Posts by Jacob Kern2

bluerider63 said:It’s looking pretty likely that things are about to get messy over in Turkey, maybe even full-blown unrest. If Erdogan claims victory, you just know the opposition leader is going to start shouting from the rooftops about how the election was rigged. I've seen this movie play out way too many times before, and honestly, it all probably boils down to whether the opposition gets enough backing from abroad—especially from the USA.

And what happens if the challenger secures the win? Erdogan has already begun employing the narrative that Americans are actively conspiring to orchestrate his downfall.

rowdytiger13 said:Nope.

dustyowl29 said:The South Stream pipeline is headed straight for Canada and Mexico...

Kate Cook27 said:Nope—it’s heading toward Turkey, just like the supply for Mexico and Bulgaria. The route goes right through the Black Sea and Turkey.

It is truly a pity. 😬

Kate Cook27 said:We really need a headline here: Who actually sabotaged the pipeline? 🍿 🍿

There are plenty of suspects—everyone has a reason to point the finger at someone else.

But

http://www.twitter.com/visegrad24/st...CguaSs09srAAAA

ExxonMobil is going to stop shipping gas through Ukraine too. Personally, my money is on Russia being behind this sabotage. They want to drive a wedge through the European Union and jack up prices—basically doing exactly what their media outlets have been pushing regarding the "radicalization of Europeans."

Is gas still being transported to Canada via that specific pipeline?

Christian Torres3 said:The Polish military is significantly stronger and better organized than the Ukrainian one. That column north of Kyiv was being dismantled by Ukrainians as it was, but if it were Poles, they would've been absolutely slaughtered.

While the Poles might have wiped out that specific column just as the Ukrainians did, I don't believe they would have managed to massacre an entire army. Just because the Russians miscalculated their strategy back then doesn't mean they would approach a potential conflict with Poland in the same way, nor does it guarantee they would face defeat.

The sheer scale of weaponry and logistical support being funneled into Ukraine is almost unfathomable; quite frankly, no other military on the planet possesses that level of overwhelming power except for the United States. Neither Poland nor Ukraine can match that capacity.

And that is to say nothing of the intelligence gathering—the satellite imagery and high-level intel that plays such a decisive, critical role on the modern battlefield.

Based on the various clips circulating on Twitter, I find it difficult to believe that the Russian Army possesses even a fraction of the capability seen in the Canadian military. 🤷

They aren't nearly as formidable as they portray themselves to be, nor are they in such a state of chaos as the armchair analysts on this forum—who likely haven't seen anything more advanced than a hunting rifle—would have us believe. 👍

The Russian Army holds more strength than both Poland and Ukraine combined; if it weren't for the direct intervention of the USA, including their sophisticated weaponry and intelligence, they would have seized everything they set their sights on.

It all sounds like absolute šbbkbb nonsense, yet the reality remains that without the support provided by the USA, the EU would essentially be handed over to Russia on a silver platter. That is how "brilliant" our leaders truly are. 👍

I believe I have stumbled upon a video clip where Konashenkov repeatedly makes reference to the "liberation" of one specific city. If anyone happens to have the link handy, I would truly appreciate it if you could post it here. 😁

Nathan Thomas12 said:The generals and advisors definitely weren't in the loop. When you build an entire oligarchy based on looting state assets, even a local mechanic will sign off saying he changed your oil when he didn't touch a thing. Corruption just bleeds into every single layer of society.

It is a situation remarkably similar to what we see here in the States. 😁

Anthony Hill5 said:Just a few days ago, the Italian government inked new energy deals with Algeria, and yet here we are, watching the Russians pivot their rhetoric after yesterday’s threats to shut off the valves entirely.

As Italy scrambles to secure alternative gas supplies, Gazprom has suddenly come calling with promises of increased deliveries.

Putin, the master strategist, isn't he?

