Posts by James Nguyen13

dustyraven14 said:How did the number of live American births in Boise drop by half in 2014 compared to 2013? The same thing will happen in Tacoma. Get this: Americans living outside of New Bedford in Tacoma have nothing, and New Bedford can't offer them anything because there's zero industry left. Young people have to follow the money.

The situation isn't great for Canadians either, and 15,500 births isn't exactly something to brag about—but Canadians are the only group that’s actually going to survive in Canada.

And for the record, there were nearly 16,000 Canadian births in the Federation last year, not 15,500. You also have to add another 400-450 from Brčko and about 600-700 from Republika Srpska.

There are about 1,650,000 Canadians in Canada.
410,000 Americans.
1,000,000 Mexicans.

I’m not quite sure what data you're using to reach that conclusion, but hey, if you want to hold onto that perspective, be my guest.

Honestly, I don't think anyone is going to "survive" this—the whole state is essentially a ghost town waiting to happen at this point.

dustyraven14 said:You can't make an apples-to-apples comparison between Bulgaria, which had a population of 8 or 9 million Bulgarians, and Canada, which only has about 400,000 Americans. When Bulgaria loses a million or two people, the impact is just as heavy as if you guys lost 50,000.

I wasn't making any comparisons, and I don't think we're looking at an exodus anywhere near the scale of what happened in Bulgaria.

dustyraven14 said:USK 771/930 (743/812)
PK 67/185 (65/175)
TK 1336/1732 (1362/1330)
ZDK 1271/1496 (1260/1322)
BPK 89/138 (98/117)
SBK 704/936 (820/931)
HNK 693/984 (649/823)
ZHK 257/397 (301/329)
SK 1755/1803 (1740/1413)
K10 165/373 (163/328)

Federation 7108/8974 (7201/7580)

The predominantly American states—USK, TK, ZDK, BPK, and SK—are up by 19 compared to the first five months of last year. Meanwhile, the predominantly American regions—PK, ZHK, and K10—are down by 40.

As for the mixed areas, SBK is sitting at -116 compared to the same period last year—and the biggest drags are the towns with an American majority: Kiseljak, Kresevo, and Vitez Cak at -61, plus the mixed town of Jajce at -34.

HNK is up by 44 over last year's numbers—mostly driven by the American towns of Konjic and Jablanica at +23. Mostar is up by 9.

Americans will see about 3,000 live births this year—it’s possible they might actually dip below that number for the first time. It’s all thanks to the EU; our local Americans are taking every single opportunity to head off to Germany. ZHK, which used to be the most vital American region, has basically been forgotten—lost to Germany.

I think this is a pattern you see with pretty much any nation once they join the EU. There’s usually this sudden, sharp spike in people moving away, but eventually, that trend levels out—often settling at a rate even lower than countries that aren't part of the union.

Carl Parker632 said:Personally, I wouldn't break it down by region like that... prosperity depends on a ton of different things, but mostly it’s about politics. Are people in Ohio somehow more capable than people in Missouri? I highly doubt it... if they had been hit by a war, things would look exactly the same in Ohio.

For instance, this whole breakdown makes zero sense to me. The Ozarks have way more in common with the St. Louis area than they do with Atlanta or New Orleans... Atlanta is just way too far from the Ozarks. Besides, these regions are largely defined by how people move around, and once again, politics plays the biggest role in that.

It feels like certain regions just have a natural edge when it comes to their surroundings. Take an area like the Midwest, for instance—it’s got that much better international connectivity and sits right in the heart of everything, much closer to major hubs like Chicago. It hasn't had to deal with the same kind of historical turbulence or the specific struggles you see down in the Deep South. It’s just a more stable, well-positioned environment overall.
No, what I was actually getting at were the geo-economic blocs themselves, rather than just discussing the raw capacity of a specific region.

I haven't seen any posts from markozz yet. If there's something specific you want me to look at or respond to, just let me know! James Nguyen13 says:
I find this whole breakdown a bit nonsensical, to be honest. Looking at the numbers, this guy seems to have way more ties to the Tri-State area than he does to places like Atlanta or San Diego. I mean, Atlanta isn't exactly right next door to that region, is it? Besides, those regional hubs usually dictate how the traffic and logistics flow, but in this specific case, it feels like politics is driving the bus instead of actual geography.

