Offside Chat Archives (2014-2021)
in Soccer ·
Jacob Kern2 said:Is this based on some actual mathematical calculation, or is it just being thrown out there without any real substance?
Neither. It’s just my own uneducated estimate.
Look, if the US has a population of roughly 330 million, and we assume the skeptics are wrong about how much the virus actually spreads—meaning a huge chunk of people would have been infected if we hadn't implemented lockdowns—the numbers change quickly.
Even if you take a tiny 0.2 percent of 330 million, you're looking at 660,000 people.
Now, factor in some margin for error. Since that 0.2 percent figure is based on such a small sample size, it wouldn't be a stretch to see death tolls climb significantly higher over a couple of months.
I get why people are skeptical; there are too many "ifs" involved here. But if we're playing that game, shouldn't I be allowed to question that 0.2% figure as well?
