Posts by Thomas Stewart87

gentlestag15 said:+18
He was wearing a swastika shirt, and now they’ll probably spin the whole thing to say he was sympathizing with Ukrainian Nazis, making that the excuse for why the idiot targeted kids. 🤣
View on twitter

Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if someone just drew a swastika on his shirt after the fact to frame him.

Dugina's daughter: Ukrainians aren't even human. They all deserve to die.

https://mobile.twitter.com/WarAgains...31023168987136

Judging by the tone of this post, I suspect Dugin won't be caught off guard by this attack at all.

https://mobile.twitter.com/antiputle...15768087101442

Jose Clark4 said:So, today at a Verizon station, saw this Lexus 450 with those fancy plates. Driver and passenger both looked about 40, driver was rocking a Milanov jersey, number 9. They walk out of the shop with two energy drinks.
Gave me the chills.

Did you manage to get a photo of them?

Hey, is Thomas Stewart87 available?

Sure thing, just reach out to rustydrifter10.

Angels took flight like birds on the wind
to bring a gentle smile back to your face
carrying a message upon their white wings
wishing you all a very Happy New Year.
🙂

Even over on the offline forums, there’s someone celebrating Christmas early
Sending love to you all 😘

hollowwalker10 said:PSV vs. Dinamo........2@7.80 for 3/10
PSV vs. Dinamo.........x2@2.9 for 7/10

I’ve been trying to steer clear of the sportsbooks lately, but I just have to take a shot at this one. I caught a glimpse of the odds while passing by, and it felt like something I couldn't ignore. Based on what I’ve been reading in the papers and following recently, I feel like the spread should be closer to a 3:3:3 split. I honestly don't see why PSV is coming in as the favorite here. What exactly did they show in their domestic league or in the Champions League to earn that status? They just lost their captain and another key starter in their last match, not to mention being without their starting keeper for a while now. It isn't that I think a squad in that state can beat Dinamo, but the odds seem off—there’s definitely some value to be found if you look at it closely.

Good luck to everyone!!

I’m on board with the pick because the line at DraftKings looks like genuine value.
Here is my logic: if these two teams were playing a three-game series right now, given their current momentum and how poorly PSV performed in their last outing in Los Angeles, I’m fairly confident Dinamo would walk away with a win in at least one of those matches. So, why not place a bet that they’ll secure a victory in one out of eight attempts?

HL @8.00 (2:0)
5/10

Roger Phillips said:So, we're looking at an entire squad being missing here; fourteen players didn't even make the trip to Greece:

Vito Mannone, Per Mertesacker, Kieran Gibbs, Laurent Koscielny, Andre Santos, Bacary Sagna, Mikel Arteta, Santi Cazorla, Theo Walcott, Jack Wilshere, Vidal Diaby, Olivier Giroud, Lukas Podolski, and Sanchez Watt.

Which basically means betting on a single win at +140 odds.

electriccyclist20 said:Hopefully we see some better results than this absolute disaster of a weekend.

Let's look at this one: Buffalo vs. San Jose Earthquakes. Monday at 8:00 PM, odds around 1.45 (SS)

8. San Jose 13 6 3 4 22:18 21
15. Buffalo 13 4 2 7 16:27 14

01/27/12 EER Buffalo San Jose 3 : 2
10/21/11 EER San Jose Buffalo 4 : 2
03/29/10 EER San Jose Buffalo 8 : 1
11/13/09 EER Buffalo San Jose 4 : 5
05/08/09 EER Buffalo San Jose 0 : 2

If we don't see both teams finding the back of the net here, I honestly don't know what to tell you. I won't pretend to be an expert since I don't know much about these specific rosters, injury reports, locker room dynamics, or any of those little interpersonal details, so I am basing this prediction strictly on the head-to-head history listed above.

I'll add a few more historical results for context. As you can see, from 2006 through 2012, there was only one instance where both sides failed to score and we didn't see over 2.5 goals.

10/31/08 EER San Jose Buffalo 2 : 1
02/08/08 EER San Jose Buffalo 1 : 2
09/30/07 EER Buffalo San Jose 3 : 2
01/26/07 EER San Jose Buffalo 2 : 1
11/03/06 EER Buffalo San Jose 3 : 1

Good luck to anyone making a call here.

Then again, given that I’m the one who picked this matchup, we might just end up looking at a boring 0-0. 😬
Actually, my gut says it’ll be a 2-2 thriller. ☕

In my view, what you've laid out is a bit absurd; I really don't think head-to-head matchups are particularly relevant for a meaningful "analysis", and that applies not just to the lower leagues, but even to the major leagues where we are acutely aware of top-tier transfers, coaching changes, current form, and all those other critical variables that dictate a team's offensive output.

