Man, I wish some random ad would just fly off the screen already! Like those lonely angels from Russia—I’m getting hit with ads even on Pornhub, but it never actually crossed my mind to just block them 👍
So, I used to have this whole home gym setup going—pulley machines, the works—but honestly? I ended up tossing everything except my bench, the barbell, and the rack
Honestly, I’m totally lost on which draw was actually better—was it the 2014 one where Mexico kept the Netherlands on their toes until the 89th minute, or maybe when Brazil was basically falling apart right before it happened?
And what's really going on behind the scenes with these massive powerhouse teams anyway? Like, what kind of mental and physical shape are their players even in after grinding through such a long, brutal season?
If you ask me, Colombia actually looked way more impressive than Brazil did.
People will always say, "Oh, they'll just step it up during the tournament," but honestly? If they're already showing cracks in those first two games, there's a huge chance those weaknesses are just gonna stick around.
*** Back during the 2002 Super Bowl, France had a roster stacked with the top scorers from the Premier League, Ligue 1, and Serie A.
I'm talking about Thierry Henry, David Trezeguet, and Djibril Cissé.
And get this—that legendary lineup didn't score a single goal the entire tournament and got knocked out in the group stage!
I’m thinking tomorrow Peru takes it at @ 1.30—they were honestly so close, just had zero luck, you know? That penalty, that shot off the crossbar against France... they were totally dialed in, practically buzzing with energy, and I really think they want to head out on a high note. (Plus, if Australia wants those 3 points and a shot at moving on, they’re gonna have to open things up)
As for the rest
England vs Belgium over 2.5 goals @ 2.25
This one feels pretty low stakes, especially since they won't even know what the top spot means for them at that exact moment. Basically, expect a more relaxed vibe—plus, with that many heavy-hitting attackers, there's no way we aren't seeing goals (they’ve already dropped 16 total, sure, the opponents aren't elite, but still!). Once the strikers find their rhythm, the floodgates will probably open, making things much easier for them later on
Personal take
I’ve missed out on the over 2.5 goals bet so many times during this tournament that it’s getting ridiculous—not that I’m actually betting money, just playing along virtually!—so it would be about time I finally snagged a win here
Colombia is sitting in Group H and they are honestly on a different level than everyone else—I mean, they had that absolute disaster where they conceded a penalty and got a red card in just the second minute, yet they still managed to grind out a 1-1 draw for the rest of the match!
Tonight, they look absolutely dominant—totally fired up and riding high with massive support from their fans Poland looks pretty weak out there, honestly If things stay this way against Poland, they're definitely going to need a win against Senegal
Senegal is basically neck-and-neck with Japan, while Poland just got lucky thanks to those tactical subs coming off the bench
The first penalty gets wiped out—and wouldn't you know it, it's against Dave!! 😉
Euro 2016's most hyped matchup
France vs Albania 2-0 (goals in the 90+1 and 90+6 minutes)
FIFA 2018's big one (already talked about this like ten days ago!)
Brazil vs Costa Rica 2-0 (90+1, 90+6)
Even Stevan is on board with the card predictions
Stefan Djordjevic to Analiza Free 1 hr · 20:00 Mexico vs Switzerland CARDS OVER 3.5 at 1.85
THE DECIDING DUEL TO SEE WHO MOVES ON
Mexico kicked things off with a win and were really banking on Brazil doing their job against Switzerland—but nope, that didn't happen, and now they're stuck in a pretty tight spot. Mexico absolutely has to hunt for those 3 points today if they want to advance or even hope to catch up to Brazil, which honestly looks like a massive uphill battle. Switzerland pulled off a solid result against Brazil, so here they'll be looking to at least avoid a loss, though a win would settle everything for them. We're looking at a high-tension match, and I'm thinking this is the perfect setup for cards—I mean, when the whole tournament is on the line, if things don't get heated here, where will they??
I’m honestly leaning towards betting on red cards in the Mexico game instead of yellows—I mean, if that hit on Ivan Rakitić wasn't enough for a straight red, then I don't know what is! Only one red card so far, and that was for that blatant intentional handball... maybe there really is some weird directive in place or something?
Look, they don't want anyone ruining the final, right? Back in 2010, the Dutch should have walked away with at least three goals in the final, but nope—nothing happened. That's why, for a final, it’s totally worth playing "No Red Card"—unless, you know, the keeper wanders out of the box and uses his hands, but I rarely ever see that happen!
Uruguay shouldn't get too ahead of themselves thinking Russia is some kind of favorite now—they just let everyone down! Honestly, Uruguay plays way better against teams that actually leave space, and since Russia is playing in front of a massive home crowd, they’re definitely going to play more wide open than they did back in Japan or against Belgium. Plus, don't forget that when the national team plays, it's basically a holiday in Uruguay! They aren't going to overextend themselves when they know the entire country has stopped everything just to watch them.
