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Posts by Nicholas Patel52

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Best offshore sportsbooks for online betting? in Betting Forum ·
Here’s a breakdown of the various offshore sportsbooks out there and how they actually stack up against each other.

http://sportsbettingsites.org/sportsbook-ratings/

Most of them—just click the names in the left column—have full, deep-dive reviews if you need them. They also break things down by specific sports, like the NBA or tennis, and let you know which states they're blocked in and how reliable they are when it comes to payouts (the top half of the list is generally more trustworthy). You can even check the house margins in the ratings too.

Now, I’d love for someone else to weigh in and confirm if this list is actually legit.
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
Cristiano Ronaldo(idg+u)-CrA-Real (16.12. 20:30) 2+daje 1,40 (0:4 + ne daje)

Even at this low odd, I still think there’s value here—it really should be closer to 1.20. The odds on Real Madrid are sitting at 1.10, but look, they just played an Australian side that went through extra time. And honestly, if you've watched any Australian soccer, you know how far removed it is from the pace of European football—even though they've got an American player on the pitch for them. They’re probably going to deal with some serious fatigue too, considering they just grinded out 120 minutes of play three days ago. Now, they’re stepping up against Real Madrid, and they’re about to hit a level of intensity they’ve likely never experienced in their lives. Plus, Cristiano Ronaldo is hunting every single record under the sun right now—he's in the best shape of his life—so you can bet he won't miss a chance to snatch another trophy or pad his stats at the Club World Cup. I’m expecting 4 or 5 goals from Real Madrid, with at least two coming from Cristiano.
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
Red Bull Salzburg F2 1.65 + Alan to score 1.55 @ 2.56 Parlay (5:1 + scorer)

Salzburg needs just two more goals to smash the record for most goals scored in a European League group stage—and they’re only four away from breaking the all-time international group stage record (Champions League + Europa League combined). Plus, let's be real: Alan is absolutely tearing it up, leading the scoring charts both last season and this one. Astra is mathematically out anyway—there's nothing left for them to play for here.
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
Bacca C. to score 2.00 + Sevilla to score 2+ goals at 1.80 = @3.60 (Parlay) (1:0 + BTTS) (DraftKings has it at 2.95)

Honestly, you’re better off taking this line—Sevilla is running a single striker setup, and we're talking about Bacca, a guy who's absolutely heating up and is projected to hammer in about 25 goals this season. Besides, I’m fully expecting River Plate to concede a few; they might even completely fall apart out there, so Bacca is practically guaranteed to bag at least one. This is a legit play, and frankly, the odds are way too generous when you consider Sevilla are the defending champs and absolutely have to walk away with a win tonight.
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
Red Bull Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC - Soriano to score + Over 2.5 goals @ 1.65 (2:2 + over)

Wolfsberger AC is sitting right on Red Bull Salzburg's heels—only 6 points behind them—so Salzburg absolutely needs this win. They actually lost 1-0 on the road against them last time, which was a total fluke considering they outshot them 15 to 2. Then there’s Soriano—the guy has bagged 19 goals in just 17 matches. Sure, he didn't find the net in his last outing, but when you're scoring that frequently, it feels weird to bet against him going two games without one—especially since Salzburg is playing at home. He only played 75 minutes against Celtic, so he isn't exactly gassed, and it's obvious the manager was babying him a bit because they aren't taking Wolfsberger AC seriously enough. To make matters worse for the visitors, they picked up two red cards in their last match—a center-back and a defensive mid—meaning they'll be shorthanded today. That’s going to be a massive problem against an aggressive Salzburg attack.
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
Leverkusen - Monaco 1 @ 1.70 / T.R 1:0 @ 6.50 / Monaco doesn't score @ 2.10 / over 2.5 goals - no @ 1.50 (0-1)

Look, I’m telling you—Monaco is just too subpar to actually play any kind of open, flowing game. Their ONLY shot at survival is to completely wreck the rhythm of the match and turn it into a total slog where there are maybe three shots on goal the entire night, and they somehow sneak one in. Also, let's be real about the group standings: there is a massive difference between finishing first or second here. If Leverkusen settles for second, they are almost guaranteed to get knocked out in the Round of 16—it's basically a death sentence. On the flip side, clinching that top spot against someone like Benfica is a much harder mountain to climb than just taking care of a weak Monaco side at home today. That said, I don't buy the idea that they can park the bus for 90 minutes straight without conceding. Can someone please confirm if that rule regarding 1st vs 2nd place still holds true? I saw > sounding pretty unsure about it in a thread the other day.
Leverkusen absolutely dominated in their first outing away at Monaco, yet they still walked away with a loss. Today, they aren't just the better side and they have the home-field advantage—they're going to be playing with a massive chip on their shoulder because that first loss was a complete robbery.
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
Nobody’s saying anything here, but I’m positive most of you are already messing around with some national teams or doubles at lower stakes. Honestly, there isn't much point in overanalyzing—these friendlies are just friendly—but here is what I'd personally throw some money on:

France vs. Sweden: Over 2.5 goals, or maybe 2 or 7+. I mean, Ibrahimovic probably isn't playing, but why is Sweden always so underrated? It’s not like they’re just one-man shows.