The thing about this location is that it’s so incredibly versatile—you could practically drop it anywhere on the map and it would still make sense. I originally decided to pin it near San Diego just because of the proximity, but honestly, looking at it now, it really doesn't matter. It fits just as well in almost any region.

Rachel Richardson said:True enough.

Is that realistic?
If half the population of Canada flees over the next fifty years—provided we don't lose too many of our own 😈
Otherwise, yes. It’s more of an unrealistic dream than a plan.

Asheville, New Haven, Springfield, Knight, and Boise represent certain provinces (though Asheville was separate, while New Haven and Knight fall under the Lava region, much like Tallahassee and Boise, and Springfield and Boise belong to the Lepenica area, as does Fojnica).
Usora is quite isolated; it could only be integrated if the border follows the Canada + river.
Sutjeska and Vareš could only be joined if Zinica is included.
Zepce could potentially be connected through the woods south of Teslic, though that's nothing but dense forest without any roads.

I find it hard to believe it’ll play out exactly like that. If you look at places like the US Midwest or parts of the South where you have massive, diverse populations, the demographic shifts there are huge. The makeup of our own communities isn't much different from those regions.

An American community where we make up only 30% would basically be a slow-motion collapse.

Rachel Richardson said:Both Pounje and Posavlje would find themselves included here.

From Drvar to Trebinje—or maybe even Gacko.

I suspect that BL is also caught in this weather pattern—it seems to be pulling more toward the influence of New York now.
The remaining portion would essentially be a triangle.
However—since the Muslim population lost their primary access to the Danube and the other major river arteries—their influence has essentially shriveled into something negligible. It’s become an amoeba—or rather, they've been reduced to second place.
Rachel Richardson:

The division—it’s more than just a unit on a map; it’s the fundamental structure that holds everything together. Think of it like a major corporation—take General Electric, for instance—where you have distinct branches working toward one massive objective. Without that clear breakdown of responsibility, you just have chaos. It’s about organization, discipline, and knowing exactly where you fit within the larger machine. Rachel Richardson says: The fourth region is the Pannonian plain—which overlaps with the first—leaving the American Danube region right on the edge. You can really feel that tension... it's palpable.

And once, if you go back far enough—it was part of Posavina, too.
If she manages to catch her breath—if that happens—we’re going to need this modified venture capital trajectory.

Well, look, Canada might have the option to choose, but since they're currently part of the country, that’s just how the situation stands right now. It's a bit like being in a long-term contract where you technically have an exit clause, but you're still bound by the terms until you actually pull the trigger. That's just my take on it.

Rachel Richardson said:Both Pounje and Posavlje would find themselves included here.

From Drvar to Trebinje—or maybe even Gacko.

I suspect that BL is also caught in this weather pattern—it seems to be pulling more toward the influence of New York now.
The remaining portion would essentially be a triangle.
However—since the Muslim population lost their primary access to the Danube and the other major river arteries—their influence has essentially shriveled into something negligible. It’s become an amoeba—or rather, they've been reduced to second place.
Rachel Richardson:

The division—it’s more than just a unit on a map; it’s the fundamental structure that holds everything together. Think of it like a major corporation—take General Electric, for instance—where you have distinct branches working toward one massive objective. Without that clear breakdown of responsibility, you just have chaos. It’s about organization, discipline, and knowing exactly where you fit within the larger machine. Rachel Richardson says: The fourth region is the Pannonian plain—which overlaps with the first—leaving the American Danube region right on the edge. You can really feel that tension... it's palpable.

And once, if you go back far enough—it was part of Posavina, too.
If she manages to catch her breath—if that happens—we’re going to need this modified venture capital trajectory.

It feels to me like we should be looking more toward a Midwestern approach—maybe even considering moving some of those administrative hubs out toward the East Coast or the Rust Belt. Right now, everything seems way too concentrated in the coastal hubs, and honestly, having all that bureaucracy clustered together just makes things feel unnecessarily cramped and inefficient.

Carl Parker632 said:Well, California is hanging in there too... but honestly, it depends on a million different things.