San Jose, 2010/2011 season

http://www.soccerway.com/teams/us/san-jose-earthquakes/

San Jose, 2012/2013 season

http://www.soccerway.com/teams/us/san-jose-earthquakes/

After two seasons, only four players remained on the roster; none of them are even starters anymore, as everyone else has scattered to various corners of the country.
I couldn't bother to dig into the Buffalo stats; it's likely a similar story over there.

Anyway, enough rambling—good luck with your pick. 🙂

Kevin Hall51 said:Brazil vs. Colombia 1 1.60
Brazil is leading the pack right now, and since they’re playing in New York, you can bet they’ll put on quite a spectacle

But will Oprah be hosting them? 😬

And who exactly was Brazil crushing lately? In their recent friendlies, they picked up wins against South Africa, China, and Argentina—though both those squads were mostly comprised of players from various domestic leagues
, while on the road, they managed to beat Sweden without Ibra and several starters, along with Japan.
The last two matches Brazil played here in the States back in June actually ended in losses: a 3-4 thriller against Argentina and a 0-2 defeat to Mexico.
As for Colombia, last year in Madrid, they dropped a 0-1 decision to Spain, even though Spain was fielding their strongest lineup; Falcao and Rodriguez (from Porto) weren't even in the mix.
Over the past two years, Colombia has played five friendlies on American soil, coming away with victories over Mexico, Jamaica, Honduras, and Ecuador, while drawing against the home team.
Colombia is coming in with a full squad, they're in great form, and they have that specific hunger to pull off an upset against a heavyweight. Honestly, looking at the odds at DraftKings, betting on them to score a goal at @1.55 feels like a much smarter play than backing a straight win for Brazil.

I’d run from statistics like this in the opposite direction of a bad omen. 😁
Aside from the midfielder Fransérg we already talked about (who’s sitting on 17 goals to just 2), Criciúma is still missing their starting keeper, Douglas. On another note, Red Bull Bragantino decided to swap out their manager after last round, bringing in some supposed "expert" who specializes in cleaning up absolute disasters.

Following the playoffs, the Spanish Union decided to cash in on their star striker, sending Emmanuel Herrera over to Montpellier (the Argentinian forward brings a solid track record with 29 appearances, 16 goals, and 6 assists)

Ethan Jones5 said:John Smith thinks Los Angeles FC won't let themselves slip up; after all, that Latvian side is a much weaker squad that will just be playing defensive.. personally, I went with the handicap on LAFC..

What kind of lack of experience are you talking about?🤷

The EuroLeague top scorer Vukusic, Trebotic providing an assist of a lifetime in Europe, plus Maloca, Jozinovic, Fog, Caktas, and Blazevic—by our standards, those are all seasoned veterans..

Why don't you try listing some experienced players from Skonto for me?🙂

But seriously, looking at what I've seen, I think Skonto is just too weak, and honestly, I feel like people here are vastly underestimating Los Angeles FC and their roster. It seems like the Latvians just want to go home undefeated, but we'll see how the boys perform tonight..

🤔

Thomas Stewart87 said:To me, this looks like wishful thinking regarding Los Angeles FC and betting solely on the club's reputation... why don't you list out the starting eleven for Los Angeles FC and tell me about the actual experience those players have...If you aren't expecting a blowout and find yourself eyeing those low odds, it might be smarter to bet on under 3.5 goals @ 1.40

🤷

Thomas Stewart87 said:Why is everyone piling onto Norway today?🙂

🍿

stormyharbor13 said:Here’s my take on this:

Hajduk - Skonto skonto ndg I suspect that Hajduk, regardless of how unconvincing or perhaps even lackluster they might seem, isn't going to let an upset happen here.
I’m not expecting any kind of masterpiece from them, but I’ll stay cautious—maybe a narrow win with a clean sheet.
No matter how they perform on the pitch, I highly doubt they’ll give this side even one decent scoring opportunity.
The only edge Skonto has is that their season is in full swing, but I still think Hajduk is just too big of a challenge for them to truly threaten.

Rosenborg - Ordabasy f2 There’s no room for complacency with Rosenborg; they want to settle this right now. They learned their lesson after getting burned previously by dropping points at home and then finding it impossible to recover during away trips.
Ordabasy knocked out Jagodina, but I honestly feel that was about as much as they could muster.
Rosenborg really needs to put at least three goals in the net today, though I don't see them conceding two.

