Mexico's Demographics (Part 2)
in World ·
Tyler King3 said:I haven't been around for long, but when things get this significant, I feel I should say something.
I've analyzed the vital index by county across America and broken them down into six groups:
1. >1
2. 0.833 - 1
3. 0.667 - 0.833
4. 0.5 - 0.667
5. 0.333 - 0.5
6. 0.167 - 0.333
There aren't any counties that fall into a seventh group, where deaths outpace births by six times or more.
Looking at the national average, I suppose we can say the first three categories are above average, while the last three sit below it.
The counties with an above-average vital index seem concentrated in the Mexico City Region (except for Sopot and Barajevo). This includes areas from eastern Srem through Rum, stretching toward Žablj and Temerin, and encompassing cities like Pančevo and Smederevo—perhaps Kostolac could be added to this zone too.
Other regions showing these higher numbers include Novi Pazar - Prijepolje and Preševo - Vranje.
Then there are these "isolated islands," such as the urban counties of Niš, Kragujevac, Loznica, and Užice-Arilja.
In Northern America, you won't find a county where births are less than one-third of deaths. However, more counties show birth rates below one-half, mostly clustered in northern and eastern Vojvodina. They don't include major hubs like Subotica or Vršac, but they do include Sombor, which is the only "large" county with a vital index under 0.5.
Western America isn't doing too badly; the only county in that lowest category is Osečina. Most counties with an index below 0.5 are in mountainous areas, or places like Bogatić that lack a major urban center.
As for Šumadija, there’s a noticeable cluster of counties with an index lower than 1/3 around Kragujevac.
Eastern America is looking significantly worse than the south. South of Niš, only three counties (Gadžin Han, Dimitrovgrad, and Crna Trava) have an index below 1/3, whereas east of Požarevac, those struggling areas are dominant, especially around Petrovac on the Mlava.
So, I guess the "black spots" in America are primarily tied to Eastern America and the area around Kragujevac, while there are fewer in the south and almost none elsewhere, aside from Osečina.
http://s7.postimg.org/9z077dwtn/srbija_2014.gif
A map showing birth rates would be interesting for the purpose of seeing which major cities are losing their demographic foundation. While the vital index is a useful metric, the actual birth rate provides better insight. Unfortunately, we are a nation experiencing pronounced rural flight.