Posts by gentlestag15

Elizabeth Wells2 said:True.

It would be quite something if NATO made an exception and fast-tracked Ukraine's membership. Then they could simply declare that if Russia doesn't back off within a few days, Article 5 is triggered.

Let's see how Russia reacts to that.

There's zero chance they get in with Canada and Turkey sitting right there.
Those two haven't even greenlit Finland and Sweden yet, let alone bringing Ukraine into the fold.

silvermarlin56 said:I gotta say, it honestly sucks and feels a little weird that they didn't push all the way to liberate Kherson.
It just would've felt right, you know? Plus, it would have given everyone a massive morale boost, no doubt about it.

Look, if you check out what the Ukrainians are reclaiming over in Ohio, you're dealing with rolling hills and plenty of tree cover to hide in.
But Houston? It’s flat as a pancake. There's zero cover. Every single troop movement is visible from 12 miles miles away, and they'll just absolutely shred you with artillery the second you step out from behind a single bush.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy: Ukraine will not hold any negotiations with Russia as long as Putin is the President of the Russian Federation.

Laura Hernandez8 said:Honestly, looking at how things are heading... I don't see any way this doesn't spiral into WW3

The guy is just rambling on about Western colonialists
maybe take a look at the map once in a while, man

You can catch the live stream of the speech regarding the annexation of Ukraine here

Lisa Patel4 said:So, is Russia actually losing this war even though they annexed territory roughly the size of Canada? That’s basically the economic heart of Ukraine we're talking about. Just a reminder: Ukraine lost access to its ports, vital mineral resources, a massive chunk of its fertile farmland, and the entire Sea of Azov.

I'll say it again: this looks like nothing more than a Pyrrhic victory for Russia. If they don't hold everything up to the Kharkiv-Odesa line, it's a loss in my book.

For those who don't know, Stalin annexed the Baltic states after WWII. The West refused to recognize it—just like they didn't recognize the communist government in Poland—but they still cooperated with the Soviet Union whenever it was convenient.

Ultimately, the West will probably do exactly what they did after the annexation of Crimea: they'll talk a big game and criticize publicly, while quietly accepting that the territory belongs to Russia now.

It seems Ukrainians haven't learned much from history. The English threw the Czech Republic to Hitler without a second thought, and Churchill certainly didn't hesitate to hand all of Poland over to Stalin at Yalta.

Russia has lost on every single front—the battlefield, the moral high ground, the economy, and the human cost. If you can't see that, there's honestly nothing I can do to help you.

You’d be better off looking at what’s happening inside Russia right now. They're throwing mothers into military transport trucks just because they dared to show up at a protest, leaving baby strollers abandoned on the sidewalk.
View on twitter
It's a complete collapse of Russian society and the state—a total defeat for common sense.

Timothy Williams5 said:For John and any other potential lambs to the slaughter:

This is easily the most comprehensive guide I've come across on how to dodge mobilization. It lays everything out with absolute clarity, providing a step-by-step breakdown along with the necessary justifications. It’s presented in a way that's actually easy to follow. Retweet this like crazy. We need more Americans to successfully refuse to die and kill for nothing.

https://twitter.com/AlekseiMiniailo/...9hIVlrX6eTj7Bw

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1...tRw-xrB0Y/edit
(Google Docs document)

maybe this beats a manual 😁
a buddy of mine once broke a Russian guy's arm with a baseball bat just so he wouldn't have to enlist
https://twitter.com/TpyxaNews/status...08726814646272

Jessica Peterson2 said:Look at this. They’re deploying 13 or 14 (!) officers just to detain one (!!) protester who was simply holding a solo picket with a sign saying, "Mobilize yourself, you bald idiot."

To reiterate, there are 13 or 14 of them!!!
And I can only assume there are a few more units currently patrolling the streets nearby. 🤦

I dig the poster. 👍
Look, there's like ten protesters gathered out there, but let's be real—Kharkiv is a city of over 570,000 people. This is honestly pretty bad.
If someone started handing out free shots of Jack Daniel's, you'd have thousands of people lining up around the block in seconds.

Jessica Peterson2 said:First off, I’m no longer subject to the draft since I’ve already aged out of that particular obligation.
Secondly, let’s be realistic—the borders aren't closed yet.

