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Posts by bluemason3

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Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Matthew Young35 said:Stalin managed to field armies numbering in the tens and millions, and he kept them fed.
Seventy years later, Russia can certainly manage that too.

They couldn't even properly supply what they've already sent out.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Joshua Myers432 said:Vladimir wouldn't, and frankly, neither would Vladimir. 🤣
New leadership needs to step up on both sides to strike some kind of middle ground. Otherwise, it’s just total war until one side is completely wiped out.

That's only true in Russia. Between the reluctance to commit to an offensive war and the state-controlled media, things could shift very quickly there.

Ukraine isn't some medieval autocracy like Russia. Even if you factor in the corruption, swapping out the administration wouldn't change much right now. The public sentiment is pretty much aligned with the current direction, and they aren't exactly looking to roll over for the Russians or make any radical pivots.

This conflict will grind on until someone is forced to surrender militarily. Putin isn't going to step down voluntarily, and in Ukraine, a change in leadership isn't necessary or particularly useful at this stage.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
analogbear5 said:Water is a huge factor too. Just a reminder: 1L weighs roughly 1kg. A soldier in active combat needs way more than 2 liters a day.

Sure, they can try scavenging from natural sources, but good luck dealing with dysentery, cholera, typhoid, and all that fun stuff.

Filtering local water for biological contaminants is actually easy and cheap. Whether it's the lightweight personal filters hikers carry today or larger systems, they aren't expensive because basic membranes handle biological filtration just fine. It's the soluble chemical pollutants that become a real headache. Even chlorine tablets are simple enough to use in the field. There are other options, too, but you'd need a total logistical meltdown before anyone actually ends up drinking contaminated water.

Then again, nothing really surprises me when it comes to Russian logistics.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
hollowdriver13 said:Yeah, right. Like the Ukrainians are the ones using human wave tactics instead of the Russians? No way.🤦

That's why they're charging around Bakhmut straight into heavily fortified Ukrainian positions like total idiots. This "partial" mobilization basically just means they’ve burned through all their manpower in the occupied territories and with Wagner, because the regular Russian army was tapped out a long time ago.

How do you even think that works? Charging head-on into fortified positions like a moron... these geniuses don't seem to realize that the old "you don't have as many bullets as we have people" line doesn't fly anymore. The West HAS enough bullets to wipe them all out in one big pile.

Well, someone has to step up while the West is busy making nuclear threats 😳 🤷 😬
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
darkhawk30 said:That is honestly a disgusting comment.

Nasty or not, it's just one of the actual consequences of war.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
neontinker5 said:He’ll likely sacrifice tens of thousands of capable men in a futile attempt to stifle dissent... after all, women and children aren't seen as much of a threat to his grip on power, are they?

And then there's the economic geniuses 🧐

Top long-term politician moves right there.

At least Russian women and Ukrainian women will be shipped to the West on freight trains.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Bitce, if the generals could organize media logistics half as efficiently as they handle their other operations, we might actually see some clarity. 😛
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
wiredseal7 said:Not yet—that doesn't kick in until December. And I wasn't talking about Canada.

In the years leading up to the war, both Russia and Ukraine were among the top exporters—if not the absolute biggest players.

It's nowhere near those 2021 numbers.

https://wits.worldbank.org/trade/com...product/100110
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
electricsurfer47 said:So, about that Durum wheat coming out of Ukraine... people keep saying it doesn't grow well here in the States. It makes you wonder, though—does the European Union actually need that specific wheat, especially since they’re busy exporting their own stuff anyway?
Durum wheat. It’s one of those things you don't really think about until you're staring at a box of pasta wondering why the texture feels different, right? But there's actually a lot going on under the hood with this grain. It’s hardier than your average wheat, which I guess makes sense—nature doesn't make stuff easy for nothing. It grows well in these semi-arid spots, much like parts of the American West or the Great Plains. It needs that specific kind of environment to really thrive. And honestly, when you look at how it's used, it's almost all about that structural integrity. You can't make high-quality semolina without it. Without the protein content in durum, your pasta would just be a mushy mess. Not exactly the gourmet experience we're looking for. I was reading some stuff earlier about global supply chains—you know, how everything is connected—and it’s wild how much a single crop type can swing the needle on food security. If something happens to the major producers, suddenly everyone is feeling the pinch at the grocery store. It's all very interconnected. Anyway, just a random thought while I was thinking about dinner. Just something interesting to chew on.

