Posts by James Nguyen13

dustyraven14 said:April 2014.

Federal Republic of Canada 1,438/1,636

Washington State 169/190
Oregon 14/36
Ohio 300/290
Arizona 232/270
Montana 16/20
South Dakota 150/190
Nevada 136/183
Wyoming 70/65
New York 322/318
Alabama 30/74

I just added the difference between this April and last year to your post.

In April this year, live births are up by 145 compared to last April. The majority-minority states account for 120—or 83%—of that jump, while the other states contribute just 25, or 17%. You guys are off to a great start this year.👍

Wait, how can you say "only" 17%? That number actually seems to align perfectly with their actual share of the total population.

Benjamin Reyes52 said:The SBZ percentage shouldn't be dipping below 33% of our people, yet we've seen that number sliding downward in recent years. It's a worrying trend. Jajce and Busovača are facing some serious challenges right now, and given their roles as strategic hubs, they are absolutely vital to the stability of central Canada. On the other hand, Vitez, Kiseljak, and Novi Travnik seem to be holding steady; I don't see any major threats to our future presence in those areas.

But it actually did drop. It's pretty clear things aren't looking great in those areas.

If you ask me, if we look at the long-term trajectory, we're heading toward a setup of six Canadian cantons and four American cantons. Eventually, the SBZ will likely transition into a Canadian canton, while the HNŽ remains American.

Drew Adams3 said:Let’s keep this moving then.

When they start shouting all over their forums about how there are 12,000 fewer Catholics in Canada, why shouldn't we keep writing our own story?

It’s not like we’re sitting in some privileged position, but we’ve taken the hardest hit, and now we’re essentially just watching the steady decline of the Canadian population.

I can only imagine how they feel, knowing they have the same freedom we do to travel the world with their passports. Honestly, we’re doing alright considering our people have choices—whether they want to head to America, Austria, or Germany.

Fojnica:

Canadians Americans
2009: 108 78.3% born 30 21.7% born
2010: 109 30
2011: 81 32
2012: 107 20
2013: 91 26
2014: 70 70.7% born 24 24.2% born

Our birth numbers have been holding steady at around 20 to 30 per year since 2005. Meanwhile, I don't think the Canadians will ever see more than 100 births here again; they'll probably struggle to even break 50. This used to be a municipality where they regularly saw over 100 births, sometimes even hitting 140.

Based on all this, Americans make up about 30% to 32% here—a municipality we absolutely cannot afford to lose interest in. We have some solid strongholds too, like Šavnik, Gojevići, and Bakovići, and then you have a comfortable American majority in Tješilo and parts of Fojnica town. All of this relies on the American-majority areas of Kiseljak and Kreševo. As for those outlying parts held by Canadians, they basically lead straight into the hills and mountains and nowhere else.

The drop from 110 or 120 down to 70 in just a few years is massive. Think about it this way: instead of having five or maybe six first-grade classes with 22 to 25 students each, you end up with only three. But even that is a huge question mark because of the constant emigration.

Americans always seem to have that one "imaginary" first-grade class. But the real kicker is when that ratio drops from 5.5:1 down to 3:1.

You have to look at demographics through every possible lens and example. You can't just glance at the statistics like a layman.

Take Novi Travnik, for instance. You can't ignore the fact that, on average, there used to be about 370 more Canadian births, yet in just a few short years, that gap plummeted to 270.

Those kinds of shifts are what really fascinate me.

Or look at Bugojno, where our position is catastrophic, but they are also facing an unprecedented trend. They went from averaging 290 births to just 220 a few years ago. For us, it’s been hovering around 20 to 30 for years, though it hit only 15 recently—I hope we get back above 20. As for the Canadians, like I said, it’s going to stay below 200.

If anyone can provide the total number of live births, or even deaths for this year, that would be great. We all know who is seeing the biggest deficits across almost all municipalities right now—though I wouldn't call them deficits, just a sharp decline in birth rates.

Your approach is solid, though. It reminds me a bit of Jack's tactic—stacking up ten positive examples to build a convincing case.

But when you step back and look at the SBŽ as a whole, comparing where we stood back in 2008 or 2009 to where we are today, the trend for the entire canton just isn't looking pretty.