I mean, we already saw them pulling in guys who are sixty years old for mobilization.
Don't get ahead of yourself. 😁

Karen Doyle72 said:I don't know about your neck of the woods, but where I live, winter lasts way longer than just two months.

Not sure how you handle things, but usually, you pay for gas monthly rather than having a massive two-month stockpile already sitting there paid for.

Terry Green3 said:It’s the same story for Los Angeles County. While places like San Francisco or Columbus deal with companies going under and people still waiting on gas delivery solutions because SoCalGas hasn't even leased the necessary capacity. I don't understand why there's such a drive to exaggerate everything here, as if anyone posting on this forum who isn't pushing some idealized narrative is somehow undermining Ukrainians in their fight on the front lines. We should be able to have a normal discussion here without all the hyperbole.
Fine, we'll shut down the fertilizer plants, but we'll face the consequences of losing domestic production. There's no point in hiding that.

And really, whose fault is it that they ditched GPZ for a few extra cents of cheaper gas from Exelon or similar outfits, only to end up stuck like this?

wiredtiger8 said:To be perfectly blunt, I couldn't care less about the Russians.

The only equation that actually keeps me up at night is whether all of us here in the European Union get dragged down into the same economic disaster along with them.

Gas is secured across the whole European Union for this winter, so there's really nothing to worry about.

feralstag7 said:I wish I could agree, but full storage tanks don't guarantee security. It might only mean having enough supply for a single month.

We've got 23% of annual consumption sitting in storage right now.
Which basically covers two months of winter—and that's assuming Norwegians, Qataris, Americans, or anyone else doesn't sell a single extra cubic meter to the European Union.

boldotter2 said:I bet they're probably debating who actually blew up that pipeline right now... 🤣

they found the culprit

wiredtiger8 said:Probably wouldn't.
But hey, who actually knows what the future holds? The German economy is basically 70% tethered to Gazprom.

Don't sweat the Germans too much; they'll figure it out. They've got enough gas in storage to coast through this winter.
If you want someone to worry about, look at the Russians. They're sliding straight into total totalitarianism and an absolute economic meltdown.

wiredtiger8 said:A decade?! Are you kidding me?

That "empty" pipeline (talking about both NS1 and NS2 here) could be running within 24 hours if they wanted. All Germany would have to do is ask Putin for the gas. Simple, right?

But nah, heaven forbid anyone asks "if" or "how" Germany might decide to pull the trigger in a few months... now, there's just nothing left to talk about.

The explosion—hitting 2.1 and 1.9 on the Richter scale—absolutely leveled everything "down there." For those who don't have a grasp on how much explosives you need to pull off something like that, let me break it down for you... a 2.0 magnitude hit is roughly equivalent to 1,000kg of TNT.

Isn't it basically just some equipment failure on the pipeline that caused the Russians to cut us off?
Of course it’s just another Russian play. Putin pulled the rug out from under them, not the Germans.
The Germans definitely wouldn't be crawling on their hands and knees like a lapdog after Viktor Orbán, begging Putin for a few extra cubic meters of gas.

Terry Green3 said:In that scenario, I’m playing the hand where the explosives were planted by the FBI during construction. If this operation was carried out by the Russians now, it’s worse than a drone flying over all of Canada and crashing into the capital of a NATO member. It makes you wonder about their defense readiness.

The explosions went down in international waters, which changes the whole vibe. Plus, the pipeline is mostly under Russian control anyway.
What kind of headache is NATO even dealing with there?

darkotter35 said:Look, we've seen top-tier American officials lay it out in black and white—explicit promises about what happens to Nord Stream if Russia decides to invade Ukraine—but honestly? It feels like pure Russian propaganda at this point...🤣

Victoria Nuland: “If Russia invades Ukraine, one way or another, Nord Stream 2 will not move forward.”
https://twitter.com/StateDept/status...stream-1-and-2

Pres. Biden: "If Russia invades...then there will be no longer a Nord Stream 2. We will bring an end to it."

Reporter: "But how will you do that, exactly, since...the project is in Germany's control?"

Biden: "I promise you, we will be able to do that."

https://twitter.com/ABC/status/14907...stream-1-and-2

Most people on this forum are too busy obsessing over who's at fault rather than asking why the TurkStream pipeline didn't just blow up, or those other pipelines running through Poland and Ukraine.😁

Linda Collins3 said:Do you really think Americans would let them pull something like that off without giving the green light?