Romania vs. Denmark: Both teams to score. Denmark looks undervalued here; they'll find the net. For the result, I'm thinking a 1:1 draw. Romania is a bit of an underdog, but they aren't exactly a brick wall either, and Denmark is definitely underestimated—they'll score, but it might be tough. Maybe a 2 for Denmark or a 1 for Romania, but my gut says a clean 1:1.

Spain vs. Germany: Over 2.5 goals, or a straight win for Spain. Germany hits the over 2.5 mark about 90% of the time, and since this is a friendly, I think they'll score given their insane depth in the attacking department. Then again, they'll likely field some youngsters—who play in those less critical qualifiers too—so in a friendly setting, they should still produce. That said, Spain looks absolutely fired up to make up for recent failures, so I’m leaning toward a Spanish win. Also, looking at Over 3.5 for Germany.

Austria vs. Brazil: Over 2.5 goals, or a Brazil win. Austria has the home-field advantage, but Brazil under this new leadership is playing way better than that absolute disaster squad we saw at the World Cup.

Poland vs. Switzerland: Both teams to score...

Everything is thrown together now, hopefully something actually hits. 🙂 What else have you guys been playing? Is it maybe better to just sit these days out entirely and not bet at all?
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
Czech Republic vs. Iceland — over 2.5 goals (+2.5) at 2.55 odds. I’m taking the over here. (Current score: 2-1)

The odds on this bet are massive—we’re looking at teams that absolutely tear it up offensively but can't seem to keep a clean sheet to save their lives. The Czech Republic squad has been pure chaos so far, hitting the over 2.5 goals in every single group match they've played. Then you've got Iceland—they've put up eight goals already and haven't conceded a thing, but let's be real, they're playing away from home. They had that wild 3-1 showing against Belgium, which means we're talking over 2.5 goals there too. Honestly? At 2.55, I think the value is definitely there.

Turkey vs. Kazakhstan — betting on the away side at 1.50. / The odds are sitting at 2.40 for a home win—basically a coin flip with a slight edge to the hosts. Honestly? It feels a bit too optimistic for anyone betting on a blowout here. (3-1)

Turkey is way stronger than the scoreboard suggests. They played solid soccer in all three matches, but luck just isn't on their side right now. Today they’re playing at home in front of a crowd that’s notoriously intense—and I mean "standardly rowdy" intense. Honestly, it feels like political unrest is already brewing back in Turkey, and God only knows what kind of chaos will erupt if they slip up today. They're being led by Fatih Terim, a guy who basically threatens to end his players' careers if they don't absolutely demolish the opposition today—not to mention he'll likely be out on his ear if they fail to pull off the win.
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
It's showing up on the live stream over at ESPN. 🙂
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
Olympiakos to win by 1 goal - 1.70? (1-0)

Look, Olympiakos has been an absolute fortress lately—they’ve only lost one home game in their last 40 or so matches, and honestly, that was way back in September 2013 against PSG. They even took down Atletico Madrid at home! Plus, over the last few years, they've been killing it in the Champions League on their own turf—wins against Arsenal, Manchester City, Dortmund... you name it. On the other side, Juventus is in a decent spot given how they looked last season, but let's be real—they'd probably settle for a draw at this point.
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
USA - Czech Republic - X - 4.00 (2-4)

Look, the USA isn't actually that bad—they're tough at home and don't lose nearly as often as people think. Now, the Czech Republic? They scraped by with a 2-goal win against Turkey even though they played like garbage. They basically rode the momentum from an emotional burnout after getting crushed by the Dutch—who were running some weird experimental lineup under Hiddink. And honestly, we've seen this pattern before: all the big powerhouses tend to drop their opening matches after the World Cup. All things considered, this is a solid value play, even if the Czech Republic is clearly the favorite... but I wouldn't touch the draw at 2.50 because the USA just isn't quite bad enough to throw the game entirely. 😁 We could easily see a 0-0 deadlock here.

