Posts by Eric Fox7

Genk vs. Cercle - Over 2.5 @ 1.60
Over 3.5 @ 2.45
Both teams to score + Over 2.5 @ 2.10

It’s the US Open Cup final—Genk is fighting to stay relevant while Cercle is chasing the championship title. Honestly, both sides have been looking pretty sharp lately. They’re playing at a neutral site in Chicago this time around, and if you look at their recent history, things usually get wild—we've seen 21 goals fly in over their last four matchups (think 3-3, 3-1, 3-2, and 2-4)🤷

Aha, well, fair enough—I guess I saw this win coming all along 🤣

rapidhound19 said:And I’m just sitting here waiting on that winning parlay—of course, nothing happens... I went over 4.5 goals... But according to them, it was 3-1. And they spend the full 90 minutes live creating this total nonsense, corner after corner, while the scoreline is completely wrong. I sent them an email, so I’ll probably get a response in about two months.
Oh, and since we're on the subject, I’ve been sitting on a winning ticket at DraftKings since Saturday because they botched the result... Lehigh Valley was playing away and according to DraftKings they lost 0-1, when it actually ended 1-1 (they scored in the 90th minute), but DraftKings logged it as 0-1...

Man, that's rough. Send an email to DraftKings—I can't believe they're making mistakes like that. Here’s the link from the club's official site: http://www.leixoessc.pt/index.php?pa...noticiaId=3871

And here’s the one from the league's official page: http://www.lpfp.pt/segunda_liga/page...a=39&jogo=7960

Looks like those first few actually caught a bit of momentum:

http://www.rezultati.com/utakmica/0C...talji-utakmice

FC Rostov vs. CSKA Moscow 2 @ 1.55

It’s the semifinals of the US Open Cup—just a single-elimination showdown here. You've got CSKA, who are basically chasing the championship right now and looking pretty sharp, going up against Rostov. Now, Rostov... well, their star player has hit a bit of a slump lately, and the whole team is struggling through a rough patch—three straight losses—as they fight tooth and nail just to stay out of the basement. Honestly, I think the sheer quality of the Moscow side should be enough to carry them through. 🤷

Troyes vs. Bordeaux 2 @ 2.30 or X2 @ 1.30 The match might actually get pushed back because of potential flooding in the area!

Similar vibe to the Russian game—cup semifinals, one-off match. This time it's Troyes versus Bordeaux. Troyes is in a real bind; they're sitting four points adrift of the safety zone with only three rounds left to make up the ground. Bordeaux, meanwhile, is comfortably parked in the middle of the table. Both sides have found some rhythm recently—Bordeaux hasn't lost in five matches, and the home side has picked up three wins in their last four. It feels like Troyes is practically written off, yet somehow they've stumbled into a position where survival is still on the table—though they really need a big win this weekend at Ajax's place to keep the dream alive, and they're hoping their opponents can help them out by handling Nancy today. That's my play here—given the circumstances, and since these two meet again next week, Bordeaux might just ease off a little if they secure the cup advancement first. 🤔

Not a massive stake, though—it is just the cup, after all. 🙂

AS Roma vs. Chievo Verona 1 @ 1.30

Roma is looking incredibly solid right now. They're pushing hard for a European spot and want to build on that win they grabbed over the weekend against Fiorentina. Chievo has pretty much locked in their spot and isn't sweating relegation. Historically? The head-to-head numbers lean heavily toward the Romans.

James Taylor3 said:I caught the last two games for the LA Galaxy, and honestly, Kramarić was easily their worst player in both.
It’s pretty obvious his "fame" has gone straight to his head—he’s always putting on this act, trying to dribble through everyone, making these totally nonsensical moves. At this rate, he's just taking up space on the field given how poorly he's playing.
The only way he's scoring is from a penalty kick.

