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Posts by bluemason3

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Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
hollowdriver13 said:Beyond just radar and sonar, they also use sensors like this:

a Magnetic Anomaly Detector (MAD). Basically, a big chunk of ferromagnetic material, like a submarine, causes a noticeable disturbance in the Earth’s magnetic field. MAD is designed to catch that specific hiccup, making it super effective at hunting down submerged subs.

These are most commonly mounted on anti-submarine helicopters, planes, and nowadays, even drones.

https://navalpost.com/p-8-poseidon-t...marine-hunter/

The Boeing P-8 Poseidon is honestly a pretty sweet piece of kit. Aside from a massive array of sensors meant for hunting subs and surface vessels, it comes fully loaded with weapons—meaning it can carry torpedoes, Harpoon missiles, depth charges, and mines.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magnet...ctor#Operation

If Wikipedia is actually right, all of that seems pretty limited in practice.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Jason Roberts2 said:Look, us regular folks don't have a prayer, but the military-industrial complex has its own dedicated satellites and they basically see everything happening in real time.

How exactly would satellites track that? As far as I know, satellites aren't really built to detect things deep underwater—unless there’s some classified tech out there we haven't heard about yet. Usually, they just monitor surface activity, ports, and stuff like that, then make educated guesses from there.

In the ocean, you're still most likely looking at some kind of acoustic detection.🤔

Plus, most detection methods seem to rely on a submarine actually moving. If a nuclear sub positions itself strategically and just sits silent at depth, what exactly is going to pick it up?🤔
General Chat & Info Board in Martial Arts & Combat Sports ·
Honestly, some things just aren't worth the marketing hype or staying in the UFC for. 😲 🤣
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Daniel Ward87 said:It’s technically possible for them to pull it off. But honestly, I feel like doing that would just sabotage NATO and the European Union itself. That’s why the idea of it being them seems crazy to me. Ever since that whole scandal involving spying on Merkel, it feels like the US is actually pretty careful about how they handle the EU. Unless, of course, this is part of some massive master plan we haven't even dreamed up yet. Still, my money is on the Russians.

The only other option is that they're working in tandem with the Germans. Otherwise, it just looks like shooting oneself in the foot right when NATO has finally consolidated.

On the flip side, sowing chaos and uncertainty in the media is classic Russian tactics.

We’ll all see what we want to see until actual evidence turns up—if it ever does, and many people will ignore it even if it does. Which is, predictably, a common Russian tool... 🙂
General Chat & Info Board in Martial Arts & Combat Sports ·
Isn't this getting a little off-topic? 😳

This is definitely off-topic. 😳

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=clpfBY63CkI
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Chloe Jackson15 said:Isn't that a massive gamble? Not to mention the cost. Honestly, forget the metals and the talk of competition for a second. This isn't really about resources at all. This is a fundamental clash between the liberal West and the radical Russian version of "peace"... and let's be real, there is no peace until the Bolshevik ideology is gone for good.

When you have a state—and even more so when you have the massive wealth of the oligarchs running it—that depends heavily on exporting those resources to the European Union, then the risk becomes both possible and worth taking.

dustyfalcon122 said:Honestly, it's way cheaper to just destabilize the region from the inside.
Like, that's exactly what Americans do. A little bit of "terrorism" here, some trolling on Facebook there, and boom—job done.

That’s exactly what they're doing all the time. If everything looks like it did initially, this whole move was originally just an attempt at regime change in Ukraine.

The problem is that after the post-war US pulled away from the Russian sphere of influence, the attempt at regime change failed. Now Putin finds himself backed into a corner, trying to solve things with his usual escalation tactic. Let's be honest, it's worked for him plenty of times before. But this time, he might have bitten off more than he can chew.

On the flip side, you could argue that Russia already achieved most of its goals regarding resources and blocking NATO through previous moves, like seizing those "republics" and Crimea, so this wasn't strictly necessary.

Then again, you could say the Ukrainian Armed Forces were getting stronger and moving closer to the West, while Russia was dealing with sanctions (plus bad demographics, though that probably applies to both sides). There might have been a window of opportunity for Ukraine to militarily reclaim lost territory, so they wanted to act while the power imbalance was still heavily in their favor. Of course, nobody expected such a massive reaction from the West. In an ideal scenario, Ukraine would have faced political and military collapse in the first few days and ended up with a nationalist government.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
The USA might not be perfect, but compared to any empire in history—including today’s competition from China and, until recently, Russia—it’s thriving.

