First off, thanks to DraftKings for that 2.25 line. Second, I’m expecting Real to basically be playing El Clasico early today against Barcelona. Not talking about tactics or style, just the fact that their heads are already halfway in that game. Not saying they'll play at 50% or whatever—they'll probably play hard and score—but they're saving the real intensity for their home turf. Then there's Chelsea. They've got questions to answer too, and since they're at home, they better take this chance if they actually want a shot at advancing. They've been looking solid lately, so why not?
Marseille vs Caen - 2 (4.20) -> 6 / 10
Honestly, I don't get why Marseille is even the favorite here. 🤦
Caen is fighting for survival in Ligue 1, while Marseille is stuck in no man's land. They've been absolute trash the last few weeks. That cup final against Lyon doesn't mean anything. Expecting a narrow Caen win.
Alternative - Caen X2 (1.85) -> 9/10
Everything hit except Caen 2 after they took a 0-1 lead.
Lawrence Castillo76 said:My advice? Skip Griffin tonight. Honestly, looking at who they’re playing, defense isn't even in their vocabulary. I'm expecting him to drop at least 5 massive dunks and for the Clippers to clear 100 points, even though I can't remember the last time he actually dropped 20 on the road.
Not sure though.
For the over bettors, Fortuna has the line at 19.5. But whatever. He needs at least 8 or 9 buckets. I haven't dug into his stats against Denver or anything—just going off how he's been playing lately. I know Denver doesn't play much defense. Then again, out of everyone handling the rock, Griffin is usually the one grabbing the most shots... but you've got factors like foul trouble and all that. It's basically a lottery. ☕
First off, thanks to DraftKings for that 2.25 line. Second, I’m expecting Real to basically be playing at Barcelona today. And I don't mean their tactical style—I mean they've already mentally checked out for El Clasico. Not saying they'll play at 50% capacity or whatever, they'll probably still show up and score, but they aren't bringing their A-game until they're back on their own turf. Then there's Chelsea. People are questioning them, sure, but they're playing at home. If they want any shot at advancing, they have to take it now. They've been looking solid lately, so why not take the shot?
Marseille vs Caen - 2 (4.20) -> 6 / 10
Honestly, I have no clue why anyone is making Marseille the favorite here. 🤦
Caen is fighting for survival in Ligue 1, while Marseille is just stuck in the middle of nowhere. Their form over the last few weeks has been total trash. That cup final against Lyon doesn't mean anything. Expecting a slim win for Caen.
They haven't dropped the lines for the Bobcats - Bulls game yet.
Anything 80.5 or higher, just take the under on the Bobcats by default. Though I'm guessing they'll set the line around 75/76. Their spot in the standings says everything you need to know...
Same deal, I think taking the under 87.5 on Cleveland is worth it. It's high time Philly actually won a game. And where better to snap a losing streak than against these pathetic Cavs?
For this one, I'm taking Jamison under 19.5 (Philly defense should keep him around 15 points). Cleveland under 87.5 (expecting them at 82 max, though I doubt they even hit 80). The -8.5 handicap on Philly. Fine, that's my least confident pick out of the three, but at the very least, a win at 1.30 or an ML at 1.55 should land.
Also, it cracks me up seeing Griffin listed at 20.5 again. Same thing happened a few days ago, and the same way they've been placing him for weeks now—he just can't clear this line. Last game he managed 3 free throws 🤣 (3/5), but I still don't trust him. Going with the logic that he'll miss plenty of free throws, and since he doesn't shoot threes, it's a value bet because he also has at least 2-3 guys who love taking shots.
Granger hits 4 threes and he's already at 16 points... 🤣 meanwhile I'm sitting here with my nice little under.
I know now that whenever I bet against him, no matter the context, I'm basically handing money away by default.🙂
But fine, clearly I just love it when he ruins my day.🤦
Same deal with that easy loss on the Indiana under. The Sixers haven't played defense in ages, yet here I am taking that pathetic under on the Pacers.🤦 🤣
Lawrence Castillo76 said:Wow Hornets injury list extensive tonight: Eric Gordon (rest) out; Carl Landry (calf) out; Chris Kaman (not disclosed yet) but not playing So is tonight finally the night the Rockets snap that 17-game drought without a win?
Sweet news for this bet 🤦
I played Henderson under 14.5 and Charlotte under 90.5 perfectly 🤦
Not sure if they break the losing streak. But I think they blow right past that limit. Makes the over look pretty tempting...
Had a good laugh seeing Griffin at 20.5.🤣 I don't trust this guy at all. No way he clears 9 field goals, which means he won't hit 18 points. And expecting him to sink more than two free throws is pure delusion. He’s bottom tier in that department. Plus, he's got a brutal matchup, and there are way too many ball hogs on this roster.
Jamison’s just too erratic. Total DeMar DeRozan vibes. One minute he's fine, the next he decides he's taking every shot on the floor...
blahhhhh 😢
Looks like Philly is handling business against the Raptors without Porzingis. They were up by 13, now they're barely holding a 4 or 5 point lead. Typical.
lonedrifter68 said:Easy single on Montpellier. Pretty sure they cruise through this one.
2.40 😁🙂☕
Everything’s already been said. Nothing new here. PSG, their massive rival from like ten years ago? They "accidentally" let Bordeaux win in the final round just to snatch the title away from Marseille. Word on the street is they’re looking to pull the exact same stunt against them now.🙂 Whatever. Montpellier HSC is miles better than this washed-up squad that’s just straight-up sinking.
I don't know, looks like the final play is on Olympique de Marseille, but they aren't scoring at 2.50. 😢 Watched them a few times lately. Not exactly news that besides Mathieu Valbuen, they have zero creativity. Just a lot of fouls and basically just playing for crosses.
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich - 1 - 2.90 😁🙂☕
The championship factor is going to tip the scales here.☕ It’s not even a question whether the Bayern Munich coach is going to play it safe and field a "B" team here. Of course he won't. But honestly? Their minds are already on that first leg against Real Madrid.
Solid. Exactly what I expected. Only Olympique de Marseille actually surprised me with that goal. Not that those two halves were anything more than just the "core" anyway. ☕
Taking a single shot on Montpellier; they look like a lock to me.
2.40
Everything's already been said. We know the deal. Paris Saint-Germain is their big rival—back in the day, maybe 10 years ago, they "accidentally" let Bordeaux win in the final round just to snatch the title from Marseille right out from under them. Word is, they’re looking to pull the same stunt now.🙂 Either way, Montpellier is miles ahead of this half-collapsed squad that's basically sinking by the day.
Seems like a solid play to me, especially since Marseille isn't scoring at 2.50. Watched them a few times lately. It's nothing new: aside from Mathieu Valbuen, there's zero creativity. Just a bunch of fouls and crossing the ball constantly.
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich - 1 - 2.90
The Champions League factor is going to decide this one.☕ It's not even a question of whether the Bayern coach will rotate or play a "B" team—of course he won't. But honestly, their heads are probably already in that first match against Real Madrid.
Justin Fowler29 said:It's gonna suck. Only 4 in the first quarter.🙂
Only 6 shots on target. That's it. 🙂
Down like 6 buckets in the first half. Smells like a total blowout. Every time I played him under in the past, he predictably went over.🤣🙂
Total bust. Just fell apart like a house of cards.😢😢 Watching him drop 4 buckets in the first 6 minutes just to miss 3 straight shots plus 2 free throws... honestly, it’s nauseating.🙂