I just had a gut feeling there'd be a penalty, which is why I took that bet.🙂

James Taylor3 said:By the way, Eric Fox7, Kramarić is sitting at 2.00 on DraftKings.😉

James Taylor3 said:Anyway, the MLS has been offering some seriously convincing odds lately on the over 2.5 goals option—they're often 0.20 or 0.30 better than the other books.🙏

Man, I wasn't even looking at the lines; I just went with my gut. Here are my first two winners.🙂

Drew Wright said:+ 👍

meaning a win Saint Etienne @ 1.70—I agree they absolutely need these points. They've got an away game against Lorient coming up next—they're 6th or 7th, I can't quite remember—and then Marseille and Lille follow that. This is a total must-win for Saint Etienne if they have any hope of qualifying for Europe...☕

dustysurfer21 said:Bordeaux isn't exactly struggling right now—they've actually got some decent momentum. Given they absolutely need a win if things go sideways with St. Etienne, I’m expecting plenty of action in front of the net. Personally, I think grabbing the 0-1 goal market at 2.9 is a solid play here. 🙂

I was actually just sitting here thinking about how they're looking pretty sharp lately. The real wildcard, though, is whether they'll play it safe to save their energy for Tuesday's cup match against Troyes. Since they're basically stuck in mid-table limbo this season—no chance of fighting for a title, but no risk of relegation either—that cup run is really their only shot at qualifying for Europe next year.

CourtsYL-Geylang Int. 2 @ 1,60

The absolute bottom-feeders of the US league—zero points after ten matches and they’ve only managed two goals while leaking 27—are hosting Geylang, who are sitting just above the relegation zone and actually playing decent soccer. They're hovering near that sixth spot to stay in the championship hunt. Honestly, I don't see why the home team's losing streak wouldn't just keep rolling. 🤷

LA Galaxy-FC Cincinnati 1 @ 1,55

The Galaxy, currently fighting for that second seed, really needs to handle a struggling Cincinnati side. Sure, Cincinnati woke up from their winter slumber, but it was way too late to actually matter for the top tier. If things go according to plan, the owners can finally pat themselves on the back for securing those top two spots. But, if things get messy—and we know how these things go—I might pivot to the option where Krama (who desperately needs a call-up to the main roster ) scores a goal @ 1,80.

Crazy? Maybe! 🙂

Hellas Verona-Pro Vercelli 1 @ 1,20

Terrible odds here, but Verona is in such incredible shape that I don't trust them to leave this game to chance against a visiting squad that’s basically already relegated. Verona is eyeing that second place to jump straight into the big leagues, or maybe just building a ten-point cushion over fourth place to avoid the playoffs entirely. In this setup, the top three teams just move up.

Moreirense/odg3+-SC Braga da @ 2,00

A matchup between two sides that usually produce plenty of action in the net. Braga has been averaging nearly 3.5 goals per game in their league lately—which is wild. You've got the home side fighting for survival while Braga is chasing a Champions League spot.

VPlzen-Č.Budějovice 1 @ 1,20

Another one of those "why is this even a bet?" odds. It’s a battle between two brewery towns, but Pilsen absolutely has to take down last-place Budweiser if they want to protect that two-point lead over Sparta in the title race.

LudRazgr-Chernom.Burgas 1 @ 1,25

Continuing the trend of ridiculous odds today, heading over to the international circuit where Ludogorets—the team that famously haunted our favorites in the past—is looking to leapfrog Levski in the title race with just a few weeks left on the clock.

Malmö FF-IFK Norrköping 1 @ 1,50

The heavyweights of Swedish soccer are facing an average Norrköping side that they’ve consistently handled with ease whenever they play at home.

Angers-Laval 1 @ 1,80

Angers is pushing hard for promotion, trying to close a two-point gap with third place. They're up against a team fighting to avoid the drop, though Laval will likely be looking for points elsewhere. Historically, this matchup favors the home side quite heavily—they've grabbed five wins and two draws in their last seven meetings, outscoring them 12 to 3.

Another round of Martingale talk 🤦

No. We are absolutely not doing this again.

Can we please get our own dedicated subforum ☕?

Just a quick heads-up regarding today's Champions League match:

The sportsbooks are sitting somewhere around +450 to +475 (at DraftKings) for a straight Real Madrid win, while the two-goal handicap is hovering slightly lower at +430 over at FanDuel or BetMGM. Now, if you're actually looking to play that second option—and I'm not telling you how to spend your money here—it feels like it carries more value. You could easily see a scoreline like 4:1 or 5:2 where things get messy and Real ends up falling short of the spread despite the goals.

