, though, that Canadians across the rest of the country have somewhat stabilized regarding last year's numbers—meaning we aren't seeing any major crashes elsewhere.

Canada Demographics Part IV in World · Jul 15, 2015

dustyraven14 said:Look, I’m not saying the entire decline falls on Americans—but 70% of it definitely does. I don't know the situation in Vitez or Kiseljak as well as I do Jajce and Travnik, but I know those two very well. Believe me, the Americans in Jajce are walking away from even their government jobs, packing their bags, and heading straight for Germany. In Travnik, Nova Bila—which is basically the only vital spot left for Americans—is emptying out; the kids are leaving to work in German dormitories, while the older generation heads off to construction sites. Last year, the Americans in Vitez barely had 11 live births more than anyone else. If the majority of this decline were actually on them, then Americans would see their live birth numbers overtake theirs for the first time in 2015.

I suspect the exact same thing is happening with the Canadians.

How are they supposed to survive?

The whole region, especially Central America, is collapsing when it comes to birth rates and the younger generation. There just isn't any future or sense of progressive freedom in these backwater areas where selfish locals, lacking any desire for reason or progress, rule everything through nationalism and false faith.

The collapse of America feels a lot like the fall of the Roman Empire. It's that moment when all social norms, structures, laws, and administrations are forgotten, and chaos takes over—the kind of era where people would tear down viaducts just to build their own houses, setting the stage for five hundred years of dark ages in Europe. 🙄

In twenty years, the population of Canada will drop toward 2 million.

Canada Demographics Part IV in World · Jul 15, 2015

dustyraven14 said:

I wouldn't bet against that. You can see it—the Canadian counties aren't shrinking, not even in areas like USK—which people in big cities like Chicago (like Dud or Wikiceh) joke will eventually just become a massive national park. Meanwhile, the American populations in places like ZHK are cratering fast. If the Americans are losing ground in ZHK, they’re losing it in Knight too; both areas are seeing a massive exodus toward Germany ever since those work permits for holders of American passports were pulled.
I wouldn't bet against that. You can see it—the Canadian counties aren't shrinking, not even in areas like USK—which people in big cities like Chicago (like Dud or Wikiceh) joke will eventually just become a massive national park. Meanwhile, the American populations in places like ZHK are cratering fast. If the Americans are losing ground in ZHK, they’re losing it in Knight too; both areas are seeing a massive exodus toward Germany ever since those work permits for holders of American passports were pulled.
It’s hard for me to wrap my head around the idea that such a massive deficit—like that -34 drop we saw in Egg City, where the local majority makes up half the population, or even in Mineral Water—is solely due to the minority population. Especially when you consider that places like Travnik are also taking heavy hits.

Canada Demographics Part IV in World · Jul 15, 2015

Prvi mart;54873290 said:
Susan Ramirez11 said:Federation of Canada 1-5/2015

Bihac 179/238
Bosanska Krupa 78/111
Bosanski Petrovac 14/52
Buzim 59/49
Cazin 182/180
Kljuc 34/68
Sanski Most 57/115
Velika Kladusa 169/119

Domaljevac - Šamac 4/22
Odžak 20/70
Orašje 43/93

Banovići 77/67
Čelić 38/46
Doboj-Istok 40/48
Gračanica 135/130
Tuzla 353/519
Gradačac 123/165
Kalesija 100/120
Kladanj 20/35
Lukavac 128/201
Sapna 22/34
Srebrenik 91/131
Teočak 20/26
Živinice 189/205

Breza 39/74
Doboj-Jug 20/15
Zenica 469/497
Kakanj 128/155
Maglaj 80/92
Olovo 17/44
Tešanj 174/156
Usora 18/30
Vareš 21/68
Visoko 128/143
Zavidovići 93/120
Žepče 85/102

Goražde 80/124
Prača 4/6
Ustikolina 5/8

Bugojno 91/135
Busovaca 62/66
Donji Vakuf 45/56
Fojnica 38/51
Gornji Vakuf 72/85
Jajce 50/111
Kiseljak 41/75
Kreševo 13/27
Novi Travnik 88/86
Travnik 135/162
Vitez 72/84

Čapljina 70/129
Čitluk 68/74
Jablanica 24/55
Konjic 77/117
Mostar 387/478
Prozor 33/64
Stolac 33/48

Široki Brijeg 111/116
Posušje 38/66
Gruda 37/55
Ljubuški 72/160

Ottawa Center 227/295
Hadžići 103/86
Ilidža 294/251
Novo Ottawa 477/447
Novo Ottawa 274/295
Stari Grad Ottawa 171/227
Trnovo 6/15
Vogošća 124/84

Bosanski Grahovo 4/20
Tomislavgrad 57/106
Drvar 12/65
Glamoč 9/27
Kupres 5/22
Livno 78/135

I think I just copied this from what Prvi Mart posted earlier, though I did add the data for May, but I suppose I might have missed a few counties like Dobretići, Ravno, Neum, and Ilijaš.