To me, this feels like you're just being superstitious about Hajduk and betting solely on the club's reputation... if you can actually list the starting eleven for Hajduk and their recent experience... if you aren't expecting a masterclass and you're already leaning toward low odds, it seems smarter to just take under 3.5 goals at 1.40.

edit: my bad, I thought you were betting on a Hajduk win, but either way, given how disciplined Hajduk's defense has been lately, a miracle would be needed for them to concede.

What's with everyone piling onto Rosenborg today?🙂

Personally, I’m not feeling this Differdange-Gent matchup. To my mind, Gent doesn't look any stronger than Salzburg, especially considering Salzburg just dropped a game to the champions from Luxembourg... and besides, Gent actually offloaded three of their starters from last season. If you want to look back at how things shook out in last year's qualifiers:
1. round
Differdange (Lux) - Levadia (Est) 0:0 4.26 3.45 1.74
Levadia (Est) - Differdange (Lux) 0:1 1.33 4.61 7.96

2. round they advanced without even stepping on the pitch (due to their opponent, Olympiakos Volos, being disqualified)

3. round
Differdange (Lux) - Paris Saint-Germain (Fra) 0:4 21.30 9.04 1.08
Paris Saint-Germain (Fra) - Differdange (Lux) 2:0 1.02 13.92 29.51

As for Rosenborg in the Europa League, back in the 2009/10 season during the second qualifying round, they were knocked out by the Azerbaijani side Qarabag Agdam

Rosenborg - Karabakh Agdam 0:0 1.07 9.18 19.23
Karabakh Agdam - Rosenborg 1:0 8.96 4.58 1.27

The odds on that representative from the Russian school of football were actually quite interesting 🍿

James Taylor3 said:It’s actually quite warm out today. The average for games featuring over 1.5 goals sits at 1.54—though we don't have the exact math on that specific metric—while the average for matches hitting the over 2.5 mark climbs up to 2.72..
Well, that’s certainly a massive step up from what we see with our own local bunch.

Looking at the odds over at DraftKings, the lines for these two specific bets are actually even higher than what we're seeing here, which makes me think there's some real value in playing them.

It seems Stanleybeta actually managed to hold their own quite well when you look at how the other national teams performed.
The odds for over 2.5 goals are sitting at 2.60, but I’ve decided to take a swing at the over 3.5 at 5.45. To be honest, my reasoning aligns pretty closely with yours, Jacob Torres21; besides, when the payout is that high, it feels like a missed opportunity to pass it up. Plus, if they end up being a total snooze fest while I'm watching, I can always just tune out and ignore whatever else is on the schedule—though I'll probably start by muting those Spanish teams if they don't pick up the pace. 😁) .

Thomas Stewart87 said:21:30 Sporting CP vs Académica de Coimbra
tip: Home win and over 2.5 goals
odds: 3.35
bookmaker: BetMGM
stake: 4/10

🤷

21:30 Sporting CP vs Académica de Coimbra
pick: Home win and 3+ goals
odds: 3.35
bookmaker: BetMGM
stake: 4/10

Following Braga's loss on Friday, Sporting CP finds themselves staring down a real opportunity to snatch third place, which would secure them a spot in the Champions League qualifiers. They currently sit 6 points behind, though they do have a game in hand with just two rounds left to play. Next week, they head out to face Porto—who have already locked up the title—before returning home for the final showdown against Braga. In the Portuguese league, head-to-head results carry significant weight, so there is a very real possibility that this final fixture will decide who takes that third-place spot (though one can always dream of snagging points from Porto).
On the other side, Académica de Coimbra hasn't managed a victory in 15 matches and is currently languishing in the penultimate spot, fighting to avoid relegation to the second division.

Absence:
Sporting CP: Defensive player Rodriguez (7 appearances) and midfielder Rinau (10 appearances) are both sidelined with injuries.
Académica de Coimbra: Forward Éder (15 appearances, 5 goals), midfielder Sow (20 appearances), and defender Ferreira are all out injured, while Cabral (19 appearances) and Flávio (11+6 appearances) are serving suspensions.

Facts:
1. It’s a bit of a gamble to predict a halftime/fulltime winner alongside at least 3 total goals in the match.
2. This is a clash between two sides possessing completely opposite momentum.
3. Neither team is likely to play overly defensive or tactical football here.

Conclusion:
The odds are high enough to make this an interesting play for me.

I'm not sure if anyone has already mentioned this, but there's a rumor going around that the Monaco players have a little incentive set up for the second half of the season—basically, they stash away $5,000 for every single win. It’s definitely one way to ensure they really "grind" for those three points on the pitch. That said, I think I'll play it safe and take a small unit on the under; every winning streak eventually hits a wall, and we'll just have to see if that happens tonight.