Real Madrid (-3+) vs Dortmund - Double Chance X2 @ 1.45

6:30 PM Red Bull Salzburg vs FC Liefering @ 1.45

If Salzburg pulls this one off, they’ve basically punched their ticket to the MLS top flight—and honestly, I don't see them struggling against a modest side from New York. They've swept all three matches this season (1-3, 1-2, and 2-0), and looking back at previous years, they've always held the upper hand in these matchups—especially when playing on home turf.

12:30 PM Seattle Sounders vs Kashiwa Reysol - Home Win @ 1.65

The recent MLS champions, the Seattle Sounders, are hosting Japan's Kashiwa Reysol in the final round of the Asian Champions League. Now, Kashiwa has already locked up the top spot in their group and moved on to the Round of 16, so there's less pressure on them. On the other hand, a win for the Sounders would send them straight through to the next round—especially after that gutsy win they picked up away against Suwon (who, by the way, are completely out of the running now). A draw won't cut it if the Chinese side Guizhou manages an early win against that same defunct Suwon squad—since Seattle and Guizhou are currently dead even in head-to-head and goal difference. I'm guessing Kashiwa won't be playing with much desperation here; they've already qualified, and since their domestic league campaign hasn't exactly been stellar, they'll likely just coast and save their energy for their big matchup against Yokohama.

analogdriver22 said:Wednesday, April 24, 2013, 8:45 PM
Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid—either Dortmund scores and we see 3+ total goals, or just over 2.5 goals in the match altogether.
Odds: 1.82

Like I mentioned back in my breakdown, Lutrija is offering @ 2.00 for that exact same bet.
Germany (assuming that's where you pulled those odds from) is pretty much the worst option when it comes to that.

Charles Doyle6 said:Look, no offense meant, but even a complete idiot could have seen that coming—the moderators should've just moved my post to the right thread instead of making a scene. But nope, they jumped at the chance to slap me with a warning. Sneaky little move, right out of left field.

...

Honestly, every single thing you post just proves how much of a jerk you're being.

If you can actually manage to change how you talk to people, you might be able to get that strike cleared in six months. Of course, that assumes you actually intend to fix it.

Right now, you've got at least 20 regulars deep in the weeds of the specialized threads—plus maybe a dozen folks hanging out mostly in the chat, not to mention the usual crowd popping in here and there for the contests and whatnot. 🤷

So, looking back over these last few years of writing and acting as one of those 🤷
moderators, I've definitely seen more active ones...

Honestly, the only thing I find interesting here is how the same handful of users always seem to have some kind of problem with everything posted in this sub 🙂

Besides, there’s actually a specific place for those kinds of grievances on the site—it shouldn't be every single thread just because Charles Doyle6 and his crew feel like venting.

Btw, that’s a pretty large chunk of people—maybe 10 out of 50, if we're being generous—but it's usually the exact same faces. 😉

So, you're the one?

You didn't even get a warning before the permanent ban—actually, you didn't get one at all—you just kept getting partial bans, at least twice, if not three times now. 🤷

Honestly, you pretty much answered your own question as to why you ended up with a partial ban in the first place. 😉

Bayern-Barca 1; over 2,5; odg3+ po izboru

BOstrava-Vysoč-Jihlava 1 @ 1,90

The home side is basically staring down the barrel here—they absolutely have to win if they want any hope of avoiding relegation. They’ve even gone out and grabbed a veteran legend like Baros (who’s already bagged 3 goals in 6 matches) to try and steady the ship. Honestly, their form has been pretty rough lately—four straight losses is a tough pill to swallow—but Jihlava is sitting comfortably mid-table. This is one of those games where the home team just has to dig deep, grab all three points, and use this extra game to finally pull themselves clear of the danger zone.

First off, let’s get one thing straight—it’s definitely not true that you didn't get any warnings. You actually got several, yet you never once showed any actual interest in changing how you communicate.

The reasons stay pretty much the same: constant provocation, picking fights with the moderators from the second you joined this sub, and this weird, unnecessary need to escalate conflicts with me for no apparent reason...

Honestly, the only real surprise here is that you weren't banned sooner.