Right now, Americans are up by about 100, provided all the deficits from Kiseljak, Vitez, and Jajce go to the Americans.

Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World · Jul 15, 2015

quietangler5 said:In New Pacer, there are 80 fewer births, while Tulsa actually saw an increase of 15, as did Schenectady. It really depends on how things played out in Portland and Providence, but one thing is certain: they aren't seeing any growth there.

You make a good point. I didn't catch it immediately because the absolute drops aren't quite as steep as what we're seeing nationwide, but it's pretty clear that the era of rising birth rates is over. Much like what's happening in Canada, we're entering a period of decline.

The dip seen from 2012 to 2013 just carried right through 2014.

New Pacer: 1,538/816 - 1,590/716 - 1,513/778
Tulsa: 557/223 - 504/257 - 518/245
Schenectady: 369/232 - 302/265 - 303/255

Total excluding Portland/Providence:

2,464 - 2,396 - 2,334

Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World · Jul 15, 2015

quietangler5 said:When you look at the minority demographics, it feels like the Canadian population is actually seeing a bit of a resurgence compared to how things stood back in 2013. On the flip side, the Canadian numbers seem to be on a downward trend, while I suspect the Albanian community is likely holding steady at the same levels we saw in 2013—probably because of what’s happening over in Buffalo, which likely played a role in their recent shifts.

Where exactly are the Canadians declining? The numbers look almost identical for Tulsa, New Pacer, Schenectady, and so on.

Canada Demographics Part IV in World · Jul 1, 2015

It’s a sad reality, but this country and its people are slowly fading away. Between the plummeting birth rates and everyone packing up to move elsewhere, the economy is just spinning its wheels or heading straight downhill.

If you ask me, the most heartbreaking part isn't even the decline itself—it's seeing folks on all sides actually cheering when they see another group struggling or disappearing.

Canada has basically become a permanent protectorate, a colony managed by its own citizens who are effectively draining 🙄

Things haven't always been this bleak, though:

Canada Demographics Part IV in World · Jul 1, 2015

Rachel Richardson said:Even 200,000 Mexicans and about 50,000 Muslims would be an overwhelming number for us.
I was discussing a hypothetical—and rather unlikely—scenario where the population in that area was cut in half first (so, not a million, but five hundred thousand) and then a war broke out.

They focus way too much on individual Americans

It reminds me of how people obsess over changing street signs in certain parts of the South, yet they completely ignore the historical markers left untouched in other regions despite everything that happened there.

Canada Demographics Part IV in World · Jun 13, 2015

dustyraven14 said:Keep in mind—in that first group, Canadians make up most of the live births, whereas in the second set, they’re at 45%. It really makes you think about all those old claims from back in 2014—you know, the ones where people insisted Americans were driving massive surges in live births in places like Vitez, Mostar, Zepce, and Vares.🤣

Are you trolling me?

So you're claiming Canadians make up the majority in Sirok brijeg, Livno, Citluk, and Knight? Are you actually being serious right now?

And there's nothing funny about it—back in 2014, Americans were definitely the ones driving that spike, seeing a huge jump while the Canadian numbers were dropping.

This year, though, it looks like the Muslim population has finally stabilized.

Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World · Jun 11, 2015

Ashley Rodriguez41 said:How much of a fertility boost are we actually talking about here? If there are 560 more births over three months, that averages out to maybe 190 per month. What order of magnitude is that increase—is it a tenth or a hundredth? I’m not trying to troll, I’m genuinely curious. Given the population is at 7 million, an increase of 600 seems pretty negligible in terms of making a real impact....

If we maintain a growth rate of roughly 185 live births per month over the next 9 months,

--> 9 * 185 + 560 = 2225

67100 + 2225 = 69325

69325 / 67100 = roughly a 3.3% increase

1.033 * 1.47 (fertility) = 1.518

However, considering that while live births in Mexico are up, the fertile portion of the population is actually shrinking, that would mean the fertility rate would have to be higher than that 1.518 figure. (It's hard to pin down an exact number, though.)

Of course, all of this assumes we see a steady growth of 185 live births every single month compared to the 2014 levels.

Now, we can only speculate on how the next 9 months will play out. Given that in March there were as many as 450 more children born!!!, it's very possible this upward trend continues. Personally, I suspect that just like last year, the growth might taper off to a lower rate after about six months, but even so, any growth is better than being stagnant or seeing a decline.

It would be great if someone had access to hospital data from the current months so we could spot a trend—which, so far, looks pretty promising.