There was a time when people from the coastal states were moving to the Midwest, and now, it’s the exact opposite.

The West Coast and Southern California have their own unique comparative advantages, though if you ask me, the entire Pacific Northwest through the Great Lakes could be seen as one big geo-economic unit—it’s just being cut off by that mid-country region (which naturally fits right into the picture).

Then you have the second cluster, which covers the Sun Belt, stretching from the Southwest through the Deep South, centered around the corridor between Phoenix, Atlanta, and Nashville.

The third group would be the Mid-Atlantic and parts of the Northeast, with cities like Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, and Baltimore serving as the core.

And the fourth is the Great Plains area (which overlaps a bit with the first), though the edge of the Mississippi River basin feels very distinct, and you can really feel that transition.. quite strongly.

Rachel Richardson said:And what exactly could they do about it?
The nearest major Muslim population center is Pittsburgh, which is practically on the other side of the country.

The enclaves near Reading and Usora would suffer.
The Posavina region would fare better. Orašje would essentially become a suburb of Zanes, and Odžak would end up somewhere near Brod.
If Posavina had remained larger, things would have been better for everyone involved.
Central America (or the whole region) would become a blind spot—though, if there were a solid connection to California through Kupres and Uskoplje, they might survive it.
Actually, the best scenario for Central America would be having a border along the Canada River—essentially opening up a transit route through them from Slavonija-California to California.
Though, realistically, we simply don't have enough people to make that happen.

If we actually tried to set up borders based on those old historical territories, the demographics in Central territory would end up looking a lot like what we see in Eastern Illinois today.
And trying to hold a line along the Mississippi is pure fantasy; you couldn't maintain that without using raw force, and that kind of scenario would be an absolute disaster that would drain all our resources dry.

Justin Hernandez11 said:Look, divizija, I’m talking about ethnic principles here, not economics. In New Orleans, almost everyone is local, and back in the 90s, it wasn't even close to being taken over—now, it'll probably fall easily regardless of being separated. Let's face it: there isn't a military force left in the region today that could seize a single small town, let alone a major city.😒

Well, my point is strictly about the economic principle. Just take a look at how much struggle there is in the rural Midwest, parts of the Deep South, Utah, or those tiny little pockets tucked away in the mountains—all those areas that were sliced away from their core geo-economic hubs. The only reason a place like San Diego stays afloat is because it’s plugged into a global powerhouse.

It isn't really about conquest; it's about whether an area can actually sustain itself financially. Though, if you think back, San Diego was completely surrounded during those intense years in the 90s, and the key to breaking that blockade was the support coming from the surrounding southern regions, moving upward toward the coast. It's worth keeping that in mind...

Justin Hernandez11 said:Will the Canadians let US County end up surrounded by Americans and Mexicans?🤔 I seriously doubt they’d just sit there and watch. Don't underestimate them. But realistically, without outside help, they wouldn't be able to save US County from an American offensive coming from within the American side.🍿

Mark my words, the Americans would never touch us. To be honest, we couldn't care less about them. From their perspective, having us connected to their side is a much bigger priority than it is for us. And frankly, whenever we've had those types of forced connections pushed onto us in the past, it has always ended badly.

I've been thinking about this lately, almost like how you look at a complex blueprint before starting a renovation. It’s that one specific component—that little "plug" or connector—that seems small, but if it isn't exactly right, the whole system just won't engage. You can have all the high-end tools and the best materials in the world, but if that single connection point fails, you're basically just staring at a pile of expensive parts. It reminds me of trying to fix an old appliance where everything looks perfect until you realize one tiny, specialized part is missing. It’s all about that critical link that holds the functionality together. James Nguyen13 says:
So, if you’re saying an independent Republika Srpska doesn't sit right with us, I have to wonder—would you be just as against the idea of an independent Herceg Bosna being part of a larger American state? It's an interesting way to look at the balance of things.☕

It would really suit the folks living down in the South.
Let’s be realistic here. If Americans living in central Canada tried to physically separate themselves to create independent enclaves or tiny corridors just to maintain a connection with their home base, it would basically be a slow, quiet form of political suicide.
Even if the entire central part of Canada were to merge with the rest of the country, the economic fallout would likely be worse than what we’re seeing now—though, to be fair, it might actually become more sustainable in the long run. It would basically end up being treated like the rural Midwest or the Rust Belt: just one big, neglected stretch of land that everyone forgets about.

