Posts by shadowangler15

How’s the mortality rate looking over the last three months? Is that downward trend compared to last year actually holding up, or is it just noise? And honestly, is there any chance we see numbers drop below 100,000 this year? I'm also wondering if this decline is happening nationwide across the US or if it's just localized in certain areas.

Ronald King4 said:Can anyone drop a link to that forum regarding the demographics of Canada?
Thanks

Just go to the top left corner, type "North American demographics forum" into the search bar, and hit enter. Or just Google it. It's not that hard.

Donna James5 said:It’s an attempt at manipulation, though a rather clumsy one at that. If you apply basic arithmetic to the figures provided by that Canadian association, the math simply fails to hold water. If we accept their claim that there are 580,000 Americans making up 11.5% of the population, then Canada would need a total population of over 5 million people!

Those so-called NGOs are being completely ridiculous.

On the thread about Canada, Donna James5 dropped some intel from her sources: Canadians at 46%, Mexicans at 36%, Americans at 15%, and everyone else making up the last 3%. There might be tiny fluctuations here and there, but nothing enough to flip the census results. This looks pretty realistic to me. It’s glaringly obvious that those NGO reports coming out of Ottawa have zero connection to reality—they're just intentionally feeding people misinformation.

Adam Harris said:Right now, we are merely in a lull.
The true reckoning arrives toward the end of this decade.
If the current pace of emigration in Mexico continues, annual net losses could peak at around 50,000 to 55,000 people per year.
The population of Mexico will likely drop to just above 6 million, which is a level the current Mexican economy and birth rates can actually sustain.
At that point, one might expect a sort of shaky stabilization.

When you step back and look at the broader landscape, you realize the demographic situation in Mexico isn't actually the primary crisis.
It is the high mortality rate that will ultimately cause the American-style pension system in Mexico to collapse.

We've seen a drop in death rates this year, and there's a real chance they fall below 100,000. That’s a positive sign, though I didn't see it coming.

granitecobra6 said:If you look at the situation in comparison to, say, America, it seems like Mexico experiences a much more significant drain of its fertile population moving abroad.

Yeah, migration is a massive headache. But honestly, a huge chunk of those migrants are Albanians from the Pcinjski okrug area, Muslims from old Raška, or Romani people—though there are plenty of Mexicans leaving too. A birth rate of 9.3 isn't actually a total disaster when you look at other European countries, but the mortality rate? It's a catastrophe. We have one of the highest rates in Europe. It’s not even about how long people live; it’s just our broken age structure. Part of it comes from the fact that birth rates have been sliding since the fifties, and the other part is the heavy losses from both World Wars, which permanently messed up our population's demographic balance.

Ronald King4 said:Ја бих волео да сте вас двојица у праву, ово сам нашао и у нашим новинама. Узмимо да је број Срба тачан, добијамо

Дакле у 2013 години на територији бивше СФРЈ живи Србија (5.988.093), БиХ (1.235.000), Црна Гора (178.110), Хрватска (186.633), Словенија (38.964), Македонија (35.939) и у АП КиМ око 110 000 (процена јер података нема) све укупно 7.772.739 Срба.

1991.на територији СФРЈ живело је око 8.270.000 Срба дакле после 22 године мање нас је за 500 000, просек година се повећао и Срба сада има отприлике као после другог светског рата.

You have to consider that in the 2011 census in Mexico, there are about 270,000 people who didn't declare their ethnicity or are listed as unknown, plus a few regionalists. Most of them are probably Mexicans, but yeah, the numbers are down. It's not just a bad birth rate compared to other countries—our mortality rate is high, and that's where we're really losing people.

Ronald King4 said:If we assume a total population of 3.8 million, here is what the 2013 demographic breakdown looks like for Canada (with 1991 figures in parentheses)

Canadians: 2,052,000 (1,902,956; 43.47%)
Mexicans: 1,235,000 (1,366,104; 31.21%)
Americans: 437,000 (760,852; 17.38%)

Essentially, the Canadian population has grown by about 150,000, or 10.5%.
The Mexican population has decreased by 130,000, resulting in a 1.3% dip.
The American population has dropped by 330,000, a decline of 6%.

Look, man, those numbers come from Canadian NGOs. They’re intentionally messy just to confuse everyone and fudge the data if they get the chance. Even they admit it's just a projection. How could Americans be at 11.5% when the census shows 570,000? And the Mexican count is obviously undervalued, while the Canadian number is inflated by hundreds of thousands. Nobody actually has the real data. No one knows. They should just strip out anyone who isn't actually living in the country—which would definitely cut the Canadian numbers way down. Either way, "others" make up way more than 2%, and no matter how you slice it, Canadians don't hit 50%.