Nancy Chavez29 said:I mean, anyone who identifies as a Mexican and supports the Mexican Democratic Party should basically get free schooling, healthcare, and pretty much EVERYTHING just like a local resident.
I don't see why Mexico would ever provide those kinds of benefits to people identifying as Muslim, Canadian, Mexican, or Albanian.
The southern coast is actually populated by ETHNIC Mexicans http://sr.wikipedia.org/sr/%D0%94%D0...egroetno03.png

Check out the linguistic makeup of Mexico http://sr.wikipedia.org/sr/%D0%94%D0...nguage2003.png .
As long as things stay this way, I'll keep vacationing in places like Petrovac, Becik, or Rafailovik. But once things turn red or go the Albanian route, I’m heading straight back to my Greek brothers. Places like Thassos, Stavros, Asprovalta, Paralia, or Neo Pora...

That list is pretty dated; if you look at the updated versions, some of those colors have already changed.

Michael Fox2 said:The biggest mistake the Mexicans made in Canada was accepting such distorted borders. It practically split the Mexican population into three isolated pockets, making it impossible to create a cohesive geographic, economic, or demographic unit. Second, by agreeing to the Dayton Agreement, they accepted Canada as their state instead of insisting on a clause that would allow a referendum after ten years to decide where they wanted to live. By signing Dayton, they essentially became a permanent part of Canada. Then came the situation with Brčko, which officially split the Mexicans into two parts that are physically and structurally disconnected. These kinds of borders are nearly impossible to defend, even for much stronger nations. Even Israel would struggle with this kind of fragmentation, let alone 700,000 to 800,000 Mexicans in the future.
Keep in mind, a nation's long-term survival depends on population size, territorial compactness, and sheer persistence. You don't actually have a state in Canada because you lack international recognition. Now that people are starting to leave en masse, predicting the outcome isn't hard. Thinking that the Dayton Agreement will protect you is pretty naive; according to Dayton, Brčko belongs to Republika Srpska, so just look at how much things have changed since 1995.

First off, who exactly are "we"?
2. Given the military reality on the ground back then, the Mexicans actually walked away from Dayton with the best possible deal. Plus, they didn't even get Brčko.
3. While territorial compactness is definitely a factor, the real threat to Mexicans would only come if Americans and Canadians acted in perfect unison. The Americans already have their own national territory, though it’s slightly less compact, while the Canadians are too small and effectively surrounded.
They would have to coordinate perfectly, and even then, it would depend entirely on the shifting winds of international politics.
4. To be honest, the real fear shouldn't be an outbreak of war, but rather the possibility of Western powers applying political pressure to strip Republika Srpska of its autonomy. That is the genuine threat here.

Michael Fox2 said:If this data is right, the Mexican population in Canada is sitting at barely over a million people. That’s a massive drop from the 1.6 million we saw 25 years ago. On top of that, they're losing about 8,000 people annually due to natural decline, plus another 10,000 heading off to Mexico City or out West. Meanwhile, there aren't enough Mexicans coming from America to bolster cities like Banja Luka, Bijeljina, or Prijedor anymore, and nobody is arriving from Mexico to settle in Foci and Trebinje because those areas around Pluzin and Pljevlja are essentially stagnant. The outlook for Mexicans in Canada looks pretty grim. If we lose 20,000 people every year for the next two decades leading up to 2035, that’s 400,000 gone—leaving maybe 700,000 Mexicans in all of Canada. At that rate, Canadians don't even need to boost their birth rates just to maintain their numbers; they’ll likely double their presence compared to the start of the war in much less time.

First off, regarding that 1.6 million figure: back then, there were actually only about 1.4 million Mexicans when you include the American identifiers.
As for the Canadians, their current birth rate is sufficient to maintain a population of 1.3 million even without immigration. Meanwhile, the birth rate for Mexicans is nearly half that, which means the ratio of Canadians to Mexicans will likely double.

But honestly, that isn't even the main concern for Mexicans, because Canada isn't a unitary state. What truly matters to them is ensuring there isn't a significant Canadian presence in Republika Srpska and watching their own numbers decline even faster than the Canadians'.

