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Posts by Rachel Palmer21

13 posts shown.

Octopus Paul in Miscellaneous ·
(1/2)^number_of_consecutive_wins

1/2 ^ 6 = 1/64

If we consider a standard octopus—just thinking about how unpredictable they can be!—with a 50% success rate, you would expect it to stumble upon such a streak after roughly 120 attempts on average. It’s quite fascinating when you think about the sheer mathematical patience required for nature to align like that!

Code:
<html>
<head>
<style></style>
<script>
function init(){
var serija = 0;
var br_tries, br_tries_start;

var zbroj_tries = 0;
var zbroj_tries_start = 0;
var cnt = 0;

for(var j = 0 ; j < 1000; ++j)
{
for(var i = 0 ; ; ++i){
var predict = Math.floor(Math.random()*2);
var outcome = Math.floor(Math.random()*2);

if(predict == outcome){
++serija;
if (serija == 6) {
br_tries = i + 1;
br_tries_start = br_tries - 6;
break;
}
}
else serija = 0;
}
++cnt;
zbroj_tries += br_tries;
zbroj_tries_start += br_tries_start;
serija = 0;
}

document.body.innerHTML =
'zbroj_tries prosjek:' + (zbroj_tries / cnt) +
'<br>zbroj_tries_start prosjek:' + (zbroj_tries_start / cnt);
}
</script>
</head>
<body onload="init();"></body>
</html>
Logical fallacies and inconsistencies in Philosophy ·
Patrick Wright2 said:The problem is they get mixed up all the time, and half the time, it's the exact same person doing the mixing.

But they don't actually influence one another at all! It’s much like watching a sports broadcast where half the players are out there playing football while the other half are playing handball on the exact same field. You see, in the area where the football rules apply, you’re watching football, and where the basketball rules take over, you’re watching basketball—they exist in their own separate spheres despite being mentioned in the same breath.

and quite often, it's the very same individual trying to blend them both.

Well, you simply cannot mix those elements within a single premise! Because when you introduce that second part—which is fundamentally logically unsound—it renders the entire argument structurally flawed from the ground up.
The statement doesn't even have to be strictly true or false; it just becomes nonsensical.
Logical fallacies and inconsistencies in Philosophy ·
It seems to me that there are essentially two distinct categories of discourse occurring within this forum: those discussions driven by pure, unadulterated logic, and those fueled by nothing but raw emotion. Personally, I find myself gravitating much more toward the latter.
Now, don't get me wrong; both approaches represent perfectly valid ways for primates—and by extension, humans—to communicate their perspectives.
(However, one must be careful to avoid mixing these two realms together—that is to say, one shouldn't attempt to counter logic with logic, nor should they try to meet emotional outbursts with more emotions.)
The Unbearable Lightness of Being Too Nice in Philosophy ·
Sam Green73 said:The other day, someone actually said to me, "You know, sometimes it’s just easier to be honest—it takes way less effort," and I have to admit, it totally threw me for a loop.
I get the logic behind it; telling the truth is definitely simpler because you don't have to spend half your life playing mental gymnastics trying to remember which lie you told to whom.
But is "honesty" really that straightforward?
Is it truly just a simple thing?
Honestly, I don't think so.
To me, being an honest person isn't some innate quality you're just born with; it's more like a skill that you actually have to work at.
Think about little kids—they’ll happily grab a toy from someone else, but they find it incredibly hard to actually share one of their own. Parents have to step in and teach them how to act in a socially acceptable way.

I'm a firm believer that being honest pays off in the long run, but when you look at the short term, is being truthful always the easiest path?

p.s. I almost wrote this whole thing as a post about sincerity, but I realized those aren't quite the same thing.

In this particular context... we really ought to... deconstruct these definitions... speaking... the truth... versus being... honorable.

... an honorable... man... doesn't necessarily... always... have to speak... the absolute truth... and one who speaks... the truth... isn't always... necessarily... honorable; I would... argue... that while being... honorable... might seem... easy..., actually... telling... the truth... can be quite... difficult.
Checkmarks or advice for the diaspora? in Feedback & Suggestions ·
It truly strikes me how many words in the English language can undergo such a radical transformation just by the absence of a single little diacritic mark! It creates these rather perplexing situations where two entirely different meanings collide, leaving one quite adrift and unable to discern which specific term was actually intended within the given context. It’s much like navigating a fog without a compass, really. Therefore, I am firmly of the opinion that in those particular instances, it is absolutely essential to include markers like 'sh' or 'ch' to ensure total clarity and prevent any such linguistic confusion from taking root.
Is it possible to empirically prove free will? in Philosophy ·
Who exactly is Alexander?
The crux of the matter, you see, is that he seems almost fundamentally wired to pursue violence—it’s as if it’s etched into his very DNA, or perhaps more likely, deeply ingrained through his upbringing since day one.
Is it possible to empirically prove free will? in Philosophy ·
There is an overwhelming amount of empirical evidence suggesting that the human organism is essentially programmable, which leads me to believe there is undeniable proof that certain biological configurations simply lack the capacity for free will altogether.
- Nazi Germany,
- suicide terrorists
- brainwashing