To all the Russia enthusiasts out there: I suggest finding a new fix. This one looks like it's headed for a long-term shortage.😁

It’s actually pretty fascinating watching these waves of pro-Russia narratives. As soon as things change on the ground, these people almost entirely vanish from the forums, only to resurface in droves once they've tweaked their talking points to fit the new reality.😍

Whether it was when the special operations failed or when the Ukrainians launched their offensive...

Even at the most basic level of propaganda, Russia can't seem to control the narrative. They’re just constantly reacting and playing damage control. There's zero initiative, even in information warfare and hacking, which is supposed to be their specialty.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
coastalbison6 said:Uncle Sam just scraped together another little bit of change for Ukraine; $12 billion
https://twitter.com/antiputler_news/...39623480205314

It's not just Hans, 🧐
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
darkhawk30 said:I guess I’m being way too optimistic here. I actually suggested a scenario where even a devastated Ukraine could hit its targets at the exact same time as us.

Sure, things are a mess right now, but this is such a high-profile conflict that Western aid for reconstruction seems almost certain. Beyond that, the war might actually force a faster pivot away from Russia's sphere of influence and trigger infrastructure reforms that wouldn't have happened otherwise. Plus, they have the natural resources. I’d also venture a guess that if the Russian military organization and political leadership maintain their current momentum, it might actually boost investment confidence once peace finally settles in.

Obviously, nobody has a crystal ball, and we don't know how this ends—luck and sheer coincidence play huge roles. But I don't find it impossible to imagine an accelerated recovery where Ukraine actually sees some economic upside from all this chaos over the medium term, similar to what we saw in post-WWII Europe.

Still, that's just me talking out loud and speculating. We'll see.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
electricstag9 said:https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/...92519122731009
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/sta...88997501046785

It’s absolutely ridiculous how they’re just throwing Dagestanis (and all these other minor groups) into the meat grinder of the Russian military.

Man, if only we could sneak them a hundred AKs. Then Putin would have more than just one front to worry about.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Lisa Jackson7 said:The thing is, that whole process isn't even finished yet, and in Ukraine, it’s barely even started... one of the biggest benchmarks would be hitting that average EU GDP per capita level... so just imagine how long that's gonna take in Ukraine.
Not to mention the state of their civil institutions, the legal system, and all that other stuff.

They'll pass us within 10 to 15 years.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Is liberalism just as much of a disaster now as it was back then?
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
electricsurfer47 said:They started on denuclearization because they were pressured by the US.

So honestly, the Americans should at least deliver some of their own.

Otherwise, word is there were two of them down in sunken Moscow. Maybe pull those out?

A nuclear weapon isn't exactly a shovel.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
It’s basically a mix of tailoring the narrative for the domestic audience while building the legal groundwork to send people to the front lines.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Kimberly Perez82 said:I see quite a few young, hot-headed forum users here—clearly lacking any real-world experience—who think everything can be solved quickly and easily. It’s obvious they don't quite grasp how the world actually functions. During the last nuclear crisis, back during the Cuban Missile Crisis when Soviet ships approached Cuba, the Americans initiated a naval blockade exercise. In that tense moment, it was only the nerves of steel possessed by the responsible officials on the American side that prevented the torpedoing of a Russian frigate that had crossed the line, whether by accident or design. On the flip side, the Russian early warning system misinterpreted those movements as a full-scale nuclear strike from the USA, and a certain Russian official, also possessing incredible composure, decided to defy launch orders to wait and see if it was all just a mistake before triggering a nuclear counterstrike. Fortunately, it turned out to be a false alarm, and the world was saved from nuclear Armageddon. Because of that, you and I are still here today, having the chance to scribble nonsense on this forum.

It feels a bit tragic, honestly, reading these sycophantic statements about needing to march Abrams tanks straight into Times Square and other such idiocies. As if the world were some cartoon. Only through sheer reason and steady nerves on both sides can this be de-escalated, not through bellicose rhetoric. Seriously, I haven't heard a single insightful proposal on how to stop Putin without a nuclear conflict, other than "march the Abrams into Times Square."

Who mentioned a direct attack on Russia or changing its borders? That’s strictly what Putin does.
But any internal uprising by oppressed people within an empire is welcome. We can only hope that losses on the battlefield in Ukraine lead to the regime's internal destabilization.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
rowdyraven112 said:Does Beijing respect the territorial integrity of Tibet? What about Mexico? And don't even get me started on Western Sahara... there's plenty of examples there. ☕

I'd love to know if Israelis have ever claimed to respect everyone's territorial integrity.