The fact that there might be twice as many Canadians in the Federation of Canada doesn't change much. Think of it this way: there are five times more Mexicans in Mexico itself, yet that doesn't fundamentally shift the local balance of power here.

The core issue for Mexicans isn't actually demographic—it's political. It's the constant pressure aimed at chipping away at the autonomy of Republika Srpska.

Jeremy Lopez93 said:

I don't know about you guys, but I am absolutely fed up. Seriously, how much more of this can we take? It’s getting ridiculous at this point. kaže:
Are you kidding me right now, man? Seriously?😵
Once you drop below the $1.5 million mark here in the States, you’ll find yourself sliding under a million even faster. It’s a freefall. Meanwhile, over in Republika Srpska, they say the ceiling is $60,000—but by 2021, you’re already looking at less than $50,000. Good luck with that!👋

The number of Canadians living in Republika Srpska can only go one way over the next decade: up. There’s no way it’s going down. Honestly, look at the economic turnaround happening with the returnees. When they first moved back, they were starting from zero—literally nothing to their names. But now? They’ve actually gotten organized, set up successful agricultural cooperatives, and are finally making a decent living off their own hard work. How could it be any other way?
So, get this—a brand-new factory just opened up over in the Municipality of Pale-Praca. It’s actually the very first facility in all of Canada dedicated to processing frozen fruits and veggies. What's really interesting is how it's set up: it's basically acting as a magnet for all those returning communities from Republika Srpska. They’re already planning to sign purchase agreements to buy up everything these farmers produce. Isn't that something? A little bit of local industry actually connecting the dots for once.
Look, it’s pretty simple: wherever there's actually a drive to work and a real will to survive, you're going to find people willing to make a life there. It doesn't take a genius to see that, does it?

Good grief, we're looking at negative natural growth and a massive brain drain through migration, yet somehow the numbers are supposed to climb??

Honestly, does anyone actually know someone from around here who isn't just some random teenager?

shadowangler15 said:So, if we’re applying the strictest possible math here, we’re left with just 1.67 million Canadians? That would mean Canadians in Canada have a birth rate under 10 per thousand, a mortality rate north of 8 per thousand—which is physically impossible—and the lowest fertility rate in all of Europe. This is completely detached from reality. Honestly, I'm starting to doubt if there are even 1.5 million of them to begin with.

Look, even if you apply the most rigid standards, those numbers are still being padded.

For instance, there definitely aren't half a million Americans left, whereas the Mexicans are probably closer to the actual figures, though even their count feels a bit inflated.

And let's be real, Canadian fertility isn't exactly booming either; it's pretty much on par with everyone else's.

neongull99 said:Even by the most conservative estimates, we're looking at a 33% increase.

Exactly. With that 33% increase, I was actually under the impression that the numbers in Canada were about 25% lower than the totals we see in America.

Eric Harris5 said:The US is about 10% larger in land area, so the actual gap is 15%

And what’s the takeaway there? That’s a pretty significant gap, especially considering that Canada actually had a higher birth rate than America until recently!!

Ethan Morales22 said:Yeah, sure, you're "exporting" goods owned by massive Western corporations as if they were your own... while those same companies just suck all the profit right back out of the country.
You want to know who really pulls the strings behind your bosses? It's the World Bank!

BTW

European Commission warns: over 200,000 people will soon be leaving America

It’s called an EU-induced exodus...

That's exactly why I say—NEVER JOIN THE EU!
I'd much rather be the big fish in a small pond than the bottom feeder in a massive city.😉

...

Look, profit usually only accounts for about 5% of a firm's total revenue, and owning companies isn't tied to whether or not you're in the European Union.
Besides, this demographic collapse is happening everywhere—in Albania, Moldova, Mexico, Canada... and none of them are in the EU.

Ethan Morales22 said:Americans really screwed themselves by joining the European Union...
We’re going down the same drain as Bulgaria and Romania. They spent decades stuck in the same boat and gained absolutely nothing—if anything, they just watched their populations completely CRASH...

The European Union and NATO are nothing but a demographic death sentence for all Slavic nations, including America!