Of course, one could always attempt to argue that an individual made a perfectly autonomous choice to surrender their own agency,
but that logic falls apart just as easily as claiming that planet Earth exercised its own independent volition when it decided to embark on its eternal orbit around the sun.
Is it possible to empirically prove free will? in Philosophy ·
Quincy:
druid As the saying goes:
But really, one must pause and wonder—what exactly constitutes this particular methodology? It’s much like when you’re trying to follow a complex recipe from a vintage cookbook only to realize the instructions are missing a crucial step; without a clear definition of the process itself, we are simply wandering through a fog of ambiguity! I am quite eager to understand the specific mechanics at play here.
Have you ever stopped to consider the sheer, breathtaking audacity of the Monte Carlo method? It is truly one of those mathematical marvels that makes you want to stand up and applaud the very concept of randomness! Imagine, if you will, a situation where a problem is so incredibly complex, so layered with variables and unpredictable whims, that traditional, deterministic equations simply buckle under the pressure—much like how a standard sedan might struggle to navigate a sudden, torrential downpour on a winding road through the Rockies. In such moments, we don't just throw our hands up in despair; instead, we embrace the chaos! We turn to the beauty of repeated sampling. It’s quite similar to how a seasoned pollster in Washington, D.C., wouldn't just ask one single person their opinion on a new tax bill and assume they've captured the heartbeat of the nation. No, they gather thousands upon thousands of individual data points, letting the collective weight of these random samples coalesce into a clear, statistically sound picture of reality. We are essentially using the unpredictability of chance to pin down the truth! It is an approach that feels almost poetic in its elegance. By simulating a vast multitude of scenarios—think of it like running ten thousand different versions of a flight path from JFK to Los Angeles, each with slightly different wind speeds or engine efficiencies—we can observe where the results tend to cluster. Eventually, that chaotic cloud of data begins to settle, revealing a predictable pattern amidst the noise. It’s a brilliant way to tame the wild beast of uncertainty, turning what looks like pure luck into a sophisticated tool for precision! Isn't science just wonderful?
Quincy:
Now, one might find themselves pondering the profound question: what exactly constitutes a "programmer," and by what intricate mechanisms does the actual act of programming take place? It is a query that invites us to dive deep into the very fabric of our modern digital existence! To understand the essence of a programmer, one shouldn't merely think of someone hunched over a glowing screen—though, heaven knows, they certainly do that quite often! Instead, imagine them as a sort of high-tech architect or perhaps a master translator. Just as an architect takes a nebulous dream of a skyscraper and translates it into precise blueprints that a construction crew can follow, a programmer takes a complex, abstract human desire—say, the wish to order a pizza with a single tap on a smartphone—and translates that desire into a logical structure that a machine can comprehend. They are the bridge between human intention and silicon reality! As for the "how" of it all, the process is nothing short of a sophisticated dance of logic and syntax. You see, computers are, at their core, remarkably fast but surprisingly literal-minded creatures; they don't "understand" nuance the way we do. Therefore, we utilize programming languages—think of them as highly structured dialects, much like how one might use specialized legal jargon in a New York courtroom or technical specifications when working with NASA engineers. The process typically unfolds in several rhythmic stages. First, there is the conceptualization, where the logic is mapped out. Then comes the writing of the code itself, using those specific languages like Python or C++. Once the instructions are laid down, the real excitement begins: debugging! This is the part of the journey where one must act like a digital detective, hunting down tiny, microscopic errors in logic that are behaving like a misplaced semicolon acting as a pebble in a high-performance jet engine. Through this iterative cycle of writing, testing, and refining, the programmer breathes life into the machine, turning cold electricity into the vibrant, interactive world we navigate every single day! Isn't that just absolutely marvelous?
Evolution! And oh, Josh, you simply must consider applying a Monte Carlo method here! It’s just like how we might try to predict the chaotic fluctuations of the stock market by running thousands of different simulations to see where the trends might actually land; you can't just rely on a single path when the variables are shifting so wildly beneath your feet!
Quincy:
Is this all part of the teachings of Stuart Swerdlow?
Who exactly are we talking about here? I find myself quite curious!
Is it possible to empirically prove free will? in Philosophy ·
I truly believe that human beings don't actually possess free will; rather, our behavior is essentially pre-programmed and then subject to constant, ongoing reprogramming through a sort of Las Vegas method, utilizing continuous input from our surrounding environment.
Psychotropic medication discussion thread in Psychology & Therapy ·
I find myself wondering about the various ways people might go about misusing beta blockers, as they seem to be such versatile little tools in the medical kit.
Cybersecurity - Suggestion for a new subforum in Feedback & Suggestions ·
Personally, I am quite in favor of creating something akin to a specialized sub-forum, perhaps titled "Power Users," specifically dedicated to PDF mastery
Around the World - Basketball in Miscellaneous ·
Alex Cook said:Oh, so you're one of those people who just constantly sucks up to the mods, huh? Look, the guy was simply asking about the rules for this "around the world" game. There’s absolutely no need to play dumb and act like you don't know what he's talking about.

Well, to answer Ronald Baker16, the way I remember it—and mind you, this is how we used to play back in my hometown—you start on the right side (or left, honestly, it doesn't make much difference) of the rocket, specifically at the position closest to the foul line, and then you advance one spot at a time until you reach the free throw line. From there, you move up to the top of the key (that dashed semi-circle sitting just ahead of the free throw line), then hit the free throw itself, and finally take a shot from the three-point line. After that, you essentially reverse the whole process and head back the other way. Once you find yourself right under the hoop, you've got to nail one layup on the right and one on the left. That’s how we handled it where I grew up!🤷

Wait, what about Horok and the three-pointers?

EDIT: Actually, hold on—Horok is part of that other game where someone stands under the basket while you shoot your free throws. And I don't think there are any shots from the three-point line in that version.
thnx.
Around the World - Basketball in Miscellaneous ·
Oh dear, I seem to have momentarily misplaced the rules! Would you be so kind as to refresh my memory?