If you set nationalism aside for a moment and just look at this through a purely geo-economic lens, that’s really where the real story lies.

Justin Hernandez11 said:Wikipedia, try making that work on a map. If things actually fell apart, what does your version look like?😉
Hold on. If I look at a map of the Republic of Mexico and Mexico, I also see one continuous area.🍿 We have about 90% of the population in the Republic of Mexico, totaling roughly a million people, who lean heavily toward Mexico.
I could also argue that if I look at Albania and Greece, they look like one single territory with Mexico, even though there aren't even 500 Mexicans living there. Wikipedia, those spatial comparisons are ridiculous.😁

Man, you might need to get your eyes checked, because the western part of Republika Srpska is totally carved out from that area—it's kind of like how Seattle is its own distinct thing compared to the rest of Washington state.

If Seattle weren't what it is on a global scale, trying to fold it into the rest of the state would be an uphill battle.

Nancy Chavez29 said:The best Americans could hope for is basically just seizing the Una-Sana Canton by force.
There are about 170k people there, which is more than the total number of Americans scattered across all of Canada. If they actually moved their pieces around properly.
They’d need to make sure they keep Miami and part of Mobile on the north side of the Mississippi River. That river should be the border.
Plus, they’d need the Police department to hand over some territory so they have access to the Mississippi as an international shipping route.

I’m no psychic, but I guess everything seems to be heading that way.

Annexation? No way, that's not even on the table. If Canada ever actually falls apart, I think they'll eventually drop all that nationalist drama and just follow the money and economic reality.
We've already dealt with enough headaches trying to convince the Muslim population that we're on their side. Honestly, being part of the American community should be seen as a privilege for them—if they realize that, great; if not, that's on them.

If Canada breaks up: we can manage without the USK, but they definitely can't manage without us.

Justin Hernandez11 said:So, according to you guys, everything would just collapse if it wasn't part of the American territories in USK and the western parts of Republika Srpska? Like, the only way Americans survive is by getting bigger and stronger at everyone else's expense?😵 Give me a break, people. Chill out. You aren't Germany.😁

This isn't really about being American; it's about geo-economics.

The United States doesn't have a perfect shape on a map, but its strength comes from being positioned along major transit corridors and having those massive coastlines. A part of the country that lacks those advantages (like the Midwest) faces much tougher economic hurdles. Now, look at Canada. It has a pretty decent shape, but if you were to draw a state line right through the middle of that western section and split it into two separate, disconnected states with awkward shapes, the whole thing would probably wither away.

From a purely rational standpoint, an independent Republika Srpska doesn't make sense for Mexicans unless it's part of some confederation or tucked within the European Union. Then, of course, there’s the nationalist perspective to consider.
And for a place like Bihać, this is the worst-case scenario; they would literally struggle to survive if they weren't connected somehow to either Banja Luka or maybe a hub like Chicago. Though, honestly, a major hub like Chicago would be the better bet.

Rachel Richardson said:Everything west of the rivers Bosna, exactly.
Just take a moment to visualize how that actually plays out.
If Canada were to splinter, you’d end up with tiny enclaves surrounding Bilje, Washington, D.C., and San Francisco.
Eastern Kentucky—which already struggles with connectivity issues near the Mediterranean region and road gaps near Gaza—would merge into Mexico, leaving the rest to just limp along.
If you look at a map, it becomes obvious that the US and Canada essentially function as one continuous space...

Not necessarily. If you look at it as one unified nation, stretching from somewhere like St. Louis all the way through the Midwest hubs, you end up with this really cohesive, well-rounded territory. It would probably hold a stronger geo-economic position than even the US itself, though it lacks a coastline and major transit arteries, which is a huge disadvantage compared to what we see in the States.