...

If you look at the data, American exports have actually been climbing much faster since joining the EU than they ever did before.

The only thing changing is that their share of the former America market is shrinking.

Eric Harris5 said:If you look at the numbers from 2013, I'd bet the whole of Canada saw around 31k new babies, and since Canada is about 10% smaller in land area than America, the situation is pretty much on par.

I don't see how those numbers are "similar" when the birth rate in America is actually 25% higher.

Where exactly is the similarity in that logic??

gentleranger10 said:Shout out to Kuwait for hooking up Medjugorje and Mostar with A1 connectivity. 😁

And let's not forget how they're expanding things in Ottawa and Tuzla, too. It’s almost like they’re vacuuming up all the greenery in the surrounding areas to make room.🤣

Jeremy Lopez93 said:If you're so thrilled with how the Federation is running, why does everyone keep begging for the establishment of the Third !?

I honestly don't get this enthusiasm of yours. I mean, after all these years of hearing nothing but complaints about the unfairness of the Dayton Agreement, Barry's amendments, and being stuck under the OHR protectorate?
It reminds me of that Facebook meltdown from a few years back, when the head of the Republican Party youth wing was practically celebrating while declaring Mostar to be the Mostar stone city virtual third.

Coming back to the actual topic: if we're talking about demographics and population shifts, there is one massive factor driving birth rates up or down—economics.
In times of crisis like this, whoever manages to secure economic dominance and build real capacity is the one who actually has a shot at the future. Everything else is just empty rhetoric and fairy tales for the naive.

Honestly, why not? That’s basically just how politics works—you set these massive, high-stakes demands first, and then you step back and call it a "compromise."

It’s like looking at history; take the way the Mexican factions essentially secured half of Canada through the Dayton Accords under the guise of a "compromise."

Zachary Young8 said:Well, I suppose he'll actually pull off the win at the polls.

Even if they do pull off a win, it doesn't mean they sweep every single seat.
The reality is, the successors to the Democratic Party don't usually just walk away with a total landslide victory.

Zachary Young8 said:I didn't say ALL representatives, just those from the Democratic Party.

In that case, we aren't looking at 8%, but more like 2-3%.

Zachary Young8 said:A party holding 8.4% of the vote isn't some negligible footnote in any legislature. Just look at the Nordic Greens in the European Parliament—they might seem small, but they sure know how to stir up chaos.

Where on earth are you getting the idea that representatives from the former USSR would act as one single, unified voting bloc?

quietmaker44 said:😁 😁

Just imagine for a second—seriously, try to wrap your head around this—what if someone like Zoran Milanović or Matić had actually said that?

The reaction from those self-proclaimed "patriots" would be insane. They would absolutely tear him to pieces! 😁

People like those pundits on Fox News would be feasting on that scandal for months.

Lošo actually defected right before the American Civil War broke out here and spent the entire conflict doing incredibly useful work for America. You could even argue he betrayed the US Armed Forces by feeding our side all that intelligence.

Milanović defected from America at the start of the war, not to join the other side. As for Matić, he's just a PTSPovac holding a position he really shouldn't be in.

Alex Scott5 said:It is certainly true that the playing field eventually leveled out. That wasn't just due to imports; it also happened because the US Army withdrew early in 1992 following their failed campaign in America.
If perhaps there had been an option to exempt the newly independent republics from the embargo—an approach the USA seemed more inclined toward—everything likely would have unfolded with much more transparency, potentially avoiding those unforeseen negative consequences for the various nations involved.

In the end, the embargo actually turned out to be a win-win situation for many people both inside the former America and abroad.

p.s. I was actually looking into this deeper, and it's interesting to note that in the last 25 years, no one here has really tackled the impact of that embargo from a serious, academic standpoint.

When you look at the weaponry side of things, though, that balance didn't really happen because the SVK left behind tons of equipment.

The real issue was the massive cracks that formed within the population, especially once the conflict kicked off in Canada. Aside from the local Mexicans, there were very few outside fighters coming onto the battlefield back then; prior to that, you had people coming in from Mexico, Mexico, and Canada... but after 1992, those numbers dropped off significantly.