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Posts by casualtiger2

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Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Sources say the EU is looking at banning imports of Russian coal, chemicals, and wood

More new EU sanctions coming.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
That’s all assuming the little monster was actually willing to settle for anything less than the total annihilation of Ukraine.
But he wasn't—not then and certainly not now—regardless of what Zelenskyy, Ukraine, the European Union, NATO, or anyone else might want.
The only thing is, he can't seem to get his hands on the actual execution.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Justin James10 said:The real hallucination here is thinking that sausage makers are filling the Russian budget with billions? Wow, if anything is a delusion, it’s your refusal to face reality.

Germany is essentially the chief benefactor of a mirage; what they've given to Ukraine is mere pocket change, a desperate attempt to wash their dirty conscience because they are actually the primary financiers of Russia. The Russian war machine is running on German money. 🙂 In practical terms, Germany has financed this entire aggression. 🍿

The Germans finally realized they messed up, but you can't just fix structural issues overnight.
The German Defense Minister claims military aid is ramping up, though she's being tight-lipped about specifics to avoid making life easier for Russian spies.
Truth is, they don't even have much hardware ready to go—they're having to order straight from the manufacturers. In my opinion, instead of pouring everything back into their own military, they should be funneling a huge chunk directly into Ukraine (which is what the Swiss should be doing too, rather than buying useless jets for themselves).
Sanctions could definitely be tightened in certain trade sectors—especially tech—by leaning on non-EU countries to back them, using the threat of cutting ties if they don't.
The EU and the USA need to play the "we're the bigger, wealthier, and more secure market" card, especially when dealing with China or India...
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
I honestly think cutting off the gas supply right now would backfire.
1. It wouldn't stop the war—that evil little gnome has enough cash to keep things moving regardless—and those sanctions won't really start hitting the Russian public where it hurts for a few years anyway.
2. The immediate economic fallout—especially for Germany—would just tank their ability to help Ukraine, whether it's military aid, financial support, or helping refugees.
3. Besides, doesn't Ukraine still get a cut from the transit fees?

This war is definitely going to drag on for another year or two.
In the meantime, we need to go full speed ahead on phasing out Russian energy—coal by the end of the year, oil within a year, and gas within two.
We also need to ramp up renewable capacity.
After that, the key is keeping those sanctions in place for at least another 5 to 10 years. That’s how you prevent that evil gnome, or whoever takes his place,
from being able to fund any more military action for a long, long time—plus, we have to insist on war reparations.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Look, decarbonization is fine in theory—the real question is how much we can actually pull off and how fast we can pivot to renewables without breaking everything.
Have you guys seen those massive smog clouds hanging over cities in China? It’s getting wild—wealthy parents are basically taking their kids to shopping malls equipped with special air filtration systems just so they can catch a breath of clean air.
It’s not all about chasing margins and endless production cycles for stuff nobody even needs.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
In about 730 days, Russian energy players won't even be a blip on the West's radar.
At the same time—mark my words—the cracks in Russia's financial, economic, military, and political systems are only going to get wider by the day.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
William Anderson5 said:It looks like someone finally sat Putin down and explained that he can just keep using Euros to buy Rubles to prop up his own exchange rate, just like he’s been doing all along. What an idiot.

If they keep this up, we're looking at a one-to-one ratio between the Ruble and the Dollar. 😬
Arming Ukraine in War in Ukraine ·
I can't help but wonder—if Ukraine actually gets those tanks from the West, how much of an impact would they even make?
Hasn't it already been pretty clear that they’re kind of sluggish and easy targets for the Ukrainians? It feels like the same thing would happen in reverse.
By the time they even reach the front lines, they’d just be sitting ducks for Russian air strikes. Plus, you've got the whole logistical nightmare to deal with—constant supplies of fuel, ammo, and so on.
The Russians have been struggling with their own supply chains lately, but then there's the issue of being exposed to anti-tank weaponry—do the Russians even have much defense against that?
Would these tanks honestly provide any real advantage at this stage?
Arming Ukraine in War in Ukraine ·
Norway just sent another 2,000 anti-tank weapons over to Ukraine

That’s an additional 2,000 M72s—they already dropped off 2,000 just last month.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
A full rundown of every sanction, updated daily.

Live monitoring of All sanctions against Russia
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Amanda Allen4 said:As the old saying goes, "what doesn't kill us makes us stronger."

