Matthew Young35 said:Don't forget, we were essentially under a form of quarantine ourselves (though, let's be honest, it was mostly just an excuse to relax).
Without those restrictions, that 0.1% or 0.2% could easily have translated into five to ten thousand deaths. And that's assuming the percentage is accurate. Think about it: in just a few months, that would represent nearly half the number of people lost during our last major war.
I think that’s a pretty flawed argument, and I don't mean to be harsh. In the US, we actually see more deaths every single year than the total number of casualties from the war. Comparing the two just doesn't seem to make sense, neither in terms of the numbers nor the context. Plus, the demographics are so different—it feels a bit off to compare young adults lost to violence with elderly people reaching their nineties.
I guess all this hysteria started because the initial infection and death counts were incredibly naive and inaccurate. It led people to believe the mortality rate was somewhere between 10% and 20%, which might actually be off by two orders of magnitude—like, a hundred times higher. I think the problem is that the WHO, national task forces, and a public hungry for instant answers assumed we could track health data and diagnoses for 7.5 billion people in real time. From day one, those dates and numbers have been pretty much useless. I know that might frustrate or scare some people, but I don't think science or technology can truly pinpoint how many people carry the virus, when they caught it, or how the spread will evolve. What we’ve seen is just the tip of the iceberg. Maybe the reason why places like Italy or other large countries saw higher death tolls is closer to chaos theory than a strict cause-and-effect relationship that quarantine is supposed to break. The virus won't hit everyone the same way because there are endless variables—differences in population movement, age structures, habits, social interactions, climate, genetics, and so on. It's a million different factors. If some guy on TV thinks he can cram the entire world into a single curve or coefficient and then acts surprised when nature doesn't follow his rules, well, that's just an illusion. If we were that easy to wipe out, we wouldn't be here. Life fights to survive in ways that are much more complex than simple math.