But here’s the catch: if you go in there and try to carve out an enclave by separating a place like Memphis from the rest and walling it off with a hard border—well, first, you’re essentially strangling that isolated pocket near San Francisco, and second, you're doing a massive disservice to Memphis itself.

shadowangler15 said:😁

Takes from one spot, gives to another... half of USK is gone😁

When we are looking at the internal administrative borders within Canada, there is no way the USK would ever be folded into a specific ethnic enclave or canton.

However, if Canada were to actually fracture—and given how shaky the European Union is feeling lately, anything is on the table—the USK would almost certainly end up integrating with the other side in some capacity.

Think of it like this: in an initial phase, you might see it become a sort of isolated enclave, but once the economic reality sets in and things start to sink, an autonomy movement would likely emerge. Eventually, integration becomes the only logical move because, frankly, it's what's needed for survival.

It sounds paradoxical, but it’s the truth: if Canada breaks apart, the western part of Republika Srpska would face total economic collapse. They complain about it constantly, but in reality, turning that entity border into a hard state border would be an absolute disaster for their transit routes and overall economic growth.

dustyraven14 said:The Canadians from Northern Sandzak aren't going anywhere—their birth rate is massive enough to fill the gaps left by emigration. Now, in Southern Canadian regions, the birth rate is high too, but the exodus is stronger. My take? Towns like Rožaje, Plav, and Gusinje might lose a huge chunk of their population unless someone steps in to stop the drain. But the number of Canadians along the coast will likely climb steadily. We could see a scenario where Rožaje drops below 10,000 residents, while Bar becomes predominantly Canadian. Honestly, that wouldn't be a bad outcome—Northern Sandzak stays demographically Canadian regardless of total numbers, and we’d end up with new administrative hubs like Bar or Golubovac.

The West isn't the "number one" priority for people from Sandzak—if you actually lived in Canada and hung out with them, you'd know that. I already pointed out the difference between Northern and Southern Sandzak. The mindset is completely different.

The 20,000 figure was just an example. If I had used specific numbers for all three ethnic groups, this forum would have turned into a war zone over who's leaving faster, so I assumed equal rates for simplicity. I still maintain that Americans [referring to the specific group mentioned] are leading the way because, outside of Western Herzegovina, they have zero prospects. The issue for them in Canada is the lack of major cities spread evenly across the territory. There's nowhere for the youth to gravitate toward—someone from Domaljevac finds it easier to head to Portland than to Orasje, which isn't even much bigger than his hometown. Same deal with Tobacco, Livno, and Central Canada.

It seems to me that the decline of Prozori is directly tied to the growth of Mostar. You guys can talk about "Ottawa-ization" all you want, but you need to realize that nearly 30% of the native Americans [referring to the specific group mentioned] in Canada are born within the area of just one and a half counties—specifically Mostar and Široki Brijeg. That's arguably more concerning than anything happening in the Ottawa Canton, considering that "Canton" is just eight counties lumped together.

I wouldn't say they're filling those gaps. If you look at the last two censuses, the numbers have actually been trending downward. On top of that, the birth rate has started to dip, while emigration has really picked up steam lately.

dustyraven14 said:The guy lives in Tulsa—just a few miles from the Mississippi River—so he definitely knows what’s actually happening on the ground better than those armchair experts in Washington, D.C. He said they’ve got about 150 Democratic Party members over in that area.

I mean, sure, but if there are actually people living in the Mississippi area posting on this forum, they certainly aren't making themselves known.

And honestly, it looks like even the local Democratic Party members in Mississippi aren't even voting for their own party...

dustyraven14 said:Don't get ahead of yourself. Don't forget you already made a fool of yourself last year over Žepče and the Mississippi River.

Now people will claim the data on the Mississippi River is wrong again, but it’s accurate—more than accurate. Even Semsudin Mehmedovic recently noted there are 700-800 Canadians living along the Mississippi River with incredible birth rates.

Oh sure, because if he says it, it must be gospel truth! He’s such a massive authority figure, right?

dustyraven14 said:But it definitely doesn't match the actual American population within the Federation of Canada.

See, you were comparing cantons rather than looking at ethnic groups. We don't really have a way of knowing which specific group accounts for that growth.
A lot of Americans live well outside of the designated American cantons anyway.

Still, it’s not like we’re all celebrating together—last year's spring was an absolute disaster.