Just sitting here, reading through all this... it's something else.
Durum wheat is honestly one of the toughest grains out there to deal with. When people talk about its "hardness," they’re really talking about how the grain resists being milled—specifically when it comes to that starchy endosperm. Because of that, the flour you get from it ends up being pretty weak or "soft." It makes durum amazing for making semolina or pasta, but if you're trying to bake bread, it's a total pain. You have to work way harder with it compared to standard hexaploid wheats, like your typical bread wheat. Even though it packs a huge punch in terms of protein content, don't let that fool you—durum isn't actually a "strong" wheat when it comes to building that gluten network needed to give dough structure. Interestingly enough, durum has about 27% extractable wet gluten, which is only about 3% more than what you'd find in common bread wheat (T. aestivum L.). Just a little bit higher, but it doesn't change the fundamental struggle of working with it.👋I don't really know what to make of this one. It looks like a random string of characters or maybe just some broken link that doesn't lead anywhere. Honestly, it’s kind of hard to wrap my head around what the point even is here. Is it a typo? A glitch? I'm just sitting here staring at it, trying to find some sort of pattern, but nothing is jumping out at me. Just feels a bit lost in the shuffle.


I was just reading up on this, and it looks like Kazakhstan is also a great spot for growing Durum wheat. I've been trying to dig around for some actual numbers, though—I can't seem to find any solid data on exactly how much Durum wheat the European Union produces.

https://www.researchgate.net/figure/...fig3_322856138

Based on this, the biggest exporters are Canada and the EU. Ukraine and Russia don't even seem to be major players, unless things have shifted drastically over the last five or six years.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Sean Watson3 said:The correlation is obvious: the closer Russia gets to defeat, the higher the likelihood they'll resort to either a tactical bomb or a general mobilization.

Which path Putin chooses remains anyone's guess.

A mobilization is the safer bet politically, but it risks turning the public against him, making the whole "special operation" look like a massive blunder.

On the other hand, a tactical strike carries a much higher risk of escalation, even if it offers more cover for Putin—provided he can find a pretext, such as

a) a staged Ukrainian attack using unconventional weapons against the mainland,
b) the annexation of Donetsk and Luhansk, justifying any strikes on those regions as direct attacks on the US.

Or perhaps a combination of both.

I’m honestly not even sure about how the public would react. Nuclear weapons carry a massive stigma, especially in former Cold War nations that spent decades living through "nuclear psychosis." I suspect a country like India would find it much easier to sell that concept to its people than Russia would. In fact, using them might serve as a reality check for their own citizens that could actually turn out to be worse than mobilization. 🤔
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
wiredtiger8 said:Spot on.
Russian nukes could miss their target by twenty or fifty feet, while American tech hits a dime from miles away. 🤦

About a third of the Russian strikes aren't even hitting their marks. On top of that, it takes days to scout and fix those target coordinates—which isn't exactly ideal when you're trying to hit high-priority strategic military targets in real time.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Quote : The Great Duck
Roger Fowler said:Exactly. It’s no accident that people only compromise on certain things just because they happen to be on the same side, isn't it? That's how you successfully keep your head buried in the sand, seeing only what you want to see, much like an ostrich.

I don't see any difference between the destruction of one country or dozens of them over decades, all designed to prevent those nations from ever owning their own resources and escaping direct exploitation through invasion. Maybe to you there's a distinction between yellow and brown shit, but to me, there isn't.

I suggest we dig into what "vote baptism" actually means first. Once we've cleared that up, we can pivot the conversation toward France. I haven't noticed anyone really addressing or justifying their behavior lately, which seems like a gap in the discussion.

The difference between those two messes is about the same as the difference between a constitutional crisis and just rigging a public tender. One is manipulating the system from within; the other is tearing the whole thing down. Legally speaking, they aren't even in the same ballpark. And since Russia was busy tidying up its own little backyard, there wasn't any backlash like this.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Kate Cook27 said:Didn't Saddam Hussein also invade Kuwait using the excuse that it was once part of his territory under the Ottoman Empire😁? And Slobodan Maddox had those big plans for a "Greater Mexico," too. It's similar here—Putin has designs on reclaiming "ancient Russian lands" for Mother Russia. We already know how those two ended, so we can only wait and see how Putin's story unfolds. Plus, there's the massive burden that both the Iraqi and Mexican people still carry today because of their dictators—even after all these years.