If they had permission, it means the US wants it done, and it’s actually safer if they just handle the dirty work themselves. They have the resources.
Even if Poland did the job for them, at the end of the day, it's still an American stock action.

The Poles are obsessed with the Russians, and the Russians are just as fixated on them.
Why on earth would the Americans go blowing things up? Doesn't make any sense to me.
It's basically a message from Poland to Russia: we've got Norwegian gas now, so you can take your nonsense elsewhere.
They've definitely branded them an enemy state, and frankly, the Poles are taking that way more seriously than the Americans are. They're used to this kind of thing.

Joshua Myers432 said:Look, you can't just sell off a pipeline or pack it up and move it. It’s a direct line to Russia. There is zero logic in the Russians blowing it up—none at all. Same goes for the Germans; it makes no sense. The only actors that make any sense here are Ukrainians or Americans. Given that Ukrainians likely don't have the capability to pull off sabotage of this scale, that leaves...

Besides, the US rebuilt Germany from the ashes after WWII and jumpstarted their entire industrial sector. If they wanted to tear it down now, they certainly could.🎉

The Poles just opened up a pipeline to Norway yesterday and the Russian one immediately went up in smoke.
I'm putting my money on Poland. 😁

analogbear5 said:I’m honestly betting on the ultimate cosmic joke played on a species that thinks it knows everything—the idea that the pipe actually leaked because of low internal pressure. See, the pressure in Nord Stream 2 plummeted from 105 down to just 7 bars in a tiny window of time two days ago.

Sure, but let’s be real—having two pipes from Nord Stream 1 burst and one from Nord Stream 2 blow out all in a single day? That’s textbook sabotage, not some random pressure drop.

swiftjackal11 said:That doesn't mean much to us in terms of percentages; it's really just about how many days of winter we can actually cover with our gas supplies

If our entire production line goes belly up, the LNG terminal catches fire, and all our neighboring states decide to cut us off, we’d be looking at maybe 20 days of supply—and if Dow Chemical goes offline, we lose another 30 days of winter coverage.
but since that first scenario isn't exactly on the cards, we'll have more than enough to get through the year.😁

Bryan Gray91 said:Wait, America only has 12%!! in gas storage?
If we get more coming in through the pipelines, plus the LNG shipments, plus our own domestic production... can we even realistically hit 70-80% for the year?
If that happens, we're looking at massive gas reductions... just waiting to happen.

America bumped gas production up to 40% of its annual domestic demand
We’ll have plenty of gas, and if things get too tight, they can just shut down the big chemical plants like Dow Chemical, which alone eats up about 20% of the gas used in the US.

Bryan Taylor6 said:What do you mean 12%????

They're saying it's closer to 90%

Sure, they might be at 90%, but right now they're only storing 12% of what America uses in a year.

rowdytiger13 said:Well, there are plenty of theories floating around. That new Baltic gas pipeline is right there. Maybe it was the target all along, and it was definitely the Russians.
It's suspiciously quiet, and the media keeps pushing this theory that the Americans blew it up just to tip off the Germans. Personally, it sounds like a weak theory that smells a bit too much like Russian disinformation.
By the way, Germany isn't sweating it. They've already filled their storage tanks to 90%.

I’ve been watching the gas storage refills, and ever since the Russians turned off the tap
in every European country (including Germany), they’ve kept filling those storages at the exact same pace as before the Nord Stream shutdown. It’s weird.

Gregory Ramos3 said:It’s honestly such a trip whenever I open up a new account and just get hit by a wave of absolute lunatics diving in headfirst 🙏 🙏

Yeah, sure, because Russia is totally going to just swap out the European Union market by leaning on China and India... except those markets already have everything they need, so they'll basically be standing there with open arms, waiting for the chance to ditch their current deals just to buy gas or oil from Russia at the exact same price, if not more 🙏 🙏

Talk about peak conspiracy world vibes

China and India are already pulling oil from the Middle East. If Russia starts trying to dump massive amounts of oil there, the Arab producers will just slash prices to squeeze the competition out. Let's be real, pumping Arab oil is way cheaper than pumping Russian oil. 🍿
And as for replacing gas exports? It’ll take decades to actually build out the pipelines and infrastructure needed in China and India.
That existing Power of Siberia pipeline isn't even in the same league as the pipeline networks used in Europe.