Aside from the market volatility, he'll be the death of you.
Arming Ukraine in War in Ukraine ·
Did they actually get any decent anti-aircraft defense set up? And is it even possible to properly secure the western side near Lviv?
How mobile—and how vulnerable—are those systems if something bigger and more serious starts heading toward Kyiv?
Arming Ukraine in War in Ukraine ·
Carl Lee27 said:Another round of aid hitting the table

United Kingdom - 6,000 anti-tank projectiles
Sweden - 5,000 anti-tank projectiles, plus some AT4s
Germany - 2,000 anti-tank projectiles

That’s 13,000 anti-tank rounds—not even counting what they already have in stock.
Why on earth do they need that many when Russia doesn't even have that many tanks left?
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Carl Lee27 said:Honestly, Russians and Chinese people are just incredibly cunning operators; I wouldn't be shocked one bit if this whole thing is just a massive performance staged for the rest of the world, while they’re actually shaking hands under the table and cooperating way more than they’d ever let anyone realize.

In today's digital age, you just can't hide any major movement of goods or people. It's impossible.
Arming Ukraine in War in Ukraine ·
Gerald Chavez7 said:If you take Poland and Ukraine together, you’re looking at roughly 80 million people—add in the Baltic states, and you’ve got about 85 million. Meanwhile, Russia sits at around 145 million. Aside from the nuclear arsenal, that’s pretty much the whole story. Putin actually managed to build himself a regional powerhouse just west of Moscow. A masterclass in 4D chess, really. 🤦

The actual Russian population is closer to 111 million. The real question is how many of those other folks actually have Russia's back.

image
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Timothy Kim9 said:How much can Iran and Venezuela actually help the US and the European Union
regarding extra oil and gas supplies to replace what we lost from Russia?

From what I’m reading, they’ve started warming up to Maduro, and we’re getting pretty close
to a deal with Iran...

I’m mostly wondering about gas; as for oil, it feels like those two could probably cover it.

So, I hear Iranians just hit a US consulate in Iraq—right now, of all times. It feels pretty convenient, doesn't it? Especially when both sides could actually benefit from an oil deal right about now—assuming they can get past that whole nuclear agreement mess, which some unstable fool basically trashed without a backup plan.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Paul Anderson7 said:Every day we see a fresh batch of sanctions being rolled out, with everyone predicting Russia’s total collapse and a regressive slide back a century into the dark ages.
Regardless of the noise, I can't help but feel that once this war eventually winds down, those sanctions will lose their teeth too. Maybe not everything will be lifted overnight, but I suspect the West will gradually loosen its grip until Russia becomes an interesting partner and a viable place for investment again. Sure, they'll face massive hurdles because they really bungled this one—they won't ever hold the same leverage they had before the invasion—but it won't be quite as catastrophic as people suggest.
Unless this spirals into WW3 or some kind of nuclear exchange, I truly believe things will eventually settle into a new equilibrium, mostly because that's simply what works for the West. I'm fairly certain we'd see something like Nord Stream 2 getting back up and running; honestly, it just makes sense for everyone involved.

I'm holding out hope that the West might permanently shift its policy toward self-sufficiency and bolstered military cooperation, though I'm not holding my breath. On the bright side, Russia likely won't have the military capacity to react to anything globally for the next twenty years, but the downside is that such a vacuum might just trigger new conflicts in other volatile regions.

I'm curious to hear your thoughts: if the war stopped right this second and a deal was struck—say, letting Russia keep Crimea and keeping Ukraine out of NATO—what are the odds the West actually maintains these sanctions? How much longer would they hold out, and would we actually stick with more expensive suppliers, or would we quietly pivot back to the cheaper energy options from Russia?

Those sanctions aren't going anywhere for at least 3 to 5 years—maybe even a decade.
It’s possible the gas starts flowing again, but prices will stay higher, and any savings would likely be funneled directly into paying reparations to Ukraine.
In a perfect world scenario:
1. That evil little gnome and his whole crew are gone.
2. They beg Ukraine for forgiveness and pay out war reparations.
3. Russia eventually integrates back into Europe as a democratic nation—though don't hold your breath, probably won't happen for at least another 10 years.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
FIFA Will Allow Foreign Players in Russia to Break Contracts

It’s pretty funny watching these forum members who signed up ten years ago—barely even posting back then—suddenly popping up out of nowhere just to chime in on threads about Russian aggression.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
JPMorgan Chase Drops US Treasury Bonds from all of its fixed-income indexes
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Putin plunges Russia into technological Stone Age
No tech, no chips from the USA or the EU, and zero domestic manufacturing capability = the bad guy is dragging Russia right back into the prehistoric age.
hollowdriver13 said:The Ruble hits 160+

This drags a ton of other issues along with it—let some economist explain the specifics better than I can—massive inflation, supply shortages...
That 20% interest rate set by the Federal Reserve is already old news...