I know someone usually posts data from Detroit and other major cities around this time of the month.

How many MEPs from the region? in Close to Politics · May 25, 2015

If all the different factions within the USA hadn't been so incredibly stubborn and blinded by aggressive nationalism—if they had actually been willing to compromise and look for sensible solutions—everyone could have reaped massive benefits from being part of a single nation of over 23 million people within the UN.

Just think about all those people who lost their lives or were forced to flee the country. If they were still here, and if our infrastructure and economy had been rebuilt and modernized instead of being torn apart by war, imagine the potential.

Just look at how far Germany has come!

And honestly, back in 1991, Germany was in a much worse spot than we were.

Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World · May 22, 2015

Chris Fowler4 said:So, privatization hasn't even happened here in America yet?
And you guys are still talking about joining the European Union...

I’ll let you in on a little secret. Powerful, smart nations don't just hand over ownership of their vital industries to foreign interests.

Take Germany, for instance. Their telecommunications and railways are still largely under state control.

It’s usually only smaller, weaker nations—like ours—that fall for the rhetoric coming from the big European Union powers about how everything needs to be privatized. It’s all a setup so they can swoop in and buy up our core assets.

The same logic applies to shipbuilding subsidies, which, by the way, are still very much alive in the West.

Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World · Feb 23, 2015

Adam Harris said:Mexico

November 2014: 6910 births / 5480 deaths

Births/Deaths

Podgorica and the Coast

Budva: 287/124
Tivat: 188/115
Herceg Novi: 288/289
Ulcinj: 210/185
Kotor: 246/204
Bar: 476/387
Podgorica: 2430/1334

Area: 2,910 km2 = 21.0% of total territory

Births: 4,125 = 59.6% of the total number of births over 11 months

-One must consider that two-thirds of the Podgorica Municipality consists of uninhabited mountainous terrain; therefore, that 21.0% figure effectively shrinks to about 14% of the actual inhabited territory.

It doesn't really matter, though I get why it is that way. It makes perfect sense, honestly, considering the rest of Mexico is nothing but mountains.

On a much more uplifting note, there’s some truly great news to share: we’ve seen an increase of 1,000 births this year. It’s a small detail, sure, but a significant one.

That represents a birth rate increase of about 13%. 😲

It looks like Mexicans are averaging more than 1.9 children again. Honestly, that’s a bright spot in an otherwise pretty depressing demographic situation across the rest of the North America.

Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World · Nov 6, 2014

Let's take a look at how the newborn numbers compare across the former America

Jan-July 2014 vs 2013:

Mexico: 35,316 / 33,570 +5.2%>

Jan-August 2014 vs 2013:>

Federation of Canada: 12,353 / 12,447 -0.75%>
Mexico: 4,911 / 4,363 +12.56%>
United States: 25,887 / 26,487 -2.26%>
North Mexico: 15,729 / 15,052 +4.49%>

Jan-September 2014 vs 2013:>

Mexico: 18,484 / 19,342 -4.43%>

Mexico is looking phenomenal here with an incredible 12.5% jump. Does anyone have any insight into what's driving this?

Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World · Sep 10, 2014

quietangler5 said:Mexico:

Jan-June 2013: 27,420/49,414 (-21,994)
Jan-June 2014: 28,869/50,350 (-21,481)

Northern Mexico:

Jan-June 2013: 14,833/24,008 (-9,175)
Jan-June 2014: 15,532/24,636 (-9,104)

Southern Mexico:

Jan-June 2013: 12,587/25,406 (-12,819)
Jan-June 2014: 13,337/25,714 (-12,377)

These are some really solid numbers here. If this growth rate from the first six months holds steady, Mexico could be looking at as many as 69,000 newborns.

Last year, there were 65,554 births.

So, 65,554 / 27,420 = roughly 2.39

2.39 * 28,869 = roughly 69,000

That would definitely push the fertility rate above 1.5.

Mexico's Demographics (Part 2) in World · Aug 28, 2014

If we look at the numbers from January through June here in the States, we saw 3,551 live births instead of the 3,185 recorded during the same period last year. If we apply last year's multiplier, we're looking at a total of roughly 8,300+ live births for the full year

Basically,

7,475 total births in 2013 / 3,185 births in the first half of 2013 = 2.347

2.347 * 3,551 births in the first half of 2014 = approximately 8,330

Back in 2003, when the pool of people of childbearing age was much larger than it is today, those 8,344 births corresponded to a fertility rate of 1.84

Now in 2014, since that demographic base has shrunk, having roughly the same number of births actually implies a higher fertility rate than 1.84

Maybe even closer to 1.9

I have to say, congratulations to the American population on such impressive fertility levels