Saying something just to gain political leverage is about as meaningful as saying Safet Pašić is dating Vesna Zmijanac. ☕

Tibet was never a UN member with internationally recognized de jure sovereignty in modern times. Between the fall of the last imperial Chinese dynasty and the consolidation of the Communist Party, it had some sort of de facto semi-autonomy while China dealt with internal power struggles and the war with Japan, but the legal status during that era remains murky.
There are arguments that it has always been part of China, and it certainly isn't a UN-recognized state like Ukraine.
(I'm not suggesting I support Chinese imperialist behavior in Tibet or toward other non-Han regions, but legally, it isn't comparable to Ukraine.)

And what about Mexico? China doesn't recognize Mexico.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Lisa Jackson7 said:Fine, but let's hope he doesn't just get swapped out for some "reasonable" or "cooperative" version of Putin for a little while.

As long as they stay within their own borders, I suppose.

It would be nice if there were a simple manual for dealing with authoritarian regimes and forcing them to democratize, but history shows that interventionism is rarely that straightforward. There isn't some magic formula for imposing massive social shifts from the outside.

Everyone wins if Russia democratizes and opens up. We could focus on trade instead of worrying about nuclear weapons. Both Europe and Russia would come out ahead.

But honestly, a North Korean scenario is also an option.

The real issue is the Saudi Arabia scenario—where you allow a dictatorship to achieve economic prosperity. The problem here is that this particular dictatorship possesses massive military power, making it impossible to manipulate its foreign policy the way the US can with various drug or oil-dependent client states.
I'm not entirely convinced there's a foolproof long-term fix for that either. Even Putin didn't just wake up one day and decide to mass troops at the border; that situation has been simmering for a long time.
Plus, there are too many conflicting state and economic interests at play. Policy tends to soften over time as those interests shift.

In my opinion, if we can manage to prevent further Russian nonsense and force them to focus on their own internal crises over the next few decades, we've done our job. As for what happens fifty years from now? Nobody knows.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Kimberly Perez82 said:You hit the nail on the head, and honestly, this whole mess has been brewing for fifty years already. What's the actual fix here? Do we just push all the way to the edge and sit there praying the other side blinks at the very last second?

In my view—and I might be wrong, but I feel strongly about this—the only way out is to de-escalate this terrifying conflict and isolate Russia until their economy hits such a breaking point that they have no choice but to agree to some sort of detente. But the problem is those various Merkels who helped pave the way for them to reach this current state of blackmailing everyone... they are a massive roadblock. I truly hope they choose to ignore them this time around. But look, there are always candidates for that role; you see it with Orbán and the new government in Italy, and even here in our own domestic politics, there are politicians who seem quite fond of a Russia like this. Just think about everything certain people are holding over here in the States—I'm sure it didn't happen without help from local politicians.

The difference today is that we actually have hard data—mathematical models, economic simulations, social experiments, and historical precedents. All of it points to the same thing: giving in to outside pressure is almost always a losing strategy. That’s assuming we ignore the messy variables like the balance of power, old grudges, or existing debts that complicate the math, but the core principle remains the same.

In short, when it comes to fighting for influence, resources, or power, the eye-for-an-eye approach still seems to be the most effective long-term play.

Whether you're looking at schoolyard bullies or massive economic competitions, neither bowing to the bully nor becoming one pays off in the end.

Of course, that doesn't mean it's the perfect move in every single scenario. But since nobody has a crystal ball, it's more logical to pick the tactic that's statistically likely to work.

Even if Putin tried to wipe out Ukraine, the only sensible and proportional response right now is to take down Putin.👍
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Kimberly Perez82 said:It is all very easy for you people to act brave when it involves risking someone else's children. Honestly, it’s quite something how much everyone suddenly cares about the democracy of some distant country—a place most of you couldn't even point to on a map six months ago. I will say it again: this is absolutely not the moment for the hawks who would happily sacrifice foreign kids for the sake of a hollow concept of democracy that doesn't truly exist anywhere. No, what we need right now is common sense, extreme caution, and a genuine push for compromise so we don't all end up facing a global catastrophe. The only logical path forward is to provide Putin with a way to step back without looking like a complete loser.

If accepting forced annexation just opens a Pandora's box of endless wars and makes international norms irrelevant, then being reasonable means ensuring Putin's regime is completely dismantled. We shouldn't hand over a single inch of territory; instead, we should push their economy and military back fifty years.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Lisa Jackson7 said:Two sides of the same coin... why on earth would you think your interests matter to some big boss—whether they're local or from overseas?

Look, they don't necessarily care about me. But if democracy actually means anything, they should at least care about my vote. For me, the most important thing is having a solid system in place. The individual leaders and parties aren't nearly as vital as the framework itself.

When you deal with those alpha-male style authoritarian types, the whole system tends to slide toward corruption and instability.