Latvia-Turkey - 2 - 1.65 (1-1)

Turkey has a way better squad than these two losses suggest—don't let the standings fool you. That loss against the Czech Republic was total robbery, and today they’re going to be playing with a massive chip on their shoulder to grind out a win against Latvia. They have to stay in the hunt for the World Cup because this group is anything but easy.
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
Newcastle vs. Hull City | 1 @ 2.20 (2-2)

So, Newcastle offloaded two players—Debuchy and Cabaye—for about $41 million, and they turned around and used that exact same cash to bring in five new faces. We’re talking Rivere from Monaco (10 goals), Cabella from Montpellier (14 goals), De Jong from Ajax (who’s bagged 52 goals over the last five seasons), and Janmaat, that defender from Feyenoord who's been playing for his national team. All four of them have been starting every single match so far. Honestly? It just looks like they need a bit more chemistry—once they gel, it's going to be time to start absolutely tearing teams apart. Statistically speaking, they’ve actually outplayed their opponents in almost every game. Even that loss against Southampton? Total fluke. If you look at the numbers, Newcastle was the better side, even being away from home. It was just one of those nights where the ball refused to go in for them while Southampton seemed to score every time they breathed on the net. They didn't look bad in their opener against Man City either, but that second home game against Aston Villa was pure dominance—even if it ended 3-3. They’re sitting at the bottom of the table right now, but let me tell you, they have no business being there. Hull City is a decent squad, sure, but I don't see them walking away with anything from this one.
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
Everton vs. Wolfsburg — taking the Over 2.5 goals at 1.70—and honestly, looking at that 4-1 scoreline, I couldn't have been more right. Total blowout.

Wolfsburg looked absolutely lethal in their last outing—I mean, they racked up 22 shots on goal despite playing away from home. It’s already been pointed out that Everton’s defense is looking pretty soft this season, but when they're at Goodison Park, they play with a different kind of energy. Honestly, I wouldn't call anyone a favorite in this matchup. This is a group stage clash where things could easily get wide open—I'm expecting goals on both sides of the pitch. That said, instead of betting on over 2.5, I’m leaning toward the "both teams to score" angle just to hedge my bets against a blowout like 3-0 or 0-3—though, let's be real, those aren't impossible if someone catches an early red card...

Red Bull Salzburg vs. Celtic—I’m looking at the 2:2 scoreline plus Soriano to find the net at 3.70. That's the play for me.

The machine took a bit of a psychological hit after that loss against Malmö—it’s triggered three straight losses now—but let’s be real: they were clearly the better side in all three matches. There is absolutely zero truth to any talk about Salzburg falling apart or whatever. They’ll be back to blowing teams out 5-0 or 6-0 in no time, and honestly, Soriano is going to be the main reason why. The guy is an absolute beast. On the other hand, you look at Celtic; sure, they brought in some new signings, but that feels like grasping at straws. It’s hard to see them making any massive improvements this season—which is exactly what they need if they want to avoid getting embarrassed like they did against Sparta Prague. They need a total roster overhaul. I'm expecting a dominant, aggressive Salzburg performance here. I'm putting some money down on a 6+ goal total.

Kramarić to score + Rijeka win at +11.2 odds (2:0 scoreline plus he doesn't score) — let’s go.

Everyone keeps whining about how much standards have dropped lately—and honestly, looking at their recent results, they’re not wrong. But let’s get one thing straight: our domestic league isn't some bottom-tier wasteland compared to the Belgian Pro League, and our clubs aren't exactly lightweights either—not by a long shot when you compare them to a big name like Anderlecht. It’s going to be a gritty, intense match, but with the way the coaching staff is running things right now, a win for the home side isn't just possible—it's practically on the table. And that 11.2 line? That’s a total gift.

Napoli vs. Sparta Prague—over 2.5 goals is looking like a lock at 2.35. I’m calling it 3-1.

Wasn't Sparta basically playing in the same tier as teams like New York City FC or similar lately? Honestly, seeing 1.50 odds for Napoli feels way too low—even if they are the favorites. Look, Sparta isn't exactly some high-octane offensive juggernaut, but Napoli is definitely going to play with an attacking mindset—and let’s be real, Sparta has enough quality to snatch one from them, especially since Napoli has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches. The odds feel off. I could wrap my head around those numbers in a knockout stage, but this is the group stage! If we see an early goal, I’d say there's a massive chance we see 6+ goals in this match.
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
@jadesailor/">@@jadesailor

Mitroglou is back on loan at Olympiakos—he won't be heading over to Fulham until June 1st—so you actually have him available right now to bet on him scoring.
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
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Did the sportsbook seriously screw up here?

