Chloe Jackson15 said:Isn't that a massive gamble? Not to mention the cost. Honestly, forget the metals and the talk of competition for a second. This isn't really about resources at all. This is a fundamental clash between the liberal West and the radical Russian version of "peace"... and let's be real, there is no peace until the Bolshevik ideology is gone for good.
When you have a state—and even more so when you have the massive wealth of the oligarchs running it—that depends heavily on exporting those resources to the European Union, then the risk becomes both possible and worth taking.
dustyfalcon122 said:Honestly, it's way cheaper to just destabilize the region from the inside.
Like, that's exactly what Americans do. A little bit of "terrorism" here, some trolling on Facebook there, and boom—job done.
That’s exactly what they're doing all the time. If everything looks like it did initially, this whole move was originally just an attempt at regime change in Ukraine.
The problem is that after the post-war US pulled away from the Russian sphere of influence, the attempt at regime change failed. Now Putin finds himself backed into a corner, trying to solve things with his usual escalation tactic. Let's be honest, it's worked for him plenty of times before. But this time, he might have bitten off more than he can chew.
On the flip side, you could argue that Russia already achieved most of its goals regarding resources and blocking NATO through previous moves, like seizing those "republics" and Crimea, so this wasn't strictly necessary.
Then again, you could say the Ukrainian Armed Forces were getting stronger and moving closer to the West, while Russia was dealing with sanctions (plus bad demographics, though that probably applies to both sides). There might have been a window of opportunity for Ukraine to militarily reclaim lost territory, so they wanted to act while the power imbalance was still heavily in their favor. Of course, nobody expected such a massive reaction from the West. In an ideal scenario, Ukraine would have faced political and military collapse in the first few days and ended up with a nationalist government.