Posts by Kenneth Bailey

Corey Maggette - one sportsbook in Canada set the line at 14.5, but another one has it at 19.5 :/ a 5 point gap is actually huge...

Nicholas Chase34 said:Jennings hit exactly 19 points 🙂

Just can't happen... 😠

Man, this is just brutal. Seriously! He went totally cold in the 3rd, kept missing in the 4th, then suddenly just caught fire. Scored 8 points in like a minute and 34 seconds... 🙄 It's insane. Totally killed my parlay for 205 miles (around $433). I was just waiting on Marc Gasol to stay under 15.5. Now I'm wishing he'd go over just to make things easier. I had Jennings at 17.5. Looks like you got burned by the prop...🙂

Kenneth Bailey said:Monroe G. (Det) (-17,5+) 1 1,85

The Lakers, along with Memphis and Portland, have some of the best center defense in the league—only giving up about 13.1 points per game at that spot: http://www.hoopsstats.com/basketball.../12/10/pts/1-1
Based on the hoopsstats data, the Lakers are actually ahead of Portland, Memphis, Orlando, San Antonio, and New York—teams where Monroe hasn't been able to hit his over. Here’s how Monroe did against them:
Orlando - 10p, Portland - 10p, NY (two games) - 15p and 13p, SA - 4p and Memphis - 14p.
He played the Lakers twice last season—dropped 4 in the first one and 14 in the second. Hoping Bynum and our defense can shut him down and keep him under the line...

Monroe G. - 2 points👍
Easy win!

http://scores.espn.go.com/nba/boxscore?gameId=320306008

Field goals: 1-10.😁

Monroe G. (Det) (-17,5+) 1 1,85

The Lakers, along with Memphis and Portland, are basically killing it at defending the center position right now—only giving up about 13.1 points per game there... http://www.hoopsstats.com/basketball.../12/10/pts/1-1
According to the stats on hoopsstats, the Lakers are actually outperforming Portland, Memphis, Orlando, San Antonio, and New York—all teams where Monroe hasn't quite hit his betting line yet. Here’s how he did against them:
Orlando - 10p, Portland - 10p, NY (two games) - 15p and 13p, SA - 4p, and Memphis - 14p.
He played the Lakers twice last season—dropped 4 in the first one and 14 in the second. Really hoping Bynum and that Lakers defense can shut him down so he stays under the line...

Kenneth Bailey said:BetLive - player points total:
(15.5)PHX - Marcin Gortat 1 1.85

Phoenix is facing Memphis tonight—and they’ve got the best interior defense in the league right now: http://www.hoopsstats.com/basketball.../12/10/pts/1-1
Memphis has played 18 games this season, and only one center has even touched this line against them—Al Jefferson with 20. I had Gortat against Portland yesterday, and since they also play tight in the paint, he cleared it easily with 8 points... wait, actually he hit his mark...

Marcin Gortat - 13p 👍

http://scores.espn.go.com/nba/boxscore?gameId=320128021

BetLive - player points:
(15.5)PHO - Marcin Gortat 1 1.85

Phoenix is facing Memphis tonight—and man, they have the best interior defense in the league right now: http://www.hoopsstats.com/basketball.../12/10/pts/1-1
Memphis has played 18 games this season and only one center has even touched this line against them—Al Jefferson dropped 20. I took Gortat against Portland yesterday, and since they also play tight defense inside, he cleared it easily with 8p...

What kind of margins are you guys seeing on Carmelo Anthony? Over in Canada at Williams they've got him at 25.5, Premier is sitting at 26.5, and the line over at Derby is 27.5—but they set the under at 1.95 :/ I'm debating if I should take that...😁

Miami is just a bunch of clowns!🙂 I’m honestly speechless with this squad. First they shock me against the Warriors, and now this... They actually picked up wins in their last three home games against decent teams like the Bucks, Spurs, Lakers, and Philly—not that I had any money on them then. But losing to a team with a 1-8 road record? Man... I'm totally done with them and their terrible betting odds.

Timberwolves vs Kings(192,5) 2 1,85

The Premier League set the same line today at 192.5. First, the odds dropped to 1.65, then they bumped the spread from 192.5 all the way up to 197.5 during the day. I've never seen them swing the margins this drastically in the Premier League... a 5-point jump is huge. I ended up putting my money on Serena Williams...

Kenneth Bailey said:Going with this matchup:
Golden State - Orlando(185,5) 2 1,85

Golden State - Orlando 109:117👍

Should've had more cushion on this one...

Going with this pair:
Golden State Warriors - Orlando Bloom(185,5) 2 1,85

Thoughts on taking the over for the Golden State vs. Orlando game (185.5)? The odds dropped to 1.50 in the Derby and hit 1.70 in the Premier... Also eyeing the under for Atlanta vs. Charlotte (184.5). Just torn between these two picks...😕

Kenneth Bailey said:Would love to get some thoughts on the Charlotte vs Houston game. I was thinking about taking Houston for the under. This matchup looks pretty interesting to me. It’s not even showing up on ESPN or the US Lottery. The Derby line is set at 95.5, but over at Premier it's 98.5!? That 3-point difference is huge. Seems a bit weird to me...😁 I see SS has the margin at 98.5 too.
Kevin Martin (flu) missed shootaround and is a game-time decision on Tuesday. Courtney Lee won't be playing. Kyle Lowry is back in action. I actually dug through their head-to-head matchups from 2004 all the way to now—Houston hasn't ever cleared this spread on the road during regulation: http://www.betexplorer.com/basketbal...atchid=6865300
Charlotte has played 4 home games this season (against the Heat, Hawks, Bucks, and Magic) and only the Magic managed to score more than 98.5...
Houston has been on the road 5 times and they've stayed under 98.5 every single time...

Charlotte vs Houston 70:82
👍

Lawrence Castillo76 said:Thorton is out tonight against the Chinese team, so I don't see Evans hitting that under... anyone think I'm wrong?... 🙂

He's done playing... wrap it up! 😁 I transcribed that Evans part from you. Thanks!...
Rockets are looking good to me. Just a little bit of drama...🙂

What do you guys think about Charlotte vs Houston? I'm leaning toward the Rockets taking the under. This matchup looks pretty juicy to me. Neither Williams nor the US Lottery have this one listed... In the Derby, the line is at 95.5, but Premier has it at 98.5!? That 3-point gap is huge. Seems kinda weird...😁I noticed SS has the line at 98.5 too.
Kevin Martin (flu) missed shootaround and is a game-time decision on Tuesday. Courtney Lee won't be playing. Kyle Lowry is back in the mix. I was digging through the head-to-head stats for these two teams from 2004 until now—the Rockets have never actually cleared this spread on the road during regulation: http://www.betexplorer.com/basketbal...atchid=6865300
Charlotte has played four home games this season (against the Heat, Hawks, Bucks, and Magic) and only the Magic managed to put up more than 98.5 points.
The Rockets have played five road games and they've stayed under 98.5 every single time.

William Price66 said:Grabbed the Miami-Charlotte over 186.5 and went big on an Atlanta straight up win... 🤷

I got the over too. Found a line at 185.5, while Prime had it at 186.5. They dropped the odds to 1.70 first, then just yanked the game from the board entirely. Once I saw they pulled the bet, I knew it was a lock...