How on earth is the coefficient higher for Higuaín scoring plus Napoli winning at 9.30, while Higuaín scoring plus Athletic Bilbao winning is only 6.25?🤣

Einstein would say the odds could be higher if we were expecting someone from Napoli—like Higuaín—to score, but simultaneously predicting a massive 5-1 blowout loss for them. But that’s clearly not what’s happening here.☕

They must have swapped the numbers. Honestly, this looks like a massive error and an absolute steal right now. A 1-0 result for Napoli against an Athletic Bilbao side that's been overrated for years isn't even out of the question—this game should be a coin flip. Plus, there's a good chance Higuaín finds the back of the net if Napoli scores at all, and getting nearly 10:1 odds😲 when the straight win is sitting at 3.50 is just insane.👍
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
The player anytime goal odds are sitting at 7.00, while the over 2.50 mark is at 2.50. Same deal for the anytime scorer markets—it’s 2.50 there too.

Honestly, I don't think preseason games mean anything when it comes to predicting the actual season. Even if this ends up being a 1-1 draw, I’m betting Gareth finds the back of the net. 🙂 But let's be real—I'm expecting more goals from Real Madrid...
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
Bale to score at 2.50

Look, Ronaldo just barely made it back to training after being sidelined—and you’ve got guys like Rodriguez, Modric, Benzema, and a few others only just catching up with preseason drills. Bale is the only one who actually looks rested. He’s cruised through the full preseason schedule, already bagged two goals in exhibition matches, and he's playing right there in his hometown. It's a no-brainer.
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
Does any sportsbook besides DraftKings actually offer expanded long-term futures? Like, what about Champions League reach? Specifically, would Red Bull Salzburg make the group stage or hit the quarterfinals? I feel like the odds on that would be killer. And btw, I was mulling this over a few days ago—not just because of that crazy 8-0 blowout—though that certainly helps my case 😬

Looking through the futures over at DraftKings, the only thing remotely interesting is betting on who finishes highest in La Liga, excluding Barcelona and Real Madrid. They’ve got Atletico Madrid at 1.45? Give me a break. In my book, Valencia, Sevilla, Real Sociedad, and Athletic Bilbao are two tiers below them—both in terms of roster depth and coaching pedigree 🤷 and I don't see how any of those teams could possibly crack the top three.

Also, where is the thread for long-term bets? I haven't been able to find it for ages 🤔
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
Honestly, Maglica, Vršajević, and Sušić were absolute standouts out there! And let’s be real—Milić is a way better option on the bench than Jozinović, and even that new guy Vasily, though it looks like he might have picked up an injury. On top of that, we had a rested Kouassi, a bit of Vlašić, and only Milović and Sušić played most of the match.

Also, looking at the betting lines—the marathon odds for the pass dropped from 3.85 down to 2.70, and the SS win odds slid from 1.85 to 1.75 (with the marathon sitting at 1.60). I'm expecting them to keep dropping, regardless of that "super tip" everyone was talking about earlier. Right now, the SS pass is hovering at 3.20.

And don't even get me started on the hype building up in the downtown area—I'm expecting at least 25,000 fans showing up to the stadium this Thursday, especially since the forecast is calling for nothing but warm, sunny weather.
Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion in Betting Forum ·
Yeah, I’m with you—that value on the Over 3.5 is absolutely insane 😲. For an F2 win, though, the only way that happens is if the game ends 5:3, which—let's be real—is a massive long shot 😁. In the States, we see these lines where 3.20 is basically the same as the handicap, and honestly, I don't have a DraftKings account yet (though I'm seriously considering opening one more often). I'm expecting the odds to drop, so I already placed my bet, but I’ll probably add some "Player to Score" bets or maybe a 0:2 handicap on Thursday if the market opens up...

And yeah, another little parlay idea: pairing those 1.85 odds from the Atlanta Braves to bump them up to a clean 2.00 plus a double—we could toss in Red Bull Salzburg at 1.15 😁

Basically, the away team had less time on the ball since they had fewer players, but man, they still dominated—hit the crossbar, missed sitter after sitter, creating a chance every three minutes... and their star striker hasn't even played yet! Meanwhile, Qarabagh is in total shambles after picking up two red cards; their main striker and center back are both suspended now. It literally can't get worse. Not to exaggerate, but I'm expecting five goals in this net, so I'm looking to play a 0:4 handicap if anyone is offering it.