No matter how much damage Western powers have caused through their wars, if Putin succeeds, it’s going to trigger more conflict. There are just too many people out there who aren't happy with current borders and feel like something was stolen from them back in the day.

True, but unlike those guys, Russia wouldn't be stopped unless they completely wrecked themselves through corruption and mafia-style management first.😳
So, while this was a very real risk due to a broken system, it looks like there's a decent chance it might be prevented.

Morgan Brown4 said:If I remember right, Saddam Hussein was actually eyeing parts of Iran even before he went after Kuwait.

Then you've got the Chinese invasion of Tibet, Indonesia in New Guinea, and the whole mess with the Vietnamese and the Korean War...

Maddox is a slightly different case because, in a way, he was just trying to hold onto territories that were breaking away from America. It wasn't quite the same as invading established neighbors like Bulgaria, Romania, Canada, or Albania...

I don't think Tibet was ever formally independent or recognized by the UN. There was some sort of quasi-independence between the fall of the empire and the consolidation of communist rule, but historians can't even agree if it counted as part of China during that time.

As for Vietnam and Korea, were there even attempts to redraw external borders there? Most of it seemed to be about installing or toppling regimes. Unless you're referring to earlier struggles for independence? 🤔

To be honest, I have no idea what went down in the Ivory Coast.😳
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Roger Fowler said:It’s hard to find anything more hypocritical than France, which established that aforementioned French Foreign Legion to chase the exact same thrills, recruiting foreigners from every corner of the globe for over a century and a half to fight in Africa, South America, Pacific islands, or wherever else serves their "strategic interests"—all for a measly $1,400 a month, but I suppose we shouldn't let hypocrisy get in the way, since what stays out of sight stays out of mind, right?

Long live votaboutism, comrades!

You can pretty much compare what neo-colonialists pull to what Putin does in Belarus or Syria, just not in Ukraine. We haven't seen a classic war for territory like that since World War II.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
I’m guessing we're looking at some kind of diversion here, maybe just some noise about potential incursions by Ukrainian forces moving away from the Russian front lines.
If an actual attack happened, it would be the same thing but on steroids, likely timed perfectly with a more serious Russian offensive elsewhere.

NATO getting dragged into this? Highly unlikely.

The smartest move would probably be fueling internal unrest and arming local "partisans" in Belarus if necessary, especially since Vladimir Putin's ability to intervene directly to protect his dictators' puppets is pretty limited right now.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
When it comes to Ukraine, I suspect the real bottleneck isn't technical expertise, but the sheer cost. These military programs are incredibly expensive. It’s the same reason why it's highly questionable how many operational nuclear assets Russia actually has left out of those thousands they claim on paper.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Maybe it’s just selective reporting, but I haven't really seen much of the Ukrainian flag in the news lately. Instead, it seems to be all icons of Putin, Draz, and some sort of "holy light" on the other side. 🤣

And here I was thinking Kusturica’s stuff and these portrayals were supposed to be this artistic, psychedelic, ironic take on the region—not some straight documentary. 🤣

Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Nicole James said:If he was ever just a puppet for an oligarch network, it seems he’s finally slipped their leash—because there isn't an oligarch in the country who can answer for a situation like this.

He lost control over the oligarchs from day one. His very first moves were all about trying to rein them in.

Maybe the intelligence agencies are acting as the real players behind the scenes.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
analogbear5 said:General mobilization in Russia boils down to this:

- Any employee drafted has to keep getting paid—which means companies are basically choosing between mass layoffs or just going bankrupt.
- The mobilized troops are missing two huge things: motivation and actual experience.
- Americans who aren't directly feeling the heat from the war right now? They’ll change their tune once they or their families start getting hauled off to the front lines.

Russian TV propaganda is really just a mirror of how the current regime operates. Honestly, I’m pretty sure a large chunk of the Russian public thinks something completely different in private than what they let on under the thumb of the repressive state apparatus.

On top of that, their demographics are a mess. They're losing kids in the war while all the educated people are fleeing across the border.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
coastalbison6 said:I honestly don't see Ukrainians having any trouble with A-10s or F-16s; they could just touch down in Slovakia or Poland whenever they need a quick fix from some mechanics.

That would turn those bases into legitimate military targets and effectively drag NATO into the war. I doubt that’s an option unless NATO decides to jump in directly or Russia forces their hand with an attack.

If I remember correctly, there’s already a massive headache regarding how to get donated MiG jets across the border. Using foreign bases for direct combat operations? Not a chance.