dustyheron5 said:Quincy:crimsonranger38 The user states: Don't you dare count me out. 😍
Gold took another 2% hit today—another sharp move. 😍
Do you actually grasp the context surrounding this correction? 😍
Every time I step into this thread, I get the distinct feeling that I’ve wandered straight into a cult. 😍 |
As long as deflation remains the dominant theme—metals will continue to slide. There is just one catch—the longer and more brutal this deflationary period lasts, the more massive and devastating the inflation will be when it eventually hits.
I’m noticing that miners are holding their gains even though metals are trading in the red today—which suggests a reversal is imminent.
I fully expect the Federal Reserve and the Federal Reserve System to print another 20 trillion just to stop the entire system from collapsing...
I am genuinely curious to see how this all plays out. 😍Central banks versus the market—it’s the fundamental tug-of-war we're watching right now.
Dan Norcini gives a really fascinating breakdown of what's happening right now in an interview on CNN:
"Hedge funds are battling the Eastern Central Banks which are the physical buyers. The ratio spread trade, where the hedge funds had been buying bullion and shorting the mining shares, it looks like that’s in the process of being reversed. We’ve been seeing a steady improvement in the Gold Mining Index to gold ratio over the last week, where the shares have actually gained ground vs. the bullion. Based on that alone, it tells me the hedge funds had driven the gold shares down to such extreme levels of undervaluation, that there is now a lot of quality buying coming into the gold shares. This has induced hedge funds to begin lifting some of their short side exposure to the shares, and liquidating some of the long side positions in the bullion.
So we are seeing a reversal in that spread trade for the time being. A lot of people don’t understand how highly leveraged these hedge funds are when it comes to their long side equity exposure. As the stock market continues to get pummeled, that leverage is now working against them....
The hedge funds are having to raise cash in an attempt to cover margin calls. So they are trying to liquidate stock holdings and anything else they can to raise cash because they are being squeezed for liquidity to support positions which have moved against them. They are selling paper gold to raise capital because gold is liquid.
Despite the pressure being put on gold in the paper market, it still has not broken down out of the bottom of that range that it’s been in for the last eight months. Gold is near the bottom of that range, but it is seeing some buying down around the $1,530 level again.
This level has been an area where we’ve seen pretty good central bank buying emerge and it looks to me like there is some central bank buying today. It will be interesting to see if it is enough to absorb the selling from the hedge funds if they decide to start pressing even more from the short-side. Hedge funds are battling the Eastern Central Banks which are the physical buyers."