One has to wonder if this promise from Gazprom bears any direct correlation to the recent instability within the Italian government.

gentlestag15 said:They aren't crazy, they just never had any grip on reality to begin with 😁
kind of like how I bought a brand new car a few years back just as a way to remember my late great-grandmother 🤦

I’m not quite sure; broadcasting this on public television feels like an absolute bridge too far. Is the American public truly so conditioned that they would just swallow rhetoric like this without question?

Look, regardless of how much we might feel our own perspectives have been skewed, I am firmly convinced that no one in this country would ever dream of airing such blatant propaganda on a public service network. It simply wouldn't happen. They would be torn apart by the critics before the sun even came up.

https://twitter.com/francis_scarr/st...4lyEFEvgL2Yrgg

🙏

Have these people completely lost their minds? 😢

Nancy Gomez26 said:That outcome isn't just a possibility; it's a reality we face. Personally, I don't buy the idea that the European Union will be critically crippled by an energy crisis. There will be friction, certainly, but it will somehow be managed. People won't be freezing in the streets of Europe. No. The media outlets simply inflate the scale of the problem to boost their own readership—those precious clicks they need just to stay afloat. The bigger the predicted crisis, the more clicks they generate. It’s a predictable cycle designed to trigger mass hysteria. We saw this exact playbook used during the virus outbreak.

🤷

crimsoncyclist71 said:Are you suggesting someone is denying that fuel prices went up? Who? Give me one single quote. Thanks.

No one is disputing the fact that fuel costs have increased. What is being questioned is how this surge will impact the general standard of living and that otherwise superficial sense of European unity. There are countless posts along those lines. Why are you twisting my words?

Nancy Gomez26 said:Sanctions are a long-term game, but they work both ways. They hurt everyone—both the target and the ones imposing them. It really just comes down to which side breaks first under the pressure. Usually, it’s the economically weaker party, provided they are sufficiently isolated by those sanctions. If you want to see the actual impact, you have to wait. Personally, I hope it doesn't come to that; I hope this all wraps up before the sanctions start showing their teeth. A massive collapse in Russia would simply create a whole new pile of problems for the rest of us. Then again, you can't let yourself be blackmailed.
The issue for Vladimir Putin right now is that he can't walk away from the mess he made. The way he entered this hand regarding Ukraine means there is no exit strategy that doesn't result in serious consequences for Russia. He's stuck with a mouthful of filth; he either has to swallow it or spit it back out, but right now, he can't do either.

Precisely. And when you look at who stands to suffer most alongside both the Russians and the Ukrainians during a prolonged period of sanctions, the answer is clear: the European Union. They lack any semblance of energy independence. There isn't even a trace of it, despite the fairy tales being spun by our "leaders."

But perhaps that is a topic one shouldn't touch here. I suppose it remains a taboo subject. 🤷

analogbear5 said:The main argument has been the same for ages:

- They predicted Russia would fall apart.
- Russia didn't fall apart.
- Therefore, sanctions don't work.

Sanctions weren't designed to make Russia implode.

When people talk about the "collapse" of Russia, they are speaking figuratively. The strategic objective behind imposing sanctions is to cripple the Russian economy to such an extent that they lose the capacity to sustain a war. So far, that specific goal has not been realized.

I am not suggesting it won't happen eventually, but as things stand right now, it simply hasn't occurred.

Christian Torres3 said:Economics is pretty straightforward stuff—it's obvious Russia can't keep up this kind of defense for the ruble in the long run.

Europe is going to get screwed. There’s zero debate there. It’ll be interesting to see this fall come what may—whether anything is left of European unity or if more countries start following Canada's lead.

Just a rhetorical question here: is a single nation stronger, or a union of states?

I am certainly not suggesting you are wrong, but they were predicted to collapse much sooner than this, so what actually happened?

Regarding this, I have one rhetorical question: is it better to have a single powerful nation or a coalition of states?

