graniteharbor502 said:Let’s speed this up—how much chaos should we expect at Turn 1, and who are our main actors?
A four-car pileup at Turn 1: Perez, Bottas, Verstappen, and Hamilton.
Let's look at more... scenarios.
Working backward here:
Mazepin triggers the mess; his potential victims could be Latifi, Giovinazzi, Tsunoda, or Russell.
As for the front of the pack?
Perez is my first thought. His drive to win on home soil might push him toward a reckless move.
And then there's...
Sainz has enough potential to pull something ambitious.
All in all, I'd say there's a 49% chance of a collision and a 51% chance things stay clean during the opening lap.
It's possible the Mercedes drivers get a great launch and pull away immediately. That said, if Lewis goes beast mode off the line, Bottas will likely instinctively play wingman to cover his back.
ADDITION: No matter how much Verstappen has matured mentally, those split seconds of pure madness are dangerous; especially if Lewis has a poor start, Max will find that extra surge of motivation to overtake him before Turn 1—no matter the cost.