@ 1,30 on Uruguay—it's not a huge payout, but hey, I'll take it! Especially if Spain crushes Iran by a landslide tonight; if that happens, it's pretty much a lock that the group winner will end up facing a much weaker Portugal.
It’s kind of wild how Uruguay can just settle for a draw if they want—honestly, who cares? They might just go hunting for a 7-0 blowout instead, just to grab that top spot heading into the final round so they can hopefully dodge Spain in the Round of 16. (Though, honestly, that's anyone's guess... I wonder what the Spaniards are planning?)
Speaking of Spain, they’re looking like the absolute favorites right now. They were easily the best team in the opening round! Brazil isn't quite ready to step up yet, and everyone else? Man, they were even more disappointing than I expected.
So, when the tournament finally wraps up, I wonder how many penalties we'll end up debating—for or against? Surely the refs aren't going to turn into hawks and start handing them out left and right just because they're in the US, right?
So, we’ve only seen one red card so far despite there being 8 penalties—and honestly, if you factor in how many more are likely coming, the gap should start closing pretty soon And look, it’s not like the rules or the officiating suddenly changed out of nowhere; everything was totally legit and well-deserved
The Mexican and Albanian provocations started ramping up right before the Switzerland match, so things could get a little tense, and they’re handing out 4, 10... basically, if there's even a hint of a red card coming, you just know that's the vibe of this game
Daniel Cooper40 said:I was checking out some of the betting lines for this—most of the sportsbooks just list the "Golden Boot winner" as the option, so it’s pretty questionable whether they’d even split the payout if there's a tie.
So, the Golden Boot thing has been around since 2010, but from 1982 to 2010 it was actually called the "Golden Shoe," and before that, it was just known as "Top Scorer"—which meant a bunch of different players could snag it (including our guy Dražen Jerković!)
Basically, there hasn't been any splitting the prize since then! If two players end up with the exact same number of goals, they go to tiebreakers like assists or total minutes played. Someone's gotta come out on top as the sole winner, right?
driftingotter47 said:Aren't you just totally fearless when it comes to those massive longshot odds now? 🤣
Man, look at those odds! In both of those cases, we at least hit the jackpot when the payout was peaking at 3.20—specifically during that France and Australia matchup. Talk about timing, right?
Man, this guy basically caught a moonbeam out of thin air! Seriously—he pulled off that solo goal from Elver, and honestly? If he hadn't, nobody would have even smelled a goal today. Just pure magic!
Honestly, if you’re looking at the big matchups, it's really just Real Madrid and Barca who actually stand a chance at covering that +3 spread—everyone else is basically playing for nothing! Why even bother betting the rest? It's all total junk.
Man, even if it’s Spain vs. Portugal, that’s basically just an El Clásico vibe all over again!
I’ve already seen it, and honestly, that’s just one more reason why—they really need to open up once in a while! It’s not like they're some team from Greece or Cyprus playing super defensive all the time, you know?
Honestly, once I saw that guy from Panama was on the parlay, I pretty much knew everything was going down the drain Other than that, yesterday and the day before were absolute winners—Argentina, Germany, Brazil—all hit! Today, it could easily be Lufthansa Still, I don't trust the English teams too much
The rest
So far it’s just been 2/11 for the over 2.5 goals, so I'm definitely not expecting anything from Panama, and Tunis really needs to play tough
Sweden is looking perfect for an over 2.5 @ 2.70, and honestly, nobody is seeing much value from the underdog picks lately
driftingotter47 said:I mean, look—if you're dealing with a total wildcard team, how can you be so sure they'll actually cruise through the group stage just because they seem steady? You can't bank on that kind of stability when everything is such a mystery, right? 🤷
Honestly, Switzerland and Mexico are basically neck and neck in terms of pure quality—it’s a total toss-up! I’m feeling pretty confident that Switzerland is gonna step up and play exactly how they should, you know? As for Mexico... well, people have been saying they're just "okay" for the last 20 years straight, so why would this time be any different?
Honestly, it feels like everything is finally clicking and coming together over here today! It’s like we're totally in sync—no chaos, no mess, and honestly? It doesn't even feel like Switzerland has the upper hand right now. Everything just feels right!
Don't let that Brazil win fool you—honestly, they just seem to have a knack for playing up against the heavy hitters! I mean, look at the track record: they knocked out the 2010 World Cup champs, Spain, pulled a draw against the 2006 finalists from France, and even held off the 2014 finalists from Argentina. They always find a way to hang with the best of them, don't they?
driftingotter47 said:How can you even pick a pair like that when you clearly have no clue which team is actually good? 🤣
Look, the Swiss have been super solid for a decade now—totally consistent. Mexico, on the other hand, has always been such a wild card. It’s honestly a fifty-fifty toss-up, just depends on if luck is on their side that day!
The main thing is that they need to bury Mexico on the pitch before the tournament even starts—I almost pulled off a miracle and played my way through Sweden's bracket myself!