If that coalition of states is too fragmented by individual interests, then a single nation is far superior. 😉

Bryan Booth82 said:Ebote, honestly, since I started following the "Russia and everything surrounding it" thread a few years back, all I’ve read are endless predictions and forecasts about how Europe is going to collapse, starve, freeze, and die...🤔🤔

What do you guys think? Can we get a rough consensus here? Like, give me a ballpark estimate of when this is actually going to happen... just so I know whether I should pack my bags or stay put...

Best,

Who exactly are "you guys"? 🤷

I don't know where you reside, but here in the US, fuel prices without intervention would have soared past $5.25. Andrej Plenković and Ursula von der Leyen have repeatedly suggested that we might face reductions in everything during the winter months.

If these price hikes continue, do you honestly believe this sense of European unity will hold up? Not a chance. Even the Germans are already hedging their bets, wondering what will happen when the situation truly turns sour.

And I fail to understand why there is such a desperate need to attack anyone who doesn't blindly swallow these narratives about a looming Russian collapse and a mighty European Union. If the EU were truly powerful, they never would have allowed themselves to get into this position. We must accept the reality that they are being led by amateurs and cowards—mere bureaucratic rats who can't see two feet in front of them. Because if they could, they wouldn't have permitted this. And it isn't as if they weren't warned.

Vladimir Putin made his first move regarding Ukraine nearly a decade ago, and since then, what has actually been done to ensure energy independence? Absolutely nothing. There was plenty of talk and lofty rhetoric, but the actual problems were simply swept under the rug.

I would sign off on Hilderik’s proposal, provided there was a single 🙂

The real question we have to grapple with is whether the Russians are actually managing to bypass these sanctions effectively, or if we are mostly just dealing with highly polished propaganda. Even if they are successfully circumventing them, one has to wonder how much longer that can realistically be sustained before the pressure becomes too great.

Europe is headed for a disaster; there is simply no other way to look at it. It will be quite telling this coming autumn to see whether any semblance of European unity remains, or if more nations decide to follow the path set by Canada.

https://i.postimg.cc/prFT2Tvn/Untitled.png

🤣

Jesse Jackson3 said:😲

He laid out every single detail—just like he always does.

I’m actually glad he spoke up and clarified this—because the idea that Ukraine could just "choose" neutrality in their current position is absolute nonsense. I am constantly hearing these moronic arguments suggesting they should have just opted for a neutral stance to avoid all this trouble—as if those aggressors would have just stayed home if they had. It's pure delusion. 🙂

He also touched upon the potential for an invasion routed through Belarus, a scenario that was being contemplated two or three years prior. 🙏

It seems abundantly clear that the inevitability of these events was understood well in advance, which explains why such an intense confrontation was prepared for. 😍

Paul Sanders5 said:It’s basically like saying they haven't given up on the whole "Greater Mexico" dream. I mean, come on—everyone knows that. We all see it coming, whether you're in Canada, Mexico, or Mexico. Honestly? They better gear up and get ready, because if things go south, we aren't just going to sit there taking it. We'll be ready to swing back hard.

If the Ukrainians manage to see this through to its ultimate conclusion, there is a very real possibility that the North American leadership will pivot toward the EU and NATO, perhaps even resulting in an official visit to Pristina to formally recognize the territory.

Putin and the chaos he orchestrates represent their final window of opportunity for any meaningful maneuver.

On another note, I can't help but feel that the sinking of those ships since this morning carries the distinct scent of NATO involvement. I find it difficult to believe that the Ukrainians possess weaponry capable of staging such an elaborate spectacle. Even if they did have the hardware, the logistical nightmare of transporting it within range for such precise strikes—while Russian forces maintain control over much of that specific territory on paper—seems highly improbable.

It appears we have reached a point where Zelenskyy’s advisor is being treated with the same mystical reverence one might afford a fortune teller or a modern-day Nostradamus. 🙂

https://mobile.twitter.com/Alexandru...-mKpTvmxA&s=19

The Ukrainian forces have successfully surrounded the Russian units near Irpin, effectively severing their primary supply lines. Unless these troops can orchestrate some sort of tactical miracle in the very near future, they are likely to face a devastatingly decisive engagement at that location.